MFG technical analysis
MFG Technical Analysis
Analysis date
July 15, 2026
Market
NYSE (USD)
Daily cutoff
July 14, 2026
Reliability
Passed
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
Data verification
MFG Data Verification
Cross-validating the latest completed daily bar across independent sources.
- Symbol
- MFG
- Market
- NYSE
- Currency
- USD (US Dollar)
- Latest completed bar
- July 14, 2026
No adjustment factor (adjusted close equals raw close, factor 1.0). No stock splits or dividend adjustments affecting the analysis period.
| Source | Latest Close | Date | Difference | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yahoo Finance Chart API (primary) | 5.82 | July 14, 2026 | - | Verified |
| Finviz (independent) | 5.82 | July 14, 2026 (previous close) | 0.00% | Verified |
Bottom line
MFG Technical Analysis Summary
MFG (Mizuho Financial Group) shows a constructive technical picture with the stock in a gradual uptrend on both daily and weekly timeframes. On the daily chart, price at 5.82 is above SMA20 (5.59) and SMA50 (5.47), and trading near SMA200 (5.71), indicating a bullish configuration where short-term averages are above the long-term average. RSI14 at 56.21 is in neutral-bullish territory above the 50 midline, suggesting steady momentum without overbought conditions. The daily MACD shows the MACD line at 0.04 above the signal line at 0.02 with a slightly positive histogram, reflecting mild bullish momentum. On the weekly timeframe, price at 5.78 is above SMA20 (5.55) and SMA50 (5.35), though still slightly below SMA200 (5.88), reflecting a recovering longer-term trend. The weekly RSI at 54.83 is above 50, confirming the intermediate-term bullish bias. Key resistance lies at the 52-week high of 6.18, while support is established at the 20-day low of 5.23 and the SMA50 at 5.47. The broader picture supports a cautiously bullish outlook as long as MFG holds above its rising SMA50.
Multi-timeframe dashboard
Multi-Timeframe Technical Dashboard
Comparing daily (2-year) and weekly (5-year) perspectives to identify aligned or conflicting signals.
Daily (July 14, 2026)
- Trend
- Bullish. Price at 5.82 is above SMA20 (5.59, +4.11%), SMA50 (5.47, +6.40%), and trading near SMA200 (5.71, +1.93%). SMA20 and SMA50 are sloping upward with SMA20 above SMA50, forming a bullish moving average configuration. SMA200 is flattening, suggesting the long-term trend is stabilizing.
- Momentum
- Bullish with moderate bias. RSI14 at 56.21 is above the 50 midline, indicating positive momentum without approaching overbought levels. MACD line at 0.04 is above the signal line at 0.02 with a histogram of 0.02, showing a gentle bullish bias. Momentum is present but not aggressive.
- Volatility
- Moderate. ATR14 at 0.16 (2.75% of price) suggests average daily movement of about 2.75%. Bollinger Bands (5.29 to 6.19) show price in the middle to upper range of the bands, consistent with a gradual uptrend. Band width remains stable, indicating consistent volatility levels.
- Volume
- Near average. Latest volume of 782,400 is 92.3% of the 20-period average (847,600), indicating typical participation levels during the current advance.
Assessment
The daily chart presents a steadily constructive picture. MFG has established an uptrend with price above all major SMAs, and the SMA20/SMA50 alignment is bullish. The RSI at 56 suggests room for further upside before reaching overbought territory. The stock has been making higher lows since its 52-week low of 4.63 and is approaching its 52-week high, which is a positive structural development. Volume is consistent with the trend, showing neither unusual accumulation nor distribution. The main focus is whether MFG can break above the 6.18 resistance level to extend the uptrend.
Weekly (July 6, 2026 week)
- Trend
- Bullish with improving long-term structure. Price at 5.78 is above SMA20 (5.55) and SMA50 (5.35), and approaching SMA200 (5.88, -1.70%). SMA20 is above SMA50, confirming a bullish intermediate-term trend. The SMA200 is beginning to flatten, suggesting the multi-year downtrend may be transitioning.
- Momentum
- Bullish with steady bias. RSI14 at 54.83 is above the 50 midline, confirming the bullish stance at the weekly level. MACD line at 0.06 is above the signal line at 0.04 with a histogram of 0.02, consistent with a gradual but sustained bullish move.
- Volatility
- Moderate. ATR14 at 0.25 (4.32% of price) reflects typical weekly ranges. Bollinger Bands (4.91 to 6.49) show price near the upper half, supporting the uptrend assessment.
