ONTO technical analysis
ONTO Technical Analysis
Analysis date
July 17, 2026
Market
NYSE (USD)
Daily cutoff
July 16, 2026
Reliability
Passed
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
Data verification
ONTO Data Verification
Cross-validating the latest completed daily bar across independent sources.
- Symbol
- ONTO
- Market
- NYSE
- Currency
- USD (US Dollar)
- Latest completed bar
- July 16, 2026
No adjustment factor (adjusted close equals raw close, factor 1.0). No stock splits or dividend adjustments affecting the analysis period.
| Source | Latest Close | Date | Difference | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yahoo Finance Chart API (primary) | 169.55 | July 16, 2026 | - | Verified |
| Finviz (independent) | 169.55 | July 16, 2026 (previous close) | 0.00% | Verified |
Bottom line
ONTO Technical Analysis Summary
ONTO (Onto Innovation) presents a mixed technical picture. On the daily chart, price at 169.55 trades above SMA20 (160.30) and SMA50 (155.88) but remains below SMA200 (176.42), indicating short-term bullish momentum within a longer-term bearish structure. RSI14 at 61.92 shows bullish momentum without overbought conditions. The daily MACD has generated a bullish crossover with the MACD line crossing above the signal line, and the histogram at 4.91 is positive — an encouraging early signal. The weekly timeframe reflects a more constructive outlook with price above all key SMAs: SMA20 (155.79), SMA50 (149.95), and SMA200 (136.22). Weekly RSI at 55.52 is above the 50 midline, suggesting bullish momentum at the weekly level. Key resistance lies at the 60-day high of 181.35 and the SMA200 at 176.42. Support rests at 153.74 (20-day low) and 141.50 (60-day low). A sustained move above 176.42 would be needed to shift the long-term trend from mixed to bullish.
Multi-timeframe dashboard
Multi-Timeframe Technical Dashboard
Comparing daily (2-year) and weekly (5-year) perspectives to identify aligned or conflicting signals.
Daily (July 16, 2026)
- Trend
- Mixed but improving. Price at 169.55 is above SMA20 (160.30, +5.77%) and SMA50 (155.88, +8.77%) but remains below SMA200 (176.42, -3.89%). SMA20 and SMA50 are sloping upward while SMA200 continues to decline. The short-term trend has turned positive, but the stock has work to do to reclaim its long-term moving average.
- Momentum
- Bullish with improving bias. RSI14 at 61.92 is above the 50 midline, indicating bullish momentum without overbought conditions. MACD line at 3.86 has crossed above the signal line at -1.05, and the histogram at 4.91 is positive — a clear bullish crossover signal that suggests momentum is shifting in favor of the bulls.
- Volatility
- Moderate. ATR14 at 8.35 (4.92% of price) suggests average daily movement of about 5%. Bollinger Bands (145.62 to 177.82) show price near the upper band, consistent with the recent upward move. Band width is moderate, indicating normal volatility conditions.
- Volume
- Below average. Latest volume of 405,200 is 65.8% of the 20-period average (615,600), indicating reduced participation. The recent rally lacks strong volume confirmation, which warrants some caution.
Assessment
The daily chart shows a positive development in that ONTO has reclaimed both SMA20 and SMA50 after a period below them. The bullish MACD crossover is a technically meaningful signal. However, the stock remains below its SMA200, confirming the longer-term trend is not yet bullish. Volume has been below average during the rally, which reduces conviction. The 52-week position at 49.3% reflects the stock is near the middle of its annual range. A decisive move above SMA200 (176.42) would be a meaningful trend change signal.
Weekly (July 13, 2026 week)
- Trend
- Bullish. Price at 167.46 is above SMA20 (155.79), SMA50 (149.95), and SMA200 (136.22). All major SMAs are sloping upward, confirming a healthy uptrend at the weekly level. The stock has been in a structural uptrend since the 2023 lows.
- Momentum
- Bullish with improving bias. RSI14 at 55.52 is above the 50 midline, indicating bullish momentum. MACD line at 3.62 is above the signal line at 0.93, and the histogram at 2.68 is positive, confirming the bullish momentum at the weekly level.
- Volatility
- Moderate. ATR14 at 13.43 (8.02% of price) reflects typical weekly ranges for a mid-cap semiconductor equipment stock. Bollinger Bands (133.88 to 189.02) are moderately wide with the upper band reflecting recent highs.
