MCD technical analysis
MCD Technical Analysis
Analysis date
August 4, 2026
Market
NYSE (USD)
Daily cutoff
August 3, 2026
Reliability
Passed
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
Data verification
MCD Data Verification
Checking the latest completed daily bar for date and closing-price consistency before indicators are calculated.
- Symbol
- MCD
- Market
- NYSE
- Currency
- USD (US Dollar)
- Latest completed bar
- August 3, 2026
Historical prices are adjusted for corporate actions when applicable. Date and closing-price consistency checks passed for the latest completed daily bar.
| Validation series | Latest Close | Date | Difference | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calculation series | 265.23 | August 3, 2026 | - | Verified |
| Verification series | 265.23 | August 3, 2026 | 0.00% | Verified |
Bottom line
MCD Technical Analysis Summary
MCD technical analysis shows a bearish picture on the daily timeframe with price trading below all key moving averages (SMA20, SMA50, SMA200). The weekly trend is mixed, as price sits only marginally below the SMA200 at 276.51, suggesting the multi-year trend support is being tested. RSI14 at 43.19 (daily) and 39.57 (weekly) are in bearish territory below 50 but not yet oversold below 30. The daily MACD histogram has turned positive at 0.34 with the MACD line above its signal line, hinting at a possible stabilization, while the weekly histogram remains negative at -1.42. Key support is at the recent low of 260.96, which is also the 52-week low on the daily timeframe. Resistance rests at the 20-day high of 287.10 and the SMA20 at 270.07. The MCD technical outlook stays cautious: a breakdown below 260.96 would signal further downside, while a reclaim of the weekly SMA200 at 276.51 would improve the picture.
Multi-timeframe dashboard
Multi-Timeframe Technical Dashboard
Comparing daily (2-year) and weekly (5-year) perspectives to identify aligned or conflicting signals.
Daily (August 3, 2026)
- Trend
- Bearish. Price at 265.23 is below SMA20 (270.07), SMA50 (274.32), and SMA200 (297.58). All three SMAs are in a bearish alignment with the SMA20 below SMA50 below SMA200. The SMA200 is sloping downward, confirming the long-term downtrend.
- Momentum
- Bearish. RSI14 at 43.19 is below the 50 midpoint, indicating selling pressure without reaching oversold conditions. MACD at -1.94 with signal at -2.28 and a positive histogram of 0.34 shows the MACD line has crossed above the signal line, which can signal a potential stabilization in bearish momentum.
- Volatility
- Moderate. ATR14 at 5.93 (2.24% of price) suggests average daily movement of about 2.2%. Bollinger Bands (259.76 to 280.38) are relatively tight with price trading near the lower band, reflecting recent downside pressure.
- Volume
- Above average. Latest volume of 7,418,100 is 167.8% of the 20-period average (4,421,810), indicating elevated participation during the decline.
Assessment
The daily chart shows a clear bearish structure with price below all key moving averages. The SMA200 sloping downward confirms the long-term downtrend. RSI at 43.19 is bearish but not oversold, leaving room for further downside. The MACD histogram has turned positive, which could signal momentum stabilization. Price is testing the recent low at 260.96, which is also the 52-week low. A decisive break below 260.96 would open further downside; a reclaim of the SMA20 at 270.07 would suggest short-term improvement.
Weekly (July 27, 2026 week)
- Trend
- Mixed/Bearish. Price at 270.64 is below SMA20 (284.40) and SMA50 (298.32), but only marginally below SMA200 (276.51). The SMA200 is still sloping slightly upward, suggesting the multi-year trend support is being tested but not yet broken.
- Momentum
- Bearish. RSI14 at 39.57 is below the 50 midpoint. MACD at -9.48 with signal at -8.06 and a negative histogram of -1.42 confirms sustained bearish momentum on the weekly scale.
- Volatility
- Moderate. ATR14 at 11.69 (4.32% of price) reflects normal weekly ranges for a large-cap defensive stock in a downtrend.
- Volume
- Above average. Weekly volume of 22,792,000 is 116.0% of the 20-week average (19,649,740), indicating elevated participation during the decline.
