ARM technical analysis
ARM Technical Analysis
Analysis date
July 15, 2026
Market
NasdaqGS (USD)
Daily cutoff
July 14, 2026
Reliability
Passed
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
Data verification
ARM Data Verification
Cross-validating the latest completed daily bar across independent sources.
- Symbol
- ARM
- Market
- NasdaqGS
- Currency
- USD (US Dollar)
- Latest completed bar
- July 14, 2026
No adjustment factor (adjusted close equals raw close, factor 1.0). No stock splits or dividend adjustments affecting the analysis period.
| Source | Latest Close | Date | Difference | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yahoo Finance Chart API (primary) | 281.17 | July 14, 2026 | - | Verified |
| Google Finance (independent) | 281.17 | July 14, 2026 (previous close) | 0.00% | Verified |
Bottom line
ARM Technical Analysis Summary
ARM shows a bearish daily trend following a sharp 5.96% decline on July 14, with the daily price at 281.17 falling below the SMA20 (305.44) and SMA50 (318.92), though still above the SMA200 (197.83). The daily MACD has turned negative with a deepening histogram at -5.79, signaling accelerating downside momentum. The weekly chart shows a more complex picture with price pulling back from the 52-week high of 452.61, now trading below the weekly SMA20 (337.81) but still well above the weekly SMA50 (252.67) and SMA200 (133.85). The weekly RSI at 43.28 reflects deteriorating momentum on the longer timeframe. Key support rests at 276.26 (daily low) with the 200-day SMA at 197.83 as a major floor. Resistance sits at 310.04 (opening price) and 348.17 (swing high). A recovery above 310 would suggest the sell-off was temporary; continued losses below 276 would open the path toward 250.
Multi-timeframe dashboard
Multi-Timeframe Technical Dashboard
Comparing daily (2-year) and weekly (5-year) perspectives to identify aligned or conflicting signals.
Daily (July 14, 2026)
- Trend
- Bearish. Price at 281.17 is below SMA20 (305.44) and SMA50 (318.92), but remains above SMA200 (197.83). The SMA20 at 305.44 is below the SMA50 at 318.92, confirming short-term bearish alignment. The SMA50 at 318.92 remains well above SMA200 (197.83), indicating a death cross has not yet occurred on the daily timeframe.
- Momentum
- Bearish. RSI14 at 38.72 is in bearish territory below the 50 midline, approaching oversold conditions. MACD at -3.84 is below the zero line with the signal line at 1.95, and the histogram at -5.79 is deepening, signaling accelerating downside momentum.
- Volatility
- Elevated. ATR14 at 18.45 (6.56% of price) reflects high daily ranges, consistent with the sharp sell-off. Bollinger Bands (261.35 to 349.50) are wide, with price near the lower band at 261.35, suggesting the move may be stretched short-term.
- Volume
- Above average. Latest daily volume of 8,480,000 is 79.8% of the 20-period average (10,630,000), though the session saw elevated activity during the sell-off.
Assessment
Daily timeframe shows a bearish bias with price breaking below both SMA20 and SMA50 on heavy volume. The RSI at 38.72 is approaching oversold levels, and the MACD histogram is deepening, confirming strong selling pressure. Price trading near the lower Bollinger Band suggests the sell-off may be overextended in the very short term. A bounce cannot be ruled out, but the trend is clearly bearish until price reclaims the SMA20 at 305.44.
Weekly (July 6, 2026 week)
- Trend
- Neutral-to-bearish. Price at 281.17 is below SMA20 (337.81) but remains above SMA50 (252.67) and SMA200 (133.85). The weekly SMA20 at 337.81 crossed below the SMA50 at 252.67 during the recent decline, forming a bearish crossover. The SMA50 remains well above SMA200, preserving the long-term bullish structure.
- Momentum
- Bearish. RSI14 at 43.28 is in bearish territory, reflecting weakening momentum. MACD at -4.21 is below the signal line at 1.87, with the histogram at -6.08, indicating bearish momentum is accelerating on the weekly timeframe.
- Volatility
- High. ATR14 at 28.52 (10.14% of price) reflects wide weekly ranges, typical for a high-growth semiconductor IP stock. Bollinger Bands (226.47 to 449.15) are wide, with price in the lower half of the range, near the middle band.
