PGR technical analysis
PGR Technical Analysis
Analysis date
July 15, 2026
Market
NYSE (USD)
Daily cutoff
July 14, 2026
Reliability
Passed
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
Data verification
PGR Data Verification
Cross-validating the latest completed daily bar across independent sources.
- Symbol
- PGR
- Market
- NYSE
- Currency
- USD (US Dollar)
- Latest completed bar
- July 14, 2026
No adjustment factor (adjusted close equals raw close, factor 1.0). No stock splits or dividend adjustments affecting the analysis period.
| Source | Latest Close | Date | Difference | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yahoo Finance Chart API (primary) | 226.58 | July 14, 2026 | - | Verified |
| Finviz (independent) | 226.58 | July 14, 2026 (previous close) | 0.00% | Verified |
Bottom line
PGR Technical Analysis Summary
PGR shows a mixed technical picture with the daily and weekly timeframes sending contrasting signals. On the daily chart, price at 226.58 is above SMA20 (220.79), SMA50 (207.30), and SMA200 (208.20), but moving average alignment is not cleanly bullish with SMA200 at 208.20 sitting just above SMA50 at 207.30. RSI at 58.37 (daily) and 64.40 (weekly) is in neutral-bullish territory. The weekly MACD histogram at 4.59 is strongly positive and rising, signaling building bullish momentum on the longer timeframe. However, the weekly price at 230.72 sits above its upper Bollinger Band at 228.12, suggesting the move has been stretched. Volume is below average on both timeframes (87.3% daily, 83.1% weekly), indicating reduced participation. The 20-day low at 200.27 is the nearest support to watch.
Multi-timeframe dashboard
Multi-Timeframe Technical Dashboard
Comparing daily (2-year) and weekly (5-year) perspectives to identify aligned or conflicting signals.
Daily (July 14, 2026)
- Trend
- Mixed. Price at 226.58 is above SMA20 (220.79), SMA50 (207.30), and SMA200 (208.20). However, SMA200 at 208.20 is nearly at the same level as SMA50 at 207.30, preventing a clean bullish alignment. The SMA200 is sloping upward, confirming a long-term uptrend, but the short-term structure lacks clear direction.
- Momentum
- Bullish-neutral. RSI14 at 58.37 is above the 50 midline in bullish territory. MACD at 7.59 with signal at 7.34 and a positive histogram of 0.25 indicates bullish momentum that is modestly accelerating.
- Volatility
- Moderate. ATR14 at 5.72 (2.52% of price) reflects normal daily movement. Bollinger Bands (199.13 to 242.45) show price near the upper half of the band, consistent with a neutral to bullish short-term position.
- Volume
- Below average. Latest volume of 3,226,739 is 87.3% of the 20-period average (3,695,997), indicating slightly reduced participation.
Assessment
The daily chart shows a stock trading above all major moving averages, but the moving average alignment is not cleanly bullish. RSI is in healthy bullish territory and the MACD histogram is positive. Volume is slightly below average. The stock recently pulled back 3.37% on the latest bar, which bears watching. Key support is at the 20-day low at 200.27.
Weekly (July 6, 2026 week)
- Trend
- Mixed. Price at 230.72 is above SMA20 (205.36) and SMA200 (185.47), but below SMA50 at 211.99. This SMA50 resistance overhead creates a mixed picture. The SMA200 is sloping firmly upward, reflecting a solid long-term structural uptrend.
- Momentum
- Bullish. RSI14 at 64.40 is above the 50 midline in bullish territory. MACD at 2.65 with signal at -1.94 and a strongly positive histogram of 4.59 suggests bullish momentum is building significantly on the weekly scale.
- Volatility
- Moderate. ATR14 at 11.33 (4.91% of price) reflects typical weekly ranges. The weekly price at 230.72 is above the upper Bollinger Band (228.12), suggesting the move may be stretched in the short term.
- Volume
- Below average. Weekly volume of 12,395,000 is 83.1% of the 20-week average (14,915,145), suggesting reduced participation during the recent advance.
