Wyndham Hotels & Resorts Inc. research snapshot
WH AI stock analysis as of the August 3, 2026 data cutoff reads Wyndham Hotels & Resorts as the world largest hotel franchisor by property count, operating 25 brands including Super 8, Days Inn, Ramada, Microtel, La Quinta, Baymont, Wingate, and ECHO Suites across about 8,300 hotels and 873,400 rooms in roughly 100 countries, earning essentially all revenue from franchise fees, marketing, reservation, and loyalty services with minimal direct property ownership. At the August 3, 2026 data cutoff, WH traded near $76.46, up 2.14% from the $74.86 close on July 31, with a verified market capitalization near $5.67 billion. The Q2 2026 report, released July 22, 2026, delivered 2% U.S. RevPAR growth, a record pipeline of roughly 261,000 rooms with a 30% FeePAR premium, 3% comparable adjusted EBITDA and adjusted EPS growth, and a raised full-year 2026 outlook including adjusted diluted EPS of $4.71 to $4.83. The stock still trades below its 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day moving averages after a broad decline from the February 2025 high near $113, with GAAP earnings down sharply from 2024 levels. The WH AI stock forecast uses scenarios instead of a single price target because RevPAR, unit growth, Revo insolvency resolution, leverage costs, buybacks, and valuation multiples can change the outlook quickly. This page is an informational research tool, not investment advice.
Current price
$76.46 at the August 3, 2026 market open reading, up 2.14% from the $74.86 July 31 close, after opening at $75.88
Market cap
$5.67 billion, computed as $76.46 x 74.21 million shares and reported by StockAnalysis.com
AI score
63 / 100
Rating
World-largest hotel franchisor by property count with a stable Q2, a raised 2026 outlook, but stalled GAAP earnings, high leverage, and a stock below its key moving averages
Trend status
Below the 20-day, 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day moving averages, above the 5-day average near $75.61, and down about 15% over the trailing 52 weeks
Data cutoff (updated monthly)
August 4, 2026
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
| Dimension | Conclusion | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Business quality | Wyndham earns essentially all revenue from franchise fees, marketing fees, reservation, and loyalty services provided to third-party hotel owners. The model is asset-light with high incremental margins and low capital intensity, but fees are tied to economy and midscale revenue, which face more pressure from owner costs, short-term rentals, and alternative lodging than premium chains face. | Medium-high |
| Moat | The moat comes from brand scale (25 brands, about 8,300 hotels, 873,400 rooms), geographic reach across roughly 100 countries, owner relationships, Wyndham Rewards loyalty program with over 126 million members, and long-term franchise contracts. However, brands like Super 8 and Days Inn face more competition from independent budget lodging and short-term rentals than premium chains. | Medium |
| Management | CEO Geoffrey Ballotti has led Wyndham since its 2018 spin-off, and he disclosed on the Q2 2026 call that he is being treated for multiple myeloma while remaining active. CFO Amit Sripathi, who succeeded Michele Allen, is running a disciplined capital program: Q2 repurchases of $54 million, dividends of $0.43 per share, net leverage of 3.5x at the midpoint of the 3x to 4x target, and about $170 million of capital available for buybacks or M&A in the back half of 2026. | Medium |
| Financial trend | Q2 2026 delivered net revenues of $375 million down 6%, net income of $102 million up 17%, adjusted net income of $111 million up 8% and flat on a comparable basis, adjusted EBITDA of $212 million up 9% and 3% on a comparable basis, diluted EPS of $1.36 up 20%, adjusted diluted EPS of $1.48 up 11% and 3% comparable, and a raised 2026 outlook. GAAP net income has still fallen from $289 million in 2024 to $193 million in 2025, with TTM net income near $207 million on TTM revenue of $1.42 billion. | Medium-high |
| Valuation | At $76.46, StockAnalysis.com reports a 27.36 trailing PE, 15.32 forward PE, 3.92 price to sales, 17.20 price to free cash flow, 15.49 EV to EBITDA, and a 2.30% dividend yield. Exact decimal math on the same figures gives about 27.91x trailing GAAP EPS, 4.00x sales, 17.58x free cash flow, and 2.25% yield. The forward multiple is low for an asset-light franchisor with a raised outlook, but it reflects stalled GAAP earnings and international weakness. | High |
| Technical trend | The stock traded at $76.46 on August 3, 2026, above its 5-day average near $75.61 but below its 20-day near $76.74, 50-day near $79.94 to $80.04, 100-day near $80.87, and 200-day near $78.68 to $78.70, with 14-day RSI near 43 and ADX near 20 with negative directional index above positive, a bearish configuration. The stock is down about 15.3% over the trailing 52 weeks with a 52-week range of $69.21 to $91.44. | Medium |
| Risk level | Main risks include economy and midscale travel demand sensitivity, international RevPAR declines including a 45% Middle East drop and weak China pricing, the Revo insolvency with most of that portfolio terminating in the second half, owner profitability and financing stress, high net debt of $2.606 billion versus $480 million equity, interest cost pressure, short interest of 9.83% of shares outstanding, and an Altman Z-Score of 1.87. | Medium-high |
| AI confidence | Descriptive confidence is medium-high because company filings and third-party datasets agree on key financial data during the August 3, 2026 refresh. Return confidence is lower because GAAP earnings have stalled, international RevPAR is negative, and the stock is in a persistent downtrend from its 2025 high. | Medium-high data confidence |