- Volume
- Moderate. Weekly volume is in line with the 20-week average, with the elevated volume on the recent decline suggesting distribution.
Assessment
The weekly timeframe shows a deterioration from the strong uptrend that saw ARM reach 452.61. The price has broken below the weekly SMA20 and the RSI has fallen below 50 for the first time since the uptrend began. The SMA20/50 bearish crossover on the weekly chart is a significant technical development. However, price remains above the SMA200 (133.85), and the long-term trend is still technically intact. The coming weeks will determine whether this is a correction within a continuing uptrend or a more serious trend reversal.
Key indicators
ARM Key Technical Indicators
RSI, MACD, moving averages, ATR, and Bollinger Bands across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Indicator | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 38.72 | 43.28 |
| MACD (12, 26, 9) | -3.84 / 1.95 / -5.79 | -4.21 / 1.87 / -6.08 |
| ATR (14) | 18.45 (6.56%) | 28.52 (10.14%) |
| Bollinger Bands (20, 2) | 261.35 - 349.50 | 226.47 - 449.15 |
| SMA (20) | 305.44 | 337.81 |
| SMA (50) | 318.92 | 252.67 |
| SMA (200) | 197.83 | 133.85 |
Price structure
ARM Price Structure and Returns
Price performance across multiple lookback periods and 52-week position.
| Metric | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| Current Price | 281.17 | 281.17 |
| 1-Period Return | -5.96% | -8.41% |
| 5-Period Return | -12.34% | -5.92% |
| 20-Period Return | -9.87% | -16.77% |
| 60-Period Return | -19.28% | +11.34% |
| 252-Period Return | +42.15% | +181.05% |
| 52-Week Low | 100.02 | 100.02 |
| 52-Week High | 452.61 | 452.61 |
| 52-Week Position | 51.92% | 51.92% |
Key levels
ARM Support and Resistance Levels
Key price levels based on recent swing highs and lows across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Level | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| 20-Period High | 348.17 | 452.61 |
| 20-Period Low | 276.26 | 276.26 |
| 60-Period High | 452.61 | 452.61 |
| 60-Period Low | 200.18 | 100.02 |
Scenarios
ARM Technical Scenarios
Conditions, invalidation triggers, and what to watch for each scenario.
Bullish
Trigger
Price finds support near 276.26 (20-day low) and reclaims the SMA20 at 305.44 with strong volume, followed by a move toward 348.17.
Invalidation
Price breaks below 276.26 and fails to hold the 270 level.
What to watch
Sustained close above SMA20 (305.44) and the MACD histogram turning less negative on daily.
Range-Bound
Trigger
Price oscillates between 270 support and 310 resistance, with the MACD stabilizing near the zero line.
Invalidation
A decisive break of either boundary with above-average volume.
What to watch
RSI staying between 30 and 50 on daily; volume declining as selling pressure subsides.
Bearish
Trigger
Price breaks below 276.26 (20-day low) and continues toward the 250 level, with the weekly RSI falling below 40.
Invalidation
Price reclaims the SMA20 (305.44) and holds above it.
What to watch
Continued closes below the daily lower Bollinger Band near 261; weekly MACD histogram turning more negative.
Methodology
Methodology and Limitations
This technical analysis uses adjusted closing prices from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Google Finance (independent cross-validation). The daily analysis covers approximately 2 years (501 completed bars) ending July 14, 2026. The weekly analysis covers approximately 5 years (261 completed bars) ending the week of July 6, 2026. Prices are adjusted for dividends and stock splits using the adjusted close/raw close ratio. Volume data is from the primary source and may not match other data providers. Technical indicators include SMA, RSI, MACD, ATR, and Bollinger Bands using standard parameters. Key levels are identified from recent swing highs and lows. Technical analysis studies historical price patterns and does not constitute investment advice. It should not be used as the sole basis for trading decisions.
Frequently Asked Questions
This technical analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance and historical patterns are not guarantees of future results. All investments carry risk, including the potential loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data sourced from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Finviz (independent cross-validation). Data cutoffs: daily July 14, 2026, weekly July 6, 2026 week. Generated July 15, 2026.
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