SentinelOne, Inc. research snapshot
S AI stock analysis currently reads SentinelOne as a fast-growing AI-native cybersecurity platform that is gaining share in endpoint, cloud, and AI security while showing early profitability progress. In the quarter ended April 30, 2026, the company posted its first positive non-GAAP operating income and ARR of $1.16 billion, up 23% year over year. The analysis supports scenario-based research rather than a certain price prediction. At the August 3, 2026 cutoff, the last verified close was $19.06 on July 31, market capitalization was about $6.53 billion, and the main question was whether revenue growth, free cash flow expansion, and AI security monetization can sustain the current valuation multiple against competition from CrowdStrike, Microsoft, Palo Alto Networks, and a new AI-agent security startup founded by former SentinelOne founders. This is informational research and not investment advice.
Current price
$19.06
Market cap
$6.53 billion
AI score
68 / 100
Rating
Fast-growing AI-native security platform, first positive non-GAAP operating quarter
Trend status
Recovered above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, near the 52-week high on AI security momentum
Data cutoff (updated monthly)
August 4, 2026
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
| Dimension | Conclusion | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Business quality | SentinelOne provides an AI-native cybersecurity platform spanning endpoint, cloud, identity, and AI security, with a unified agent and autonomous threat prevention, detection, and response. The business quality is improving as ARR grows and non-GAAP operating income turns positive. | Medium-high |
| Moat | The moat comes from proprietary behavioral AI models, a unified platform, growing ARR with rising customers above $100,000, FedRAMP authorization, technology partnerships such as Amazon Bedrock AgentCore, and threat intelligence data network effects. The moat is improving but remains narrower than CrowdStrike or Microsoft Defender. | Medium |
| Management | CEO Tomer Weingarten and the team delivered a positive non-GAAP operating quarter and raised the FY27 operating outlook, but the 8% workforce reduction in May 2026, the CFO share sale, and the launch of Neo by former founders create monitoring points on execution and key-person risk. | Medium |
| Financial trend | FY2026 revenue was $1.00 billion, up 22% year over year; Q1 FY27 revenue was $276.7 million, up about 21%; ARR reached $1.16 billion, up 23%; and TTM free cash flow was about $62 million, while GAAP net income remains negative at about -$319 million TTM. | Medium-high |
| Valuation | At about 6.2x TTM revenue, roughly 48 to 56x forward non-GAAP earnings, about 105x TTM free cash flow, and no debt with about $657 million in cash and investments, the valuation is reasonable only if AI security growth and margin expansion continue; it is expensive relative to GAAP earnings that remain negative. | Medium |
| Technical trend | S closed at $19.06 on July 31, 2026, above the 50-day moving average of about $17.28 and the 200-day moving average of about $15.50, with an RSI of about 63. The stock is near the 52-week high of $20.71, though the August 3 session was trading higher near $19.55 to $19.68. | Medium |
| Risk level | Key risks are competition from CrowdStrike, Microsoft, and Palo Alto Networks; the new Neo AI-agent security startup; the path from non-GAAP to GAAP profitability; the May 2026 restructuring and 8% workforce cut; acquisition integration of Prompt Security and Observo AI; and a near-term earnings report expected on August 27, 2026. | Medium-high |
| AI confidence | High for descriptive analysis, financial math, and market data. Lower for forward returns because AI security market share shifts, monetization, and competitive dynamics can change quickly. | Medium-high data confidence |
| Investment certainty | Low-medium. SentinelOne is an improving business with positive non-GAAP operating income, growing ARR, and no debt, but the cybersecurity market is crowded and the stock prices in a successful AI security trajectory. | Medium-low |
S AI stock forecast
The S AI stock forecast should be read as scenario math, not a promise. Using a July 31, 2026 close near $19.06, a fiscal 2027 non-GAAP EPS consensus near $0.35, and a three-year framework, the tested range spans a bearish area near $13, a base area near $24, and a bullish area near $38. These outputs depend on revenue growth, margin expansion, competitive positioning, and the terminal valuation multiple.
$32 to $38
More likely if SentinelOne sustains 20%+ ARR growth, expands non-GAAP and GAAP margins, gains share in AI security against CrowdStrike, monetizes Purple AI and agentic security, and the market keeps a premium growth multiple of 50x or more on non-GAAP earnings.
$21 to $26
More likely if SentinelOne grows revenue around 18% to 20% per year, free cash flow keeps improving, GAAP profitability approaches within a few years, and the stock trades in line with high-growth cybersecurity peers at 40x to 45x forward non-GAAP earnings.
