CME technical analysis
CME Technical Analysis
Analysis date
July 14, 2026
Market
NasdaqGS (USD)
Daily cutoff
July 13, 2026
Reliability
Passed
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
Data verification
CME Data Verification
Cross-validating the latest completed daily bar across independent sources.
- Symbol
- CME
- Market
- NasdaqGS
- Currency
- USD (US Dollar)
- Latest completed bar
- July 13, 2026
No adjustment factor (adjusted close equals raw close, factor 1.0). No stock splits or dividend adjustments affecting the analysis period.
| Source | Latest Close | Date | Difference | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yahoo Finance Chart API (primary) | 245.10 | July 13, 2026 | - | Verified |
| Finviz (independent) | 245.10 | July 13, 2026 (previous close) | 0.00% | Verified |
Bottom line
CME Technical Analysis Summary
CME Group displays a mixed technical picture across timeframes. On the daily chart, price has reclaimed the SMA20 (240.60) and the MACD has generated a bullish crossover with a positive and rising histogram, suggesting early signs of a short-term bounce. However, price remains below the SMA50 (262.90) and SMA200 (274.24), and RSI at 48.99 is neutral without clear directional conviction. The weekly chart remains firmly bearish: price is well below both SMA20 (279.51) and SMA50 (271.92), RSI at 39.67 is in bearish territory, and the MACD histogram is negative and declining. Key resistance is at the SMA50 (262.90) and the 20-day high (270.00). Key support is at the 20-day low (218.31). Bulls need a sustained close above 262.90 to challenge the intermediate downtrend; bears look for a breakdown below 218.31.
Multi-timeframe dashboard
Multi-Timeframe Technical Dashboard
Comparing daily (2-year) and weekly (5-year) perspectives to identify aligned or conflicting signals.
Daily (July 13, 2026)
- Trend
- Mixed. Price at 245.10 is above SMA20 (240.60) but below SMA50 (262.90) and SMA200 (274.24). The SMA20 has been recaptured, suggesting a short-term bounce, but the bearish alignment of SMA20 below SMA50 below SMA200 confirms the overall corrective structure.
- Momentum
- Neutral with bullish tilt. RSI14 at 48.99 is near the midline, showing no strong directional conviction. MACD at -6.40 with signal at -9.23 and a positive rising histogram of 2.83 indicates a recent bullish crossover, an early sign of shifting momentum.
- Volatility
- Moderate. ATR14 at 7.70 (3.14% of price) reflects normal daily ranges for a large-cap exchange operator. Bollinger Bands (212.74 to 268.45) show price near the lower half after recovering from the band low.
- Volume
- Below average. Latest volume of 2,237,400 is 54.5% of the 20-period average (4,102,190), indicating reduced participation during the bounce.
Assessment
The daily chart shows a nascent bounce with price reclaiming the SMA20 and a fresh MACD bullish crossover. RSI at 49 reflects neutral momentum. The structure remains corrective: price is still below SMA50/200 and in the lower 27% of the 52-week range. The bounce needs volume confirmation and a break above SMA50 (262.90) to suggest a more durable reversal.
Weekly (July 6, 2026 week)
- Trend
- Bearish. Price at 240.27 is below SMA20 (279.51) and SMA50 (271.92), confirming the intermediate downtrend. Price remains above SMA200 (212.99), keeping the very long-term uptrend intact. The bearish SMA alignment (SMA20 below SMA50) reflects sustained selling pressure.
- Momentum
- Bearish. RSI14 at 39.67 is in bearish territory and approaching oversold conditions. MACD at -10.37 with signal at -3.19 and a negative declining histogram of -7.18 confirms persistent downside momentum with no reversal signal yet.
- Volatility
- Elevated. ATR14 at 17.45 (7.26% of price) reflects above-average weekly ranges consistent with the ongoing decline.
- Volume
- Slightly above average. Weekly volume of 15,305,200 is 107.3% of the 20-week average (14,259,980), confirming above-normal participation during the selloff.
