PAYX technical analysis
PAYX Technical Analysis
Analysis date
July 15, 2026
Market
NASDAQ (USD)
Daily cutoff
July 14, 2026
Reliability
Passed
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
Data verification
PAYX Data Verification
Cross-validating the latest completed daily bar across independent sources.
- Symbol
- PAYX
- Market
- NASDAQ
- Currency
- USD (US Dollar)
- Latest completed bar
- July 14, 2026
No adjustment factor (adjusted close equals raw close, factor 1.0). No stock splits or dividend adjustments affecting the analysis period.
| Source | Latest Close | Date | Difference | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yahoo Finance Chart API (primary) | 109.52 | July 14, 2026 | - | Verified |
| Finviz (independent) | 109.52 | July 14, 2026 (previous close) | 0.00% | Verified |
Bottom line
PAYX Technical Analysis Summary
PAYX (Paychex) shows a mixed technical structure with short-term bullish momentum on the daily timeframe against a longer-term bearish trend on the weekly. Price at 109.52 is above SMA20 (102.26) on the daily but the SMA200 at 102.59 sits above SMA50 at 98.21, indicating a non-confirmed uptrend. RSI14 at 65.78 on the daily shows building bullish momentum approaching overbought territory. The daily MACD remains positively configured with the MACD line (3.16) above the signal line (2.40) and a positive histogram (0.76). On the weekly timeframe, price at 107.54 has recovered above SMA20 (95.16) but remains below SMA50 (107.66) and SMA200 (114.81). However, the weekly MACD has generated a bullish crossover with the line (-0.65) crossing above the signal (-3.35) and the histogram at 2.70, suggesting a potential trend shift. Key resistance sits at 111.64 (20-day high) while support is at 93.02 (20-day low) and 87.43 (60-day low).
Multi-timeframe dashboard
Multi-Timeframe Technical Dashboard
Comparing daily (2-year) and weekly (5-year) perspectives to identify aligned or conflicting signals.
Daily (July 14, 2026)
- Trend
- Mixed with bullish bias. Price at 109.52 is above SMA20 (102.26) and SMA200 (102.59), indicating an upward bias. However, SMA200 remains above SMA50 (98.21), meaning the longer-term trend has not yet fully turned bullish. Price has rallied 20.40% over the past 60 trading days from the 87.43 low.
- Momentum
- Bullish. RSI14 at 65.78 is in bullish territory above the 50 midline, approaching but not yet in overbought territory. MACD line (3.16) is above the signal line (2.40) with a positive histogram (0.76), confirming upward momentum.
- Volatility
- Moderate. ATR14 at 3.23 (2.95% of price) reflects typical daily swings around 3%. Bollinger Bands (92.84 to 111.68) show price near the upper band, consistent with the recent uptrend. Band width suggests expanding volatility.
- Volume
- Below average. Latest volume of 2,489,772 is 65.0% of the 20-period average (3,828,529), indicating below-average participation in the recent up move.
Assessment
The daily timeframe shows short-term bullish momentum with price above SMA20 and SMA200. RSI at 65.78 supports the upward move without being overbought. The MACD configuration is bullish. The key risk is declining volume, which may indicate the rally lacks conviction. A move above 111.64 (20-day high) would strengthen the bullish case, while a drop below 102.26 (SMA20) would suggest weakening.
Weekly (July 6, 2026 week)
- Trend
- Mixed with long-term bearish structure. Price at 107.54 is above SMA20 (95.16) but below SMA50 (107.66) and SMA200 (114.81). The SMA200 at 114.81 is sloping downward, confirming the long-term trend remains bearish despite recent price recovery.
- Momentum
- Improving. RSI14 at 59.51 has recovered above 50, indicating bullish momentum is building. MACD shows a bullish crossover: the MACD line (-0.65) has crossed above the signal line (-3.35), and the histogram is positive at 2.70, suggesting momentum is shifting in favor of bulls.
- Volatility
- Moderate. ATR14 at 6.35 (5.91% of price) reflects weekly ranges within normal parameters. Bollinger Bands (83.50 to 106.81) show price at the upper band, consistent with recent strength.
