AER technical analysis
AER Technical Analysis
Analysis date
July 17, 2026
Market
NYSE (USD)
Daily cutoff
July 16, 2026
Reliability
Passed
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
Data verification
AER Data Verification
Cross-validating the latest completed daily bar across independent sources.
- Symbol
- AER
- Market
- NYSE
- Currency
- USD (US Dollar)
- Latest completed bar
- July 16, 2026
No adjustment factor (adjusted close equals raw close, factor 1.0). No stock splits or dividend adjustments affecting the analysis period.
| Source | Latest Close | Date | Difference | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yahoo Finance Chart API (primary) | 146.97 | July 16, 2026 | - | Verified |
| Finviz (independent) | 146.97 | July 16, 2026 (previous close) | 0.00% | Verified |
Bottom line
AER Technical Analysis Summary
AER (AerCap Holdings) continues to display a strong bullish structure on both daily and weekly timeframes. The stock is trading at 146.97, well above SMA20 (138.07), SMA50 (128.47), and SMA200 (113.69), confirming a well-established uptrend. RSI14 at 62.88 on the daily chart indicates healthy bullish momentum without overbought conditions, leaving room for further upside. The weekly RSI at 62.85 similarly reflects sustained strength. Daily MACD shows the MACD line at 4.47 above the signal line at 3.89 with a positive histogram of 0.58, confirming bullish momentum. AER has gained 29.15% over the past year and trades near the upper end of its 52-week range (105.65 - 155.99), currently at the 89th percentile of its annual range. Key resistance sits at the 52-week high of 155.99, while support levels are at 138.51 (20-day low) and 125.89 (50-day SMA proxy). The stock has been in a steady uptrend since its 52-week low of 105.65, with only minor pullbacks.
Multi-timeframe dashboard
Multi-Timeframe Technical Dashboard
Comparing daily (2-year) and weekly (5-year) perspectives to identify aligned or conflicting signals.
Daily (July 16, 2026)
- Trend
- Strongly bullish. Price at 146.97 is well above SMA20 (138.07, +6.45%) and SMA50 (128.47, +14.40%), and far above SMA200 (113.69, +29.27%). All three moving averages are sloping upward in a properly ordered bullish alignment (SMA20 > SMA50 > SMA200). The stock has been in a consistent uptrend since late 2023, with higher highs and higher lows.
- Momentum
- Bullish. RSI14 at 62.88 is above the 50 midline, indicating solid bullish momentum without entering overbought territory (above 70). This suggests there is still room for further upside. MACD line at 4.47 is above the signal line at 3.89, and the histogram at 0.58 remains positive. The MACD has been consistently positive since the uptrend began.
- Volatility
- Moderate. ATR14 at 3.62 (2.46% of price) indicates average daily movement of about 2.5%. Bollinger Bands (130.72 to 148.16) show price near the upper band, consistent with the trending uptrend. Band width is moderate, reflecting normal volatility for a large-cap industrial stock.
- Volume
- Below average. Latest volume of 656,186 is 51.2% of the 20-period average (1,282,016), indicating reduced participation. The lower volume on recent up days is not unusual for a stock in a steady uptrend without major news catalysts.
Assessment
The daily chart reflects a healthy, well-established uptrend. Price is above all key moving averages with bullish alignment. RSI at 62.88 is in a constructive range — not overbought despite the prolonged rally. The MACD remains positive and supportive of the trend. The only mild concern is below-average volume on recent sessions, but this is typical for a steady trend stock without a fresh catalyst. The stock sits at approximately 89% of its 52-week range, which is elevated but not extreme for a stock in a strong uptrend.
Weekly (July 13, 2026 week)
- Trend
- Strongly bullish. Price at 146.97 is above SMA20 (129.48), SMA50 (116.24), and SMA200 (97.93), with all three moving averages sloping upward. SMA20 is well above SMA50, which is above SMA200 — the textbook definition of a bullish moving average alignment. The weekly chart confirms a multi-year uptrend.
- Momentum
- Bullish. RSI14 at 62.85 is comfortably above the 50 midline, consistent with the daily RSI and confirming sustained momentum at the weekly level. MACD line at 7.32 is above the signal line at 5.73 with a positive histogram of 1.59, indicating healthy medium-term momentum.
