DCF Valuation (InvestSkill)Finance Skill

A quick DCF reference skill that has been merged into stock-valuation. The SKILL.md opens with "This skill has been merged into stock-valuation. Use /us-stock-analysis:stock-valuation for comprehensive valuation including full DCF modeling, WACC decomposition, 3-scenario sensitivity analysis, and comparable company analysis." The remaining content is a concise reference covering: (1) WACC Formula and Components — WACC = Ke × (E/V) + Kd × (D/V), where Ke = Rf + β × (Rm − Rf) + Size Premium, Kd = (Interest Expense / Total Debt) × (1 − Tax Rate), with typical WACC ranges by risk profile (Low risk utility 6-8%, Medium risk 8-11%, High risk 11-15%, Very high risk 15-20%+); (2) Three-Scenario Names and Default Probabilities — Bull 20% (market share gains, margin expansion, favorable macro), Base 60% (historical trend continuation, guidance-aligned), Bear 20% (competitive pressure, margin compression, macro headwinds), Probability-Weighted IV = (20% × Bull IV) + (60% × Base IV) + (20% × Bear IV); (3) 5×5 Sensitivity Table Template — Intrinsic Value per Share with WACC rows (6-10%) vs. Terminal Growth Rate columns (1-3%); (4) Terminal Value Formula — Gordon Growth Model: TV = FCF₁₀ × (1 + g) / (WACC − g), Exit Multiple Method: TV = FCFₙ × (EV / FCF exit multiple), Rule: "Never set g > WACC. Flag if TV > 80% of total Enterprise Value." Standard Investment Signal output box with thesis invalidation checklist (Bullish breaks if: FCF turns negative 2 consecutive quarters OR WACC rises >200bps; Bearish breaks if: FCF growth accelerates >20% above model OR interest rates fall >100bps). Pure prompt skill — no runtime, no dependencies, no API keys.

Snapshot quality

74/100

Snapshot risk

Medium

Audit conclusion

Needs review