Vontier Corporation research snapshot
VNT AI stock analysis as of the August 4, 2026 data cutoff reads Vontier Corporation as a reasonably valued mobility technology company in the middle of a portfolio simplification that is starting to show up in the share price. The stock closed at $32.81 on August 3, 2026, up 0.68 or 2.12% from the $32.13 close on July 31, after opening at $32.45 and trading in a session range of $32.34 to $33.07 on volume near 1.08 million shares, with the daily history table confirming the same $32.81 close and carrying a market capitalization near $4.62 billion that matches the $32.81 price times 140.80 million shares outstanding. Vontier completed the sale of Teletrac Navman, its global fleet telematics business, on July 6, 2026, for total consideration valued at $220 million, consisting of $80 million in cash proceeds, a $100 million seller note, and a retained equity stake of about 30%, and it increased its share repurchase authorization to $1 billion in May 2026. The first quarter of 2026, reported May 7, delivered sales of $751 million with core sales up 1.7% and orders up about 5%, adjusted EPS of $0.80 up 4% year over year, and management reaffirmed full-year 2026 adjusted EPS guidance of $3.35 to $3.50 with free cash flow conversion near 95% and operating margin expanding about 130 basis points to roughly 22.5%. The stock now trades above its 20-day moving average near $30.48 and its 50-day moving average near $29.65 but below the 200-day moving average near $35.37, with 14-day RSI near 67.8 and a 52-week range of $27.25 to $48.20. This page uses scenario ranges, technical levels, and source-backed facts as of the August 4, 2026 data cutoff. It is informational research, not investment advice.
Current price
$32.81 at the August 3, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT market close, up 0.68 or 2.12% from the $32.13 July 31 close, after opening at $32.45 and trading in a session range of $32.34 to $33.07 on volume near 1.08 million shares, with the daily history table confirming the same $32.81 close
Market cap
$4.62 billion reported by StockAnalysis.com at the August 3, 2026 market close, matching the $32.81 price times 140.80 million shares outstanding
AI score
71 / 100
Rating
Reasonably valued mobility technology turnaround with portfolio simplification in progress
Trend status
Short-term uptrend off the lows, above the 50-day moving average but below the 200-day
Data cutoff (updated monthly)
August 4, 2026
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
| Dimension | Conclusion | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Business quality | Vontier earns recurring aftermarket and software revenue from fuel dispensers, convenience store technology, EV charging software, vehicle repair tools, and environmental monitoring under the Gilbarco, Veeder-Root, Invenco, DRB, Driivz, and Matco brands. The aftermarket and software mix provides some resilience, but new equipment sales track fueling and convenience retail capex cycles. | Medium |
| Moat | The moat comes from installed-base aftermarket services, Gilbarco and Veeder-Root brand positions in retail fueling, the Invenco unified payment platform, the Matco Tools franchise network, and regulatory-driven environmental compliance requirements. Switching costs are moderate for aftermarket consumables and software, lower for new equipment. | Low-medium |
| Management | CEO Mark Morelli and CFO Anshooman Aga closed the Teletrac Navman sale on July 6, 2026, increased the buyback authorization to $1 billion, repurchased $70 million of stock in Q1, and reaffirmed FY2026 adjusted EPS guidance of $3.35 to $3.50. The key test is whether the guided 130 basis point margin expansion lands after a 70 basis point decline in Q1. | Medium |
