MTD technical analysis

MTD Technical Analysis

Analysis date

July 15, 2026

Market

NYSE (USD)

Daily cutoff

July 14, 2026

Reliability

Passed

Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.

Data verification

MTD Data Verification

Cross-validating the latest completed daily bar across independent sources.

Symbol
MTD
Market
NYSE
Currency
USD (US Dollar)
Latest completed bar
July 14, 2026

No adjustment factor (adjusted close equals raw close, factor 1.0). No stock splits or dividend adjustments affecting the analysis period.

SourceLatest CloseDateDifferenceStatus
Yahoo Finance Chart API (primary)1,314.83July 14, 2026-Verified
Finviz (independent)1,314.83July 14, 2026 (previous close)0.00%Verified

Bottom line

MTD Technical Analysis Summary

MTD shows a mixed-to-improving technical picture. On the daily timeframe, price has rallied sharply from the mid-1023 area and is now testing the SMA200 at 1,314.49 after reclaiming SMA20 and SMA50. The RSI at 65.65 points to bullish momentum with room before overbought territory. The MACD histogram is positive and rising, confirming accelerating daily momentum. The weekly timeframe appears more neutral: price is sandwiched between the SMA50 at 1,305.26 and the SMA200 at 1,295.08, with RSI at 53.73 and the MACD still below the signal line though the histogram is narrowing. The key level to watch is the SMA200 on daily (1,314.49): a sustained close above it would be a constructive sign for the trend, while a rejection could lead to a retest of the SMA20 near 1,239.76. Broader resistance lies at the 60-day high of 1,354.09 and the 52-week high of 1,525.17.

Multi-timeframe dashboard

Multi-Timeframe Technical Dashboard

Comparing daily (2-year) and weekly (5-year) perspectives to identify aligned or conflicting signals.

Daily (July 14, 2026)

Trend
Mixed-to-bullish. Price at 1,314.83 is above SMA20 (1,239.76) and SMA50 (1,183.05), but trading right at the SMA200 (1,314.49). The SMA20 is above SMA50, confirming a short-term bullish alignment. The SMA200 is relatively flat after a decline, suggesting the long-term trend is in transition.
Momentum
Bullish. RSI14 at 65.65 is in bullish territory but below the 70 overbought threshold, leaving room for further upside. MACD at 36.48 with signal at 31.57 and a positive rising histogram of 4.91 indicates accelerating bullish momentum.
Volatility
Moderate. ATR14 at 34.54 (2.63% of price) suggests average daily movement of about 2.6%. Bollinger Bands (1,111.71 to 1,367.82) are moderately wide with price near the upper band, reflecting recent upward momentum.
Volume
Below average. Latest volume of 104,496 is 48.5% of the 20-period average (215,330), indicating reduced participation during the recent rally.

Assessment

The daily chart shows a strong recovery rally with price pushing up from the 52-week low near 1,023. Price is now testing the SMA200, a key long-term trend indicator. RSI is bullish and not overbought. The rising MACD histogram confirms momentum. Below-average volume on the rally warrants attention. A clean break above the SMA200 near 1,314 would be a bullish signal, while a rejection could lead to a pullback toward SMA20 support at 1,239.76.

Weekly (July 6, 2026 week)

Trend
Mixed. Price at 1,296.17 is above SMA20 (1,220.02) but below SMA50 (1,305.26), and marginally above SMA200 (1,295.08). The SMA200 is showing mild downward slope, reflecting the longer-term corrective phase. Price is oscillating within the convergent range of key moving averages.
Momentum
Neutral-to-improving. RSI14 at 53.73 is in neutral territory, leaning slightly bullish. The weekly MACD line at -22.90 is below the signal line at -37.80, but the histogram at 14.90 is positive and rising, indicating that bearish momentum is losing force and a potential crossover is approaching.
Volatility
Moderate-to-high. ATR14 at 87.67 (6.76% of price) reflects above-average weekly ranges, consistent with the stock corrective phase.
Volume
Slightly below average. Weekly volume of 714,200 is 77.7% of the 20-week average (919,640), within a normal range.

