MRNA technical analysis
MRNA Technical Analysis
Analysis date
July 14, 2026
Market
NasdaqGS (USD)
Daily cutoff
July 14, 2026
Reliability
Passed
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
Data verification
MRNA Data Verification
Cross-validating the latest completed daily bar across independent sources.
- Symbol
- MRNA
- Market
- NasdaqGS
- Currency
- USD (US Dollar)
- Latest completed bar
- July 14, 2026
No adjustment factor (adjusted close equals raw close, factor 1.0). No stock splits or dividend adjustments affecting the analysis period.
| Source | Latest Close | Date | Difference | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yahoo Finance Chart API (primary) | 67.44 | July 14, 2026 | - | Verified |
| Finviz (independent) | 67.44 | July 14, 2026 (previous close) | 0.00% | Verified |
Bottom line
MRNA Technical Analysis Summary
MRNA displays a mixed technical picture with a bullish daily trend but a weekly SMA200 that still slopes downward. The daily chart shows price above all key moving averages (SMA20, SMA50, SMA200) with strong returns over the past year (+100%), but the recent five-day decline of -15.46% and a negative MACD histogram on the daily suggest short-term momentum is fading. The weekly RSI at 63.61 is bullish without being overbought, and the weekly MACD histogram remains positive. Key support sits at the 20-day low of 49.84 and the 60-day low of 43.68. Resistance is at the recent swing high of 85.60. A break above 85.60 would confirm a resumption of the uptrend; a break below 43.68 would signal a bearish reversal.
Multi-timeframe dashboard
Multi-Timeframe Technical Dashboard
Comparing daily (2-year) and weekly (5-year) perspectives to identify aligned or conflicting signals.
Daily (July 14, 2026)
- Trend
- Bullish. Price at 67.44 is above SMA20 (67.39), SMA50 (56.01), and SMA200 (42.80). The SMA20 is above SMA50, confirming a short-term bullish alignment. The SMA200 is sloping upward, supporting the long-term uptrend within the daily window.
- Momentum
- Mixed. RSI14 at 53.70 is in neutral territory, neither overbought nor oversold. MACD at 4.94 with signal at 5.77 and a negative histogram of -0.83 indicates a bearish crossover in momentum, suggesting the recent rally may be losing steam.
- Volatility
- High. ATR14 at 5.03 (7.46% of price) reflects large daily swings characteristic of biotech stocks. Bollinger Bands (51.20 to 83.58) are wide, reflecting elevated volatility. Price is near the middle band after pulling back from the upper band.
- Volume
- Below average. Latest volume of 5,811,327 is 55.9% of the 20-period average (10,389,681), indicating reduced participation during the recent pullback.
Assessment
The daily chart shows a stock that rallied strongly over the past year then pulled back sharply in the last five sessions. While the trend remains bullish on a moving average basis, the negative MACD histogram and neutral RSI suggest momentum is stalling. The below-average volume on the pullback is not yet a panic signal, but continued weakness could test the SMA20 at 67.39. A sustained move above 85.60 would reignite the uptrend; a breakdown below the 20-day low of 49.84 would shift the picture bearish.
Weekly (July 6, 2026 week)
- Trend
- Mixed. Price at 68.27 is above SMA20 (54.18) and SMA50 (40.09) but below SMA200 (83.10). The SMA200 remains downward-sloping, indicating the long-term trend is still bearish despite the recent recovery. The stock has a significant gap to fill to reclaim the SMA200.
- Momentum
- Bullish. RSI14 at 63.61 is in bullish territory below the 70 overbought threshold. MACD at 7.23 with signal at 5.33 and a positive histogram of 1.90 confirms steady upside momentum on the weekly scale.
- Volatility
- High. ATR14 at 9.00 (13.18% of price) reflects wide weekly ranges. This is typical of volatile biotech names undergoing a significant trend reversal attempt.
- Volume
- Above average. Weekly volume of 46,158,800 is 122.1% of the 20-week average (37,796,845), indicating active participation in the recent rally.
