MOS technical analysis
MOS Technical Analysis
Analysis date
July 15, 2026
Market
NYSE (USD)
Daily cutoff
July 14, 2026
Reliability
Passed
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
Data verification
MOS Data Verification
Cross-validating the latest completed daily bar across independent sources.
- Symbol
- MOS
- Market
- NYSE
- Currency
- USD (US Dollar)
- Latest completed bar
- July 14, 2026
No adjustment factor (adjusted close equals raw close, factor 1.0). No stock splits or dividend adjustments affecting the analysis period.
| Source | Latest Close | Date | Difference | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yahoo Finance Chart API (primary) | 22.94 | July 14, 2026 | - | Verified |
| Google Finance (independent) | 22.94 | July 14, 2026 (previous close) | 0.00% | Verified |
Bottom line
MOS Technical Analysis Summary
MOS (The Mosaic Company) shows a mixed technical picture. The daily timeframe has improved with price at 22.94 above SMA20 (21.72) and SMA50 (22.11), while remaining below SMA200 (25.40). Daily RSI14 at 58.06 indicates recovering momentum, and the MACD histogram has turned positive at 0.16, suggesting improving near-term momentum. However, the weekly structure remains bearish with price at 21.51 below all key SMAs (SMA20 23.72, SMA50 26.49, SMA200 31.03) and RSI at 40.63. The daily recovery from the 52-week low of 19.80 faces significant resistance at the SMA200 (25.40) and the 20-day high (24.29). A sustained move above 24.29 would strengthen the recovery case; a breakdown below 20.42 would suggest the downtrend is resuming.
Multi-timeframe dashboard
Multi-Timeframe Technical Dashboard
Comparing daily (2-year) and weekly (5-year) perspectives to identify aligned or conflicting signals.
Daily (July 14, 2026)
- Trend
- Mixed. Price at 22.94 is above SMA20 (21.72) and SMA50 (22.11) but below SMA200 (25.40). SMA200 slopes downward, confirming the broader downtrend is still in place despite the recent bounce from 19.80.
- Momentum
- Recovering. RSI14 at 58.06 has climbed above 50, suggesting improvement after being oversold. MACD at -0.13 is still below zero but the line is above the signal, and the histogram at 0.16 is positive, indicating that downside momentum is fading.
- Volatility
- Elevated. ATR14 at 0.91 (3.99% of price) reflects above-average daily swings. Bollinger Bands (20.30 to 23.14) show price near the upper band, consistent with the recent upward move.
- Volume
- Slightly below average. Latest volume of 8,429,655 is 83.9% of the 20-period average (10,050,348), suggesting the recent bounce is not yet accompanied by strong institutional participation.
Assessment
The daily chart shows a recovery bounce from the 52-week low of 19.80. Price has cleared SMA20 and SMA50, a positive near-term signal. The MACD histogram turning positive is supportive. However, the SMA200 at 25.40 remains untested, and volume has not expanded meaningfully. The recovery attempt is constructive but needs confirmation above 24.29.
Weekly (July 6, 2026 week)
- Trend
- Bearish. Price at 21.51 is below SMA20 (23.72), SMA50 (26.49), and SMA200 (31.03). The SMA200 at 31.03 is declining, confirming the structural downtrend. SMA50 crossed below SMA200 in prior periods, maintaining a bearish long-term arrangement.
- Momentum
- Bearish. RSI14 at 40.63 is below 50, indicating bearish momentum. MACD at -1.35 remains below the signal line at -1.28, and the histogram at -0.08 is negative, suggesting sustained downside pressure with no reversal signal.
- Volatility
- Elevated. ATR14 at 2.33 (10.85% of price) reflects wide weekly ranges, consistent with the ongoing downtrend and sharp moves.
- Volume
- Below average. Weekly volume of 36,887,200 is 77.5% of the 20-week average (47,628,360), indicating reduced participation in the recent move.
Assessment
The weekly timeframe remains in a clear downtrend. Price has not shown signs of a trend reversal at the weekly level, with all key SMAs sloping downward and price trading below them. The recent bounce is not yet reflected in weekly momentum readings. For a meaningful trend change, price needs to reclaim SMA20 (23.72) and sustain above it.
Key indicators
MOS Key Technical Indicators
RSI, MACD, moving averages, ATR, and Bollinger Bands across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Indicator | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 58.06 | 40.63 |
| MACD (12, 26, 9) | -0.13 / -0.29 / 0.16 | -1.35 / -1.28 / -0.08 |
| ATR (14) | 0.91 (3.99%) | 2.33 (10.85%) |
| Bollinger Bands (20, 2) | 20.30 - 23.14 | 19.73 - 27.72 |
| SMA (20) | 21.72 | 23.72 |
| SMA (50) | 22.11 | 26.49 |
| SMA (200) | 25.40 | 31.03 |
Price structure
MOS Price Structure and Returns
Price performance across multiple lookback periods and 52-week position.
| Metric | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| Current Price | 22.94 | 21.51 |
| 1-Period Return | +2.82% | +1.80% |
| 5-Period Return | +8.62% | -3.28% |
| 20-Period Return | +1.10% | -25.55% |
| 60-Period Return | -6.30% | -36.39% |
| 252-Period Return | -34.86% | -23.89% |
| 52-Week Low | 19.80 | 19.80 |
| 52-Week High | 36.26 | 36.26 |
| 52-Week Position | 19.08% | 10.39% |
Key levels
MOS Support and Resistance Levels
Key price levels based on recent swing highs and lows across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Level | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| 20-Period High | 24.29 | 31.93 |
| 20-Period Low | 20.42 | 19.80 |
| 60-Period High | 24.70 | 36.94 |
| 60-Period Low | 19.80 | 19.80 |
Scenarios
MOS Technical Scenarios
Conditions, invalidation triggers, and what to watch for each scenario.
Bullish
Trigger
Price breaks above 24.29 (20-day high) with volume, targeting 24.70 (60-day high) and SMA200 at 25.40.
Invalidation
Price falls below the 20-day low of 20.42.
What to watch
Sustained close above SMA20 (21.72) followed by a move through the 24.29 resistance area. Volume expansion on up days.
Range-Bound
Trigger
Price oscillates between 20.42 support and 24.29-24.70 resistance.
Invalidation
A decisive break of either boundary with increasing volume.
What to watch
RSI oscillating between 40 and 60; volume remaining at or below average levels.
Bearish
Trigger
Price breaks below the 20-day low at 20.42, retesting the 52-week low at 19.80.
Invalidation
Price reclaims SMA50 (22.11) and holds above it.
What to watch
Sustained closes below SMA20 (21.72); increasing downside volume; RSI falling back below 50.
Methodology
Methodology and Limitations
This technical analysis uses adjusted closing prices from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Google Finance (independent cross-validation). The daily analysis covers approximately 2 years (501 completed bars) ending July 14, 2026. The weekly analysis covers approximately 5 years (261 completed bars) ending the week of July 6, 2026. Prices are adjusted for dividends and stock splits using the adjusted close/raw close ratio. Volume data is from the primary source and may not match other data providers. Technical indicators include SMA, RSI, MACD, ATR, and Bollinger Bands using standard parameters. Key levels are identified from recent swing highs and lows. Technical analysis studies historical price patterns and does not constitute investment advice. It should not be used as the sole basis for trading decisions.
Frequently Asked Questions
This technical analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance and historical patterns are not guarantees of future results. All investments carry risk, including the potential loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data sourced from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Finviz (independent cross-validation). Data cutoffs: daily July 14, 2026, weekly July 6, 2026 week. Generated July 15, 2026.
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