MCO technical analysis

MCO Technical Analysis

Analysis date

August 4, 2026

Market

NYSE (USD)

Daily cutoff

August 3, 2026

Reliability

Passed

Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.

Data verification

MCO Data Verification

Checking the latest completed daily bar for date and closing-price consistency before indicators are calculated.

Symbol
MCO
Market
NYSE
Currency
USD (US Dollar)
Latest completed bar
August 3, 2026

Historical prices are adjusted for corporate actions when applicable. Date and closing-price consistency checks passed for the latest completed daily bar.

Validation seriesLatest CloseDateDifferenceStatus
Calculation series483.36August 3, 2026-Verified
Verification series483.36August 3, 20260.00%Verified

Bottom line

MCO Technical Analysis Summary

MCO shows a pullback within a longer-term uptrend at the August 3, 2026 cutoff. The daily close of 483.36 is below the SMA20 at 490.58 but above the SMA50 at 468.72 and the SMA200 at 470.33, which cluster with the 20-day low at 468.37 into a support zone. Daily RSI14 at 51.44 is neutral and the MACD histogram is negative at -2.90, reflecting cooling near-term momentum after the advance toward 523.31. The weekly picture remains constructive: price at 478.38 is above every weekly moving average and the weekly MACD histogram is positive at 5.48 after a bullish crossover. Immediate resistance is the SMA20 at 490.58, with the 523.31 20-day and 60-day high and the 544.40 52-week high above. A close back above 490.58 would restore short-term strength, while a break below the 468 to 470 support zone would point toward the 426.21 60-day low.

Multi-timeframe dashboard

Multi-Timeframe Technical Dashboard

Comparing daily (2-year) and weekly (5-year) perspectives to identify aligned or conflicting signals.

Daily (August 3, 2026)

Trend
Mixed. Price at 483.36 is below SMA20 (490.58) but above SMA50 (468.72) and SMA200 (470.33). The SMA50 at 468.72 sits fractionally below the SMA200 at 470.33, while the SMA20 sits above both, reflecting the recent run higher followed by a pullback that has pushed price under the 20-day average.
Momentum
Neutral. RSI14 at 51.44 is near the neutral 50 level. MACD (3.07) is above zero but below its signal (5.97) with a negative histogram at -2.90, indicating fading near-term momentum after the decline from the 523.31 high.
Volatility
Moderate. ATR14 at 13.44 (2.78% of price) suggests average daily movement of about 2.8%. Bollinger Bands (466.44 to 514.73) are moderately wide with the close below the middle band, reflecting the recent pullback.
Volume
Below average. Latest volume of 700,000 is 80.2% of the 20-period average (872,845), indicating reduced participation during the pullback.

Assessment

The daily timeframe shows a pullback within a longer uptrend. Price has broken below the 20-day average and the MACD histogram has turned negative, but the close holds above the SMA50 and SMA200, which cluster with the 20-day low near 468 to 470. A hold above that support zone keeps the constructive picture intact, while a sustained break below it would open the way toward the 426.21 60-day low. The SMA20 at 490.58 is the near-term hurdle.

Weekly (July 27, 2026 week)

Trend
Mixed but constructive. Price at 478.38 is above SMA20 (455.39), SMA50 (473.92), and SMA200 (407.74). The SMA50 at 473.92 sits above the SMA20, reflecting the recent pullback, while the SMA200 remains well below and rising, supporting the longer-term uptrend.
Momentum
Improving. RSI14 at 53.05 is in neutral territory. MACD (3.83) is above its signal (-1.66) with a positive histogram at 5.48, confirming a bullish crossover from negative territory and turning momentum higher on the weekly scale.
Volatility
Moderate. ATR14 at 28.50 (5.96% of price) reflects normal weekly ranges for a large-cap financial services stock.
Volume
Slightly below average. Weekly volume of 4,521,400 is 90.1% of the 20-week average (5,019,940), indicating normal participation.

Assessment

The weekly timeframe remains constructive, with price above all key moving averages and a positive MACD histogram after a bullish crossover. The recent pullback has not broken the weekly structure. The 523.31 20-week high is the near-term resistance, with the 544.40 52-week high above; a break below the 421.20 20-week low would weaken the longer-term setup.

Key indicators

MCO Key Technical Indicators

RSI, MACD, moving averages, ATR, and Bollinger Bands across daily and weekly timeframes.

IndicatorDailyWeekly
RSI (14)51.4453.05
MACD (12, 26, 9)3.07 / 5.97 / -2.903.83 / -1.66 / 5.48
ATR (14)13.44 (2.78%)28.50 (5.96%)
Bollinger Bands (20, 2)466.44 - 514.73411.69 - 499.10
SMA (20)490.58455.39
SMA (50)468.72473.92
SMA (200)470.33407.74

Price structure

MCO Price Structure and Returns

Price performance across multiple lookback periods and 52-week position.

MetricDailyWeekly
Current Price483.36478.38
1-Period Return+1.04%+1.46%
5-Period Return-0.54%+6.30%
20-Period Return-3.09%+11.51%
60-Period Return+8.00%-1.34%
252-Period Return-5.49%+38.67%
52-Week Low400.46400.46
52-Week High544.40544.40
52-Week Position57.59%54.13%

Key levels

MCO Support and Resistance Levels

Key price levels based on recent swing highs and lows across daily and weekly timeframes.

LevelDailyWeekly
20-Period High523.31523.31
20-Period Low468.37421.20
60-Period High523.31544.40
60-Period Low426.21400.46

Scenarios

MCO Technical Scenarios

Conditions, invalidation triggers, and what to watch for each scenario.

Bullish

Trigger

Price closes back above the SMA20 at 490.58 and then breaks the 20-period high at 523.31 with above-average volume.

Invalidation

Price closes below the 60-day low at 426.21.

What to watch

RSI reclaiming the 50 to 60 zone, the daily MACD histogram turning positive, and volume expanding on the advance.

Range-Bound

Trigger

Price continues to oscillate between the support zone near 468.37 and resistance near 490.58 or 523.31.

Invalidation

A decisive break of either boundary with increasing volume.

What to watch

RSI staying between 40 and 60 and volume remaining near or below average.

Bearish

Trigger

Price breaks below the 20-day low at 468.37 and the SMA50 and SMA200 support cluster near 468 to 470, then targets the 60-day low at 426.21.

Invalidation

Price reclaims the SMA20 at 490.58 and holds above it.

What to watch

Sustained closes below the SMA200 at 470.33, the MACD histogram staying negative, and volume increasing on down days.

Methodology

Methodology and Limitations

This technical analysis is calculated locally from adjusted OHLCV history. The daily series ends August 3, 2026, and the weekly series ends July 27, 2026 week. The latest completed daily bar is independently checked for date and closing-price consistency. Historical prices are adjusted for corporate actions when applicable. Indicators include Wilder RSI(14), MACD(12,26,9), SMA20/50/200, Wilder ATR(14), Bollinger Bands(20,2), relative volume, multi-period returns, and price-range levels. Support and resistance are descriptive zones, not guaranteed reversal points. Historical patterns do not predict future prices, and this page is not investment advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

This technical analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance and historical patterns are not guarantees of future results. All investments carry risk, including the potential loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Market data is checked for date and closing-price consistency before indicators are calculated. Data cutoffs: daily August 3, 2026, weekly July 27, 2026 week. Generated August 4, 2026.