Sportradar Group AG research snapshot
SRAD AI stock analysis currently sees Sportradar as a global sports-data infrastructure company that collects, licenses, and distributes official data for betting operators, media companies, and sports leagues. At the July 12, 2026 data cutoff, SRAD closed at $15.45 on July 10 and its mechanically verified market capitalization was $4.63 billion. The company benefits from multi-year exclusive partnerships with the NFL, NBA, NHL, UEFA, and Bundesliga, but faces securities litigation, compliance scrutiny, competition from Genius Sports, and a share price that has declined roughly 47% from its 52-week high. This page is an informational research tool, not investment advice.
Current price
$15.45 close on July 10, 2026
Market cap
$4.63 billion
AI score
55 / 100
Rating
Sports-data monopoly-adjacent franchise with compliance, customer concentration, and valuation overhang
Trend status
Downtrend from the $32.22 all-time high, trading below the 50-day moving average with elevated legal risk
Data cutoff (updated weekly)
July 12, 2026
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
| Dimension | Conclusion | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Business quality | Sportradar sells official sports data, odds-making, integrity services, and streaming to sportsbooks and media companies. Its value proposition is exclusive league data that betting operators need to offer in-play markets. | High |
| Moat | Exclusive multi-year data rights with the NFL, NBA, NHL, UEFA, Bundesliga, and other major leagues create real switching costs. The moat is contested by Genius Sports and challenged by league willingness to split data rights among multiple bidders. | Medium-high |
| Management | Founder and CEO Carsten Koerl owns about 31% of shares and recently purchased $10 million of stock after an earnings miss, signaling alignment. CFO Craig Felenstein joined in 2024. The management team faces an execution test in navigating securities litigation and league-renewal cycles. | Medium |
| Financial trend | FY2025 revenue was about $1.46 billion, up from $1.18 billion in FY2024, with net income of about $113 million. Q1 2026 revenue was $405.4 million with a net loss of $7.35 million, reflecting investment spending and seasonal patterns. | High |
| Valuation | At the July 10 close, SRAD traded near 64x TTM earnings, 3.2x sales, and 4.4x book value. The premium PE reflects the data-rights franchise but leaves limited room for earnings disappointments. | High |
| Technical trend | SRAD closed at $15.45, well below the 52-week high of $32.22 and near the lower end of its post-IPO range. Low beta of 0.50 suggests relatively muted volatility but also limited rebound momentum. | Medium |
| Risk level | High. Securities class action litigation, compliance investigations, league-renewal timing and pricing, Genius Sports competition, customer concentration among sportsbooks, and the gap between reported net income and free cash flow conversion all create significant uncertainty. | Medium-high |
| AI confidence | High for historical financials and league partnerships, medium for competitive dynamics, and low for legal and regulatory outcomes that are inherently unpredictable. | Medium data confidence |
| Investment certainty | Medium-low. A valuable data-rights franchise with insider buying is offset by litigation risk, competitive pressure, and a share price that has lost nearly half its value in 12 months. | Medium-low |
SRAD AI stock forecast
The SRAD AI stock forecast uses a three-year scenario model anchored to the July 10, 2026 close of $15.45 and the verified TTM EPS of $0.24. The annualized growth rates and PE targets are transparent modeling inputs, not earnings forecasts. The outputs are scenario ranges, not price promises.
$35 to $40
More likely if legal and compliance overhang clears, all major league partnerships are renewed on favorable terms, sports-betting handle grows globally, Genius Sports does not win away key data rights, and the market assigns a PE near 80x on three-year compounded EPS.
$18 to $22
More likely if revenue grows near 15% annually, the securities litigation settles without catastrophic liability, league renewals are completed on broadly similar terms, and the market applies a PE of about 55x on moderately grown EPS.
$5 to $8
More likely if the securities litigation results in material liability, key leagues award data rights to Genius Sports or another competitor, sports-betting growth slows in key markets, or the PE contracts toward 25x as earnings disappoint.
SRAD AI technical analysis
SRAD AI technical analysis uses the July 10, 2026 close and available market data. This static page does not fetch live chart data. Confirm support, resistance, moving averages, momentum, volume, volatility, and invalidation levels in a live chart before acting.
| Level | Value | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Current price | $15.45 | Nasdaq closing price on July 10, 2026. |
| Near support | $14.37 to $15.07 | A planning zone defined by the 1-month low and Barchart first support level. Not a guaranteed floor. |
| Key support | About $11.66 | The 52-week low set on April 28, 2026. A break below this level with volume would represent a new low for the stock. |
| Near resistance | $15.81 to $16.37 | Barchart first and second resistance levels. A sustained move above this zone would be the first step toward trend improvement. |
| Key resistance | $32.22 | The all-time and 52-week high from August 25, 2025. The stock has lost roughly 52% from this peak. |
| Moving averages | 50-day estimate near $16.50 to $17.50 | Price below the 50-day moving average signals weak short-term momentum. The $11.66 low and $32.22 high define a broad range. |
| Momentum | Neutral to weak | The stock is showing low-beta price action with a 0.50 beta, suggesting muted directional conviction and limited rebound strength. |
| Volume | Varies with news | Trading volume has increased around securities litigation headlines and earnings announcements. |
| Volatility | Beta 0.50 | The cited one-year beta of 0.50 implies moves that are relatively muted compared with the broad market. |
| Invalidation | Close above $32.22 or below $11.66 | A breakout above the 52-week high with volume would start a new uptrend. A break below the 52-week low would weaken the base-case structure. |
SRAD AI trading strategy
The SRAD AI trading strategy is a rules-based research framework, not personalized advice. Use it with position sizing, explicit loss limits, live-chart confirmation, and fresh checks of Sportradar filings, league-renewal announcements, litigation developments, and quarterly results.
