What does the MOS technical analysis show?

As of the August 3, 2026 data cutoff, MOS (The Mosaic Company) shows a weak-to-mixed picture. The daily chart pulled back below SMA20 and SMA50 after the July rebound, with RSI at 46.43 and a slightly negative MACD histogram. The weekly trend analysis remains bearish, with price at 22.12 below all key SMAs and RSI at 43.24. Support sits at 20.42 and 19.80, while resistance is at 22.17, 23.40, and 24.50-24.67.

What are the key support and resistance levels for MOS?

MOS key support levels are at 20.42 (20-day low) and 19.80 (60-day low and 52-week low). Key resistance levels are at 22.17 (SMA20/SMA50 cluster), 23.40 (20-day high), 24.50 (60-day high), and SMA200 at 24.67. A sustained move above 23.40 would be the first sign that the recovery attempt is regaining strength.

Is MOS overbought or oversold based on RSI?

MOS RSI14 is 46.43 on the daily chart and 43.24 on the weekly chart. Both readings are below neutral (50), indicating mild bearish momentum, and neither is overbought nor oversold. There is no extreme RSI condition pointing to an imminent reversal.

What does the MACD signal for MOS?

The daily MACD line at 0.10 is slightly above zero but below the signal line at 0.12, with a histogram at -0.02, meaning the momentum from the July bounce has cooled. The weekly MACD line at -1.17 remains deeply below zero but above the signal at -1.25, with a small positive histogram at 0.08, indicating weekly downside is stabilizing without yet confirming a reversal.

Can technical analysis predict the MOS price?

No, technical analysis cannot reliably predict an exact future price. It identifies trends, momentum, and key price levels based on historical data to inform risk assessment. The Mosaic Company price movements will depend on fertilizer market conditions, crop prices, global demand dynamics, operational performance, and broader commodity market trends. Technical analysis is one tool among many for understanding market conditions.

MOS technical analysis

MOS Technical Analysis

Analysis date

August 4, 2026

Market

NYSE (USD)

Daily cutoff

August 3, 2026

Reliability

Passed

Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.

Data verification

MOS Data Verification

Checking the latest completed daily bar for date and closing-price consistency before indicators are calculated.

Symbol: MOS
Market: NYSE
Currency: USD (US Dollar)
Latest completed bar: August 3, 2026

Historical prices are adjusted for corporate actions when applicable. Date and closing-price consistency checks passed for the latest completed daily bar.

Validation series	Latest Close	Date	Difference	Status
Calculation series	21.81	August 3, 2026	-	Verified
Verification series	21.81	August 3, 2026	0.00%	Verified

Bottom line

MOS Technical Analysis Summary

MOS technical analysis shows a weak-to-mixed picture as of the August 3, 2026 data cutoff. The daily chart pulled back below SMA20 (22.17) and SMA50 (22.17) after the July rebound, with RSI14 at 46.43 and a slightly negative MACD histogram at -0.02. The weekly structure remains bearish, with price at 22.12 below all key SMAs (SMA20 22.94, SMA50 25.89, SMA200 30.69) and RSI at 43.24. MOS trades at 12.4% of its 52-week range, near the lows. Immediate support is at 20.42 (20-day low) and 19.80 (52-week low). Resistance sits at 22.17 (SMA20/SMA50 cluster), 23.40 (20-day high), and 24.50-24.67 (60-day high and SMA200). A sustained break below 20.42 would likely resume the downtrend toward 19.80, while a close above 23.40 would revive the recovery case.

Multi-timeframe dashboard

Multi-Timeframe Technical Dashboard

Comparing daily (2-year) and weekly (5-year) perspectives to identify aligned or conflicting signals.

Daily (August 3, 2026)

Trend: Mixed to soft. Price at 21.81 is below SMA20 (22.17), SMA50 (22.17), and SMA200 (24.67). The July rebound faded in early August, and the SMA200 still slopes lower, keeping the medium-term downtrend intact.
Momentum: Soft. RSI14 at 46.43 is below 50, and the MACD histogram has turned slightly negative at -0.02 as the MACD line (0.10) slipped below its signal line (0.12). The momentum built during the July bounce has cooled.
Volatility: Moderate. ATR14 at 0.87 is about 3.98% of price. Bollinger Bands (20.80 to 23.55) place price below the middle band (22.17), in the lower half of the recent range.
Volume: Slightly above average. Latest volume of 7,808,100 is about 107% of the 20-period average (7,299,155), giving the early-August pullback modest participation.

Assessment

The daily chart shows a failed follow-through on the July recovery, with price back below SMA20 and SMA50 and the MACD histogram rolling over. MOS trades near the lower end of its 52-week range (12.4% position), with immediate support at 20.42 and then 19.80. A break below 20.42 would likely resume the downtrend toward the 52-week low, while reclaiming 22.17 and clearing 23.40 would restore the recovery case.