- Volume
- Near average. Weekly volume of 3,842,000 is 94.7% of the 20-week average (4,058,000), indicating steady participation without abnormal distribution.
Assessment
The weekly chart supports a bullish outlook for MFG. The stock has been in a gradual recovery since establishing a base around the 4.60-4.80 zone in late 2025. Price structure shows higher lows on the weekly timeframe since that base, and moving averages are in a bullish configuration. The approaching test of SMA200 at 5.88 is a key technical event. If MFG can break and hold above this level, it would confirm a multi-year trend reversal. The current RSI and MACD readings are consistent with a healthy uptrend, not an exhausted one.
Key indicators
MFG Key Technical Indicators
RSI, MACD, moving averages, ATR, and Bollinger Bands across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Indicator | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 56.21 | 54.83 |
| MACD (12, 26, 9) | 0.04 / 0.02 / 0.02 | 0.06 / 0.04 / 0.02 |
| ATR (14) | 0.16 (2.75%) | 0.25 (4.32%) |
| Bollinger Bands (20, 2) | 5.29 - 6.19 | 4.91 - 6.49 |
| SMA (20) | 5.59 | 5.55 |
| SMA (50) | 5.47 | 5.35 |
| SMA (200) | 5.71 | 5.88 |
Price structure
MFG Price Structure and Returns
Price performance across multiple lookback periods and 52-week position.
| Metric | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| Current Price | 5.82 | 5.78 |
| 1-Period Return | +0.52% | +1.05% |
| 5-Period Return | +1.93% | +3.40% |
| 20-Period Return | +4.49% | +7.04% |
| 60-Period Return | +12.14% | +15.14% |
| 252-Period Return | +18.05% | +14.68% |
| 52-Week Low | 4.63 | 4.63 |
| 52-Week High | 6.18 | 6.18 |
| 52-Week Position | 72.26% | 70.97% |
Key levels
MFG Support and Resistance Levels
Key price levels based on recent swing highs and lows across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Level | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| 20-Period High | 6.00 | 6.18 |
| 20-Period Low | 5.23 | 5.04 |
| 60-Period High | 6.18 | 6.18 |
| 60-Period Low | 4.93 | 4.63 |
Scenarios
MFG Technical Scenarios
Conditions, invalidation triggers, and what to watch for each scenario.
Bullish
Trigger
Price breaks above the 52-week high at 6.18 with increased volume and holds above SMA200 on the weekly chart, confirming a multi-year trend reversal.
Invalidation
Price falls back below SMA50 (5.47) and breaks the 20-day low at 5.23 on above-average volume.
What to watch
Daily RSI holding above 55; weekly RSI sustaining above 50; MACD histogram expanding; volume increasing on breakouts; price maintaining above SMA20 on pullbacks.
Range-Bound
Trigger
Price oscillates between support at the SMA50 (5.47) and resistance at the 52-week high (6.18) in a consolidation pattern.
Invalidation
A decisive break above 6.18 with strong volume or a breakdown below 5.23 with increasing selling pressure.
What to watch
RSI staying between 45 and 60; volume declining during consolidation; Bollinger Bands narrowing; SMA20 and SMA50 converging.
Bearish
Trigger
Price breaks below SMA50 (5.47) and the 20-day low at 5.23, with a weekly close below SMA20 (5.55) suggesting trend deterioration.
Invalidation
Price reclaims and holds above SMA20 (5.59) and establishes a higher low above 5.47.
What to watch
Daily RSI falling below 50; MACD line crossing below the signal line; volume increasing on down days; price making lower lows.
Methodology
Methodology and Limitations
This technical analysis uses adjusted closing prices from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Finviz (independent cross-validation). The daily analysis covers approximately 2 years (501 completed bars) ending July 14, 2026. The weekly analysis covers approximately 5 years (261 completed bars) ending the week of July 6, 2026. Prices are adjusted for dividends and stock splits using the adjusted close/raw close ratio. Volume data is from the primary source and may not match other data providers. Technical indicators include SMA, RSI, MACD, ATR, and Bollinger Bands using standard parameters. Key levels are identified from recent swing highs and lows. Technical analysis studies historical price patterns and does not constitute investment advice. It should not be used as the sole basis for trading decisions.
Frequently Asked Questions
This technical analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance and historical patterns are not guarantees of future results. All investments carry risk, including the potential loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data sourced from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Finviz (independent cross-validation). Data cutoffs: daily July 14, 2026, weekly July 6, 2026 week. Generated July 15, 2026.
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