| Financial trend | Q1 2026 sales were $751 million with core sales up 1.7% and orders up about 5%, adjusted EPS of $0.80 up 4%, and adjusted free cash flow of $28 million. TTM revenue is about $3.09 billion with TTM EPS of $2.83, and FY2025 revenue of $3.08 billion grew 3.24% with free cash flow of $441 million. | Medium-high |
| Valuation | At $32.81 and $2.83 TTM EPS, VNT traded at 11.58x earnings and 9.42x forward earnings, 3.60x book value, an 8.08% free cash flow yield, and EV/EBITDA of 9.15x. The market is pricing flat 2026 revenue growth and modest EPS expansion. | High |
| Technical trend | The August 3 snapshot showed VNT at $32.81, up 2.12% on the day, above its 20-day moving average near $30.48 and its 50-day moving average near $29.65 but below the 200-day moving average near $35.37, with 14-day RSI near 67.8 and beta of 1.16. | Medium |
| Risk level | Main risks are retail fueling and convenience store capex cycles, technician spending at Matco Tools, EV transition reshaping traditional fueling infrastructure, high leverage with net cash of negative $1.70 billion, tariff and memory chip cost exposure, the $500 million bond maturity and refinancing, and short interest of 7.99% of shares outstanding. | Medium-high |
| AI confidence | High for descriptive research and calculation checks. Lower for exact price outcomes because Q2 2026 earnings arrive three days after this cutoff and end-market demand, interest rates, margin mix, and buyback pace can shift quickly. | High data confidence |
| Investment certainty | Medium-low certainty. Vontier looks reasonably valued on current and forward earnings with an improving portfolio mix, but end-market cyclicality, leverage, and execution risk mean a buy decision depends on confidence in guided margin expansion and cash flow conversion. | Low |
VNT AI stock forecast
The VNT AI stock forecast uses scenario math around the $32.81 August 3, 2026 market close, the FY2026 consensus adjusted EPS of $3.41, and the FY2027 consensus adjusted EPS of $3.71. The three-scenario framework produced a bearish area near $27, a base area near $44, and a bullish area near $56, using EPS growth of 0%, 8%, and 12% and exit multiples of 8x, 11x, and 13x over two years. These are planning scenarios, not price promises.
$50 to $62
More likely if convenience retail and fueling capex accelerate with the 7-Eleven 7,000-store remodeling plan, Mobility Technologies growth re-accelerates as the Vehicle Identification System compare fades, EV charging software scales, margins expand ahead of the guided 130 basis points, and buybacks plus the seller note interest compound EPS, letting the market re-rate toward 13x earnings.
$38 to $47
More likely if Vontier hits the $3.35 to $3.50 adjusted EPS guidance, grows EPS toward the FY2027 consensus of $3.71, expands operating margin about 130 basis points to roughly 22.5%, and the market holds an 11x forward multiple near the analyst average price target of $39.70.
$24 to $30
More likely if retail fueling and convenience store capex stalls, Matco technician spending stays weak, tariff or memory chip costs hit margins, the divestiture and bond maturity create noise, buybacks slow, or the market compresses the multiple toward 8x earnings.
VNT AI technical analysis
VNT AI technical analysis is cautiously improving as of the August 4, 2026 data cutoff. The stock closed at $32.81 on August 3, 2026, up 0.68 or 2.12% from the $32.13 July 31 close, and is trading above its 20-day moving average near $30.48 and its 50-day moving average near $29.65 but below its 200-day moving average near $35.37. The 5-day and 20-day moving averages were computed from the StockAnalysis.com daily closing price history, and the 50-day and 200-day values come from the StockAnalysis.com statistics page. RSI near 67.8 is strong but approaching overbought after a rebound of roughly 15% from the early July lows.