Wait for SRAD to clear the $16.37 near resistance zone with above-average volume and a positive catalyst such as a league-renewal announcement, litigation settlement, or quarterly beat before considering a trend position.
A failed break above resistance or a new 52-week low below $11.66 should invalidate the trend setup.
If SRAD pulls back near the $14.37 to $15.07 support zone without a business-thesis break, evaluate the news flow: league renewals, litigation milestones, sports-betting handle data, and CEO insider trading patterns.
Do not average down. Set a maximum loss and invalidation level before entry. The legal risk profile means binary outcomes are possible.
Track league-partnership renewals, securities litigation developments, Genius Sports competitive positioning, quarterly revenue growth by segment, free cash flow, EBITDA margins, and CEO insider buying or selling.
Reduce confidence when revenue growth slows, a league switches to Genius Sports, litigation costs mount, or the CEO reduces his position.
Investment research summary
Customers pay Sportradar for official sports data that betting operators need to price and settle in-play wagers, and that media companies use for live sports coverage. The value is exclusivity: Sportradar holds multi-year data rights with the NFL, NBA, NHL, UEFA, Bundesliga, and about 40 other sports organizations globally.
Sportradar benefits from multi-year exclusive league data agreements that create high switching costs for both the leagues and the betting operators that integrate Sportradar data feeds. The moat is real but contested because Genius Sports competes for the same league data rights and betting-operator relationships, and leagues have an incentive to split rights among multiple providers.
The thesis can fail if the securities litigation results in material financial or regulatory liability, key leagues award data rights to Genius Sports or in-house solutions, sports-betting growth decelerates in the US and Europe, customer concentration among large sportsbooks creates pricing pressure, or the share count increases through equity-based compensation and acquisitions.
Founder and CEO Carsten Koerl owns about 31% of the company and recently purchased $10 million of stock on the open market after an earnings miss, which signals alignment with public shareholders. The management team is experienced in sports data and betting, but the securities litigation raises questions about historical compliance practices and internal controls.
Legal sports betting continues to expand globally, with the US market growing state by state and European markets maturing. The demand for official, low-latency sports data for in-play betting is a structural tailwind. However, leagues are becoming more sophisticated about monetizing their data rights directly, and competition from Genius Sports and potential in-sourcing by large operators limits the moat durability.
At the July 10 close, Sportradar had a mechanically verified $4.63 billion market capitalization, traded near 64x TTM earnings, 3.2x revenue, and 4.4x book value. The valuation embeds expectations that the company will resolve its legal challenges, renew league partnerships, and grow earnings. The margin of safety is limited given the legal and competitive risks.
Source-backed data
Every metric below includes a source and last verification date.
| Metric | Value | Source | Last verified |
|---|---|---|---|
| SRAD price and market capitalization | $15.45 close and $4.63 billion market capitalization on July 10, 2026 | Barchart market-cap and price data; market cap verified as $15.45 x 299.46 million shares | July 12, 2026 |
| FY2025 annual results | About $1.46 billion revenue and $113.4 million net income, cross-validated between TradingView and Barchart | Sportradar FY2025 filings via TradingView financial data and Barchart fundamentals | July 12, 2026 |
| Q1 2026 results | $405.4 million revenue and $7.35 million net loss, with revenue down about 5.6% sequentially | Sportradar Q1 2026 earnings release via TradingView | July 12, 2026 |
| League partnerships | Multi-year exclusive data rights agreements with NFL, NBA, NHL, UEFA, Bundesliga, ITF, BCCI, and others | Sportradar company profile and press releases via Wikipedia and company website | July 12, 2026 |
| CEO ownership and insider buying | CEO Carsten Koerl owns approximately 31% of the company and purchased $10 million of stock in the week following the Q1 2026 earnings miss | TradingView community post referencing CEO insider buying | July 12, 2026 |
| Valuation and technical indicators | PE 64x, revenue $1.46B, EBITDA about $603M, beta 0.50, 52-week range $11.66 to $32.22 | Barchart key statistics and TradingView key stats | July 12, 2026 |
This SRAD AI stock analysis is an informational tool only and is not investment advice, a recommendation, or a guarantee of future returns. Forecast ranges are scenario outputs based on available data as of the cutoff date and can be wrong if league partnerships, litigation outcomes, regulatory developments, sports-betting handle, competition, or market liquidity change.
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