Finance tasks
Economics analysis
Indexedyennanliu/InvestSkill
US Economics Analysis (InvestSkill)Finance Skill
This prompt offers an economic research checklist, not a validated forecasting model. Review found an undefined recession-probability composite, a misleading LIBOR-to-SOFR substitution, incorrect forecast-horizon wording and a bear market mixed into recession history. Source each series and release vintage, and treat policy-to-market rules as hypotheses. Its defensive short-volatility suggestion is not a reliable risk safeguard. No live forecast or investment outcome was tested.
- Assessment score
- 57/100
- Snapshot risk
- High
- Audit conclusion
- Needs review
How the assessment score works
Pineify weights evidence recorded from the captured files: Skill structure 15%, Instruction clarity 20%, Dependency transparency 20%, Permission transparency 20%, Safety guardrails 15%, Finance task fit 10%. Each signal receives full credit for Yes, one-quarter credit for unknown, and none for No.
The score is not an output accuracy test or user rating. Read the findings and financial assumptions even when the score is high. Risk labels summarize recorded permissions and findings; they do not measure investment risk or certify that installation is safe.
Discovery
What this Skill helps an agent do.
Use the tasks and topics below to judge whether the captured workflow fits your question. Read its findings, dependencies and data requirements before relying on an output.
Domains and assets
Equity researchFundamental analysisPublic equities
Topics
macroeconomicsyield-curvecredit-spreadsrecession-probabilitymonetary-policyfiscal-policyglobal-macrosector-rotationcentral-bankseconomic-indicators
Trust
Evidence from the captured directory.
This content snapshot assessment does not certify the repository, current files, or installation environment. "Not verified" means the captured files did not support a Yes or No conclusion.
License
MITYes
GitHub reports the repository license as MIT License.
Review state
- Automated review
- Automated review
- Install tested
- No
- Human reviewed
- Not verified
Snapshot
- Files reviewed
- 1
- Captured
- 2026-07-29 07:31 UTC
- Snapshot ID
- fsh-economics-analysis-yennanliu-2026-07-29-001
Permissions
FilesystemRead
NoThe skill does not read local files. It accepts ticker symbols or economic data as input.
FilesystemWrite
NoThe skill does not write local files. Output is presented as text.
NetworkAccess
YesData verification requires web search for current economic data (yield curves, credit spreads, PMI, employment, Fed rates, NY Fed recession model, LEI, Sahm Rule).
ShellExecution
NoPure prompt skill with no code execution.
CodeExecution
NoPure prompt skill with no code execution.
ExternalCredentials
Not verifiedPublic economic releases exist, but access to named proprietary index histories and data retrieval is not specified or tested.
Dependencies
No dependencies were named in this captured record.
Data sources named by the Skill
Web market data
Economic releases and index data must be retrieved with their source, observation date and vintage; no connector or universal access entitlement is captured.
Snapshot assessment
57/100
Pineify Finance Skill snapshot assessment, version 1.0.0. Generated 2026-10-20 00:00 UTC.
High risk · Needs review
Skill structure
70/100Instruction clarity
66/100Dependency transparency
59/100Permission transparency
75/100Safety guardrails
15/100Finance task fit
46/100Audit findings
High
The composite is not a defined recession probability model
No weights, normalization, estimation sample or calibration convert the five indicators into the displayed percentage zones. The New York Fed model estimates recession twelve months ahead, not the chance of any recession during the next twelve months; its result is uncertain, not a near-certain trade instruction. Inversion-duration deadlines, a fixed HY lead of two to four weeks, DXY thresholds and broad policy-to-asset predictions lack supporting evidence here. Short volatility can lose heavily in stressed markets and must not be presented as an inherently defensive posture.
High
Historical TED cannot simply replace LIBOR with SOFR
FRED discontinued TEDRATE in 2022. Its historical definition is three-month USD LIBOR minus a three-month Treasury bill rate. SOFR measures secured overnight Treasury-repo borrowing, so substitution changes both tenor and credit exposure; historical TED crisis thresholds cannot be applied unchanged to a new SOFR spread. Specify the exact replacement series and methodology rather than calling it the same interbank-risk measure.
Medium
Indicator levels require a defined source and economic context
PMI readings above or below 50 describe the surveyed sector relative to the prior month, not an automatic economy-wide recession or GDP growth rate. Match survey provider, sector and release vintage. Breakeven inflation includes risk and liquidity effects and is not a pure expected-inflation measure. Rate cuts can accompany deteriorating growth, and currency effects depend on surprises, hedging and revenue exposure. Fixed real-yield and DXY cutoffs are assumptions, not universal policy or equity-return boundaries. Do not substitute training-memory estimates for released macro observations.
Medium
Use release vintages and the actual recession chronology
The Sahm rule uses a 0.50 percentage-point rise in a three-month unemployment average relative to the previous twelve-month minimum. Real-time means the data available then; FRED notes annual unemployment seasonal revisions, so revision-free is inaccurate. The 2022–2023 bear-market row is not an NBER-dated recession. Equity peak-to-trough losses need their own dates and price-versus-total-return definition, not assignment to a recession year. LEI evaluation includes depth, duration and diffusion; the source shortcuts are not a full provider methodology.
Low
No explicit slash command or input format examples
The skill does not provide explicit slash command triggers or input format examples. It is a macroeconomic analysis framework that accepts economic data as input. The data verification step implies web search for current data.
Low
No supporting files or README in the snapshot
The skill directory contains only SKILL.md with no README, reference files, or supporting documentation. All instructions are inline in the 17,200 byte SKILL.md.
Sources and relations
Context around this Skill.
Repository
yennanliu/InvestSkill
topic
Macroeconomic indicators & cycle analysis
topic
Yield curve spreads & recession prediction
topic
Credit spreads & bond market volatility signals
topic
Recession probability scoring & leading indicators
topic
Central bank divergence & global macro comparison
topic
Sector rotation & asset class implications
agent
Claude Code
collection
US stock analysis
guide
Reviewing finance skills before install
Registry
Read this record as data.
The public record includes the page-safe snapshot, evidence, assessment, taxonomy, and relations. Internal revision fields stay outside the public projection.
- Record ID
- github:yennanliu/investskill:plugins/us-stock-analysis/skills/economics-analysis
- Snapshot ID
- fsh-economics-analysis-yennanliu-2026-07-29-001
This page is an informational registry entry, not investment advice or a security guarantee. A high content quality score does not make the Skill safe for every environment. Review current files, permissions, data sources, and financial assumptions before use.