| Level | Value | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Current price | $32.81 | StockAnalysis.com real-time quote at the August 3, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT market close, up 0.68 or 2.12% from the $32.13 July 31 close after opening at $32.45 and trading in a session range of $32.34 to $33.07 on volume near 1.08 million shares; the daily history table confirms the close, and the implied market cap near $4.62 billion matches the price times 140.80 million shares outstanding. |
| 5-day moving average | $32.38 | Computed as the simple average of the five closing prices through August 3, 2026 in the StockAnalysis.com daily price history, just below the current price, which confirms firm short-term momentum. |
| 20-day moving average | $30.48 | Computed as the simple average of the twenty closing prices through August 3, 2026 in the StockAnalysis.com daily price history, below the current price and a natural first pullback support reference. |
| 50-day moving average | $29.65 | StockAnalysis.com statistics reported the 50-day moving average near $29.65 on August 3, 2026, below the current price and confirming the medium-term recovery. |
| 200-day moving average | $35.37 | StockAnalysis.com statistics reported the 200-day trend line near $35.37 on August 3, 2026, above the current price and the main overhead resistance that still defines the longer-term downtrend. |
| Near support | $30.5 to $32.4 | The 5-day moving average near $32.38 and the 20-day moving average near $30.48 form a first support zone for any pullback. |
| Next support | $28.5 to $29.7 | The 50-day moving average near $29.65 plus the late June to early July consolidation around $28.4 to $29.0 form a deeper support cluster, with the 52-week low of $27.25 below. |
| Near resistance | $33.07 to $35.37 | The August 3 session high of $33.07 is immediate overhead, while the 200-day moving average near $35.37, which also lines up with the analyst low price target of $35, is the major barrier. |
| Momentum | RSI near 67.8 | The 14-day RSI was near 67.84 on StockAnalysis.com statistics on August 3, 2026, strong but approaching the overbought zone after the rebound. |
| Volume | About 1.36 million average shares | StockAnalysis.com statistics listed 20-day average volume near 1.36 million shares on August 3, 2026, useful for checking breakout quality; the August 3 session showed about 1.08 million shares, below that average. |
| Volatility | High-beta profile near 1.16 | Beta of 1.16 on StockAnalysis.com statistics means VNT amplifies market moves moderately. Realized volatility should rise around the August 6 earnings report and any end-market or debt-related headlines. |
| Invalidation | Close below $30.48 or sustained close above $35.37 | A decisive close below the 20-day moving average near $30.48 would weaken the short-term uptrend, a close below the 50-day near $29.65 would turn the medium-term trend bearish, and a sustained close above $35.37 would signal a longer-term trend reversal. |
VNT AI trading strategy
The VNT AI trading strategy is a rules-based research framework for a mid-cap mobility technology company with cyclical end-markets and a near-term earnings catalyst. It is not personal advice and should be paired with fresh chart data, filings, the August 6 Q2 report, position sizing, and defined invalidation levels.
In a short-term uptrend that still sits below the 200-day moving average near $35.37, the trend-following approach favors waiting for a sustained close above $35.37 on rising volume to confirm a longer-term trend change before adding to long positions.
Buying above the current level without a 200-day breakout risks chasing a rebound inside a longer downtrend. Use $35.37 as the confirmation trigger and a stop below $30.48.
If VNT pulls back toward the $29.7 to $30.5 support cluster formed by the 50-day and 20-day moving averages without new fundamental damage, a mean-reversion approach can evaluate the risk-reward before the August 6 earnings release.
Do not average down without a defined loss limit because value traps in cyclical industrial names can persist. A stop below $28.40 or the $27.25 52-week low is a reasonable boundary, and holding through earnings without position adjustment adds gap risk.
Track the Q2 2026 report due August 6, 2026, EFS dispenser and aftermarket growth, Mobility Technologies growth as the Vehicle Identification System compare fades, Repair Solutions product mix, progress toward the guided 130 basis point margin expansion and roughly 22.5% operating margin, free cash flow conversion near 95%, buyback pace against the $1 billion authorization, the $100 million seller note, tariff and memory chip costs, and net leverage.
Reduce confidence if margins miss, guidance is cut, buybacks slow, revenue growth stays flat, or the portfolio divestiture process creates new noise.
Investment research summary
Vontier sells and services fuel dispensing equipment, convenience store and payment technology, EV charging software, vehicle repair tools, and environmental monitoring systems. Aftermarket parts, service, and software provide recurring revenue, while new equipment sales depend on fueling and convenience retail capex cycles.
The moat is moderate and comes from installed-base switching costs in retail fueling under the Gilbarco and Veeder-Root brands, the Invenco unified payment platform, the Matco Tools franchise network, and regulatory compliance requirements for environmental monitoring. It narrows if EV adoption reduces traditional fueling infrastructure investment or private-label alternatives gain share.
The thesis fails if convenience retail and fueling capex stalls despite the resilient narrative, the 7-Eleven remodeling plan and other store build-outs slip, Mobility Technologies growth fails to re-accelerate, Repair Solutions stays weak, tariff and memory chip costs squeeze margins, or the roughly $1.9 billion debt load and the recent bond refinancing become harder to manage.
