Bullish case
$100 to $155
More likely if product tanker rates stay elevated due to geopolitical disruptions, refinery dislocation, or fleet supply constraints, and Scorpio delivers EPS above $12 with continued buybacks and debt reduction.
Scorpio Tankers, Inc. research snapshot
STNG AI stock analysis currently reads Scorpio Tankers as a high-quality product tanker operator with strong cash flow, a clean balance sheet, and a low P/E multiple, but the setup depends on product tanker rates staying elevated. The company has a modern fleet, low debt, and an active capital return program, but the analyst consensus is Hold and BofA downgraded the stock to Sell in late June 2026 citing peak cash generation. At the data cutoff, the reference quote was $79.30, market capitalization was about $4.00 billion, and the AI rating is neutral-positive for business quality with a cautious cyclical-sector overlay. This page is informational research, not investment advice.
Current price
$79.30
Market cap
About $4.00 billion using the 07/10 closing price
AI score
62 / 100
Rating
Strong cash generator in a cyclical tanker market, low valuation
Trend status
Neutral to positive near-term with upside consensus but near 52-week highs and a BofA downgrade signal
Data cutoff (updated weekly)
July 12, 2026
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
| Dimension | Conclusion | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Business quality | Scorpio Tankers owns and operates a modern fleet of MR and LR product tankers that transport refined petroleum products globally for energy majors, traders, and refiners. | Medium-high |
| Moat | The moat comes from fleet scale, customer relationships, operational execution, and access to capital, but product tanker shipping is a commodity service where rates are set by supply and demand. | Low-medium |
| Management | Emanuele Lauro has led the company since founding in 2009 through multiple cycles. The team has shown discipline in fleet acquisition, balance sheet management, and capital allocation. | Medium-high |
| Financial trend | FY2025 revenue of about $938 million and net income of about $344 million reflect strong tanker rates. Q1 2026 revenue grew 46% year over year, but consensus expects a sharp earnings decline ahead. | High |
| Valuation | At $79.30, P/E is about 7.80x trailing EPS of $10.17 and P/B is 1.26x book value of $62.71, which is cheap on historical earnings but forward estimates imply a higher forward P/E as earnings normalize. | Medium-high |
| Technical trend | The stock has rallied sharply year to date, gaining about 56% from $50.78 to $79.30. It is near the upper end of the 52-week range and momentum is positive but extended. | Medium |
| Risk level | Risk is elevated because tanker rates are driven by global oil demand, refinery utilization, fleet supply, and geopolitical factors that are hard to predict beyond a few quarters. | High |
| AI confidence | High confidence for reported financial data and current valuation metrics. Medium confidence for forward rate and earnings scenarios. | High data confidence |
| Investment certainty | Lower than AI data confidence because a clean trailing P/E does not protect against the cyclical earnings decline that the consensus and BofA downgrade anticipate. | Medium-low |
STNG AI stock forecast
The STNG AI stock forecast uses scenarios rather than a precise prediction. The financial rigor model shows that at the current price, a base case of modest EPS growth still leaves limited upside, while a bearish tanker downturn would imply significant downside. The key variable is where product tanker spot rates settle over the next four to eight quarters.
$100 to $155
More likely if product tanker rates stay elevated due to geopolitical disruptions, refinery dislocation, or fleet supply constraints, and Scorpio delivers EPS above $12 with continued buybacks and debt reduction.
$70 to $90
More likely if tanker rates moderate from peak levels, Scorpio delivers $9 to $11 in EPS, and the stock trades in a 7-9x P/E range reflecting solid but normalizing earnings.
$21 to $55
More likely if a global recession reduces oil product demand, new vessel deliveries depress rates, or Scorpio faces a sharp earnings contraction toward $3 to $5 EPS with compressed valuation multiples.
STNG AI technical analysis
STNG AI technical analysis uses the $79.30 July 10 close. The stock has been in a strong uptrend year to date, rising from around $50.78 to the current level. The 52-week high is $87.39 and the low is $42.20. Near-term momentum is neutral to bullish but the stock is closer to the top of its range than the bottom.
