Synopsys, Inc. research snapshot

SNPS AI Stock Analysis

SNPS AI stock analysis currently reads Synopsys, Inc. as a high-quality electronic design automation, semiconductor IP, and engineering simulation franchise that sold off hard in July 2026. At the August 2, 2026 data cutoff, SNPS closed at $388.76 on July 31 with a market capitalization near $74.44 billion, about 40% below its 52-week high. The company raised its FY2026 guidance in May and pushed ahead with agentic AI workflows with Intel Foundry, AMD, Microsoft, and NVIDIA at DAC 2026, but the stock fell after a reported Kimi K3 autonomous chip design demonstration and a broader semiconductor pullback. This page is informational research and not investment advice.

Current price

$388.76

Market cap

$74.44 billion

AI score

66 / 100

Rating

High-quality EDA and simulation leader with a contested AI-disruption overhang

Trend status

Near the 52-week low at $366, below the 50-day average near $446 and the 200-day average near $449, with RSI near 40 after a sharp July drawdown

Data cutoff (updated monthly)

August 4, 2026

Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.

Research quality check

information Richness
A-level information richness. Synopsys has long public filings, detailed annual and quarterly releases, broad analyst coverage, third-party quote datasets, and active press coverage of the agentic AI debate.
bias Check
The main AI bias risk is over-weighting the July 2026 Kimi K3 "AI replaced a chip designer" headline and the short-term price drop while under-weighting the durable EDA franchise, the raised FY2026 guidance, the agentic AI partnerships, and the possibility that the disruption scare is mostly noise.
ai Confidence
High for price, market cap math, share count, Q2 FY2026 results, FY2026 guidance, technical averages, analyst consensus, and tool-verified valuation math. Medium for forward return ranges because agentic AI adoption, Ansys synergies, divestitures, export controls, and market multiples can change the path.
investment Certainty
Medium. The business quality is high and the valuation is lower than in early July, but investment certainty is below data confidence because the market is still pricing a plausible AI-disruption scenario that the August 26 earnings report and September 30 Investor Day will test.

Quick verdict table

DimensionConclusionConfidence
Business qualitySynopsys sells mission-critical design automation, verification, semiconductor IP, and engineering simulation tools used before expensive chip and product decisions are made.High
MoatMoat comes from deep workflow integration, verification trust, high switching costs, IP reuse, tool qualification, customer design history, and scale across EDA plus Ansys simulation, though agentic AI raises a new question about how much of this workflow remains human-driven.Medium-high
ManagementSassine Ghazi and team raised FY2026 targets in May, bet on agentic AI with Intel Foundry, AMD, Microsoft, and NVIDIA, and are pruning legacy software, but the next test is the August 26 earnings report and the September 30 Investor Day.Medium-high
Financial trendQ2 FY2026 revenue rose 41.9% year over year to $2.276 billion, and FY2026 revenue guidance was raised to $9.625 billion to $9.705 billion with non-GAAP EPS guidance of $14.72 to $14.80.High
ValuationAt $388.76, SNPS traded near 92x TTM EPS, about 24.5x forward earnings, 8.6x sales, and 28.3x free cash flow per share, a lower multiple than in early July but still above a mature software level.High
Technical trendSNPS was below its 50-day average near $446.09 and below its 200-day average near $449.47, with RSI near 40.15 and the stock near the $366.00 52-week low after a sharp drawdown.High
Risk levelMain risks are the agentic AI disruption narrative, Ansys integration, about $10.8 billion of debt, export controls, China regulatory constraints, customer semiconductor cycles, and competition from Cadence, Siemens, and AI-native tools.Medium-high
AI confidenceHigh for historical facts and tool-checked math. Medium for forward scenarios because stock outcomes depend on execution, the AI-disruption debate, and market multiples.High data confidence
Investment certaintyMedium certainty. SNPS is a quality franchise trading near its 52-week low, but the page gives a research framework, not a buy or sell instruction.Medium

SNPS AI stock forecast

SNPS AI Stock Forecast Scenarios

The SNPS AI stock forecast uses scenario math around the $388.76 close. A three-year framework using the FY2026 non-GAAP EPS guidance midpoint of $14.76 produced a bullish value near $628, a base value near $446, and a bearish value near $228 before any future share count change. These are scenario ranges, not price promises.