Mark Morelli has led Vontier since the spin-off and, with CFO Anshooman Aga, has been streamlining the portfolio. The completed Teletrac Navman sale, the $1 billion buyback authorization, $70 million of Q1 buybacks, and the FY2026 guidance for $3.35 to $3.50 adjusted EPS and roughly 22.5% operating margin show capital discipline, but Q1 margins fell 70 basis points and execution remains the test.
The mobility technology industry is being reshaped by EV adoption, convenience retail digitalization, and environmental regulation. These trends create both opportunities, including EV charging software, unified payment, and environmental compliance, and risks, including reduced traditional fueling investment and technician spending tied to the consumer wallet.
VNT trades at about 11.6x trailing and 9.4x forward earnings with an 8.08% free cash flow yield and EV/EBITDA of 9.15x, a reasonable multiple for a company guiding to roughly 130 basis points of margin expansion. Margin of safety depends on whether margins and cash conversion land as guided, whether revenue growth resumes, and whether the market keeps the modest multiple.
Source-backed data
Every metric below includes a source and last verification date.
| Metric | Value | Source | Last verified |
|---|---|---|---|
| VNT price | $32.81 at the August 3, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT market close, up 0.68 or 2.12% from the $32.13 July 31 close, after opening at $32.45 and trading in a session range of $32.34 to $33.07 on volume near 1.08 million shares | StockAnalysis.com real-time quote and daily price history | August 4, 2026 |
| Market capitalization | Near $4.62 billion, reported by StockAnalysis.com at the August 3, 2026 market close and matching the $32.81 price times 140.80 million shares outstanding | StockAnalysis.com quote and statistics, financial_rigor.py market cap verification | August 4, 2026 |
| Q1 2026 results | Sales of $751 million with core sales growth of 1.7%, orders up about 5% on a core basis, adjusted EPS of $0.80 up 4% year over year, and adjusted free cash flow of $28 million | Vontier Q1 2026 earnings call transcript | August 4, 2026 |
| FY2026 guidance | Adjusted EPS of $3.35 to $3.50 unchanged, operating margin expanding about 130 basis points to approximately 22.5%, free cash flow conversion near 95%, Q2 2026 sales of $730 million to $740 million, and Q2 2026 EPS of $0.78 to $0.81 | Vontier Q1 2026 earnings call transcript | August 4, 2026 |
| Teletrac Navman divestiture | Completed July 6, 2026, for total consideration valued at $220 million, consisting of $80 million in cash proceeds, a $100 million seller note, and a retained equity stake of about 30%, accretive to margins by about 50 basis points and reducing annual revenue by about $110 million | Vontier press release and Q1 2026 earnings call | August 4, 2026 |
| Share repurchase program | $1 billion board repurchase authorization effective May 2026, $70 million repurchased in Q1 2026, and about $150 million of buybacks assumed in the full-year guide | TheFly news and Vontier Q1 2026 earnings call | August 4, 2026 |
| TTM revenue and earnings | Revenue of $3.09 billion, net income of $412.50 million, EPS of $2.83, and a profit margin of 13.37% | StockAnalysis.com statistics | August 4, 2026 |
| Five-year revenue trend | Revenue of $2.99 billion in 2021, $3.18 billion in 2022, $3.10 billion in 2023, $2.98 billion in 2024, $3.08 billion in 2025, and $3.09 billion over TTM | StockAnalysis.com financials overview | August 4, 2026 |
| Five-year EPS trend | EPS of $2.43 in 2021, $2.49 in 2022, $2.42 in 2023, $2.75 in 2024, $2.76 in 2025, and $2.83 over TTM | StockAnalysis.com financials overview | August 4, 2026 |
| Margins | Gross margin of 47.15%, operating margin of 18.48%, and profit margin of 13.37% over TTM, versus a gross margin of 47.17% and an operating margin of 18.26% in FY2025 | StockAnalysis.com statistics and financials | August 4, 2026 |
