NVDA technical analysis

NVDA Technical Analysis

Analysis date

July 15, 2026

Market

NasdaqGS (USD)

Daily cutoff

July 14, 2026

Reliability

Passed

Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.

Data verification

NVDA Data Verification

Cross-validating the latest completed daily bar across independent sources.

Symbol
NVDA
Market
NasdaqGS
Currency
USD (US Dollar)
Latest completed bar
July 14, 2026

No adjustment factor (adjusted close equals raw close, factor 1.0). No stock splits or dividend adjustments affecting the analysis period.

SourceLatest CloseDateDifferenceStatus
Yahoo Finance Chart API (primary)211.80July 14, 2026-Verified
Google Finance (independent)211.80July 14, 2026 (previous close)0.00%Verified

Bottom line

NVDA Technical Analysis Summary

NVDA shows a mixed daily trend within a strongly bullish long-term weekly uptrend. The daily price at 211.80 holds above all key SMAs, but the SMA20 at 202.22 is below the SMA50 at 209.21, reflecting short-term bearish alignment after recent consolidation. The daily MACD histogram has turned positive at 1.66, suggesting near-term momentum recovery as the MACD line approaches a crossover above the signal line. The weekly chart confirms a powerful uptrend with all SMAs in bullish alignment, though the weekly MACD histogram at -0.79 signals fading momentum after significant gains. Key support rests at 189.80 (20-day low) with resistance at 213.99 (20-day high) and 236.26 (52-week high). A breakout above 214 would strengthen the bullish case; a break below 190 would suggest a deeper correction.

Multi-timeframe dashboard

Multi-Timeframe Technical Dashboard

Comparing daily (2-year) and weekly (5-year) perspectives to identify aligned or conflicting signals.

Daily (July 14, 2026)

Trend
Mixed. Price at 211.80 is above SMA20 (202.22), SMA50 (209.21), and SMA200 (191.77). However, the SMA20 at 202.22 is below the SMA50 at 209.21, indicating short-term bearish alignment within a longer-term uptrend. The SMA50 is well above the SMA200 (191.77), confirming a golden cross on the daily timeframe.
Momentum
Neutral with improving bias. RSI14 at 56.41 is near the midline, neither overbought nor oversold. MACD at -0.56 remains slightly below the zero line, but the histogram at 1.66 is positive, signaling near-term upward momentum building as the MACD line approaches a crossover above the signal line (-2.22).
Volatility
Moderate. ATR14 at 7.35 (3.47% of price) indicates typical daily ranges for a large-cap tech stock. Bollinger Bands (189.72 to 214.71) show price near the upper band at 211.80, suggesting slight short-term extension.
Volume
Below average. Latest daily volume of 124,364,000 is 85.4% of the 20-period average (145,590,175), indicating reduced participation in the recent consolidation.

Assessment

Daily timeframe shows a neutral-to-bullish bias with price consolidating above all key SMAs. The short-term SMA alignment is mixed, but the positive MACD histogram suggests improving momentum. The Bollinger Band positioning near the upper band reflects slight extension. The overall structure remains constructive as long as price holds above the SMA20 at 202.22.

Weekly (July 6, 2026 week)

Trend
Bullish. Price at 210.96 is above SMA20 (196.65), SMA50 (188.35), and SMA200 (105.61). All weekly SMAs are in a bullish ascending order (SMA20 > SMA50 > SMA200), confirming a powerful long-term uptrend with significant momentum behind the 841% annual gain.
Momentum
Neutral with caution. RSI14 at 57.34 is near the midline, neither overbought nor oversold. MACD at 6.33 is above the zero line but below the signal line at 7.11, with the histogram at -0.79. This bearish weekly MACD crossover reflects fading upside momentum after the extended rally.
Volatility
High. ATR14 at 15.76 (7.47% of price) reflects wide weekly ranges, typical for a high-growth semiconductor stock. Bollinger Bands (164.03 to 229.27) are wide, with price near the middle of the range.
Volume
Slightly below average. Weekly volume of 661,031,100 is 82.0% of the 20-week average (806,244,190).

Assessment

The weekly timeframe confirms a strongly bullish long-term trend with price well above all key SMAs. The RSI at 57.34 is in neutral territory, leaving room for further upside without being overbought. However, the bearish MACD crossover (MACD line below signal line) suggests near-term momentum has softened after the massive rally. The trend remains bullish but the loss of weekly momentum warrants attention.

Key indicators

NVDA Key Technical Indicators

RSI, MACD, moving averages, ATR, and Bollinger Bands across daily and weekly timeframes.

IndicatorDailyWeekly
RSI (14)56.4157.34
MACD (12, 26, 9)-0.56 / -2.22 / 1.666.33 / 7.11 / -0.79
ATR (14)7.35 (3.47%)15.76 (7.47%)
Bollinger Bands (20, 2)189.72 - 214.71164.03 - 229.27
SMA (20)202.22196.65
SMA (50)209.21188.35
SMA (200)191.77105.61

Price structure

NVDA Price Structure and Returns

Price performance across multiple lookback periods and 52-week position.

MetricDailyWeekly
Current Price211.80210.96
1-Period Return+4.06%+8.28%
5-Period Return+7.55%+2.86%
20-Period Return+3.22%+11.27%
60-Period Return+6.91%+56.02%
252-Period Return+28.60%+841.60%
52-Week Low161.80161.80
52-Week High236.26236.26
52-Week Position67.14%66.02%

Key levels

NVDA Support and Resistance Levels

Key price levels based on recent swing highs and lows across daily and weekly timeframes.

LevelDailyWeekly
20-Period High213.99236.26
20-Period Low189.80164.08
60-Period High236.26236.26
60-Period Low189.80128.98

Scenarios

NVDA Technical Scenarios

Conditions, invalidation triggers, and what to watch for each scenario.

Bullish

Trigger

Price breaks above 213.99 (20-day high) with strong volume, followed by a move toward the 52-week high of 236.26.

Invalidation

Price falls below the 20-day low of 189.80.

What to watch

Sustained close above SMA20 (202.22) and the MACD line crossing above the signal line on daily.

Range-Bound

Trigger

Price oscillates between 189.80 support and 213.99 resistance, with the MACD staying near the zero line.

Invalidation

A decisive break of either boundary with above-average volume.

What to watch

RSI staying between 40 and 60 on daily; volume declining further into the consolidation.

Bearish

Trigger

Price breaks below 189.80 (20-day low) and fails to reclaim SMA20.

Invalidation

Price reclaims the SMA20 (202.22) and holds above it.

What to watch

Sustained closes below SMA50 (209.21); weekly MACD histogram turning more negative.

Methodology

Methodology and Limitations

This technical analysis uses adjusted closing prices from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Google Finance (independent cross-validation). The daily analysis covers approximately 2 years (501 completed bars) ending July 14, 2026. The weekly analysis covers approximately 5 years (261 completed bars) ending the week of July 6, 2026. Prices are adjusted for dividends and stock splits using the adjusted close/raw close ratio. Volume data is from the primary source and may not match other data providers. Technical indicators include SMA, RSI, MACD, ATR, and Bollinger Bands using standard parameters. Key levels are identified from recent swing highs and lows. Technical analysis studies historical price patterns and does not constitute investment advice. It should not be used as the sole basis for trading decisions.

Frequently Asked Questions

This technical analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance and historical patterns are not guarantees of future results. All investments carry risk, including the potential loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Data sourced from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Finviz (independent cross-validation). Data cutoffs: daily July 14, 2026, weekly July 6, 2026 week. Generated July 15, 2026.