Bullish case

$600 to $660

More likely if Synopsys sustains double-digit growth, agentic AI workflows expand rather than replace EDA demand, Ansys cross-sell works, non-GAAP margin expands, debt is reduced, export restrictions do not tighten, and the market reassigns a premium software multiple.

Base case

$425 to $475

More likely if revenue grows in the high single digits to low teens, agentic AI becomes an incremental tool rather than a demand destroyer, Ansys integration is steady, and the valuation settles near a low-to-mid twenties earnings multiple.

Bearish case

$210 to $240

More likely if autonomous AI chip design materially reduces traditional EDA seats or pricing, Cadence, Siemens, or AI-native tools take share, integration costs or export controls reduce revenue, and the multiple compresses toward a mature software level.

SNPS AI technical analysis

SNPS AI Technical Analysis

SNPS AI technical analysis is cautious as of the August 2, 2026 data cutoff. StockAnalysis showed SNPS at $388.76 at the July 31 close, a 50-day moving average near $446.09, a 200-day moving average near $449.47, RSI near 40.15, and a 52-week range from $366.00 to $646.29.

LevelValueWhy it matters
Current price$388.76July 31, 2026 closing price used for this static page.
Near support$366 to $380The 52-week low sits at $366.00 and the stock has been testing this zone since mid-July, so a hold or a break here matters for short-term momentum.
Secondary support$350This round-number area is a deeper risk-control reference if the 52-week low fails.
First resistance$446 to $449The 50-day average near $446.09 and the 200-day average near $449.47 have converged and form the first recovery zone.
52-week high reference$646.29The stock sits about 40% below its 52-week high after the July selloff.
MomentumRSI 40.15Momentum is weak, but not yet at a deeply oversold reading that would by itself confirm capitulation.
VolumeAbout 2.25 million sharesStockAnalysis reported July 31 volume near 2.25 million shares, above the 20-day average near 1.97 million.
VolatilityBeta 1.22SNPS has moved more than the broad market, so position size should account for earnings, regulatory, and AI-disruption headlines.
InvalidationClose below $366, then $350A close below the 52-week low weakens the mean-reversion setup. A break below $350 would signal a deeper trend reset.

SNPS AI trading strategy

SNPS AI Trading Strategy Framework

The SNPS AI trading strategy is a rules-based framework for a premium EDA and simulation stock trading near its 52-week low under an AI-disruption and integration cycle. It is not personalized advice and should be paired with live chart data, position sizing, the August 26 earnings release, filings, and a defined invalidation level.

Trend-following setup

Wait for SNPS to reclaim the 200-day moving average near $449.47 and then the 50-day moving average near $446.09 with improving volume before treating the recovery as a stronger trend setup.

A failed reclaim or a close back below the $366.00 52-week low should invalidate the near-term trend setup.

Mean-reversion setup

If SNPS stabilizes near $366 to $380, compare the price move with FY2026 guidance, the September 30 Investor Day, agentic AI announcements, Ansys integration, debt reduction, and semiconductor design activity.

Do not average down without a maximum loss rule because premium software stocks can keep resetting when AI-disruption or growth worries persist.

Fundamental monitor

Track Design Automation growth, Design IP growth, Ansys revenue contribution, non-GAAP operating margin, free cash flow, debt, the exit from manufacturing process control software, the Processor IP Solutions divestiture, and management commentary on agentic AI.

Reduce confidence if revenue growth depends mostly on acquisition contribution or if agentic AI adoption starts to compress seat counts and pricing.

Investment research summary

Four-master Research Compression

Business essence

Synopsys helps engineering teams design, verify, simulate, and secure chips and complex products before costly fabrication or production choices are made.