| Investment certainty | Wyndham has a resilient franchise business model and a raised 2026 outlook, but the current setup requires visible earnings stabilization, international RevPAR recovery, Revo resolution, and a reclaim of the moving averages before the risk-reward becomes more attractive. | Low-to-medium |
WH AI stock forecast
The WH AI stock forecast is scenario-based because hotel franchising earnings depend on RevPAR, unit growth, royalty and marketing fee revenue, owner profitability, debt cost, buybacks, and the market multiple. Using the $76.46 price reference, the FY2026 adjusted EPS consensus of $4.79, and an audited three-year framework, the mechanical outcomes are about $148 in a bullish case, $115 in a base case, and $76 in a bearish case before dividends.
$135 to $160 before dividends
More likely if U.S. RevPAR growth stays near 2% or better, international RevPAR recovers, the Revo portfolio is resolved cleanly, net room growth holds near 4% to 4.5%, ancillary revenue keeps growing at double digits, buybacks keep reducing the share count, and the market re-rates WH toward 20x to 22x forward earnings.
$100 to $125 before dividends
More likely if earnings compound near the FY2026 adjusted EPS guidance of $4.71 to $4.83, unit growth matches the 4% to 4.5% outlook, fee revenue holds steady, the company continues its dividend and moderate buyback program, and the market values WH near 18x to 19x forward earnings.
$68 to $85 before dividends
More likely if travel demand in economy and midscale segments weakens, international RevPAR keeps falling, owner profitability pressures franchise retention, the Revo termination is messier than expected, interest costs stay elevated relative to earnings, or the market keeps WH near 15x or below due to stalled growth and leverage concerns.
WH AI technical analysis
WH AI technical analysis is cautious as of the August 3, 2026 data cutoff. StockAnalysis.com showed WH near $76.46, up 2.14% from the $74.86 July 31 close, with a market cap near $5.67 billion, a 52-week range of $69.21 to $91.44, and a 52-week price change of about negative 15.3%. Barchart reported the stock above its 5-day moving average near $75.61 but below its 20-day near $76.74, 50-day near $79.94, 100-day near $80.87, and 200-day near $78.68, with 14-day RSI near 43, 14-day ADX near 20, and negative directional index above positive directional index. The stock has been in a broad decline since the February 2025 peak near $113, and the July 22, 2026 earnings report lifted price briefly before the stock cooled back below its moving averages.
| Level | Value | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Current price | $76.46 | StockAnalysis.com real-time quote at the August 3, 2026 market open reading, up 2.14% from the $74.86 July 31 close, after opening at $75.88. |
| 5-day moving average | $75.61 | Barchart reported the 5-day moving average near $75.61 on August 3, 2026, slightly below the current price, a minor near-term pivot. |
| 20-day moving average | $76.74 | Barchart reported the 20-day moving average near $76.74 on August 3, 2026, just above the current price, the first overhead level. |
| 50-day moving average | $79.94 to $80.04 | Barchart placed the 50-day moving average near $79.94 and StockAnalysis.com near $80.04 as of August 3, 2026, the first major resistance zone. |
| 200-day moving average | $78.68 to $78.70 | Barchart reported the 200-day trend line near $78.68 and StockAnalysis.com near $78.70 on August 3, 2026, below the current price but above the 5-day and 20-day averages. |
| 100-day moving average | $80.87 | Barchart reported the 100-day moving average near $80.87 on August 3, 2026, near the 50-day zone and a key recovery target. |
| Near support | $73 to $76 | The $73 to $76 band sits near the day range low of $75.43 and recent swing lows from earlier in 2026, a potential demand zone. |
| Secondary support | $69 to $71 | The 52-week low is $69.21. A break below the near support zone could open a move toward this lower band. |
| Major resistance | $87 to $91 | The 52-week high is $91.44. A recovery back above $80 and toward the $87 to $91 zone would be a meaningful technical improvement. |
| Momentum | RSI near 40 to 43, ADX near 20 | Barchart reported 14-day RSI near 43 and StockAnalysis.com near 39.6, with 14-day ADX near 20.33 and negative directional index near 22.10 above positive directional index near 14.51, a weak and slightly bearish configuration rather than an oversold bounce setup. |
| Volume | About 1.3 million to 1.4 million shares average volume | Barchart listed 20-day average volume near 1.33 million shares and StockAnalysis.com near 1.40 million on August 3, 2026, liquid mid-cap trading but breakout confirmation still requires live volume. |
| Volatility | 14-day historical volatility near 24% | Barchart reported 14-day historical volatility near 24.23% and 14-day average true range near $2.50 on August 3, 2026, so position sizing should account for moderate swings. |
| Invalidation | Close below $73, recovery above $80 | A sustained break below the $73 to $76 near support would weaken the setup. Recovery above the 50-day and 100-day area near $80 to $81 would be the first positive technical signal. |
WH AI trading strategy
The WH AI trading strategy below is a rules-based research framework, not personal advice. It connects price behavior with U.S. and international RevPAR, unit growth, royalty and marketing fee revenue, adjusted EBITDA, owner profitability, Revo resolution, debt service costs, buybacks, and valuation levels.