Assessment

The weekly chart paints a neutral picture with price trapped between SMA50 and SMA200. The improving MACD histogram suggests downside momentum is fading. The RSI near the midpoint offers no clear directional bias. The weekly structure suggests a consolidation phase, and a decisive move above SMA50 resistance at 1,305.26 would shift the bias more constructive. The convergence of moving averages often precedes a larger directional move.

Key indicators

MTD Key Technical Indicators

RSI, MACD, moving averages, ATR, and Bollinger Bands across daily and weekly timeframes.

IndicatorDailyWeekly
RSI (14)65.6553.73
MACD (12, 26, 9)36.48 / 31.57 / 4.91-22.90 / -37.80 / 14.90
ATR (14)34.54 (2.63%)87.67 (6.76%)
Bollinger Bands (20, 2)1,111.71 - 1,367.821,046.48 - 1,393.57
SMA (20)1,239.761,220.02
SMA (50)1,183.051,305.26
SMA (200)1,314.491,295.08

Price structure

MTD Price Structure and Returns

Price performance across multiple lookback periods and 52-week position.

MetricDailyWeekly
Current Price1,314.831,296.17
1-Period Return+1.18%-0.94%
5-Period Return+1.49%+12.29%
20-Period Return+16.20%-5.91%
60-Period Return+1.86%+11.99%
252-Period Return+7.43%-18.68%
52-Week Low1,023.051,023.05
52-Week High1,525.171,525.17
52-Week Position58.11%54.39%

Key levels

MTD Support and Resistance Levels

Key price levels based on recent swing highs and lows across daily and weekly timeframes.

LevelDailyWeekly
20-Period High1,321.471,411.61
20-Period Low1,121.061,023.05
60-Period High1,354.091,525.17
60-Period Low1,023.051,023.05

Scenarios

MTD Technical Scenarios

Conditions, invalidation triggers, and what to watch for each scenario.

Bullish

Trigger

Price breaks and sustains above the SMA200 at 1,314.49 on the daily chart with above-average volume, followed by a move above the 60-day high at 1,354.09.

Invalidation

Price falls back below the SMA20 at 1,239.76.

What to watch

Sustained close above 1,314.49; RSI holding above 60 on pullbacks; MACD histogram continuing to rise; weekly MACD crossing above signal line.

Range-Bound

Trigger

Price oscillates between the SMA20 support at 1,239.76 and the 60-day resistance at 1,354.09.

Invalidation

A decisive break of either boundary with volume confirmation.

What to watch

RSI staying between 50 and 65 on daily; volume remaining subdued; weekly price staying between SMA20 and SMA50.

Bearish

Trigger

Price fails at the daily SMA200 and breaks below the 20-day low at 1,121.06.

Invalidation

Price reclaims the SMA200 at 1,314.49 and holds above it.

What to watch

Daily closes below SMA20 (1,239.76); increasing downside volume; daily MACD histogram turning negative; weekly price breaking below SMA20 (1,220.02).

Methodology

Methodology and Limitations

This technical analysis uses adjusted closing prices from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Finviz (independent cross-validation). The daily analysis covers approximately 2 years (501 completed bars) ending July 14, 2026. The weekly analysis covers approximately 5 years (261 completed bars) ending the week of July 6, 2026. Prices are adjusted for dividends and stock splits using the adjusted close/raw close ratio. Volume data is from the primary source and may not match other data providers. Technical indicators include SMA, RSI, MACD, ATR, and Bollinger Bands using standard parameters. Key levels are identified from recent swing highs and lows. Technical analysis studies historical price patterns and does not constitute investment advice. It should not be used as the sole basis for trading decisions.

Frequently Asked Questions

This technical analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance and historical patterns are not guarantees of future results. All investments carry risk, including the potential loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Data sourced from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Finviz (independent cross-validation). Data cutoffs: daily July 14, 2026, weekly July 6, 2026 week. Generated July 15, 2026.