Assessment
The weekly chart presents a more complex picture than the daily. The strong rally from the 52-week low of 22.28 has pushed the stock above the SMA20 and SMA50, and the RSI and MACD are both bullish. However, the SMA200 at 83.10 is still sloping down and well above the current price, meaning the long-term trend has not yet turned bullish. This creates a resistance zone near the SMA200 level. The above-average volume on the rally is encouraging, but the stock needs to reclaim the SMA200 to confirm a long-term trend change.
Key indicators
MRNA Key Technical Indicators
RSI, MACD, moving averages, ATR, and Bollinger Bands across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Indicator | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 53.70 | 63.61 |
| MACD (12, 26, 9) | 4.94 / 5.77 / -0.83 | 7.23 / 5.33 / 1.90 |
| ATR (14) | 5.03 (7.46%) | 9.00 (13.18%) |
| Bollinger Bands (20, 2) | 51.20 - 83.58 | 37.02 - 71.34 |
| SMA (20) | 67.39 | 54.18 |
| SMA (50) | 56.01 | 40.09 |
| SMA (200) | 42.80 | 83.10 |
Price structure
MRNA Price Structure and Returns
Price performance across multiple lookback periods and 52-week position.
| Metric | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| Current Price | 67.44 | 68.27 |
| 1-Period Return | +0.64% | -14.41% |
| 5-Period Return | -15.46% | +43.91% |
| 20-Period Return | +35.12% | +36.90% |
| 60-Period Return | +23.34% | +174.62% |
| 252-Period Return | +100.48% | -84.81% |
| 52-Week Low | 22.28 | 22.28 |
| 52-Week High | 85.60 | 85.60 |
| 52-Week Position | 71.32% | 72.63% |
Key levels
MRNA Support and Resistance Levels
Key price levels based on recent swing highs and lows across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Level | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| 20-Period High | 85.60 | 85.60 |
| 20-Period Low | 49.84 | 43.68 |
| 60-Period High | 85.60 | 85.60 |
| 60-Period Low | 43.68 | 22.28 |
Scenarios
MRNA Technical Scenarios
Conditions, invalidation triggers, and what to watch for each scenario.
Bullish
Trigger
Price breaks above the 20-day high of 85.60 with above-average volume, ideally followed by a reclaim of the weekly SMA200 near 83.10.
Invalidation
Price falls below the 60-day low of 43.68.
What to watch
Sustained close above 85.60; weekly MACD histogram staying positive; RSI holding above 50 on daily pullbacks.
Range-Bound
Trigger
Price oscillates between 49.84 support and 85.60 resistance, with the daily MACD histogram oscillating around zero.
Invalidation
A decisive break of either boundary with increasing volume.
What to watch
RSI hovering between 40 and 60; daily MACD histogram not diverging significantly; volume fading near resistance.
Bearish
Trigger
Price breaks below the 20-day low at 49.84 and then the 60-day low at 43.68, confirming a failed rally.
Invalidation
Price reclaims the SMA50 (56.01) and holds above it.
What to watch
Sustained closes below SMA20 (67.39); increasing downside volume; daily MACD histogram deepening negative territory; weekly MACD histogram turning negative.
Methodology
Methodology and Limitations
This technical analysis uses adjusted closing prices from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Finviz (independent cross-validation). The daily analysis covers approximately 2 years (501 completed bars) ending July 14, 2026. The weekly analysis covers approximately 5 years (261 completed bars) ending the week of July 6, 2026. Prices are adjusted for dividends and stock splits using the adjusted close/raw close ratio. Volume data is from the primary source and may not match other data providers. Technical indicators include SMA, RSI, MACD, ATR, and Bollinger Bands using standard parameters. Key levels are identified from recent swing highs and lows. Technical analysis studies historical price patterns and does not constitute investment advice. It should not be used as the sole basis for trading decisions.
Frequently Asked Questions
This technical analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance and historical patterns are not guarantees of future results. All investments carry risk, including the potential loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data sourced from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Finviz (independent cross-validation). Data cutoffs: daily July 14, 2026, weekly July 6, 2026 week. Generated July 14, 2026.
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