Given the current below-moving-averages setup, a trend-following approach would wait for WH to reclaim the $80 to $81 zone with sustaining volume, positive U.S. and international RevPAR commentary, and no negative revision to earnings or unit growth guidance.
If the next earnings update shows further international RevPAR deterioration, a messy Revo termination, or a break below the $73 to $76 near support, trend confidence is low and the setup is not favorable for trend-following entry.
If WH pulls back toward the $69 to $76 zone without a fundamental reset, compare the lower price with fee revenue trajectory, adjusted EBITDA, cash generation, dividend coverage, buyback activity, and peer action in Choice and other mid-cap hotel franchisors.
Mean-reversion in a downtrend carries higher risk because stalled earnings, negative short interest of 9.83%, and high leverage can lead to sustained multiple compression rather than recovery.
Track U.S. and international comparable RevPAR by region, net room growth excluding Revo, pipeline additions, royalty and marketing fee revenue, adjusted EBITDA, net debt to adjusted EBITDA near 3.5x, free cash flow, buyback activity, dividend coverage, Revo termination and retention, and owner health indicators.
Position sizing should reflect that WH has higher leverage (net debt of $2.606 billion versus $480 million equity) and a narrower equity base than larger hotel peers, which amplifies downside risk during earnings stress.
Investment research summary
Guests pay for affordable and familiar places to stay, while hotel owners pay Wyndham for brand recognition, reservation distribution, loyalty program access, and operating standards. Wyndham converts that network into high-margin franchise and marketing fee revenue with minimal direct property investment.
The moat comes from brand scale (25 brands, about 8,300 hotels, 873,400 rooms), geographic reach, owner relationships, Wyndham Rewards loyalty with over 126 million members, and long-term franchise contracts. It narrows if budget lodging faces competition from short-term rentals, owner satisfaction erodes, or major brands lose relevance with travelers.
The thesis fails if U.S. RevPAR momentum fades, international RevPAR keeps falling, the Revo insolvency termination is messy, owners struggle with profitability and financing, franchise attrition accelerates, debt costs pressure free cash flow, the dividend is cut, or the stock continues to grind lower without a catalyst.
CEO Geoff Ballotti has led Wyndham since its 2018 spin-off and is managing the business while being treated for multiple myeloma. CFO Amit Sripathi is running a disciplined capital program with a 3.5x net leverage target, $54 million in Q2 buybacks, $0.43 per share dividends, and about $170 million available for buybacks or M&A in the back half of 2026. The key challenge is converting a raised 2026 outlook into visible GAAP EPS re-acceleration.
Travel demand benefits from stable leisure and business travel, with U.S. select service RevPAR strengthening and infrastructure and AI data center projects boosting weekday occupancy, but Wyndham economy and midscale brands are more exposed to cost-sensitive consumers, owner financing stress, international weakness, and competition from alternative accommodations than premium hotel chains.
At $76.46, WH trades at about 27.9x trailing GAAP earnings despite stalled earnings, 15.3x to 16x forward earnings on the raised FY2026 adjusted EPS of $4.71 to $4.83, and near 4x sales. The forward multiple is low, but the margin of safety depends on visible earnings re-acceleration, international RevPAR recovery, Revo resolution, and a return to consistent unit and fee growth.