| Cash flow | Operating cash flow of $447.1 million over TTM and $511 million in FY2025, capital expenditures of $73.9 million over TTM, and free cash flow of $373.2 million over TTM versus $441.1 million in FY2025 | StockAnalysis.com statistics and cash flow statement | August 4, 2026 |
| Balance sheet | Cash of $233.80 million, total debt of $1.94 billion, net cash of negative $1.70 billion or negative $12.10 per share, book value of $1.27 billion, and book value per share of $8.93 | StockAnalysis.com statistics | August 4, 2026 |
| Leverage and bond maturity | Debt/equity of 1.53, debt/EBITDA of 2.81, interest coverage of 9.70, and net leverage of 2.4x at the end of Q1 2026; Vontier repaid about $200 million of the $500 million bond maturity with cash and issued a $300 million 364-day term loan | StockAnalysis.com statistics and Vontier Q1 2026 earnings call | August 4, 2026 |
| Valuation ratios | 11.58x trailing PE, 9.42x forward PE, 1.21 PEG, 1.50x PS, 3.60x PB, 12.37x P/FCF, 8.08% FCF yield, 8.93% earnings yield, 9.15x EV/EBITDA, 2.05x EV/Sales, and 16.94x EV/FCF, verified by financial_rigor.py | StockAnalysis.com statistics and financial_rigor.py valuation verification | August 4, 2026 |
| Dividend | $0.10 annual dividend paid as $0.025 per quarter, 0.30% yield, 3.53% payout ratio, with the last ex-dividend date June 4, 2026 | StockAnalysis.com dividend history | August 4, 2026 |
| Shareholder returns | Buyback yield of 4.38% and shareholder yield of 4.69%, with shares outstanding down 4.38% over one year | StockAnalysis.com statistics | August 4, 2026 |
| Analyst consensus | Buy consensus from 11 analysts with an average price target of $39.70, 21.00% above the August 3 close, a median target of $38.50, a low of $35, and a high of $48 | StockAnalysis.com forecast | August 4, 2026 |
| Recent analyst actions | KeyBanc lowered to $35 from $40 on July 13, 2026; Citi maintained Buy with a $44 target on July 10; Wolfe Research lowered to $43 from $45 on July 9; Argus downgraded to Hold on May 26; Evercore ISI lowered to $36 from $47 on May 11; Goldman Sachs maintained Hold at $41 on May 11; Baird maintained Hold at $37 on May 8; Barclays reiterated Buy at $45 on May 8 | StockAnalysis.com analyst ratings | August 4, 2026 |
| Consensus estimates | FY2026 revenue estimate of $3.03 billion, down 1.44%, with adjusted EPS of $3.41, up 6.70%; FY2027 revenue estimate of $3.08 billion with adjusted EPS of $3.71, up 8.60% | StockAnalysis.com forecast financial forecast | August 4, 2026 |
| Technical snapshot | 5-day moving average near $32.38 and 20-day moving average near $30.48 computed from StockAnalysis.com daily price history, 50-day moving average near $29.65 and 200-day moving average near $35.37 on StockAnalysis.com statistics, 14-day RSI near 67.84, and 20-day average volume near 1.36 million shares | StockAnalysis.com statistics and daily price history | August 4, 2026 |
| 52-week range and performance | 52-week range of $27.25 to $48.20, down 18.77% over the trailing 52 weeks, with beta of 1.16 | StockAnalysis.com statistics | August 4, 2026 |
| Short interest | 11.25 million shares short, 7.99% of shares outstanding, 8.05% of float, and 6.38 days to cover, up from 10.71 million shares the prior month | StockAnalysis.com statistics short selling | August 4, 2026 |
| Share statistics and scores | 140.80 million shares outstanding, 0.59% insider ownership, 104.97% institutional ownership, a float of 139.80 million shares, an Altman Z-Score of 3.12, and a Piotroski F-Score of 6 | StockAnalysis.com statistics | August 4, 2026 |
This VNT AI stock analysis is an informational research tool only. It is not investment advice, a recommendation, or a guarantee of future returns. Forecast scenarios are based on available public data as of the August 4, 2026 data cutoff and may be wrong if Vontier fundamentals, Q2 2026 results, end-market demand for fueling, convenience retail, and repair equipment, EV transition, tariffs and memory chip costs, interest rates, debt refinancing, buyback pace, or market valuation change.
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