MTB technical analysis

MTB Technical Analysis

Analysis date

July 14, 2026

Market

NYSE (USD)

Daily cutoff

July 13, 2026

Reliability

Passed

Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.

Data verification

MTB Data Verification

Cross-validating the latest completed daily bar across independent sources.

Symbol
MTB
Market
NYSE
Currency
USD (US Dollar)
Latest completed bar
July 13, 2026

No adjustment factor (adjusted close equals raw close, factor 1.0). No stock splits or dividend adjustments affecting the analysis period.

SourceLatest CloseDateDifferenceStatus
Yahoo Finance Chart API (primary)242.55July 13, 2026-Verified
CNBC (independent)242.55July 13, 2026 (previous close)0.00%Verified

Bottom line

MTB Technical Analysis Summary

MTB displays a bullish technical picture on both daily and weekly timeframes. Price trades above SMA20 (234.93), SMA50 (222.06), and SMA200 (206.82) on the daily chart, confirming an uptrend with all major moving averages in bullish alignment. RSI at 66.02 shows bullish momentum with room for further upside before reaching overbought territory. The MACD histogram is slightly negative on daily (-0.09) suggesting a minor pause in momentum, but the weekly MACD remains strongly positive at 2.47, confirming the broader uptrend remains intact. Key support rests at the 20-day low of 224.05 and the 60-day low of 201.44. Resistance is at the 20-day and 60-day high of 244.57. A breakout above 244.57 targets new 52-week highs; a breakdown below the SMA50 at 222.06 would suggest short-term weakness.

Multi-timeframe dashboard

Multi-Timeframe Technical Dashboard

Comparing daily (2-year) and weekly (5-year) perspectives to identify aligned or conflicting signals.

Daily (July 13, 2026)

Trend
Bullish. Price at 242.55 is above SMA20 (234.93), SMA50 (222.06), and SMA200 (206.82). The SMA20 is above SMA50, confirming a short-term bullish alignment. The SMA200 is sloping upward, supporting the long-term uptrend.
Momentum
Neutral-to-bullish. RSI14 at 66.02 is in bullish territory, well below the 70 overbought threshold, suggesting room for further upside. MACD at 5.42 with signal at 5.52 and a slightly negative histogram of -0.09 indicates a minor pause in short-term momentum. The weekly MACD remains strongly positive, suggesting this is a pause within a broader uptrend.
Volatility
Moderate. ATR14 at 4.53 (1.87% of price) suggests average daily movement of about 1.9%. Bollinger Bands (223.51 to 246.35) are moderately wide with price near the upper band, reflecting bullish momentum.
Volume
At average. Latest volume of 1,156,400 is 99.8% of the 20-period average (1,158,725), indicating normal participation during the recent uptrend.

Assessment

The daily chart shows a strong uptrend with price above all key moving averages. RSI at 66.02 is healthy for continued upside. The slightly negative MACD histogram warrants monitoring, but the weekly MACD remains strongly positive. The normal volume suggests healthy participation. A sustained move above 244.57 (20-day high) would confirm the next leg higher. The SMA50 at 222.06 provides a key support reference.

Weekly (July 6, 2026 week)

Trend
Bullish. Price at 242.34 is above SMA20 (216.27), SMA50 (204.48), and well above SMA200 (160.40). The SMA200 is sloping strongly upward, confirming a mature long-term uptrend. All major moving averages are in a bullish alignment.
Momentum
Bullish. RSI14 at 66.74 is in bullish territory below 70. MACD at 8.87 with signal at 6.40 and a positive histogram of 2.47 confirms steady upside momentum on the weekly scale.
Volatility
Moderate. ATR14 at 10.16 (4.19% of price) reflects normal weekly ranges for a regional bank stock in an uptrend.
Volume
Slightly below average. Weekly volume of 4,689,600 is 87.5% of the 20-week average (5,362,460), indicating slightly reduced participation.

Assessment

The weekly chart reinforces the bullish daily view with price trading well above all SMAs and the SMA200 sloping upward. The RSI at 66.74 provides room for further upside without being overbought. The positive MACD histogram at 2.47 confirms steady momentum. The 52-week position at 98.3% reflects a stock trading near its highs. MTB has gained 107.5% over the trailing 252 weeks, reflecting a strong multi-year uptrend.

Key indicators

MTB Key Technical Indicators

RSI, MACD, moving averages, ATR, and Bollinger Bands across daily and weekly timeframes.

IndicatorDailyWeekly
RSI (14)66.0266.74
MACD (12, 26, 9)5.42 / 5.52 / -0.098.87 / 6.40 / 2.47
ATR (14)4.53 (1.87%)10.16 (4.19%)
Bollinger Bands (20, 2)223.51 - 246.35189.97 - 242.56
SMA (20)234.93216.27
SMA (50)222.06204.48
SMA (200)206.82160.40

Price structure

MTB Price Structure and Returns

Price performance across multiple lookback periods and 52-week position.

MetricDailyWeekly
Current Price242.55242.34
1-Period Return+0.09%+1.45%
5-Period Return+1.10%+8.95%
20-Period Return+6.47%+5.68%
60-Period Return+12.50%+33.92%
252-Period Return+22.40%+107.55%
52-Week Low170.99170.99
52-Week High244.57243.57
52-Week Position97.3%98.3%

Key levels

MTB Support and Resistance Levels

Key price levels based on recent swing highs and lows across daily and weekly timeframes.

LevelDailyWeekly
20-Period High244.57243.57
20-Period Low224.05192.60
60-Period High244.57243.57
60-Period Low201.44170.73

Scenarios

MTB Technical Scenarios

Conditions, invalidation triggers, and what to watch for each scenario.

Bullish

Trigger

Price breaks above the 20-day and 60-day high at 244.57 with above-average volume.

Invalidation

Price falls below the 60-day low of 201.44.

What to watch

Sustained close above 244.57 followed by volume confirmation; RSI holding above 55 on pullbacks; MACD histogram turning positive on daily.

Range-Bound

Trigger

Price continues to oscillate between 224.05 support and 244.57 resistance.

Invalidation

A decisive break of either boundary with increasing volume.

What to watch

RSI staying between 45 and 65; volume remaining near or below average; daily MACD histogram consolidating near zero.

Bearish

Trigger

Price breaks below the 20-day low at 224.05 and then the 60-day low at 201.44.

Invalidation

Price reclaims the SMA50 (222.06) and holds above it.

What to watch

Sustained closes below SMA20 (234.93); increasing downside volume; MACD histogram turning more negative on daily; weekly RSI breaking below 50.

Methodology

Methodology and Limitations

This technical analysis uses adjusted closing prices from Yahoo Finance (primary) and CNBC (independent cross-validation). The daily analysis covers approximately 2 years (500 completed bars) ending July 13, 2026. The weekly analysis covers approximately 5 years (261 completed bars) ending the week of July 6, 2026. Prices are adjusted for dividends and stock splits using the adjusted close/raw close ratio. Volume data is from the primary source and may not match other data providers. Technical indicators include SMA, RSI, MACD, ATR, and Bollinger Bands using standard parameters. Key levels are identified from recent swing highs and lows. Technical analysis studies historical price patterns and does not constitute investment advice. It should not be used as the sole basis for trading decisions.

Frequently Asked Questions

This technical analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance and historical patterns are not guarantees of future results. All investments carry risk, including the potential loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Data sourced from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Finviz (independent cross-validation). Data cutoffs: daily July 13, 2026, weekly July 6, 2026 week. Generated July 14, 2026.