Assessment
The weekly chart reinforces the bearish daily view with price below the shorter SMAs and only marginally below the SMA200 at 276.51. That level is the critical long-term support and price testing it suggests a make-or-break point for the multi-year trend. RSI at 39.57 is bearish without being oversold. The negative MACD histogram confirms sustained bearish momentum. Above-average weekly volume during the decline confirms distribution. A sustained breakdown below the SMA200 (276.51) and the recent low (260.96) would represent a significant bearish development.
Key indicators
MCD Key Technical Indicators
RSI, MACD, moving averages, ATR, and Bollinger Bands across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Indicator | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 43.19 | 39.57 |
| MACD (12, 26, 9) | -1.94 / -2.28 / 0.34 | -9.48 / -8.06 / -1.42 |
| ATR (14) | 5.93 (2.24%) | 11.69 (4.32%) |
| Bollinger Bands (20, 2) | 259.76 - 280.38 | 256.23 - 312.57 |
| SMA (20) | 270.07 | 284.40 |
| SMA (50) | 274.32 | 298.32 |
| SMA (200) | 297.58 | 276.51 |
Price structure
MCD Price Structure and Returns
Price performance across multiple lookback periods and 52-week position.
| Metric | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| Current Price | 265.23 | 270.64 |
| 1-Period Return | -2.00% | +2.22% |
| 5-Period Return | -2.01% | +0.33% |
| 20-Period Return | -5.11% | -16.54% |
| 60-Period Return | -6.01% | -9.81% |
| 252-Period Return | -9.47% | +24.29% |
| 52-Week Low | 260.96 | 260.96 |
| 52-Week High | 337.56 | 339.45 |
| 52-Week Position | 5.57% | 12.33% |
Key levels
MCD Support and Resistance Levels
Key price levels based on recent swing highs and lows across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Level | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| 20-Period High | 287.10 | 328.26 |
| 20-Period Low | 260.96 | 260.96 |
| 60-Period High | 289.44 | 339.45 |
| 60-Period Low | 260.96 | 260.96 |
Scenarios
MCD Technical Scenarios
Conditions, invalidation triggers, and what to watch for each scenario.
Bullish
Trigger
Price reclaims the SMA20 on the daily chart at 270.07 and holds above the SMA200 on the weekly chart at 276.51 with increasing volume.
Invalidation
Price breaks below the recent low of 260.96.
What to watch
Sustained close above SMA20 (270.07); RSI recovering above 50; MACD histogram turning more positive on the daily chart.
Range-Bound
Trigger
Price continues to oscillate between the 260.96 support and the 20-day high at 287.10.
Invalidation
A decisive break of either boundary with above-average volume.
What to watch
RSI oscillating between 30 and 50; volume remaining near or below average; MACD histogram staying near zero.
Bearish
Trigger
Price breaks decisively below the recent low at 260.96 with above-average volume.
Invalidation
Price reclaims the SMA50 (274.32 daily / 298.32 weekly) and holds above it.
What to watch
Sustained closes below 260.96; increasing downside volume; RSI dropping below 30 into oversold territory.
Methodology
Methodology and Limitations
This technical analysis is calculated locally from adjusted OHLCV history. The daily series ends August 3, 2026, and the weekly series ends July 27, 2026 week. The latest completed daily bar is independently checked for date and closing-price consistency. Historical prices are adjusted for corporate actions when applicable. Indicators include Wilder RSI(14), MACD(12,26,9), SMA20/50/200, Wilder ATR(14), Bollinger Bands(20,2), relative volume, multi-period returns, and price-range levels. Support and resistance are descriptive zones, not guaranteed reversal points. Historical patterns do not predict future prices, and this page is not investment advice.
Frequently Asked Questions
This technical analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance and historical patterns are not guarantees of future results. All investments carry risk, including the potential loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Market data is checked for date and closing-price consistency before indicators are calculated. Data cutoffs: daily August 3, 2026, weekly July 27, 2026 week. Generated August 4, 2026.
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