MPC technical analysis
MPC Technical Analysis
Analysis date
July 14, 2026
Market
NYSE (USD)
Daily cutoff
July 13, 2026
Reliability
Passed
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
Data verification
MPC Data Verification
Cross-validating the latest completed daily bar across independent sources.
- Symbol
- MPC
- Market
- NYSE
- Currency
- USD (US Dollar)
- Latest completed bar
- July 13, 2026
No adjustment factor (adjusted close equals raw close, factor 1.0). No stock splits or dividend adjustments affecting the analysis period.
| Source | Latest Close | Date | Difference | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yahoo Finance Chart API (primary) | 296.88 | July 13, 2026 | - | Verified |
| Finviz (independent) | 296.88 | July 13, 2026 (previous close) | 0.00% | Verified |
Bottom line
MPC Technical Analysis Summary
MPC shows a strong bullish technical picture across both daily and weekly timeframes. Price at 296.88 trades well above all major SMAs (SMA20 261.42, SMA50 257.17, SMA200 212.16) with a bullish MACD crossover and rising histogram of 3.79 on the daily chart. The weekly chart confirms the bullish structure with price at 283.74 above SMA20 (242.19), SMA50 (205.42), and SMA200 (156.69), and a positive MACD histogram at 1.71. However, the daily RSI at 75.38 is in overbought territory, suggesting caution on chasing breakouts. Key support at 238.28 (20-day low) and resistance at 299.05 (20-day high and 52-week high) frame the immediate trading range.
Multi-timeframe dashboard
Multi-Timeframe Technical Dashboard
Comparing daily (2-year) and weekly (5-year) perspectives to identify aligned or conflicting signals.
Daily (July 13, 2026)
- Trend
- Bullish. Price at 296.88 is above SMA20 (261.42), SMA50 (257.17), and SMA200 (212.16). All major SMAs slope upward in a bullish alignment (SMA20 > SMA50 > SMA200), indicating a well-established uptrend.
- Momentum
- Bullish but overbought. RSI14 at 75.38 is in overbought territory above 70. MACD at 8.73 is above the signal line at 4.94 with a positive and rising histogram of 3.79, confirming strong bullish momentum.
- Volatility
- Moderate. ATR14 at 8.98 (3.03% of price) reflects normal daily ranges. Bollinger Bands (232.00 to 290.84) show price trading above the upper band at 290.84, indicating an extended move.
- Volume
- Slightly below average. Latest volume of 2,143,600 is 0.88x the 20-period average (2,443,065), suggesting modest participation during the ongoing uptrend.
Assessment
The daily chart is strongly bullish across trend, momentum, and price structure. Price is in a confirmed uptrend above all key SMAs with a bullish MACD. The primary caution is the overbought RSI at 75.38 and price extended above the upper Bollinger Band at 290.84. The 20-day high at 299.05 is the immediate resistance and 52-week high. A pullback toward SMA20 (261.42) or the middle Bollinger Band would be healthy for the trend structure. Key support is at the 20-day low of 238.28.
Weekly (July 6, 2026 week)
- Trend
- Bullish. Price at 283.74 is above SMA20 (242.19), SMA50 (205.42), and SMA200 (156.69). The rising SMA20 above SMA50 confirms a strong intermediate-term uptrend on the weekly scale.
- Momentum
- Bullish. RSI14 at 69.29 is approaching overbought but not yet above 70. MACD at 19.10 is above the signal line at 17.39 with a positive histogram of 1.71, confirming sustained bullish momentum.
- Volatility
- Moderate. ATR14 at 18.58 (6.55% of price) indicates normal weekly ranges. Bollinger Bands (201.61 to 282.78) show price near the upper band, consistent with the general upward trend.
- Volume
- Below average. Weekly volume of 9,802,700 is 0.81x the 20-week average (12,176,290), indicating reduced participation during the rally phase.
Assessment
The weekly chart reinforces the bullish view. Price has been in a powerful uptrend with strong gains across all periods. The RSI is approaching but has not yet entered overbought territory, suggesting further upside potential before exhaustion becomes a concern. The breakout above the key resistance near the 60-week high of 287.15 would confirm the continuation. The confluence of bullish signals across both timeframes strengthens the overall technical outlook.
Key indicators
MPC Key Technical Indicators
RSI, MACD, moving averages, ATR, and Bollinger Bands across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Indicator | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 75.38 | 69.29 |
| MACD (12, 26, 9) | 8.73 / 4.94 / 3.79 | 19.10 / 17.39 / 1.71 |
| ATR (14) | 8.98 (3.03%) | 18.58 (6.55%) |
| Bollinger Bands (20, 2) | 232.00 - 290.84 | 201.61 - 282.78 |
| SMA (20) | 261.42 | 242.19 |
| SMA (50) | 257.17 | 205.42 |
| SMA (200) | 212.16 | 156.69 |
Price structure
MPC Price Structure and Returns
Price performance across multiple lookback periods and 52-week position.
| Metric | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| Current Price | 296.88 | 283.74 |
| 1-Period Return | +4.63% | +6.53% |
| 5-Period Return | +10.37% | +8.29% |
| 20-Period Return | +13.83% | +44.76% |
| 60-Period Return | +33.62% | +77.27% |
| 252-Period Return | +66.08% | +456.19% |
| 52-Week Low | 154.97 | 154.97 |
| 52-Week High | 299.05 | 287.15 |
| 52-Week Position | 98.49% | 97.42% |
Key levels
MPC Support and Resistance Levels
Key price levels based on recent swing highs and lows across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Level | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| 20-Period High | 299.05 | 287.15 |
| 20-Period Low | 238.28 | 189.60 |
| 60-Period High | 299.05 | 287.15 |
| 60-Period Low | 209.84 | 151.68 |
Scenarios
MPC Technical Scenarios
Conditions, invalidation triggers, and what to watch for each scenario.
Bullish
Trigger
Price breaks above the 20-day and 52-week high at 299.05 on above-average volume.
Invalidation
Price falls below the 20-day low of 238.28.
What to watch
Sustained close above 299.05; RSI staying elevated without extreme divergence; volume supporting further breakouts.
Range-Bound
Trigger
Price oscillates between 238.28 (20-day low) and 299.05 (20-day high).
Invalidation
A decisive break of either boundary with expanding volume.
What to watch
RSI pulling back from overbought toward 50-60; volume declining during consolidation.
Bearish
Trigger
Price breaks below SMA20 at 261.42 and the 20-day low at 238.28.
Invalidation
Price reclaims the SMA20 (261.42) and holds above it.
What to watch
MACD histogram turning negative on daily; RSI breaking below 50; increasing downside volume.
Methodology
Methodology and Limitations
This technical analysis uses adjusted closing prices from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Finviz (independent cross-validation). The daily analysis covers approximately 2 years (500 completed bars) ending July 13, 2026. The weekly analysis covers approximately 5 years (261 completed bars) ending the week of July 6, 2026. Prices are adjusted for dividends and stock splits using the adjusted close/raw close ratio. Volume data is from the primary source and may not match other data providers. Technical indicators include SMA, RSI, MACD, ATR, and Bollinger Bands using standard parameters. Key levels are identified from recent swing highs and lows. Technical analysis studies historical price patterns and does not constitute investment advice. It should not be used as the sole basis for trading decisions.
Frequently Asked Questions
This technical analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance and historical patterns are not guarantees of future results. All investments carry risk, including the potential loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data sourced from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Finviz (independent cross-validation). Data cutoffs: daily July 13, 2026, weekly July 6, 2026 week. Generated July 14, 2026.
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