Weekly (July 27, 2026 week)

Trend: Bearish. Price at 22.12 is below SMA20 (22.94), SMA50 (25.89), and SMA200 (30.69). The SMA200 continues to decline, confirming the structural downtrend, and the shorter-term SMAs remain stacked below it.
Momentum: Bearish but stabilizing. RSI14 at 43.24 is below 50. MACD remains deeply negative (line -1.17, signal -1.25), though the histogram has ticked up to 0.08, a mild sign that the pace of weekly downside is easing rather than a confirmed reversal.
Volatility: Elevated. ATR14 at 2.17 is about 9.81% of price, reflecting wide weekly ranges consistent with the ongoing downtrend.
Volume: Below average. Weekly volume of 39,148,900 is about 88% of the 20-week average (44,565,425), indicating limited participation in recent weekly moves.

Assessment

The weekly timeframe remains in a clear downtrend with price below all key SMAs. The mildly positive weekly MACD histogram is an early stabilization signal but not a reversal. For a meaningful trend change, price needs to reclaim SMA20 (22.94) and hold above it on a sustained basis.

Key indicators

MOS Key Technical Indicators

RSI, MACD, moving averages, ATR, and Bollinger Bands across daily and weekly timeframes.

Indicator	Daily	Weekly
RSI (14)	46.43	43.24
MACD (12, 26, 9)	0.10 / 0.12 / -0.02	-1.17 / -1.25 / 0.08
ATR (14)	0.87 (3.98%)	2.17 (9.81%)
Bollinger Bands (20, 2)	20.80 - 23.55	20.52 - 25.36
SMA (20)	22.17	22.94
SMA (50)	22.17	25.89
SMA (200)	24.67	30.69

Price structure

MOS Price Structure and Returns

Price performance across multiple lookback periods and 52-week position.

Metric	Daily	Weekly
Current Price	21.81	22.12
1-Period Return	-1.40%	-0.81%
5-Period Return	-2.37%	-1.16%
20-Period Return	+2.97%	-23.76%
60-Period Return	-6.49%	-34.21%
252-Period Return	-37.31%	-34.19%
52-Week Low	19.80	19.80
52-Week High	35.98	35.98
52-Week Position	12.42%	14.34%

Key levels

MOS Support and Resistance Levels

Key price levels based on recent swing highs and lows across daily and weekly timeframes.

Level	Daily	Weekly
20-Period High	23.40	29.09
20-Period Low	20.42	19.80
60-Period High	24.50	36.94
60-Period Low	19.80	19.80

Scenarios

MOS Technical Scenarios

Conditions, invalidation triggers, and what to watch for each scenario.

Bullish

Trigger

Price closes back above the SMA20/SMA50 cluster at 22.17 and then pushes through the 20-day high at 23.40, targeting 24.50 (60-day high) and SMA200 at 24.67.

Invalidation

Price breaks below the 20-day low at 20.42.

What to watch

Sustained closes above 22.17 with volume expansion; RSI recovering above 55; the daily MACD histogram turning positive again.

Range-Bound

Trigger

Price oscillates between support at 20.42 and resistance in the 22.17-23.40 zone.

Invalidation

A decisive break of either boundary with increasing volume.

What to watch

RSI oscillating around 40-55; volume staying near average; no sustained close beyond 22.17 or 20.42.

Bearish

Trigger

Price breaks below the 20-day low at 20.42 and retests the 52-week low at 19.80.

Invalidation

Price reclaims SMA50 (22.17) and holds above it.

What to watch

Weekly closes below 22.17; the daily MACD histogram rolling over again; increased downside volume near 19.80.

Methodology

Methodology and Limitations

This technical analysis is calculated locally from adjusted OHLCV history. The daily series ends August 3, 2026, and the weekly series ends July 27, 2026 week. The latest completed daily bar is independently checked for date and closing-price consistency. Historical prices are adjusted for corporate actions when applicable. Indicators include Wilder RSI(14), MACD(12,26,9), SMA20/50/200, Wilder ATR(14), Bollinger Bands(20,2), relative volume, multi-period returns, and price-range levels. Support and resistance are descriptive zones, not guaranteed reversal points. Historical patterns do not predict future prices, and this page is not investment advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

This technical analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance and historical patterns are not guarantees of future results. All investments carry risk, including the potential loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Market data is checked for date and closing-price consistency before indicators are calculated. Data cutoffs: daily August 3, 2026, weekly July 27, 2026 week. Generated August 4, 2026.

MOS Technical Analysis

MOS Data Verification

MOS Technical Analysis Summary

Multi-Timeframe Technical Dashboard

Daily (August 3, 2026)

Weekly (July 27, 2026 week)

MOS Key Technical Indicators

MOS Price Structure and Returns

MOS Support and Resistance Levels

MOS Technical Scenarios

Bullish

Range-Bound

Bearish

Methodology and Limitations

Frequently Asked Questions

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