Moat

The moat is built from switching costs, design-flow trust, reusable IP blocks, verification accuracy, partner ecosystems, long customer qualification cycles, and Ansys simulation breadth.

Munger risk inversion

The thesis fails if agentic or autonomous AI chip design compresses the need for traditional EDA tools, Ansys integration distracts the company, export rules cut important demand, Cadence, Siemens, or AI-native tools gain share, or leverage limits flexibility during a downturn.

Management

Management has raised FY2026 targets and is betting on agentic AI workflows with Intel Foundry, AMD, Microsoft, and NVIDIA while pruning legacy software, so investors need evidence that growth and margins hold through the September 30 Investor Day and beyond.

Industry trend

Synopsys sits inside long-duration trends in AI accelerators, custom silicon, 3D-IC design, semiconductor IP, automotive electronics, aerospace simulation, and digital engineering, while the industry debates whether AI expands or replaces human design work.

Valuation and margin of safety

At $388.76, the stock carries a lower multiple than in early July but still assumes durable growth. Margin of safety improves if earnings compound while the balance sheet deleverages, and weakens if AI-disruption worries or multiple compression offset growth.

Source-backed data

SNPS Data Table

Every metric below includes a source and last verification date.

MetricValueSourceLast verified
SNPS price$388.76 at the July 31, 2026 closeStockAnalysis quote pageAugust 2, 2026
Market capitalization$74.44 billion, verified as $388.76 x 191.48 million sharesStockAnalysis and financial_rigor.py market cap verificationAugust 2, 2026
Q2 FY2026 revenue$2.276 billion, compared with $1.604 billion in Q2 FY2025Synopsys Q2 FY2026 financial resultsAugust 2, 2026
FY2026 revenue guidance$9.625 billion to $9.705 billionSynopsys Q2 FY2026 financial resultsAugust 2, 2026
FY2026 non-GAAP EPS guidance$14.72 to $14.80, midpoint $14.76Synopsys Q2 FY2026 financial resultsAugust 2, 2026
FY2025 revenue$7.054 billionSynopsys FY2025 resultsAugust 2, 2026
TTM revenue and EPS$8.68 billion revenue and $4.22 EPSStockAnalysis statistics pageAugust 2, 2026
Valuation metrics92.1x TTM PE, 24.5x forward PE, 8.6x PS, 28.3x P/FCFStockAnalysis and financial_rigor.py valuation verificationAugust 2, 2026
Technical reference data50-day average $446.09, 200-day average $449.47, RSI 40.15, beta 1.22, 52-week range $366.00 to $646.29StockAnalysis statistics pageAugust 2, 2026
Cash and debt$2.48 billion in cash and $10.84 billion in total debt on the April 30, 2026 balance sheetStockAnalysis statistics pageAugust 2, 2026
Analyst consensusBuy rating and $564.43 average price target across 24 to 25 analystsStockAnalysis forecast pageJuly 22, 2026
Upcoming catalystsQ3 FY2026 results on August 26, 2026 and Investor Day on September 30, 2026Synopsys earnings release date announcementJuly 22, 2026
Agentic AI partnershipsExpanded DAC 2026 collaborations with Intel Foundry on 14A and agentic AI workflows with AMD, Microsoft, and NVIDIASynopsys DAC 2026 press releasesAugust 2, 2026
Ansys acquisitionClosed July 17, 2025, expanding Synopsys toward a $31 billion TAMSynopsys Ansys acquisition completion releaseAugust 2, 2026
Management ownershipCEO Sassine Ghazi owned 572,518 shares, about 0.30% of the 2026 proxy share base; current executive officers as a group owned about 2.04%Synopsys 2026 proxy statement, filed February 2026, and financial_rigor.py calculatorAugust 2, 2026

Frequently Asked Questions

This SNPS AI stock analysis page is an informational research tool, not investment advice, financial advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Forecast scenarios are based on available public data as of August 2, 2026 and may be wrong. Always verify live prices, filings, risks, and your own constraints before making investment decisions.