MCO technical analysis

MCO Technical Analysis

Analysis date

July 15, 2026

Market

NYSE (USD)

Daily cutoff

July 14, 2026

Reliability

Passed

Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.

Data verification

MCO Data Verification

Cross-validating the latest completed daily bar across independent sources.

Symbol
MCO
Market
NYSE
Currency
USD (US Dollar)
Latest completed bar
July 14, 2026

No adjustment factor (adjusted close equals raw close, factor 1.0). No stock splits or dividend adjustments affecting the analysis period.

SourceLatest CloseDateDifferenceStatus
Yahoo Finance Chart API (primary)494.73July 14, 2026-Verified
Finviz (independent)494.73July 14, 2026 (previous close)0.00%Verified

Bottom line

MCO Technical Analysis Summary

MCO shows a constructive but mixed technical picture. The stock trades above all three key moving averages on both daily and weekly timeframes, confirming an overall bullish structure. However, the daily SMA200 sits fractionally above the SMA20, indicating the stock is in a consolidation phase after the pullback from its 52-week high of 544.40. RSI at 64.58 on the daily chart is bullish without being overbought, while the weekly RSI at 57.67 is neutral. The daily MACD histogram is positive and rising, and the weekly MACD has staged a bullish crossover from negative territory. Key resistance is at 504.91 (20-day and 60-day high), with a major resistance at the 52-week high of 544.40. Support rests at the SMA20 (468.65) and the 20-day low of 437.51. Volume is below average on both timeframes, suggesting the recent rally from the May lows is happening on reduced participation. The bull case is confirmed by a breakout above 504.91; a breakdown below 437.51 would suggest renewed weakness.

Multi-timeframe dashboard

Multi-Timeframe Technical Dashboard

Comparing daily (2-year) and weekly (5-year) perspectives to identify aligned or conflicting signals.

Daily (July 14, 2026)

Trend
Mixed but constructive. Price at 494.73 is above SMA20 (468.65), SMA50 (456.06), and SMA200 (469.54). The SMA50 at 456.06 is below both the SMA20 and SMA200, suggesting some medium-term weakness. The SMA200 at 469.54 above SMA20 at 468.65 indicates the long-term trend is slightly above the short-term direction, typical of a consolidation phase after a pullback from highs.
Momentum
Bullish. RSI14 at 64.58 is in bullish territory but below the 70 overbought threshold, suggesting room for further upside. MACD at 11.88 with signal at 8.85 and a positive rising histogram of 3.03 indicates accelerating bullish momentum.
Volatility
Moderate. ATR14 at 13.31 (2.69% of price) suggests average daily movement of about 2.7%. Bollinger Bands (427.14 to 510.16) are moderately wide with price near the upper band, reflecting upward momentum.
Volume
Below average. Latest volume of 652,244 is 62.2% of the 20-period average (1,049,067), indicating reduced participation during the recent rally.

Assessment

The daily chart shows a constructive setup with price above all key SMAs. RSI is bullish but not overbought, and the rising MACD histogram confirms improving momentum. The below-average volume during the rally warrants attention. The SMA200 sitting just above SMA20 reflects a consolidating structure. A sustained move above 504.91 (20-day and 60-day high) would confirm the next leg higher.

Weekly (July 6, 2026 week)

Trend
Mixed. Price at 487.28 is above SMA20 (451.12), SMA50 (475.13), and SMA200 (404.20). SMA50 at 475.13 sits above SMA20 at 451.12, indicating the medium-term trend is still above the short-term, but the gap has narrowed. SMA200 at 404.20 is well below and sloping upward, supporting the long-term uptrend.
Momentum
Improving. RSI14 at 57.67 is in neutral territory. MACD at -0.72 with signal at -6.60 and a positive histogram of 5.88 indicates a bullish crossover has occurred, with the MACD line moving above the signal line from negative territory. This suggests momentum is turning positive on the weekly scale.
Volatility
Moderate. ATR14 at 26.89 (5.52% of price) reflects normal weekly ranges for a large-cap financial services stock.
Volume
Below average. Weekly volume of 3,312,300 is 59.9% of the 20-week average (5,532,550), indicating reduced participation on the weekly scale.

Assessment

The weekly chart shows a stock that has pulled back from its May 2026 high of 544.40 and is in a consolidation phase. Price remains above all key SMAs, confirming the long-term uptrend is intact. The RSI in neutral territory provides room for movement in either direction. The MACD bullish crossover from negative values is a positive development. The volume decline during the pullback and subsequent rally is typical, but a pickup in volume would strengthen the bull case.

Key indicators

MCO Key Technical Indicators

RSI, MACD, moving averages, ATR, and Bollinger Bands across daily and weekly timeframes.

IndicatorDailyWeekly
RSI (14)64.5857.67
MACD (12, 26, 9)11.88 / 8.85 / 3.03-0.72 / -6.60 / 5.88
ATR (14)13.31 (2.69%)26.89 (5.52%)
Bollinger Bands (20, 2)427.14 - 510.16414.63 - 487.61
SMA (20)468.65451.12
SMA (50)456.06475.13
SMA (200)469.54404.20

Price structure

MCO Price Structure and Returns

Price performance across multiple lookback periods and 52-week position.

MetricDailyWeekly
Current Price494.73487.28
1-Period Return-0.20%-0.66%
5-Period Return-1.15%+7.96%
20-Period Return+10.47%+9.31%
60-Period Return+10.59%+0.50%
252-Period Return-0.13%+32.65%
52-Week Low400.46400.46
52-Week High544.40544.40
52-Week Position65.49%60.32%

Key levels

MCO Support and Resistance Levels

Key price levels based on recent swing highs and lows across daily and weekly timeframes.

LevelDailyWeekly
20-Period High504.91504.91
20-Period Low437.51421.16
60-Period High504.91544.40
60-Period Low426.21400.46

Scenarios

MCO Technical Scenarios

Conditions, invalidation triggers, and what to watch for each scenario.

Bullish

Trigger

Price breaks above the 20-period high at 504.91 with above-average volume.

Invalidation

Price falls below the 60-day low of 426.21.

What to watch

Sustained close above 504.91 followed by volume confirmation; RSI holding above 60 on pullbacks.

Range-Bound

Trigger

Price continues to oscillate between 437.51 support and 504.91 resistance.

Invalidation

A decisive break of either boundary with increasing volume.

What to watch

RSI staying between 40 and 60; volume remaining near or below average.

Bearish

Trigger

Price breaks below the 20-day low at 437.51 and then the 60-day low at 426.21.

Invalidation

Price reclaims the SMA50 (456.06) and holds above it.

What to watch

Sustained closes below SMA20 (468.65); MACD histogram turning negative; volume increasing on down days.

Methodology

Methodology and Limitations

This technical analysis uses adjusted closing prices from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Finviz (independent cross-validation). The daily analysis covers approximately 2 years (501 completed bars) ending July 14, 2026. The weekly analysis covers approximately 5 years (261 completed bars) ending the week of July 6, 2026. Prices are adjusted for dividends and stock splits using the adjusted close/raw close ratio. Volume data is from the primary source and may not match other data providers. Technical indicators include SMA, RSI, MACD, ATR, and Bollinger Bands using standard parameters. Key levels are identified from recent swing highs and lows. Technical analysis studies historical price patterns and does not constitute investment advice. It should not be used as the sole basis for trading decisions.

Frequently Asked Questions

This technical analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance and historical patterns are not guarantees of future results. All investments carry risk, including the potential loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Data sourced from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Finviz (independent cross-validation). Data cutoffs: daily July 14, 2026, weekly July 6, 2026 week. Generated July 15, 2026.