Source-backed data
Every metric below includes a source and last verification date.
| Metric | Value | Source | Last verified |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current price reference | $76.46 at the August 3, 2026 market open reading, up 2.14% from the $74.86 July 31 close, after opening at $75.88 | StockAnalysis.com real-time quote | August 3, 2026 |
| Market capitalization | $5.67 billion, computed as $76.46 x 74.21 million shares and reported by StockAnalysis.com | StockAnalysis.com quote and statistics | August 3, 2026 |
| Shares outstanding | 74.21 million shares outstanding as of July 15, 2026, per the Q2 2026 Form 10-Q cover and StockAnalysis.com, down about 3.25% year over year | Q2 2026 Form 10-Q and StockAnalysis.com statistics | August 3, 2026 |
| Q2 2026 net revenues | $375 million, down 6% from $397 million, reflecting the absence of pass-through revenue from the May 2025 global franchisee conference, lower other franchise fees, and the deferral of Revo fees, partially offset by higher ancillary revenues and 4% net room growth excluding Revo | Wyndham Q2 2026 earnings release | July 22, 2026 |
| Q2 2026 net income and adjusted net income | Net income of $102 million up 17% from $87 million, adjusted net income of $111 million up 8% from $103 million and flat on a comparable basis | Wyndham Q2 2026 earnings release | July 22, 2026 |
| Q2 2026 EPS | Diluted EPS of $1.36 up 20% from $1.13, adjusted diluted EPS of $1.48 up 11% from $1.33 and about 3% higher on a comparable basis | Wyndham Q2 2026 earnings release | July 22, 2026 |
| Q2 2026 adjusted EBITDA | $212 million up 9% from $195 million, or 3% higher on a comparable basis excluding marketing fund variability | Wyndham Q2 2026 earnings release and earnings call | July 22, 2026 |
| Q2 2026 RevPAR | U.S. RevPAR of $54.50 up 2%, International RevPAR of $37.31 down 6%, Global RevPAR of $47.01 down 1% in constant currency | Wyndham Q2 2026 earnings release | July 22, 2026 |
| Q2 2026 regional RevPAR detail | U.S. Midscale and Upper Midscale RevPAR of $62.36 up 3%, U.S. Economy $43.48 up 1%, U.S. Upscale and Above $91.85 down 5%, Canada $61.49 up 2%, Greater China $16.43 down 5%, Rest of Asia Pacific $28.78 up 5%, EMEA $57.19 down 6%, Latin America $50.99 down 7%, with Middle East RevPAR down 45% | Wyndham Q2 2026 earnings release | July 22, 2026 |
| System size and pipeline | 873,400 global rooms at June 30, 2026, up 3%, or 853,600 rooms up 4% excluding Revo; development pipeline of approximately 261,000 rooms and over 2,200 hotels, up 4% excluding Revo to a record, carrying a FeePAR premium of about 30%; record Q2 openings of nearly 18,000 rooms up 7% year over year | Wyndham Q2 2026 earnings release | July 22, 2026 |
| 2026 full-year outlook | Net revenues of $1.48 billion to $1.50 billion, adjusted EBITDA of $735 million to $745 million, adjusted net income of $355 million to $365 million, adjusted diluted EPS of $4.71 to $4.83, global RevPAR growth of 0.0% to 1.0%, net room growth of 4.0% to 4.5%, and a 55% to 60% free cash flow conversion rate | Wyndham Q2 2026 earnings release | July 22, 2026 |
| Q2 2026 cash flow and capital returns | Net cash provided by operating activities of $91 million up 30%, adjusted free cash flow of $105 million up 19%, $86 million returned to shareholders including $54 million of share repurchases for about 657,000 shares and $32 million of dividends at $0.43 per share; year to date, $169 million of free cash flow, $170 million returned, and 1.3 million shares repurchased for $105 million | Wyndham Q2 2026 earnings release and earnings call | July 22, 2026 |
| Balance sheet | Cash of $69 million, total debt of $2.675 billion, net debt of $2.606 billion, net leverage of 3.5x at the midpoint of the 3x to 4x target, total liquidity of about $1.0 billion, and total equity of $480 million as of June 30, 2026, matching SEC EDGAR XBRL | Q2 2026 Form 10-Q, Wyndham Q2 2026 earnings release, and SEC EDGAR XBRL | August 3, 2026 |
| FY2025 financials | FY2025 revenue of $1.43 billion up 1.78% from $1.40 billion, net income of $193 million down 33.22% from $289 million, adjusted EBITDA of $718 million, with Q4 2025 including an $86 million impairment and $74 million of Revo-related charges | Wyndham FY2025 Form 10-K and StockAnalysis.com | August 3, 2026 |