- Volatility
- Moderate. ATR14 at 5.93 (4.04% of price) reflects typical weekly ranges. Bollinger Bands (115.45 to 153.15) are widening slightly, which can be consistent with a trending market.
- Volume
- Near average. Weekly volume of 3,724,000 is 92.8% of the 20-week average (4,013,000), indicating normal participation levels.
Assessment
The weekly chart confirms the structural uptrend. All three major SMAs are in bullish alignment. The stock has been making higher highs and higher lows since its 52-week low of 105.65. RSI at 62.85 suggests the trend has room to continue before reaching overbought conditions. The weekly MACD is firmly positive and supportive. There is no technical evidence of trend exhaustion at the weekly level. The 52-week high at 155.99 is the next meaningful resistance level.
Key indicators
AER Key Technical Indicators
RSI, MACD, moving averages, ATR, and Bollinger Bands across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Indicator | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 62.88 | 62.85 |
| MACD (12, 26, 9) | 4.47 / 3.89 / 0.58 | 7.32 / 5.73 / 1.59 |
| ATR (14) | 3.62 (2.46%) | 5.93 (4.04%) |
| Bollinger Bands (20, 2) | 130.72 - 148.16 | 115.45 - 153.15 |
| SMA (20) | 138.07 | 129.48 |
| SMA (50) | 128.47 | 116.24 |
| SMA (200) | 113.69 | 97.93 |
Price structure
AER Price Structure and Returns
Price performance across multiple lookback periods and 52-week position.
| Metric | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| Current Price | 146.97 | 146.97 |
| 1-Period Return | -0.13% | +1.21% |
| 5-Period Return | +0.49% | +2.83% |
| 20-Period Return | +3.52% | +9.45% |
| 60-Period Return | +10.48% | +28.15% |
| 252-Period Return | +29.15% | +30.16% |
| 52-Week Low | 105.65 | 105.65 |
| 52-Week High | 155.99 | 155.99 |
| 52-Week Position | 88.68% | 88.68% |
Key levels
AER Support and Resistance Levels
Key price levels based on recent swing highs and lows across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Level | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| 20-Period High | 148.16 | 149.14 |
| 20-Period Low | 138.51 | 130.22 |
| 60-Period High | 149.68 | 155.99 |
| 60-Period Low | 125.89 | 105.65 |
Scenarios
AER Technical Scenarios
Conditions, invalidation triggers, and what to watch for each scenario.
Bullish
Trigger
Price breaks above the 52-week high at 155.99 with increasing volume, confirming trend continuation.
Invalidation
Price falls below SMA50 (128.47) on the daily chart, breaking the uptrend structure.
What to watch
Daily RSI sustaining above 55; MACD histogram expanding; price holding above SMA20 (138.07) on pullbacks; volume increasing on break attempts above 155.99.
Continuation / Consolidation
Trigger
Price consolidates between 140 and 155, building a base before the next leg higher.
Invalidation
A decisive break below 138.51 (20-day low) or above 155.99 with volume.
What to watch
RSI oscillating between 55 and 65; Bollinger Bands narrowing; volume declining during consolidation and increasing on breakouts.
Bearish Reversal
Trigger
Price fails at the 52-week high and breaks below SMA20 (138.07), then SMA50 (128.47), suggesting a trend reversal.
Invalidation
Price reclaims and holds above 140 and makes a new swing high above 155.99.
What to watch
Daily RSI falling below 55; MACD histogram turning negative; weekly RSI crossing below 50; increasing volume on down days.
Methodology
Methodology and Limitations
This technical analysis uses adjusted closing prices from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Finviz (independent cross-validation). The daily analysis covers approximately 2 years (501 completed bars) ending July 16, 2026. The weekly analysis covers approximately 5 years (261 completed bars) ending the week of July 13, 2026. Prices are adjusted for dividends and stock splits using the adjusted close/raw close ratio. Volume data is from the primary source and may not match other data providers. Technical indicators include SMA, RSI, MACD, ATR, and Bollinger Bands using standard parameters. Key levels are identified from recent swing highs and lows. Technical analysis studies historical price patterns and does not constitute investment advice. It should not be used as the sole basis for trading decisions.
Frequently Asked Questions
This technical analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance and historical patterns are not guarantees of future results. All investments carry risk, including the potential loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data sourced from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Finviz (independent cross-validation). Data cutoffs: daily July 16, 2026, weekly July 13, 2026 week. Generated July 17, 2026.
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