Assessment
The weekly chart shows a more constructive picture than the daily, with a strongly positive MACD histogram indicating building momentum. However, price above the upper Bollinger Band suggests the move may be overextended. The 60-week low at 187.78 and high at 272.16 define the broad structural range, with price in the upper portion.
Key indicators
PGR Key Technical Indicators
RSI, MACD, moving averages, ATR, and Bollinger Bands across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Indicator | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 58.37 | 64.40 |
| MACD (12, 26, 9) | 7.59 / 7.34 / 0.25 | 2.65 / -1.94 / 4.59 |
| ATR (14) | 5.72 (2.52%) | 11.33 (4.91%) |
| Bollinger Bands (20, 2) | 199.13 - 242.45 | 182.60 - 228.12 |
| SMA (20) | 220.79 | 205.36 |
| SMA (50) | 207.30 | 211.99 |
| SMA (200) | 208.20 | 185.47 |
Price structure
PGR Price Structure and Returns
Price performance across multiple lookback periods and 52-week position.
| Metric | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| Current Price | 226.58 | 230.72 |
| 1-Period Return | -3.37% | -0.65% |
| 5-Period Return | -3.34% | +13.14% |
| 20-Period Return | +11.60% | +13.16% |
| 60-Period Return | +11.41% | -14.06% |
| 252-Period Return | -1.50% | +176.94% |
| 52-Week Low | 187.78 | 187.78 |
| 52-Week High | 239.38 | 239.38 |
| 52-Week Position | 75.19% | 83.22% |
Key levels
PGR Support and Resistance Levels
Key price levels based on recent swing highs and lows across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Level | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| 20-Period High | 239.38 | 239.38 |
| 20-Period Low | 200.27 | 189.12 |
| 60-Period High | 239.38 | 272.16 |
| 60-Period Low | 189.12 | 187.78 |
Scenarios
PGR Technical Scenarios
Conditions, invalidation triggers, and what to watch for each scenario.
Bullish
Trigger
Price holds above SMA20 at 220.79 and weekly MACD histogram continues to rise, pushing price above the 20-day high at 239.38 with increasing volume.
Invalidation
Price breaks below the 20-day low at 200.27 and the SMA200 support at 208.20.
What to watch
RSI moving above 60 on the daily confirming strengthening momentum; increasing volume on up days; weekly RSI holding above 60.
Range-Bound
Trigger
Price oscillates between the SMA20 support (220.79) and the 20-day high resistance (239.38).
Invalidation
A decisive break above 239.38 or below 220.79 with above-average volume.
What to watch
RSI staying between 50 and 60; volume fading; MACD histogram flattening near zero on the daily timeframe.
Bearish
Trigger
Price breaks below the SMA20 at 220.79 and the 20-day low at 200.27 with above-average volume, signaling distribution.
Invalidation
Price reclaims the SMA20 (220.79) and holds above it.
What to watch
Sustained close below 220.79; RSI dropping below 50; increasing downside volume confirming distribution; daily MACD histogram turning negative.
Methodology
Methodology and Limitations
This technical analysis uses adjusted closing prices from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Finviz (independent cross-validation). The daily analysis covers approximately 2 years (501 completed bars) ending July 14, 2026. The weekly analysis covers approximately 5 years (261 completed bars) ending the week of July 6, 2026. Prices are adjusted for dividends and stock splits using the adjusted close/raw close ratio. Volume data is from the primary source and may not match other data providers. Technical indicators include SMA, RSI, MACD, ATR, and Bollinger Bands using standard parameters. Key levels are identified from recent swing highs and lows. Technical analysis studies historical price patterns and does not constitute investment advice. It should not be used as the sole basis for trading decisions.
Frequently Asked Questions
This technical analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance and historical patterns are not guarantees of future results. All investments carry risk, including the potential loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data sourced from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Finviz (independent cross-validation). Data cutoffs: daily July 14, 2026, weekly July 6, 2026 week. Generated July 15, 2026.
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