$10 to $14
More likely if revenue growth decelerates below 15%, the Neo startup or larger vendors erode AI security pricing, the workforce reduction disrupts product execution, GAAP profitability stays distant, or macro IT spending slows, pushing the multiple toward 25x to 30x forward earnings.
S AI technical analysis
S AI technical analysis is constructive as of the August 3, 2026 cutoff. S closed at $19.06 on July 31, 2026 after a +3.59% session, and was trading near $19.55 to $19.68 during the August 3 session. The stock sits above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages and near its 52-week high of $20.71, which is the key resistance to watch ahead of the August 27 earnings report.
| Level | Value | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Current price | $19.06 | Yahoo Finance showed the July 31, 2026 close at $19.06 with a day range of $18.25 to $19.15. The August 3 session was trading higher near $19.55 to $19.68. |
| Near support | $18.25 to $18.50 | Recent July pullback lows near $18.25 to $18.50 acted as support before the July 31 rally to $19.06. |
| Deeper support | $17.28 | The 50-day moving average near $17.28. A sustained break below this level would weaken the short-term uptrend. |
| Major support | $15.50 | The 200-day moving average near $15.50. Holding above this long-term average keeps the medium-term trend intact. |
| Near resistance | $19.90 to $20.05 | The August 3 intraday high near $19.91 and the July 16 high near $20.04 form the first resistance zone. |
| Upper resistance | $20.71 | The 52-week high reached on July 15, 2026. A breakout above this level with volume would be technically significant. |
| 50-day SMA | Approximately $17.28 | StockAnalysis statistics showed the 50-day moving average near $17.28 as of August 3, 2026. |
| 200-day SMA | Approximately $15.50 | StockAnalysis statistics showed the 200-day moving average near $15.50 as of August 3, 2026. |
| Momentum | Positive | Relative strength index near 63.35, above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. Momentum is positive but approaching overbought territory. |
| Volatility | Moderate | Beta near 0.82. S regularly moves 3% to 8% in a session, so position sizing should account for cybersecurity sector swings and the upcoming earnings date. |
| Invalidation | Close below $17.28 | A sustained close below the 50-day moving average near $17.28 would weaken the setup, and a close below the 200-day moving average near $15.50 would damage the medium-term recovery. |
S AI trading strategy
The S AI trading strategy below is a research and risk-control framework, not personalized advice. It combines business evidence, technical confirmation, and predefined invalidation levels for a cybersecurity growth stock that is trading near its 52-week high ahead of an earnings report.
Look for S to hold above the 50-day moving average near $17.28 and the 200-day moving average near $15.50, and to break through the $20.71 resistance zone with volume. Monitor ARR growth, non-GAAP operating income, and AI security adoption as fundamental confirmation.
A failed breakout or a daily close below the $18.25 support area should reduce confidence in the setup. Avoid adding during the August 27 earnings window without defined risk.
If S pulls back toward $18.25 to $18.50 without a thesis break, compare price stabilization with the upcoming earnings expectations, ARR growth, and competitive announcements from CrowdStrike, Microsoft, or the Neo startup.
Do not treat price declines as automatic buying opportunities. Define maximum loss before entry and confirm that the fundamental thesis has not deteriorated.
Track quarterly ARR growth, non-GAAP and GAAP margin trajectory, free cash flow, large customer additions, competitive win or loss data, integration progress for Prompt Security and Observo AI, and AI security adoption through Purple AI and agentic offerings.
Reduce confidence if revenue growth decelerates below 15% year over year, free cash flow turns negative, the May 2026 restructuring disrupts execution, or key customers are lost to competitors.
Investment research summary
SentinelOne sells an AI-native cybersecurity platform that protects endpoints, cloud workloads, identities, and AI tools from cyber threats using autonomous behavioral AI, replacing traditional signature-based antivirus and legacy EDR products.
The moat is built from proprietary behavioral AI models, a unified agent architecture, threat intelligence data network effects, FedRAMP authorization, and a growing ecosystem of technology partnerships such as Amazon Bedrock AgentCore. The moat is improving but remains narrower than CrowdStrike or Microsoft Defender.
The thesis fails if CrowdStrike maintains dominant market share, Microsoft bundles Defender effectively to erode pricing, the Neo startup or other AI-agent security specialists win the emerging AI security category, revenue growth decelerates before reaching GAAP profitability, or the Prompt Security and Observo AI acquisitions fail to deliver expected synergies.
