MTB technical analysis

MTB Technical Analysis

Analysis date

August 4, 2026

Market

NYSE (USD)

Daily cutoff

August 3, 2026

Reliability

Passed

Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.

Data verification

MTB Data Verification

Checking the latest completed daily bar for date and closing-price consistency before indicators are calculated.

Symbol
MTB
Market
NYSE
Currency
USD (US Dollar)
Latest completed bar
August 3, 2026

Historical prices are adjusted for corporate actions when applicable. Date and closing-price consistency checks passed for the latest completed daily bar.

Validation seriesLatest CloseDateDifferenceStatus
Calculation series249.48August 3, 2026-Verified
Verification series249.48August 3, 20260.00%Verified

Bottom line

MTB Technical Analysis Summary

MTB technical analysis shows a bullish picture on both daily and weekly timeframes. Price trades above SMA20 (246.46), SMA50 (233.90), and SMA200 (211.36) on the daily chart, confirming an uptrend with all major moving averages in bullish alignment. RSI at 58.64 (daily) and 66.59 (weekly) shows bullish momentum with room before reaching overbought territory. The daily MACD histogram is slightly negative at -0.90, suggesting a short-term pause after the recent run toward the 52-week high of 255.00, but the weekly MACD histogram remains strongly positive at 2.64, confirming the broader uptrend is intact. Key support rests at the 20-day low of 232.04 and the 60-day low of 201.44. Resistance sits at the 20-day and 60-day high of 255.00, which is also the 52-week high. A breakout above 255.00 would mark a new high; a sustained close below SMA20 (246.46) would signal short-term weakness, with SMA50 (233.90) as the next support reference.

Multi-timeframe dashboard

Multi-Timeframe Technical Dashboard

Comparing daily (2-year) and weekly (5-year) perspectives to identify aligned or conflicting signals.

Daily (August 3, 2026)

Trend
Bullish. Price at 249.48 is above SMA20 (246.46), SMA50 (233.90), and SMA200 (211.36). The SMA20 sits above SMA50, confirming a short-term bullish alignment, and the SMA200 is sloping upward, supporting the long-term uptrend.
Momentum
Neutral-to-bullish. RSI14 at 58.64 is in bullish territory and well below the 70 overbought threshold, leaving room for further upside. MACD at 4.22 with signal at 5.12 and a slightly negative histogram of -0.90 indicates a short-term pause in momentum after the recent run higher. The weekly MACD remains strongly positive, suggesting this is a pause within a broader uptrend.
Volatility
Moderate. ATR14 at 4.52 (1.81% of price) suggests an average daily range of about 1.8%. Bollinger Bands (236.58 to 256.34) are moderately wide, with price trading above the middle band and below the upper band.
Volume
At average. Latest volume of 1,191,500 is 98.5% of the 20-period average (1,209,465), indicating normal participation during the recent uptrend.

Assessment

The daily chart shows a strong uptrend with price above all key moving averages. RSI at 58.64 is healthy for continued upside. The slightly negative MACD histogram warrants monitoring, but the weekly MACD remains strongly positive. Volume near the 20-day average suggests orderly participation. A sustained move above 255.00 (20-day and 60-day high, also the 52-week high) would confirm the next leg higher. SMA20 (246.46) and SMA50 (233.90) provide the first support references.

Weekly (July 27, 2026 week)

Trend
Bullish. Price at 246.29 is above SMA20 (222.63), SMA50 (208.47), and well above SMA200 (161.75). The SMA200 is sloping strongly upward, confirming a mature long-term uptrend. All major moving averages are in bullish alignment.
Momentum
Bullish. RSI14 at 66.59 is in bullish territory and below the 70 overbought threshold. MACD at 11.19 with signal at 8.55 and a positive histogram of 2.64 confirms steady upside momentum on the weekly scale.
Volatility
Moderate. ATR14 at 10.02 (4.07% of price) reflects normal weekly ranges for a regional bank stock in an uptrend.
Volume
Slightly above average. Weekly volume of 5,859,500 is 110.2% of the 20-week average (5,316,375), indicating slightly increased participation.

Assessment

The weekly chart reinforces the bullish daily view with price trading above all SMAs and the SMA200 sloping upward. RSI at 66.59 provides room for further upside without being overbought. The positive MACD histogram at 2.64 confirms steady momentum. The 52-week position at 89.6% reflects a stock trading near its highs. MTB has gained 87.4% over the trailing 252 weeks, reflecting a strong multi-year uptrend.

Key indicators

MTB Key Technical Indicators

RSI, MACD, moving averages, ATR, and Bollinger Bands across daily and weekly timeframes.

IndicatorDailyWeekly
RSI (14)58.6466.59
MACD (12, 26, 9)4.22 / 5.12 / -0.9011.19 / 8.55 / 2.64
ATR (14)4.52 (1.81%)10.02 (4.07%)
Bollinger Bands (20, 2)236.58 - 256.34190.27 - 254.98
SMA (20)246.46222.63
SMA (50)233.90208.47
SMA (200)211.36161.75

Price structure

MTB Price Structure and Returns

Price performance across multiple lookback periods and 52-week position.

MetricDailyWeekly
Current Price249.48246.29
1-Period Return+1.30%-1.33%
5-Period Return+0.48%+3.81%
20-Period Return+3.98%+26.37%
60-Period Return+15.55%+37.73%
252-Period Return+36.14%+87.41%
52-Week Low170.99170.99
52-Week High255.00255.00
52-Week Position93.4%89.6%

Key levels

MTB Support and Resistance Levels

Key price levels based on recent swing highs and lows across daily and weekly timeframes.

LevelDailyWeekly
20-Period High255.00255.00
20-Period Low232.04192.60
60-Period High255.00255.00
60-Period Low201.44170.99

Scenarios

MTB Technical Scenarios

Conditions, invalidation triggers, and what to watch for each scenario.

Bullish

Trigger

Price breaks above the 20-day and 60-day high at 255.00, which is also the 52-week high, with above-average volume.

Invalidation

Price falls below the 60-day low of 201.44.

What to watch

Sustained close above 255.00 followed by volume confirmation; RSI holding above 55 on pullbacks; daily MACD histogram turning positive.

Range-Bound

Trigger

Price continues to oscillate between the 20-day low of 232.04 and the 255.00 resistance zone.

Invalidation

A decisive break of either boundary with increasing volume.

What to watch

RSI staying between 45 and 65; volume remaining near or below average; daily MACD histogram consolidating near zero.

Bearish

Trigger

Price breaks below the 20-day low at 232.04 and then the 60-day low at 201.44.

Invalidation

Price reclaims the SMA50 (233.90) and holds above it.

What to watch

Sustained closes below SMA20 (246.46); increasing downside volume; daily MACD histogram turning more negative; weekly RSI breaking below 50.

Methodology

Methodology and Limitations

This technical analysis is calculated locally from adjusted OHLCV history. The daily series ends August 3, 2026, and the weekly series ends July 27, 2026 week. The latest completed daily bar is independently checked for date and closing-price consistency. Historical prices are adjusted for corporate actions when applicable. Indicators include Wilder RSI(14), MACD(12,26,9), SMA20/50/200, Wilder ATR(14), Bollinger Bands(20,2), relative volume, multi-period returns, and price-range levels. Support and resistance are descriptive zones, not guaranteed reversal points. Historical patterns do not predict future prices, and this page is not investment advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

This technical analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance and historical patterns are not guarantees of future results. All investments carry risk, including the potential loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Market data is checked for date and closing-price consistency before indicators are calculated. Data cutoffs: daily August 3, 2026, weekly July 27, 2026 week. Generated August 4, 2026.