Scorpio Tankers, Inc. research snapshot
STNG AI stock analysis currently reads Scorpio Tankers as a disciplined product tanker operator with record cash flow, a net cash balance sheet, and a low trailing multiple, but the setup hinges on product tanker rates that are normalizing from Q2 2026 conflict-driven peaks. The company reported Q2 2026 adjusted diluted EPS of $4.68 on July 30, 2026, repurchased about 1.99 million shares during the quarter, and ended July with roughly $1.31 billion in net cash. The stock trades near book value at about 4.8x trailing earnings, yet Q3 to-date TCE guidance implies a sharp sequential step down and consensus models FY2027 EPS falling about 48%. At the data cutoff the reference quote was $77.42, market capitalization was about $3.9 billion, and the AI rating is neutral-positive for business quality and balance sheet strength with a cautious overlay on rate cyclicality. This page is informational research, not investment advice.
Current price
$77.42
Market cap
About $3.9 billion using the 08/03 reference quote
AI score
63 / 100
Rating
Record cash flow and net cash balance sheet, low trailing multiple, but product tanker rates are normalizing
Trend status
Neutral near term; the stock pulled back from July highs after Q2 results while Q3 TCE guidance points to a sharp sequential earnings decline
Data cutoff (updated monthly)
August 4, 2026
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
| Dimension | Conclusion | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Business quality | Scorpio Tankers owns and operates a modern fleet of MR and LR product tankers that transport refined petroleum products globally for energy majors, traders, and refiners. | Medium-high |
| Moat | The moat comes from fleet scale, customer relationships, operational execution, and access to capital, but product tanker shipping is a commodity service where rates are set by supply and demand. | Low-medium |
| Management | Emanuele Lauro has led the company since founding in 2009 through multiple cycles. Q2 2026 showed disciplined capital allocation: about 1.99 million shares repurchased at an average of $77.72, a $605 million 1.75% convertible note issued at a sub-1% yield, and $445 million still available under the buyback program. | Medium-high |
| Financial trend | TTM revenue of about $1.22 billion and TTM net income of about $816 million reflect the strong Q2 2026 market. FY2025 revenue was $938 million and net income $344 million, while Q2 2026 TCE revenue rose 76% year over year to $391.8 million. | High |
| Valuation | At $77.42, the trailing P/E is about 4.8x and the stock trades near book value, which is cheap on trailing and FY2026 consensus earnings. The forward P/E of about 11x reflects the sharp EPS decline consensus models for FY2027. | Medium-high |
| Technical trend | The stock gained about 52% year to date from $50.78, but it sits between the 50-day moving average near $76.96 and the 52-week high of $87.39. RSI is neutral near 47 and the recent close is below the July peak. | Medium |
| Risk level | Risk is elevated because tanker rates are driven by global oil demand, refinery utilization, fleet supply, and geopolitical factors. Q3 to-date TCE for MR vessels near $29,000 per day is well below the Q2 average of about $52,000. | High |
| AI confidence | High confidence for reported financial data and current valuation metrics. Medium confidence for forward rate and earnings scenarios given the early Q3 booking picture. | High data confidence |
| Investment certainty | Lower than AI data confidence because a cheap trailing multiple and strong net cash do not protect against the cyclical earnings decline that consensus and Q3 TCE guidance both anticipate. | Medium-low |
STNG AI stock forecast
The STNG AI stock forecast uses scenarios rather than a precise prediction. The financial rigor model shows that at the current price the stock is cheap on trailing and FY2026 consensus earnings, but consensus already models FY2027 EPS falling about 48% as rates normalize. The key variable is where product tanker spot rates settle over the next four to eight quarters, with Q3 to-date bookings providing an early signal.
$100 to $125
More likely if product tanker rates stay elevated due to renewed geopolitical disruption, refinery dislocation, or fleet supply constraints, and Scorpio delivers FY2026 EPS above $12 with FY2027 EPS above the $5.94 consensus while continuing buybacks. Deutsche Bank holds a $102 target and the Street high is $120.
$78 to $95
More likely if tanker rates moderate from Q2 peaks but stay above 2025 levels, Scorpio delivers FY2026 EPS in the $10 to $12 range, and the stock holds a 7 to 8x forward multiple. MarketBeat consensus sits near $88 and StockAnalysis near $96.
$45 to $60
More likely if a global recession reduces oil product demand, new vessel deliveries depress rates, or FY2027 earnings fall toward the $5 to $6 consensus or below, pushing the stock below book with multiple compression despite the net cash cushion of about $26 per share.
STNG AI technical analysis
STNG AI technical analysis uses the $77.42 reference quote from August 3, 2026. The stock has been in a strong uptrend year to date, rising from around $50.78, but it has pulled back from the July highs after the Q2 earnings report. The 52-week high is $87.39 and the low is $43.78. Momentum is neutral near term and the price is holding around the 50-day moving average.
| Level | Value | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Current price | $77.42 | StockAnalysis.com real-time quote as of August 3, 2026. Previous close on July 31 was $77.86. |
| Near support | $75.50 to $77 | The zone around the 50-day moving average near $76.96 and the recent day range low. A hold here keeps the medium-term uptrend intact. |
| Near resistance | $82 to $83.50 | The July rebound highs around $82.45 to $83.31. A close above this zone would target the 52-week high of $87.39. |
| 50-day moving average | $76.96 | The stock is trading just above this level. Losing it on a closing basis would shift the near-term bias lower. |
| 200-day moving average | $69.04 | The key longer-term trend line. A close below this level would weaken the uptrend materially. |
| 52-week range | $43.78 to $87.39 | The current price sits around the middle of the annual range, roughly 15% below the high after the post-earnings pullback. |
| Momentum | RSI 47.19, YTD +52.5% | RSI is neutral after the July rally. Year-to-date gain of about 52.5% from the $50.78 start of 2026. |
| Volume | 651,115 shs daily avg (20-day) | Volume picked up around the Q2 earnings release and the earlier July selloff. Normal turnover for a mid-cap energy name. |
| Volatility | Beta -0.23 (5Y) | The negative beta reflects the tendency of tanker stocks to move on oil supply disruption news rather than broad equity direction. |
| Invalidation | Close below $69 | A close below the 200-day moving average would weaken the setup unless fresh tanker rate data supports a reassessment. |
STNG AI trading strategy
The STNG AI trading strategy is a rules-based framework for research. It is not a personalized buy, sell, or hold recommendation. Traders should pair any setup with position sizing, stop logic, tanker rate data, fleet supply data, earnings dates, and sector news.
