NSC technical analysis

NSC Technical Analysis

Analysis date

August 6, 2026

Market

NYSE (USD)

Daily cutoff

August 5, 2026

Reliability

Passed

Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.

Data verification

NSC Data Verification

Checking the latest completed daily bar for date and closing-price consistency before indicators are calculated.

Symbol
NSC
Market
NYSE
Currency
USD (US Dollar)
Latest completed bar
August 5, 2026

Historical prices are adjusted for corporate actions when applicable. Date and closing-price consistency checks passed for the latest completed daily bar.

Validation seriesLatest CloseDateDifferenceStatus
Calculation series341.74August 5, 2026-Verified
Verification series341.74August 5, 20260.00%Verified

Bottom line

NSC Technical Analysis Summary

NSC technical analysis points to a bullish outlook across both daily and weekly timeframes. Price holds above SMA20, SMA50, and SMA200 on both timeframes, with the SMA200 sloping upward confirming the long-term uptrend. RSI at 60.93 on the daily and 61.40 on the weekly indicates healthy momentum without being overbought. The weekly MACD histogram is positive and rising, while the daily MACD histogram has turned slightly negative after the recent push to 358.60, pointing to a short-term cooling phase. Key support rests at the 20-day low of 316.16 and the 60-day low of 297.45. Resistance is at the recent high of 358.60. A move back above 358.60 with volume would confirm the next leg higher; a breakdown below the SMA20 at 335.79 would suggest near-term weakness.

Multi-timeframe dashboard

Multi-Timeframe Technical Dashboard

Comparing daily (2-year) and weekly (5-year) perspectives to identify aligned or conflicting signals.

Daily (August 5, 2026)

Trend
Bullish. Price at 341.74 is above SMA20 (335.79), SMA50 (321.27), and SMA200 (301.27). The SMA20 is above SMA50, confirming a short-term bullish alignment, and the SMA200 sits well below price, supporting the long-term uptrend.
Momentum
Positive but cooling. RSI14 at 60.93 is in bullish territory, below the 70 overbought threshold. MACD at 5.45 with signal at 6.03 and a histogram of -0.58 shows the MACD line just below its signal line, indicating momentum is consolidating after the recent push to 358.60.
Volatility
Moderate. ATR14 at 7.14 (2.09% of price) suggests average daily movement of about 2.1%. Bollinger Bands (321.63 to 349.95) are reasonably wide, with price in the middle-to-upper portion after bouncing off the 20-day low.
Volume
Below average. Latest volume of 890,700 is 76.6% of the 20-period average (1,162,930), indicating reduced participation during the recent bounce.

Assessment

The daily chart shows a bullish structure with price above all key moving averages and a clean SMA20/SMA50/SMA200 alignment. RSI at 60.93 is healthy, but the slightly negative MACD histogram points to a short-term momentum pause after price touched 358.60, fell to a 20-day low of 316.16, and recovered to 341.74. Price sits at 82.1% of the 52-week range. Below-average volume on the bounce warrants attention, but the overall technical structure remains positive.

Weekly (July 27, 2026 week)

Trend
Bullish. Price at 335.48 is above SMA20 (312.09), SMA50 (298.17), and SMA200 (242.64). The SMA200 is sloping strongly upward, confirming a mature long-term uptrend, and all major moving averages are in bullish alignment.
Momentum
Bullish. RSI14 at 61.40 is in healthy territory, not overbought. MACD at 11.71 with signal at 9.01 and a positive histogram of 2.71 confirms steady upside momentum.
Volatility
Moderate. ATR14 at 15.05 (4.49% of price) reflects normal weekly ranges for a large-cap railroad stock in an uptrend.
Volume
Above average. Weekly volume of 7,465,600 is 127.4% of the 20-week average (5,861,080), showing elevated participation during the recent pullback week.

Assessment

The weekly chart reinforces the bullish view, with price above all SMAs and the SMA200 sloping up. RSI at 61.40 is healthy and the positive MACD histogram confirms momentum. The week starting July 27 closed down 4.33% at 335.48 after price reached 358.60, and that decline came on above-average volume. The 52-week position at 75.4% reflects price still below the recent high. The weekly structure remains positive, with the pullback contained above the SMA20.

Key indicators

NSC Key Technical Indicators

RSI, MACD, moving averages, ATR, and Bollinger Bands across daily and weekly timeframes.

IndicatorDailyWeekly
RSI (14)60.9361.40
MACD (12, 26, 9)5.45 / 6.03 / -0.5811.71 / 9.01 / 2.71
ATR (14)7.14 (2.09%)15.05 (4.49%)
Bollinger Bands (20, 2)321.63 - 349.95276.22 - 347.96
SMA (20)335.79312.09
SMA (50)321.27298.17
SMA (200)301.27242.64

Price structure

NSC Price Structure and Returns

Price performance across multiple lookback periods and 52-week position.

MetricDailyWeekly
Current Price341.74335.48
1-Period Return+0.14%-4.33%
5-Period Return+1.79%+7.25%
20-Period Return+7.05%+16.44%
60-Period Return+9.53%+36.26%
252-Period Return+24.55%+52.38%
52-Week Low264.63264.63
52-Week High358.60358.60
52-Week Position82.06%75.40%

Key levels

NSC Support and Resistance Levels

Key price levels based on recent swing highs and lows across daily and weekly timeframes.

LevelDailyWeekly
20-Period High358.60358.60
20-Period Low316.16276.70
60-Period High358.60358.60
60-Period Low297.45243.33

Scenarios

NSC Technical Scenarios

Conditions, invalidation triggers, and what to watch for each scenario.

Bullish

Trigger

Price breaks back above the recent high at 358.60 with above-average volume.

Invalidation

Price closes below the 20-day low at 316.16.

What to watch

Sustained close above 358.60 followed by volume confirmation; the daily MACD histogram turning positive; RSI holding above 55 on pullbacks.

Range-Bound

Trigger

Price continues to oscillate between the 20-day low at 316.16 and the recent high at 358.60.

Invalidation

A decisive break of either boundary with increasing volume.

What to watch

RSI staying between 50 and 65; volume remaining near or below average.

Bearish

Trigger

Price breaks below the 20-day low at 316.16 and then the 60-day low at 297.45.

Invalidation

Price reclaims the SMA20 (335.79) and holds above it.

What to watch

Sustained closes below SMA20 (335.79); increasing downside volume; the daily MACD histogram staying negative.

Methodology

Methodology and Limitations

This technical analysis is calculated locally from adjusted OHLCV history. The daily series ends August 5, 2026, and the weekly series ends July 27, 2026 week. The latest completed daily bar is independently checked for date and closing-price consistency. Historical prices are adjusted for corporate actions when applicable. Indicators include Wilder RSI(14), MACD(12,26,9), SMA20/50/200, Wilder ATR(14), Bollinger Bands(20,2), relative volume, multi-period returns, and price-range levels. Support and resistance are descriptive zones, not guaranteed reversal points. Historical patterns do not predict future prices, and this page is not investment advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

This technical analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance and historical patterns are not guarantees of future results. All investments carry risk, including the potential loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Market data is checked for date and closing-price consistency before indicators are calculated. Data cutoffs: daily August 5, 2026, weekly July 27, 2026 week. Generated August 6, 2026.