PGR technical analysis
PGR Technical Analysis
Analysis date
August 6, 2026
Market
NYSE (USD)
Daily cutoff
August 5, 2026
Reliability
Passed
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
Data verification
PGR Data Verification
Checking the latest completed daily bar for date and closing-price consistency before indicators are calculated.
- Symbol
- PGR
- Market
- NYSE
- Currency
- USD (US Dollar)
- Latest completed bar
- August 5, 2026
Historical prices are adjusted for corporate actions when applicable. Date and closing-price consistency checks passed for the latest completed daily bar.
| Validation series | Latest Close | Date | Difference | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calculation series | 212.76 | August 5, 2026 | - | Verified |
| Verification series | 212.76 | August 5, 2026 | 0.00% | Verified |
Bottom line
PGR Technical Analysis Summary
PGR is trading in the middle of its 52-week range after pulling back from the 235 area. On the daily chart price at 212.76 sits below SMA20 (214.89) but above SMA50 (211.28) and SMA200 (207.01). RSI14 at 48.65 is neutral and the daily MACD histogram has turned negative at -0.62, pointing to short-term softening. The weekly picture is steadier: price at 211.42 is just above SMA20 (205.58) and SMA50 (210.86) and well above SMA200 (186.98), with a positive MACD histogram of 1.94 suggesting the longer-term pullback has slowed. The 20-day low at 203.08 is the nearest support to watch, and the 20-day high at 235.00 is the first upside hurdle.
Multi-timeframe dashboard
Multi-Timeframe Technical Dashboard
Comparing daily (2-year) and weekly (5-year) perspectives to identify aligned or conflicting signals.
Daily (August 5, 2026)
- Trend
- Mixed. Price at 212.76 is below SMA20 (214.89) but above SMA50 (211.28) and SMA200 (207.01). The SMA50 remains below the SMA200, so the moving-average stack is not cleanly aligned, and price is oscillating around the short-term averages after a pullback from 235.00.
- Momentum
- Neutral to soft. RSI14 at 48.65 is near the 50 midline. The MACD line at -0.68 is below the signal line at -0.06 with a negative histogram of -0.62, indicating that short-term upward momentum has stalled.
- Volatility
- Moderate. ATR14 at 5.90 (2.77% of price) reflects average daily moves near 2.8%. Bollinger Bands span 197.16 to 232.61, and the close at 212.76 sits in the lower half of the band after a multi-week decline.
- Volume
- Below average. Latest volume of 1,956,200 is 67.0% of the 20-period average (2,920,945), so the recent bounce has not yet been confirmed by stronger participation.
Assessment
The daily chart shows a stock that pulled back from the 20-day high at 235.00 toward the 20-day low at 203.08 before stabilizing. Price is above the 50-day and 200-day averages but below the 20-day average, with a negative MACD histogram and near-average RSI. A reclaim of SMA20 at 214.89 would improve the short-term tone, while a break below the 20-day low at 203.08 would open the 60-day low near 189.12.
Weekly (July 27, 2026 week)
- Trend
- Mixed but stabilizing. Price at 211.42 is above SMA20 (205.58), just above SMA50 (210.86), and well above SMA200 (186.98). However, SMA20 remains below SMA50, so the moving-average alignment is not fully bullish even though the long-term structure is constructive.
- Momentum
- Neutral to improving. RSI14 at 50.90 is near the 50 midline. The MACD line at 1.96 is above the signal line at 0.01 with a positive histogram of 1.94, showing that the selling pressure that took price from 261.61 has faded.
- Volatility
- Elevated. ATR14 at 12.73 (6.02% of price) reflects wide weekly ranges. Bollinger Bands span 182.72 to 228.44, and price at 211.42 sits near the middle of the band.
- Volume
- Below average. Latest weekly volume of 12,438,100 is 82.4% of the 20-week average (15,093,970), suggesting reduced participation during the rebound.
Assessment
The weekly chart has stabilized after a pullback from the 60-week high at 261.61 to the 20-week low near 189.12. Price has reclaimed the 20-week average, and the weekly MACD histogram has turned positive. A weekly close above the 20-week high at 239.38 would mark a firmer recovery, while the 60-week low at 187.78 remains the key downside reference.
Key indicators
PGR Key Technical Indicators
RSI, MACD, moving averages, ATR, and Bollinger Bands across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Indicator | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 48.65 | 50.90 |
| MACD (12, 26, 9) | -0.68 / -0.06 / -0.62 | 1.96 / 0.01 / 1.94 |
| ATR (14) | 5.90 (2.77%) | 12.73 (6.02%) |
| Bollinger Bands (20, 2) | 197.16 - 232.61 | 182.72 - 228.44 |
| SMA (20) | 214.89 | 205.58 |
| SMA (50) | 211.28 | 210.86 |
| SMA (200) | 207.01 | 186.98 |
Price structure
PGR Price Structure and Returns
Price performance across multiple lookback periods and 52-week position.
| Metric | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| Current Price | 212.76 | 211.42 |
| 1-Period Return | +0.95% | -1.13% |
| 5-Period Return | -3.29% | -5.72% |
| 20-Period Return | -8.65% | +3.15% |
| 60-Period Return | +9.72% | -19.36% |
| 252-Period Return | -6.21% | +159.86% |
| 52-Week Low | 187.78 | 187.78 |
| 52-Week High | 239.38 | 239.38 |
| 52-Week Position | 48.41% | 45.81% |
Key levels
PGR Support and Resistance Levels
Key price levels based on recent swing highs and lows across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Level | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| 20-Period High | 235.00 | 239.38 |
| 20-Period Low | 203.08 | 189.12 |
| 60-Period High | 239.38 | 261.61 |
| 60-Period Low | 189.12 | 187.78 |
Scenarios
PGR Technical Scenarios
Conditions, invalidation triggers, and what to watch for each scenario.
Bullish
Trigger
Price reclaims and holds SMA20 at 214.89 and breaks above the 20-day high at 235.00 with above-average volume.
Invalidation
Price closes back below SMA20 at 214.89.
What to watch
Daily MACD histogram turning positive, RSI moving back above 55, and volume rising toward or above the 20-day average.
Range-Bound
Trigger
Price oscillates between the 20-day low at 203.08 and the 20-day high at 235.00.
Invalidation
A decisive break of either boundary with expanding volume.
What to watch
RSI drifting between 40 and 60 on the daily chart and volume staying below average.
Bearish
Trigger
Price breaks below the 20-day low at 203.08 and then the 60-day low at 189.12 with rising volume, resuming the pullback from 235.00.
Invalidation
Price reclaims and holds SMA20 at 214.89.
What to watch
Daily MACD histogram staying negative, RSI dropping below 45, and downside volume expanding.
Methodology
Methodology and Limitations
This technical analysis is calculated locally from adjusted OHLCV history. The daily series ends August 5, 2026, and the weekly series ends July 27, 2026 week. The latest completed daily bar is independently checked for date and closing-price consistency. Historical prices are adjusted for corporate actions when applicable. Indicators include Wilder RSI(14), MACD(12,26,9), SMA20/50/200, Wilder ATR(14), Bollinger Bands(20,2), relative volume, multi-period returns, and price-range levels. Support and resistance are descriptive zones, not guaranteed reversal points. Historical patterns do not predict future prices, and this page is not investment advice.
Frequently Asked Questions
This technical analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance and historical patterns are not guarantees of future results. All investments carry risk, including the potential loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Market data is checked for date and closing-price consistency before indicators are calculated. Data cutoffs: daily August 5, 2026, weekly July 27, 2026 week. Generated August 6, 2026.
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