Wait for STNG to hold the 50-day moving average near $77 and confirm a break above the $82 to $83.50 resistance zone. A close above the 52-week high of $87.39 with volume would confirm continuation toward analyst targets near $96.
A close below the 200-day moving average near $69 or a sustained drop in product tanker spot rates should invalidate the bullish trend setup.
If STNG pulls back toward the $69 to $72 zone without a thesis-breaking decline in tanker rates, compare the pullback with Q3 to-date TCE data, forward rate indications, and fleet utilization before acting.
Do not average down unless the maximum loss, position size, and sector risk are defined before entry.
Track quarterly EPS, fleet utilization, spot vs. time charter coverage, TCE guidance, buyback activity, net cash, and the $0.45 per quarter dividend. The next earnings report is expected around late October 2026.
Lower confidence if the stock rallies on momentum while TCE bookings stay weak, or if fleet supply growth accelerates.
Investment research summary
Scorpio Tankers is paid to move refined petroleum products across oceans. Its customers are oil majors, refiners, and commodity traders who need reliable seaborne transportation for gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, and naphtha.
Fleet scale, customer relationships, modern eco-design vessels, and commercial management capabilities create some advantage, but rates are set by global supply and demand for tanker capacity. The moat is moderate at best.
The thesis fails if product tanker rates revert to historical averages or below. Other failure paths include a global recession reducing oil product trade, excessive new vessel orders, shifts in refinery geography, or a prolonged low-rate environment. Q3 to-date TCE already shows MR rates near $29,000 per day versus the Q2 average of about $52,000.
Emanuele Lauro has built and managed the fleet through multiple shipping cycles. Recent actions show disciplined capital allocation: a $605 million 1.75% convertible note with a sub-1% yield, about 1.99 million shares repurchased in Q2 at an average of $77.72, vessel sales that lock in gains, and a strengthened net cash position near $1.31 billion.
Product tanker demand is tied to global oil product consumption and refinery capacity shifts. Sanctions, trade route changes, and the Middle East conflict created rate tailwinds in Q2 2026, but the industry has a history of boom-bust cycles and the early Q3 booking picture already looks weaker.
At about 4.8x trailing earnings and near book value, STNG appears cheap on trailing and FY2026 numbers. But the margin of safety depends on earnings staying near current levels. If earnings revert toward the FY2027 consensus of about $5.94, the forward multiple would expand on normalized earnings and the margin of safety narrows despite the net cash cushion.
Source-backed data
Every metric below includes a source and last verification date.
| Metric | Value | Source | Last verified |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reference price | $77.42 latest quote, prev close $77.86 | StockAnalysis.com STNG stock page | August 3, 2026 |
| Market capitalization | About $3.9 billion, roughly 50.08M shares x $77.42 per the Q2 2026 release | StockAnalysis.com, MarketBeat and company Q2 2026 release | August 3, 2026 |
| Q2 2026 adjusted EPS | $4.68 diluted adjusted vs consensus near $4.89; net income $387.5M including a $154.1M vessel sale gain | Scorpio Tankers Q2 2026 release and TheFly via StockAnalysis | August 3, 2026 |
| TTM revenue and net income | Revenue about $1.22B, net income about $816M | StockAnalysis.com statistics | August 3, 2026 |
| FY2025 revenue and net income | Revenue $938.22M, net income $344.29M | StockAnalysis.com financials and SEC filings | August 3, 2026 |
| Net cash | About $1.31B net cash as of July 28, 2026, roughly $26 per share | Scorpio Tankers Q2 2026 release | August 3, 2026 |
| Valuation ratios | Trailing P/E about 4.8x, forward P/E about 11x, P/B near book value | StockAnalysis.com statistics | August 3, 2026 |
| Q3 2026 TCE guidance | To-date: LR2 about $65,000, MR about $29,000, Handymax about $20,800 per day on 34% to 46% of booked days | Scorpio Tankers Q2 2026 release | August 3, 2026 |
| Analyst consensus | Buy with $96.30 average target per StockAnalysis (low $78, high $120); MarketBeat shows Hold with $88.14. Deutsche Bank raised its target to $102 on July 31. | StockAnalysis.com forecast and MarketBeat | August 3, 2026 |
| Short interest | 2.23M shares short, 4.91% of shares outstanding, days to cover 2.26 | StockAnalysis.com statistics | August 3, 2026 |
| Shareholder returns | Dividend $0.45 per quarter ($1.80 annualized, about 2.3% yield), about 1.99M shares repurchased in Q2 at $77.72 average, $445M buyback capacity remaining | Scorpio Tankers Q2 2026 release and MarketBeat | August 3, 2026 |
| Management ownership | Insiders hold about 7.3% to 7.8% of shares | MarketBeat and StockAnalysis.com ownership data | August 3, 2026 |
This STNG AI stock analysis is an informational research tool only. It is not investment advice, financial advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold Scorpio Tankers shares. Forecast scenarios are based on available data at the stated cutoff and can be wrong.
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