- Volume
- Slightly below average. Weekly volume of 13,793,800 is 76.8% of the 20-week average (17,957,405), indicating normal participation levels with no unusual accumulation or distribution.
Assessment
The weekly timeframe is showing early signs of a potential trend reversal. The bullish MACD crossover is a significant technical development that warrants attention. Price has recovered above SMA20 and is testing the SMA50 at 107.66. A confirmed weekly close above SMA50 and then SMA200 (114.81) would be needed to signal a full trend reversal. The stock remains 39.30% from its 52-week low in the 84 range, with considerable ground to cover to reclaim its 52-week high of 143.34.
Key indicators
PAYX Key Technical Indicators
RSI, MACD, moving averages, ATR, and Bollinger Bands across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Indicator | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 65.78 | 59.51 |
| MACD (12, 26, 9) | 3.16 / 2.40 / 0.76 | -0.65 / -3.35 / 2.70 |
| ATR (14) | 3.23 (2.95%) | 6.35 (5.91%) |
| Bollinger Bands (20, 2) | 92.84 - 111.68 | 83.50 - 106.81 |
| SMA (20) | 102.26 | 95.16 |
| SMA (50) | 98.21 | 107.66 |
| SMA (200) | 102.59 | 114.81 |
Price structure
PAYX Price Structure and Returns
Price performance across multiple lookback periods and 52-week position.
| Metric | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| Current Price | 109.52 | 107.54 |
| 1-Period Return | -1.11% | +1.12% |
| 5-Period Return | +1.29% | +6.97% |
| 20-Period Return | +8.83% | +19.38% |
| 60-Period Return | +20.40% | -28.22% |
| 252-Period Return | -20.42% | +12.69% |
| 52-Week Low | 84.36 | 84.36 |
| 52-Week High | 143.34 | 143.34 |
| 52-Week Position | 42.65% | 39.30% |
Key levels
PAYX Support and Resistance Levels
Key price levels based on recent swing highs and lows across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Level | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| 20-Period High | 111.64 | 109.73 |
| 20-Period Low | 93.02 | 84.36 |
| 60-Period High | 111.64 | 154.87 |
| 60-Period Low | 87.43 | 84.36 |
Scenarios
PAYX Technical Scenarios
Conditions, invalidation triggers, and what to watch for each scenario.
Bullish
Trigger
Price breaks above 111.64 (20-day high) on above-average volume and sustains above SMA50 (98.21) on the daily.
Invalidation
Price falls below the 20-day low of 93.02.
What to watch
Sustained weekly close above SMA50 (107.66) followed by a move toward SMA200 (114.81).
Range-Bound
Trigger
Price continues to oscillate between 93.02 support and 109.73-111.64 resistance.
Invalidation
A decisive break of either boundary with expanding volume.
What to watch
RSI staying between 40 and 60 on the daily; volume remaining below average levels.
Bearish
Trigger
Price breaks below the 20-day low at 93.02 and then the 60-day low at 87.43.
Invalidation
Price reclaims and holds above SMA200 (102.59).
What to watch
Failure to hold above SMA20 (102.26); bearish MACD crossover on the daily.
Methodology
Methodology and Limitations
This technical analysis uses adjusted closing prices from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Finviz (independent cross-validation). The daily analysis covers approximately 2 years (501 completed bars) ending July 14, 2026. The weekly analysis covers approximately 5 years (261 completed bars) ending the week of July 6, 2026. Prices are adjusted for dividends and stock splits using the adjusted close/raw close ratio. Volume data is from the primary source and may not match other data providers. Technical indicators include SMA, RSI, MACD, ATR, and Bollinger Bands using standard parameters. Key levels are identified from recent swing highs and lows. Technical analysis studies historical price patterns and does not constitute investment advice. It should not be used as the sole basis for trading decisions.
Frequently Asked Questions
This technical analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance and historical patterns are not guarantees of future results. All investments carry risk, including the potential loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data sourced from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Finviz (independent cross-validation). Data cutoffs: daily July 14, 2026, weekly July 6, 2026 week. Generated July 15, 2026.
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