BWXT technical analysis
BWXT Technical Analysis
Analysis date
July 18, 2026
Market
NYSE (USD)
Daily cutoff
July 17, 2026
Reliability
Passed
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
Data verification
BWXT Data Verification
Cross-validating the latest completed daily bar across independent sources.
- Symbol
- BWXT
- Market
- NYSE
- Currency
- USD (US Dollar)
- Latest completed bar
- July 17, 2026
No adjustment factor (adjusted close equals raw close, factor 1.0). No stock splits or dividend adjustments affecting the analysis period.
| Source | Latest Close | Date | Difference | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yahoo Finance Chart API (primary) | 179.86 | July 17, 2026 | - | Verified |
| Finviz (independent) | 179.86 | July 17, 2026 (previous close) | 0.00% | Verified |
Bottom line
BWXT Technical Analysis Summary
BWXT (BWX Technologies) is in a pronounced corrective phase after peaking near 242 in late 2025. On the daily chart, price at 179.86 has fallen decisively below SMA20 (194.84), SMA50 (196.50), and SMA200 (198.87), with all three moving averages sloping downward. RSI14 at 32.69 is in bearish territory near oversold levels, and the daily MACD has shown sustained negative histogram readings since the breakdown below 200. The weekly timeframe confirms the structural downtrend with price below all key SMAs and RSI at 41.30. Key resistance sits at SMA20 (194.84) and the 50-day high (204.46). Support rests at 176.27 (20-day low) and 136.18 (52-week low). A recovery above SMA200 (198.87) would be needed to suggest the trend is turning.
Multi-timeframe dashboard
Multi-Timeframe Technical Dashboard
Comparing daily (2-year) and weekly (5-year) perspectives to identify aligned or conflicting signals.
Daily (July 17, 2026)
- Trend
- Bearish. Price at 179.86 is below SMA20 (194.84, -7.69%), SMA50 (196.50, -8.47%), and SMA200 (198.87, -9.56%). All three major moving averages are sloping downward with bearish alignment (SMA20 below SMA50 below SMA200). The stock has been in a sustained downtrend since late 2025.
- Momentum
- Bearish with oversold risk. RSI14 at 32.69 is below the 50 midline and approaching the oversold threshold of 30, indicating persistent bearish momentum. MACD line at -6.82 is below the signal line at -6.05 with a negative histogram of -0.77, confirming ongoing bearish momentum.
- Volatility
- Elevated. ATR14 at 7.66 (4.47% of price) reflects above-average daily swings for a defense stock. Bollinger Bands (169.51 to 212.51) show price near the lower band, consistent with the sharp selloff. Band width is expanding, indicating increasing volatility.
- Volume
- Near average. Latest volume of 1,186,666 is 105.1% of the 20-period average (1,129,120), suggesting institutional participation in the selloff.
Assessment
The daily chart paints a clearly bearish picture. BWXT has broken below all major moving averages, and RSI is approaching oversold territory. The MACD histogram has been consistently negative since the breakdown below 200. Volume has been near or above average on down days, confirming distribution. The stock has retraced significantly from its 52-week high of 241.82, currently trading at the 41.1% position within the 52-week range. The 14-day ATR of 7.66 suggests downside momentum could continue with sharp moves.
Weekly (July 13, 2026 week)
- Trend
- Bearish. Price at 177.14 is below SMA20 (200.17), SMA50 (197.25), and SMA200 (162.38). SMA20 and SMA50 are sloping downward while SMA200 continues to rise, creating a potential bearish crossover setup.
- Momentum
- Bearish with improving risk-reward. RSI14 at 41.30 is in bearish territory but not oversold. MACD line at -0.37 has crossed below the signal line at 1.47 with a negative histogram of -1.83, indicating bearish momentum is accelerating at the weekly level.
- Volatility
- Elevated. ATR14 at 13.97 (7.67% of price) reflects unusually wide weekly ranges, consistent with the corrective phase. Bollinger Bands (156.85 to 240.50) are wide with price near the lower band.
- Volume
- Slightly below average. Weekly volume of 5,121,700 is 85.1% of the 20-week average (6,018,600), indicating moderate participation in the decline.