| TTM financials | TTM revenue of $1.42 billion, TTM net income of $207 million, TTM EPS of $2.74, TTM gross profit of $891 million, TTM operating income of $533 million, TTM EBITDA of $527 million, and TTM free cash flow of $323 million, or $4.35 per share | StockAnalysis.com statistics | August 3, 2026 |
| Valuation check | 27.36 trailing PE, 15.32 forward PE, 3.92 price to sales, 17.20 price to free cash flow, 15.49 EV to EBITDA, 25.27 EV to FCF, 11.70 price to book, and a 2.30% dividend yield per StockAnalysis.com; exact decimal math on the same figures gives about 27.91x trailing, 4.00x sales, 17.58x price to FCF, and 2.25% yield at the $76.46 reading | StockAnalysis.com statistics and financial_rigor.py | August 3, 2026 |
| Analyst consensus | Buy with an average 12-month price target of $98.47 across 17 analysts, low of $80, high of $115, and median of $98, about 28.79% above the $76.46 price | StockAnalysis.com forecast | July 29, 2026 |
| Analyst rating mix, July 2026 | 10 Strong Buy, 4 Buy, 3 Hold, 0 Sell, 0 Strong Sell out of 17 analysts | StockAnalysis.com forecast recommendation trends | July 29, 2026 |
| Recent analyst target updates | J.P. Morgan $97 to $95 on July 29, Wells Fargo $98 to $87 on July 24, Goldman Sachs $87 to $80 on July 23, Morgan Stanley $89 to $93 on July 23, Truist maintained Buy on July 23, with earlier updates from J.P. Morgan, Barclays, Wells Fargo, Susquehanna, and Morgan Stanley | StockAnalysis.com forecast and news feed | July 29, 2026 |
| Short interest | 7.30 million shares short, 9.83% of shares outstanding, 9.99% of float, and 4.96 days to cover | StockAnalysis.com statistics short selling | August 3, 2026 |
| 52-week range and performance | 52-week range of $69.21 to $91.44, 52-week price change of about negative 15.3%, and beta of 0.63 | StockAnalysis.com quote and statistics | August 3, 2026 |
| Dividend | Annual dividend of $1.72 per share with a 2.30% yield, quarterly dividend of $0.43 per share, dividend growth of about 6.33% year over year, five years of dividend growth, and a payout ratio of about 62.86% | StockAnalysis.com dividend history and Wyndham dividend press release | August 3, 2026 |
| Financial forecast | FY2026 revenue estimate of $1.48 billion up 3.41%, FY2026 adjusted EPS estimate of $4.79 up 4.63%, FY2027 revenue estimate of $1.57 billion, and FY2027 adjusted EPS estimate of $5.34 | StockAnalysis.com forecast | July 29, 2026 |
| Revo insolvency | Revo, a large European franchisee, filed for insolvency in early 2026. Wyndham removed all Revo-related revenue from reported results and outlook, deferred about $12 million of royalties and franchise fees from Revo, excluded Revo rooms from net room growth, expects most of the Revo portfolio to terminate during the third and fourth quarter of 2026, expects to retain a subset and sign new franchise agreements with new operators, and recognized about $10 million of net revenue from two Revo hotels it took possession of | Wyndham Q2 2026 earnings release and earnings call | July 22, 2026 |
| Growth algorithm | Long-term algorithm of high single digit adjusted EBITDA growth on 2% to 3% RevPAR growth and 4% to 5% net room growth, with ancillary revenue growing low double digits this year and high single digits long term, and royalty rate up 5 basis points annually | Wyndham Q2 2026 earnings call | July 23, 2026 |
| Technical snapshot | 5-day SMA near $75.61, 20-day SMA near $76.74, 50-day SMA near $79.94 to $80.04, 100-day SMA near $80.87, 200-day SMA near $78.68 to $78.70, 14-day RSI near 39.6 to 43.4, 14-day ADX near 20.33, 14-day historical volatility near 24.23%, and 20-day average volume near 1.33 million to 1.40 million shares | Barchart and StockAnalysis.com technical snapshots | August 3, 2026 |
| Credit scores | Altman Z-Score of 1.87 and Piotroski F-Score of 5 | StockAnalysis.com statistics | August 3, 2026 |
This WH AI stock analysis is for informational and educational use only. It is not investment advice, a recommendation, or a promise of future returns. Forecast ranges are scenarios based on available data as of August 3, 2026 and can be wrong if RevPAR, travel demand, hotel owner economics, the Revo insolvency, debt costs, buybacks, valuation multiples, or market conditions change.
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