SMCI technical analysis
SMCI Technical Analysis
Analysis date
August 5, 2026
Market
NasdaqGS (USD)
Daily cutoff
August 4, 2026
Reliability
Passed
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
Data verification
SMCI Data Verification
Checking the latest completed daily bar for date and closing-price consistency before indicators are calculated.
- Symbol
- SMCI
- Market
- NasdaqGS
- Currency
- USD (US Dollar)
- Latest completed bar
- August 4, 2026
Historical prices are adjusted for corporate actions when applicable. Date and closing-price consistency checks passed for the latest completed daily bar.
| Validation series | Latest Close | Date | Difference | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calculation series | 31.69 | August 4, 2026 | - | Verified |
| Verification series | 31.69 | August 4, 2026 | 0.00% | Verified |
Bottom line
SMCI Technical Analysis Summary
SMCI has staged a sharp short-term rebound, with the daily price at 31.69 reclaiming SMA20 (27.87) after a 10.65% gain on the latest completed daily bar. The daily trend is still mixed: price sits above SMA20 but below SMA50 (32.26) and SMA200 (32.54), and the weekly chart remains bearish with price at 28.40 below all major moving averages. Daily momentum is improving with RSI14 at 56.90 above the 50 midline and a positive MACD histogram at +0.55, though weekly momentum is still negative. Immediate resistance is the 32.26 to 32.59 zone formed by SMA50, SMA200, and the 20-day high. Key support sits at 27.87 (SMA20), then 23.38 (20-day and 60-day low), then 19.48 (52-week low).
Multi-timeframe dashboard
Multi-Timeframe Technical Dashboard
Comparing daily (2-year) and weekly (5-year) perspectives to identify aligned or conflicting signals.
Daily (August 4, 2026)
- Trend
- Mixed with a short-term bullish tilt. Price at 31.69 trades above SMA20 (27.87) after a sharp rally, but remains below SMA50 (32.26) and SMA200 (32.54). The moving averages are not in a clean bullish or bearish stack, reflecting a market that has stabilized above the 20-day average while still working to reclaim the longer-term averages.
- Momentum
- Improving. RSI14 at 56.90 is above the 50 midline, indicating bullish momentum after the recent advance, and is not yet overbought. MACD line at -0.30 is above the signal line at -0.85, with the histogram at +0.55 firmly positive, suggesting the downside momentum that dominated the earlier decline has shifted.
- Volatility
- Elevated. ATR14 at 2.43 (7.67% of price) reflects wide daily ranges typical of this stock. Bollinger Bands from 23.52 to 32.22 remain broad, with price now trading near the upper band, consistent with a strong short-term move.
- Volume
- Above average. Latest daily volume of 52,445,555 is 120.0% of the 20-period average of 43,687,243, confirming participation behind the rally. Volume totals can differ across trading venues.
Assessment
The daily chart has moved from a clear downtrend into a rebuilding phase. Price reclaiming SMA20 with above-average volume and a positive MACD histogram is a constructive near-term signal, but the failure to clear SMA50 and SMA200 leaves the bigger-picture bias unresolved. A sustained move above the 32.26 to 32.59 resistance zone would improve the daily outlook, while a close back below 27.87 would put the rebound at risk.
Weekly (July 27, 2026 week)
- Trend
- Bearish. Price at 28.40 trades below SMA20 (29.77), SMA50 (34.65), and SMA200 (37.67), with the moving averages still in bearish order. The weekly chart has not yet confirmed the improvement seen on the daily timeframe.
- Momentum
- Bearish but stabilizing. RSI14 at 46.78 remains below the 50 midline. MACD line at -1.32 is below the signal line at -1.06, with the histogram at -0.26 still negative, though the negative histogram has narrowed.
- Volatility
- Very high. ATR14 at 6.29 (22.14% of price) reflects the large weekly swings this stock has produced. Bollinger Bands from 17.63 to 41.91 are exceptionally wide, underscoring the volatility profile of the past year.