| Level | Value | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Current price | $79.30 | MarketBeat closing price as of July 10, 2026. This is the reference quote for the page. |
| Near support | $69 to $72 | The 50-day moving average area. A pullback to this zone would represent a normal correction within the uptrend. |
| Near resistance | $85 to $87.40 | The 52-week high zone. Breaking above $87.39 with volume would confirm trend continuation toward the consensus target of $88.71. |
| 50-day moving average | Est. $72 to $74 | The 50-day range midpoint. The stock has traded above this level during the recent rally. |
| 52-week range | $42.20 to $87.39 | The current price is near the upper end of the annual range at about the 80th percentile. |
| Momentum | YTD +56.2% | Strong year-to-date performance. RSI is likely in the upper neutral to slightly overbought zone given the pace of the rally. |
| Volume | 963,000 shs daily avg | Liquid small-cap name with adequate volume for position trading. Volume spikes on sector news. |
| Volatility | Beta -0.24 (1Y) | The negative beta reflects the tendency of tanker stocks to rise during supply-driven oil price moves that hurt broad equities. |
| Invalidation | Close below $69 | A close below the 50-day moving average area would weaken the near-term setup unless fresh tanker rate data supports a reassessment. |
STNG AI trading strategy
The STNG AI trading strategy is a rules-based framework for research. It is not a personalized buy, sell, or hold recommendation. Traders should pair any setup with position sizing, stop logic, tanker rate data, fleet supply data, earnings dates, and sector news.
Wait for STNG to establish support above the $72 area and confirm momentum through the 50-day average. A breakout above $87 with volume would confirm continuation toward consensus targets.
A close below $69 or a sustained drop in product tanker spot rates should invalidate the bullish trend setup.
If STNG pulls back toward the $69 to $72 support zone without a thesis-breaking decline in tanker rates, compare the pullback with fleet utilization data and forward rate indications.
Do not average down unless the maximum loss, position size, and sector risk are defined before entry.
Track quarterly EPS, fleet utilization, spot vs. time charter coverage, debt paydown, buyback activity, and dividend growth. The next earnings report is expected around late July 2026.
Lower confidence if the stock rallies on momentum but spot rates weaken or if fleet supply growth accelerates.
Investment research summary
Scorpio Tankers is paid to move refined petroleum products across oceans. Its customers are oil majors, refiners, and commodity traders who need reliable seaborne transportation for gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, and naphtha.
Fleet scale, customer relationships, modern eco-design vessels, and commercial management capabilities create some advantage, but rates are set by global supply and demand for tanker capacity. The moat is moderate at best.
The thesis fails if product tanker rates revert to historical averages or below. Other failure paths include a global recession reducing oil product trade, excessive new vessel orders, shifts in refinery geography, or a prolonged low-rate environment.
Emanuele Lauro has built and managed the fleet through multiple shipping cycles. Capital allocation has been reasonable, with opportunistic fleet additions and a growing capital return program through dividends and buybacks.
Product tanker demand is tied to global oil product consumption and refinery capacity shifts. Sanctions, trade route changes, and refinery closures in some regions can create rate tailwinds, but the industry has a history of boom-bust cycles.
At roughly 7.80x trailing EPS and 1.26x book value, STNG appears cheap. But the margin of safety depends on earnings staying near current levels. If earnings revert to mid-cycle levels, the current P/E would expand on normalized earnings, reducing the margin of safety.
Source-backed data
Every metric below includes a source and last verification date.
| Metric | Value | Source | Last verified |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reference price | $79.30 latest close | MarketBeat STNG stock page | July 12, 2026 |
| Market capitalization | About $4.00 billion, verified as $79.30 x 50.42M shares | MarketBeat and financial_rigor.py | July 12, 2026 |
| FY2025 revenue | About $938.22 million | MarketBeat summary and SEC filings | July 12, 2026 |
| FY2025 net income | About $344.29 million | MarketBeat summary and SEC filings | July 12, 2026 |
| Q1 2026 EPS | $3.02 per share vs. $2.79 consensus (beat) | MarketBeat earnings data | July 12, 2026 |
| Cash and debt | Debt-to-equity 0.16, current ratio 13.98. Low leverage and strong liquidity. | MarketBeat balance sheet data | July 12, 2026 |
| Book value per share | $62.71 | MarketBeat statistics | July 12, 2026 |
| Analyst consensus | Hold with $88.71 target (range $78 to $100). BofA downgraded to Sell on June 30, 2026. | MarketBeat and Seeking Alpha | July 12, 2026 |
| Short interest | 5.37% of float, days to cover 2.2 | MarketBeat short interest data | July 12, 2026 |
| Management ownership | Insiders hold about 7.34% of shares | MarketBeat ownership data | July 12, 2026 |
This STNG AI stock analysis is an informational research tool only. It is not investment advice, financial advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold Scorpio Tankers shares. Forecast scenarios are based on available data at the stated cutoff and can be wrong.
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