CEO Tomer Weingarten and the team delivered a first positive non-GAAP operating quarter and raised the FY27 operating income outlook, which is encouraging. However, the 8% workforce reduction in May 2026, the CFO share sale, and the launch of Neo by former founders create monitoring points on execution and key-person risk.
SentinelOne operates in the large and growing cybersecurity market driven by AI-powered threats, cloud migration, regulatory requirements, and rising AI security budgets. The AI security sub-segment is emerging as a new growth vector, and both established vendors and well-funded startups are competing for it.
At roughly 6.2x TTM revenue, about 48 to 56x forward non-GAAP earnings, and about 105x TTM free cash flow, S prices in continued AI security growth and margin improvement. Margin of safety exists if free cash flow and non-GAAP income accelerate, but is thin if growth decelerates or competition intensifies.
Source-backed data
Every metric below includes a source and last verification date.
| Metric | Value | Source | Last verified |
|---|---|---|---|
| S price | $19.06 close on July 31, 2026, trading near $19.55 to $19.68 on August 3 | Yahoo Finance quote page and StockAnalysis history | August 3, 2026 |
| Market capitalization | $6.53 billion, verified as $19.06 x 342.8 million shares | financial_rigor.py market cap verification | August 3, 2026 |
| Shares outstanding | Approximately 342.8 million shares | StockAnalysis statistics | August 3, 2026 |
| Annual recurring revenue (ARR) | $1.16 billion as of April 30, 2026, up 23% year over year | SentinelOne Form 10-Q (SEC), Q1 FY27 | August 3, 2026 |
| Q1 FY27 revenue (ended April 30, 2026) | $276.66 million, up about 21% year over year | SentinelOne Form 10-Q (SEC), Yahoo Finance, StockAnalysis | August 3, 2026 |
| TTM revenue | $1.05 billion, up about 21% | StockAnalysis financials | August 3, 2026 |
| FY2026 revenue (ended January 31, 2026) | $1.00 billion, up 21.89% from $821.46 million in FY2025 | StockAnalysis financials | August 3, 2026 |
| TTM net income (GAAP) | -$318.71 million, EPS -$0.96 | StockAnalysis statistics | August 3, 2026 |
| Q1 FY27 non-GAAP operating income | +$10.5 million, first positive non-GAAP operating quarter, vs -$3.9 million a year earlier | SentinelOne Form 10-Q (SEC) | August 3, 2026 |
| Cash and investments | $656.79 million as of April 30, 2026, no debt | StockAnalysis statistics and balance sheet | August 3, 2026 |
| Free cash flow (TTM) | About $61.8 million TTM, from operating cash flow of $62.8 million minus capex | StockAnalysis cash flow | August 3, 2026 |
| Valuation multiples | About 6.2x TTM price/sales, 4.53x price/book, 48.42x forward non-GAAP PE, about 105x TTM P/FCF | StockAnalysis statistics and financials | August 3, 2026 |
| Enterprise value | $5.88 billion | StockAnalysis statistics | August 3, 2026 |
| 52-week range | $11.81 to $20.71 | Yahoo Finance and StockAnalysis | August 3, 2026 |
| Analyst consensus | Buy from 35 analysts, average target $19.68, low $15, high $26 | StockAnalysis forecast (S&P Global, TipRanks) | August 3, 2026 |
| Recent analyst actions | BofA raised target to $22 from $20 on July 24, 2026; Scotiabank upgraded to Outperform with a $23.50 target on July 6, 2026; Wells Fargo holds at $16 on July 27, 2026 | StockAnalysis forecast and Yahoo Finance | August 3, 2026 |
| Technical indicators | 50-day SMA near $17.28, 200-day SMA near $15.50, RSI near 63.35, beta near 0.82 | StockAnalysis statistics | August 3, 2026 |
| Next earnings date | Estimated August 27, 2026 | Yahoo Finance and StockAnalysis | August 3, 2026 |
This S AI stock analysis page is an informational research tool only and is not investment advice, a recommendation, or a personalized trading plan. Forecast scenarios are based on available public data as of the stated cutoff date, may be wrong, and should be checked against current filings, market data, and your own risk constraints. SentinelOne faces significant competition in cybersecurity and AI security, has not yet reached GAAP profitability, and is executing a workforce reduction that carries execution risk.
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