- Volume
- Below average. Weekly volume of 186,755,300 is 77.4% of the 20-week average of 241,236,375. Volume totals can differ across trading venues.
Assessment
The weekly timeframe remains bearish with price below all major moving averages and negative momentum. The 60-week return of -31.65% highlights the size of the prior decline. Until weekly momentum turns positive and price reclaims the weekly SMA20 at 29.77, the intermediate-term trend is best described as a downtrend showing early signs of stabilization rather than confirmed reversal.
Key indicators
SMCI Key Technical Indicators
RSI, MACD, moving averages, ATR, and Bollinger Bands across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Indicator | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 56.90 | 46.78 |
| MACD (12, 26, 9) | -0.30 / -0.85 / +0.55 | -1.32 / -1.06 / -0.26 |
| ATR (14) | 2.43 (7.67%) | 6.29 (22.14%) |
| Bollinger Bands (20, 2) | 23.52 - 32.22 | 17.63 - 41.91 |
| SMA (20) | 27.87 | 29.77 |
| SMA (50) | 32.26 | 34.65 |
| SMA (200) | 32.54 | 37.67 |
Price structure
SMCI Price Structure and Returns
Price performance across multiple lookback periods and 52-week position.
| Metric | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| Current Price | 31.69 | 28.40 |
| 1-Period Return | +10.65% | -5.65% |
| 5-Period Return | +11.39% | -7.28% |
| 20-Period Return | +20.72% | -7.64% |
| 60-Period Return | -5.74% | -31.65% |
| 252-Period Return | -44.05% | +660.37% |
| 52-Week Low | 19.48 | 19.48 |
| 52-Week High | 59.40 | 59.40 |
| 52-Week Position | 30.59% | 22.34% |
Key levels
SMCI Support and Resistance Levels
Key price levels based on recent swing highs and lows across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Level | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| 20-Period High | 32.59 | 51.40 |
| 20-Period Low | 23.38 | 19.48 |
| 60-Period High | 51.40 | 62.36 |
| 60-Period Low | 23.38 | 19.48 |
Scenarios
SMCI Technical Scenarios
Conditions, invalidation triggers, and what to watch for each scenario.
Bullish
Trigger
Price holds above SMA20 at 27.87 and closes above the 32.26 to 32.59 resistance zone (SMA50, SMA200, and the 20-day high) on above-average volume.
Invalidation
A close back below SMA20 at 27.87.
What to watch
The daily MACD line crossing above zero and the weekly MACD histogram turning positive would confirm momentum alignment.
Range-Bound
Trigger
Price consolidates between 27.87 support and the 32.26 to 32.59 resistance zone while the daily trend remains mixed.
Invalidation
A decisive break of either boundary on elevated volume.
What to watch
RSI holding between 40 and 65; volume settling back toward the 20-period average.
Bearish
Trigger
Price fails at the 32.26 to 32.59 zone and breaks below SMA20 at 27.87, then below 23.38 toward the 52-week low at 19.48.
Invalidation
Price reclaims and holds above 32.59.
What to watch
The weekly MACD histogram turning more negative and sustained closes below 23.38.
Methodology
Methodology and Limitations
This technical analysis is calculated locally from adjusted OHLCV history. The daily series ends August 4, 2026, and the weekly series ends July 27, 2026 week. The latest completed daily bar is independently checked for date and closing-price consistency. Historical prices are adjusted for corporate actions when applicable. Indicators include Wilder RSI(14), MACD(12,26,9), SMA20/50/200, Wilder ATR(14), Bollinger Bands(20,2), relative volume, multi-period returns, and price-range levels. Support and resistance are descriptive zones, not guaranteed reversal points. Historical patterns do not predict future prices, and this page is not investment advice.
Frequently Asked Questions
This technical analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance and historical patterns are not guarantees of future results. All investments carry risk, including the potential loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Market data is checked for date and closing-price consistency before indicators are calculated. Data cutoffs: daily August 4, 2026, weekly July 27, 2026 week. Generated August 5, 2026.
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