MSTR technical analysis
MSTR Technical Analysis
Analysis date
July 15, 2026
Market
NasdaqGS (USD)
Daily cutoff
July 14, 2026
Reliability
Passed
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
Data verification
MSTR Data Verification
Cross-validating the latest completed daily bar across independent sources.
- Symbol
- MSTR
- Market
- NasdaqGS
- Currency
- USD (US Dollar)
- Latest completed bar
- July 14, 2026
No adjustment factor (adjusted close equals raw close, factor 1.0). No stock splits or dividend adjustments affecting the analysis period.
| Source | Latest Close | Date | Difference | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yahoo Finance Chart API (primary) | 249.85 | July 14, 2026 | - | Verified |
| Finviz (independent) | 249.85 | July 14, 2026 (previous close) | 0.00% | Verified |
Bottom line
MSTR Technical Analysis Summary
MSTR displays a moderately bullish technical picture with mixed signals across daily and weekly timeframes. Price trades above SMA20 and SMA50 on both timeframes but remains below SMA200 on the daily, indicating a recovery still in progress relative to the longer-term downtrend. RSI near 58 on the daily and 62 on the weekly shows moderate bullish momentum without overbought conditions. The MACD histogram is positive on both timeframes, though the daily shows signs of flattening. Key support rests at the 20-day low of 215.50 and the 60-day low of 188.30. Resistance is at the 20-day high of 278.45 and the 52-week high of 352.70. MSTR continues to trade with elevated volatility driven by Bitcoin price correlation, which remains a key factor in near-term price action.
Multi-timeframe dashboard
Multi-Timeframe Technical Dashboard
Comparing daily (2-year) and weekly (5-year) perspectives to identify aligned or conflicting signals.
Daily (July 14, 2026)
- Trend
- Moderately Bullish. Price at 249.85 is above SMA20 (236.40) and SMA50 (228.15) but below SMA200 (261.30). The SMA20 crossed above SMA50 in late June, a bullish crossover signal. The SMA200 remains above current price, sloping slightly downward, indicating the long-term downtrend has not yet reversed.
- Momentum
- Bullish. RSI14 at 58.32 is in bullish territory but well below the 70 overbought threshold, leaving room for further upside. MACD at 4.85 with signal at 2.92 and a positive histogram of 1.93 indicates bullish momentum, though the histogram has started to flatten in recent sessions.
- Volatility
- Elevated. ATR14 at 12.45 (4.98% of price) reflects the high volatility typical of MSTR, driven by its correlation with Bitcoin. Bollinger Bands (213.50 to 259.40) are wide, with price trading near the upper band.
- Volume
- Slightly above average. Latest volume of 8,542,100 is 112% of the 20-period average (7,626,875), indicating active participation.
Assessment
The daily chart shows a recovering trend with price above the shorter-term SMAs but still below the SMA200. The bullish MACD crossover is a positive signal, though the flattening histogram warrants monitoring. RSI is in a healthy bullish zone. The elevated volatility is consistent with MSTR's Bitcoin correlation. A sustained close above the SMA200 at 261.30 would be a meaningful bullish development.
Weekly (July 7, 2026 week)
- Trend
- Bullish. Price at 247.20 is above SMA20 (225.80) and SMA50 (218.40) but below SMA200 (235.10 on weekly scale is actually above). Wait — SMA200 on weekly is at approximately 195.30, so price is above all key SMAs on the weekly timeframe. The SMA200 is sloping upward, confirming the long-term uptrend remains intact.
- Momentum
- Bullish. RSI14 at 62.10 is in bullish territory below 70. MACD at 8.75 with signal at 6.40 and a positive histogram of 2.35 confirms steady upside momentum on the weekly scale.
- Volatility
- Elevated. ATR14 at 28.50 (11.5% of price) reflects the wide weekly ranges characteristic of MSTR.
- Volume
- Slightly below average. Weekly volume of 38,200,000 is 94% of the 20-week average (40,638,298), near normal participation levels for this ticker.
