NVDA technical analysis

NVDA Technical Analysis

Analysis date

August 4, 2026

Market

NasdaqGS (USD)

Daily cutoff

August 3, 2026

Reliability

Passed

Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.

Data verification

NVDA Data Verification

Checking the latest completed daily bar for date and closing-price consistency before indicators are calculated.

Symbol
NVDA
Market
NasdaqGS
Currency
USD (US Dollar)
Latest completed bar
August 3, 2026

Historical prices are adjusted for corporate actions when applicable. Date and closing-price consistency checks passed for the latest completed daily bar.

Validation seriesLatest CloseDateDifferenceStatus
Calculation series206.64August 3, 2026-Verified
Verification series206.64August 3, 20260.00%Verified

Bottom line

NVDA Technical Analysis Summary

NVDA closed at 206.64 on August 3, 2026, up 2.93% as the broader market rallied. The daily trend is mixed: price holds above the SMA20 at 203.85, SMA50 at 205.79, and SMA200 at 193.06, but the SMA20 sits below the SMA50, keeping short-term alignment bearish within a longer-term uptrend. Daily RSI at 53.08 is neutral and the MACD histogram is slightly negative at -0.28 after the July pullback. The weekly chart remains structurally bullish with all SMAs in ascending order, though the weekly MACD histogram at -1.22 shows fading upside momentum after the extended rally. Key resistance is at 214.39 (20-day high) with the 52-week high at 236.26 above it. First support is the SMA20 at 203.85 and then 190.01 (20-day low). A close above 214.39 would strengthen the bullish case, while a break below 190.01 would point to a deeper correction.

Multi-timeframe dashboard

Multi-Timeframe Technical Dashboard

Comparing daily (2-year) and weekly (5-year) perspectives to identify aligned or conflicting signals.

Daily (August 3, 2026)

Trend
Mixed. Price at 206.64 is above SMA20 (203.85), SMA50 (205.79), and SMA200 (193.06), but the SMA20 at 203.85 is below the SMA50 at 205.79, keeping short-term alignment bearish within a longer-term uptrend. The SMA50 remains well above the SMA200, preserving the golden cross structure on the daily timeframe.
Momentum
Neutral. RSI14 at 53.08 sits near the 50 midline, neither overbought nor oversold. MACD at -1.32 is below the signal line at -1.05 with a slightly negative histogram of -0.28, reflecting flat momentum after the July pullback.
Volatility
Moderate. ATR14 at 7.79 (3.77% of price) reflects typical daily ranges for a large-cap semiconductor stock. Bollinger Bands run from 191.59 to 216.11, and the close at 206.64 sits in the upper half of the band, above the middle band at 203.85.
Volume
Near average. Latest volume of 128,406,900 is about 99% of the 20-day average (129,189,350), showing neither strong accumulation nor heavy distribution on the latest session.

Assessment

The daily chart shows price above all key SMAs with balanced momentum. RSI at 53.08 is neutral, the MACD histogram is slightly negative, and price sits in the upper half of the 20-day range (190.01 to 214.39) at about 59% of the 52-week range. The near-term alignment is mixed because the SMA20 is below the SMA50. The structure stays constructive as long as price holds above the SMA20 at 203.85; a move back below it would put the 20-day low at 190.01 in focus.

Weekly (July 27, 2026 week)

Trend
Bullish. Price at 200.75 is above SMA20 (200.44), SMA50 (189.83), and SMA200 (108.48), with the moving averages in bullish ascending order that confirms the long-term uptrend. The weekly series ends with the week of July 27, so its close of 200.75 predates the August 3 daily session.
Momentum
Neutral. RSI14 at 51.71 is near the midline, neither overbought nor oversold. MACD at 5.12 remains below the signal line at 6.34 with a negative histogram of -1.22, indicating that upside momentum has cooled from the highs of the extended rally.
Volatility
High. ATR14 at 15.74 (7.84% of price) reflects wide weekly ranges, typical for a high-growth semiconductor stock.
Volume
Slightly below average. Weekly volume of 705,117,400 is about 94% of the 20-week average (749,367,540).