Assessment
The weekly chart confirms the severity of the downtrend. Price has broken below SMA20 and SMA50 on the weekly timeframe, and the weekly MACD has turned negative for the first time in over a year. However, SMA200 at 162.38 provides a potential floor, and the stock has gained 29.24% over the trailing year despite the recent pullback. The 52-week position at 36.7% shows the stock is deep in the lower half of its annual range. The weekly structure suggests further downside risk toward SMA200 support before any meaningful bounce.
Key indicators
BWXT Key Technical Indicators
RSI, MACD, moving averages, ATR, and Bollinger Bands across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Indicator | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 32.69 | 41.30 |
| MACD (12, 26, 9) | -6.82 / -6.05 / -0.77 | -0.37 / 1.47 / -1.83 |
| ATR (14) | 7.66 (4.47%) | 13.97 (7.67%) |
| Bollinger Bands (20, 2) | 169.51 - 212.51 | 156.85 - 240.50 |
| SMA (20) | 194.84 | 200.17 |
| SMA (50) | 196.50 | 197.25 |
| SMA (200) | 198.87 | 162.38 |
Price structure
BWXT Price Structure and Returns
Price performance across multiple lookback periods and 52-week position.
| Metric | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| Current Price | 179.86 | 177.14 |
| 1-Period Return | +1.54% | -4.76% |
| 5-Period Return | -7.97% | -10.00% |
| 20-Period Return | -15.70% | -11.97% |
| 60-Period Return | -16.96% | -8.55% |
| 252-Period Return | -5.92% | +29.24% |
| 52-Week Low | 136.18 | 136.18 |
| 52-Week High | 241.82 | 241.82 |
| 52-Week Position | 41.12% | 36.74% |
Key levels
BWXT Support and Resistance Levels
Key price levels based on recent swing highs and lows across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Level | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| 20-Period High | 207.76 | 240.50 |
| 20-Period Low | 176.27 | 165.94 |
| 60-Period High | 222.10 | 241.82 |
| 60-Period Low | 176.27 | 136.18 |
Scenarios
BWXT Technical Scenarios
Conditions, invalidation triggers, and what to watch for each scenario.
Bullish
Trigger
Price reclaims SMA20 (194.84) and SMA200 (198.87) with above-average volume, establishing a reversal from the oversold conditions.
Invalidation
Price fails to hold above 176.27 (20-day low) and breaks below the 52-week low at 136.18.
What to watch
Daily RSI recovering above 40; MACD histogram turning less negative; volume drying up on down days; weekly RSI holding above 35.
Range-Bound
Trigger
Price stabilizes between support at 176.27 (20-day low) and resistance at SMA20 (194.84), consolidating after the sharp decline.
Invalidation
A decisive break above 200 or below 176.27 with above-average volume.
What to watch
RSI oscillating between 30 and 45; MACD histogram flattening near zero; Bollinger Bands contracting; weekly price holding above 165.
Bearish
Trigger
Price breaks below the 20-day low at 176.27 and continues toward the 52-week low at 136.18, extending the correction.
Invalidation
Price reclaims and holds above 180 with a strong volume day establishing a higher low.
What to watch
Daily RSI staying below 35; MACD histogram deepening; volume increasing on breakdown days; weekly ADX above 30 with -DI dominating.
Methodology
Methodology and Limitations
This technical analysis uses adjusted closing prices from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Finviz (independent cross-validation). The daily analysis covers approximately 2 years (501 completed bars) ending July 17, 2026. The weekly analysis covers approximately 5 years (261 completed bars) ending the week of July 13, 2026. Prices are adjusted for dividends and stock splits using the adjusted close/raw close ratio. Volume data is from the primary source and may not match other data providers. Technical indicators include SMA, RSI, MACD, ATR, and Bollinger Bands using standard parameters. Key levels are identified from recent swing highs and lows. Technical analysis studies historical price patterns and does not constitute investment advice. It should not be used as the sole basis for trading decisions.
Frequently Asked Questions
This technical analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance and historical patterns are not guarantees of future results. All investments carry risk, including the potential loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data sourced from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Finviz (independent cross-validation). Data cutoffs: daily July 17, 2026, weekly July 13, 2026 week. Generated July 18, 2026.
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