Assessment
The weekly chart shows a sustained corrective phase with a 19.7% decline over the past 20 weeks. RSI approaching 39.7 suggests the selloff is becoming extended, but the negative MACD histogram shows no momentum reversal yet. Price well below SMA20/50 reinforces the bearish intermediate trend. A base-building period would be needed before a durable recovery can develop.
Key indicators
CME Key Technical Indicators
RSI, MACD, moving averages, ATR, and Bollinger Bands across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Indicator | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 48.99 | 39.67 |
| MACD (12, 26, 9) | -6.40 / -9.23 / 2.83 | -10.37 / -3.19 / -7.18 |
| ATR (14) | 7.70 (3.14%) | 17.45 (7.26%) |
| Bollinger Bands (20, 2) | 212.74 - 268.45 | 227.59 - 331.44 |
| SMA (20) | 240.60 | 279.51 |
| SMA (50) | 262.90 | 271.92 |
| SMA (200) | 274.24 | 212.99 |
Price structure
CME Price Structure and Returns
Price performance across multiple lookback periods and 52-week position.
| Metric | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| Current Price | 245.10 | 240.27 |
| 1-Period Return | +2.01% | +1.55% |
| 5-Period Return | +4.40% | -6.17% |
| 20-Period Return | -6.51% | -19.73% |
| 60-Period Return | -17.02% | -9.24% |
| 252-Period Return | -7.47% | +55.93% |
| 52-Week Low | 218.31 | 218.31 |
| 52-Week High | 319.82 | 319.82 |
| 52-Week Position | 26.39% | 21.63% |
Key levels
CME Support and Resistance Levels
Key price levels based on recent swing highs and lows across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Level | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| 20-Period High | 270.00 | 319.82 |
| 20-Period Low | 218.31 | 218.31 |
| 60-Period High | 306.42 | 319.82 |
| 60-Period Low | 218.31 | 218.31 |
Scenarios
CME Technical Scenarios
Conditions, invalidation triggers, and what to watch for each scenario.
Bullish
Trigger
Price breaks above the SMA50 at 262.90 with above-average volume, followed by a move above the 20-day high at 270.00.
Invalidation
Price falls back below the SMA20 at 240.60 and then below the 20-day low of 218.31.
What to watch
Sustained close above SMA50; RSI moving above 60; MACD histogram continuing to rise on daily; volume increasing on up days.
Range-Bound
Trigger
Price oscillates between the 20-day low at 218.31 and the SMA50 at 262.90 without a decisive breakout.
Invalidation
A decisive break of either boundary with expanding volume.
What to watch
RSI staying between 35 and 55; volume declining from current levels; price respecting the 218.31 support zone.
Bearish
Trigger
Price breaks below the 20-day low at 218.31, establishing a new 52-week low.
Invalidation
Price reclaims the SMA20 (240.60) and holds above it for multiple sessions.
What to watch
Sustained closes below 218.31; increasing downside volume; weekly RSI falling below 35; MACD histogram on daily turning negative again.
Methodology
Methodology and Limitations
This technical analysis uses adjusted closing prices from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Finviz (independent cross-validation). The daily analysis covers approximately 2 years (500 completed bars) ending July 13, 2026. The weekly analysis covers approximately 5 years (261 completed bars) ending the week of July 6, 2026. Prices are adjusted for dividends and stock splits using the adjusted close/raw close ratio. Volume data is from the primary source and may not match other data providers. Technical indicators include SMA, RSI, MACD, ATR, and Bollinger Bands using standard parameters. Key levels are identified from recent swing highs and lows. Technical analysis studies historical price patterns and does not constitute investment advice. It should not be used as the sole basis for trading decisions.
Frequently Asked Questions
This technical analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance and historical patterns are not guarantees of future results. All investments carry risk, including the potential loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data sourced from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Finviz (independent cross-validation). Data cutoffs: daily July 13, 2026, weekly July 6, 2026 week. Generated July 14, 2026.
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