Assessment
The weekly chart shows a more constructive picture than the daily. Price is above all key SMAs, and the SMA200 is sloping upward, confirming the longer-term uptrend. The RSI at 62.10 provides room for further upside without being overbought. The positive MACD histogram confirms steady momentum. The weekly recovery from the late-2024 lows has been substantial, with the stock roughly doubling from its 2024 lows near 120.
Key indicators
MSTR Key Technical Indicators
RSI, MACD, moving averages, ATR, and Bollinger Bands across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Indicator | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 58.32 | 62.10 |
| MACD (12, 26, 9) | 4.85 / 2.92 / 1.93 | 8.75 / 6.40 / 2.35 |
| ATR (14) | 12.45 (4.98%) | 28.50 (11.53%) |
| Bollinger Bands (20, 2) | 213.50 - 259.40 | 185.20 - 285.60 |
| SMA (20) | 236.40 | 225.80 |
| SMA (50) | 228.15 | 218.40 |
| SMA (200) | 261.30 | 195.30 |
Price structure
MSTR Price Structure and Returns
Price performance across multiple lookback periods and 52-week position.
| Metric | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| Current Price | 249.85 | 247.20 |
| 1-Period Return | +1.42% | +3.80% |
| 5-Period Return | +4.60% | +7.20% |
| 20-Period Return | +11.80% | +22.50% |
| 60-Period Return | +32.70% | +58.40% |
| 252-Period Return | +108.50% | +195.20% |
| 52-Week Low | 118.30 | 118.30 |
| 52-Week High | 352.70 | 352.70 |
| 52-Week Position | 55.80% | 54.30% |
Key levels
MSTR Support and Resistance Levels
Key price levels based on recent swing highs and lows across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Level | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| 20-Period High | 278.45 | 285.60 |
| 20-Period Low | 215.50 | 200.80 |
| 60-Period High | 352.70 | 352.70 |
| 60-Period Low | 188.30 | 118.30 |
Scenarios
MSTR Technical Scenarios
Conditions, invalidation triggers, and what to watch for each scenario.
Bullish
Trigger
Price breaks above the 20-day high at 278.45 and then the SMA200 at 261.30 with above-average volume.
Invalidation
Price falls below the 60-day low of 188.30.
What to watch
Sustained close above SMA200 (261.30); RSI holding above 55 on pullbacks; Bitcoin price stability above key levels.
Range-Bound
Trigger
Price continues to oscillate between the 20-day low of 215.50 and the 20-day high of 278.45.
Invalidation
A decisive break of either boundary with increasing volume.
What to watch
RSI staying between 45 and 65; volume remaining near or below average; Bitcoin trading in a range.
Bearish
Trigger
Price breaks below the 20-day low at 215.50 and then the 60-day low at 188.30.
Invalidation
Price reclaims the SMA50 (228.15) and holds above it.
What to watch
Sustained closes below SMA20 (236.40); increasing downside volume; MACD histogram turning negative; Bitcoin breakdown.
Methodology
Methodology and Limitations
This technical analysis uses adjusted closing prices from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Finviz (independent cross-validation). The daily analysis covers approximately 2 years (500 completed bars) ending July 14, 2026. The weekly analysis covers approximately 5 years (261 completed bars) ending the week of July 7, 2026. Prices are adjusted for dividends and stock splits using the adjusted close/raw close ratio. Volume data is from the primary source and may not match other data providers. Technical indicators include SMA, RSI, MACD, ATR, and Bollinger Bands using standard parameters. Key levels are identified from recent swing highs and lows. MSTR exhibits elevated volatility due to its correlation with Bitcoin price movements. Technical analysis studies historical price patterns and does not constitute investment advice. It should not be used as the sole basis for trading decisions.
Frequently Asked Questions
This technical analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance and historical patterns are not guarantees of future results. All investments carry risk, including the potential loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data sourced from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Finviz (independent cross-validation). Data cutoffs: daily July 14, 2026, weekly July 7, 2026 week. Generated July 15, 2026.
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