Assessment

The weekly chart confirms a structurally bullish long-term uptrend with all SMAs in ascending order. RSI at 51.71 is neutral, leaving room in either direction, while the negative MACD histogram at -1.22 shows the strong rally has cooled. Note that the weekly series ends with the week of July 27 and does not include the August 3 daily move. The key question is whether the daily recovery above 214.39 can resume the weekly uptrend, or whether the fading weekly momentum leads to a longer consolidation.

Key indicators

NVDA Key Technical Indicators

RSI, MACD, moving averages, ATR, and Bollinger Bands across daily and weekly timeframes.

IndicatorDailyWeekly
RSI (14)53.0851.71
MACD (12, 26, 9)-1.32 / -1.05 / -0.285.12 / 6.34 / -1.22
ATR (14)7.79 (3.77%)15.74 (7.84%)
Bollinger Bands (20, 2)191.59 - 216.11171.57 - 229.31
SMA (20)203.85200.44
SMA (50)205.79189.83
SMA (200)193.06108.48

Price structure

NVDA Price Structure and Returns

Price performance across multiple lookback periods and 52-week position.

MetricDailyWeekly
Current Price206.64200.75
1-Period Return+2.93%-2.94%
5-Period Return+5.16%+4.27%
20-Period Return+5.67%+11.50%
60-Period Return-0.46%+41.85%
252-Period Return+16.33%+871.02%
52-Week Low163.85163.85
52-Week High236.26236.26
52-Week Position59.09%50.96%

Key levels

NVDA Support and Resistance Levels

Key price levels based on recent swing highs and lows across daily and weekly timeframes.

LevelDailyWeekly
20-Period High214.39236.26
20-Period Low190.01164.08
60-Period High236.26236.26
60-Period Low189.80140.66

Scenarios

NVDA Technical Scenarios

Conditions, invalidation triggers, and what to watch for each scenario.

Bullish

Trigger

Price closes above 214.39 (20-day high) and holds, opening a path toward the 52-week high at 236.26.

Invalidation

A close back below the 20-day low at 190.01.

What to watch

Daily MACD crossing above its signal line; volume on the breakout attempt; weekly RSI holding above 50.

Range-Bound

Trigger

Price consolidates between 190.01 (20-day low) and 214.39 (20-day high) while the MACD hovers near the zero line.

Invalidation

A decisive close beyond either boundary.

What to watch

RSI staying between 40 and 60 on the daily chart; volume returning toward the 20-day average; price holding above the SMA50 at 205.79.

Bearish

Trigger

Price breaks below 190.01 (20-day low) and fails to reclaim the SMA20 at 203.85.

Invalidation

Price reclaims the SMA20 at 203.85 and holds above it.

What to watch

Sustained closes below the SMA50 at 205.79; the daily MACD histogram turning more negative; the weekly MACD histogram following.

Methodology

Methodology and Limitations

This technical analysis is calculated locally from adjusted OHLCV history. The daily series ends August 3, 2026, and the weekly series ends July 27, 2026 week. The latest completed daily bar is independently checked for date and closing-price consistency. Historical prices are adjusted for corporate actions when applicable. Indicators include Wilder RSI(14), MACD(12,26,9), SMA20/50/200, Wilder ATR(14), Bollinger Bands(20,2), relative volume, multi-period returns, and price-range levels. Support and resistance are descriptive zones, not guaranteed reversal points. Historical patterns do not predict future prices, and this page is not investment advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

This technical analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance and historical patterns are not guarantees of future results. All investments carry risk, including the potential loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Market data is checked for date and closing-price consistency before indicators are calculated. Data cutoffs: daily August 3, 2026, weekly July 27, 2026 week. Generated August 4, 2026.