- Volume
- Near average. Weekly volume of 2,045,300 is 92.1% of the 20-week average (2,220,400), indicating typical participation levels.
Assessment
The weekly chart reflects a bullish structure with price above all major SMAs. RSI above 50 and positive MACD confirm the uptrend is healthy. The stock has been building a base since the March 2026 correction. The weekly setup is constructive and supports the view that the longer-term trend remains upward, despite the daily chart showing some near-term uncertainty.
Key indicators
ONTO Key Technical Indicators
RSI, MACD, moving averages, ATR, and Bollinger Bands across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Indicator | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 61.92 | 55.52 |
| MACD (12, 26, 9) | 3.86 / -1.05 / 4.91 | 3.62 / 0.93 / 2.68 |
| ATR (14) | 8.35 (4.92%) | 13.43 (8.02%) |
| Bollinger Bands (20, 2) | 145.62 - 177.82 | 133.88 - 189.02 |
| SMA (20) | 160.30 | 155.79 |
| SMA (50) | 155.88 | 149.95 |
| SMA (200) | 176.42 | 136.22 |
Price structure
ONTO Price Structure and Returns
Price performance across multiple lookback periods and 52-week position.
| Metric | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| Current Price | 169.55 | 167.46 |
| 1-Period Return | +2.33% | +1.78% |
| 5-Period Return | +5.42% | +4.21% |
| 20-Period Return | +9.87% | +8.95% |
| 60-Period Return | +12.40% | +15.30% |
| 252-Period Return | +8.15% | +22.60% |
| 52-Week Low | 121.41 | 121.41 |
| 52-Week High | 220.80 | 220.80 |
| 52-Week Position | 49.30% | 47.60% |
Key levels
ONTO Support and Resistance Levels
Key price levels based on recent swing highs and lows across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Level | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| 20-Period High | 179.87 | 189.02 |
| 20-Period Low | 153.74 | 137.50 |
| 60-Period High | 181.35 | 220.80 |
| 60-Period Low | 141.50 | 121.41 |
Scenarios
ONTO Technical Scenarios
Conditions, invalidation triggers, and what to watch for each scenario.
Bullish
Trigger
Price breaks above SMA200 (176.42) on the daily chart with above-average volume, establishing a full uptrend across all timeframes.
Invalidation
Price falls back below SMA20 (160.30) and breaks the 20-day low at 153.74.
What to watch
Daily RSI holding above 55; MACD histogram continuing to expand; weekly RSI above 50 sustained; volume increasing on break attempts.
Range-Bound
Trigger
Price oscillates between SMA20 support (160.30) and SMA200 resistance (176.42) with no clear directional bias.
Invalidation
A decisive break above 176.42 or below 153.74 with increasing volume.
What to watch
RSI staying between 45 and 60; MACD histogram fluctuating around zero; volume remaining near average levels.
Bearish
Trigger
Price fails to hold above SMA50 (155.88) and breaks below the 20-day low at 153.74, suggesting the short-term rally has failed.
Invalidation
Price reclaims and holds above SMA20 (160.30) and establishes a higher low above 153.74.
What to watch
Daily RSI falling below 50; MACD histogram turning negative; volume increasing on down days; weekly MACD crossing back below the signal line.
Methodology
Methodology and Limitations
This technical analysis uses adjusted closing prices from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Finviz (independent cross-validation). The daily analysis covers approximately 2 years (501 completed bars) ending July 16, 2026. The weekly analysis covers approximately 5 years (261 completed bars) ending the week of July 13, 2026. Prices are adjusted for dividends and stock splits using the adjusted close/raw close ratio. Volume data is from the primary source and may not match other data providers. Technical indicators include SMA, RSI, MACD, ATR, and Bollinger Bands using standard parameters. Key levels are identified from recent swing highs and lows. Technical analysis studies historical price patterns and does not constitute investment advice. It should not be used as the sole basis for trading decisions.
Frequently Asked Questions
This technical analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance and historical patterns are not guarantees of future results. All investments carry risk, including the potential loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data sourced from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Finviz (independent cross-validation). Data cutoffs: daily July 16, 2026, weekly July 13, 2026 week. Generated July 17, 2026.
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