Park Hotels & Resorts, Inc. research snapshot
PK AI stock analysis currently reads Park Hotels & Resorts as a premium-location hotel REIT with a 7% dividend yield, a recovering portfolio after San Francisco impairments, and Q1 2026 results that beat estimates, but with debt, interest rate sensitivity, and limited competitive moat still important. At the July 13, 2026 data cutoff, PK traded near $14.17 with a verified market capitalization near $2.85 billion. This page uses scenario ranges and source checks, not a certain stock price prediction, and is for informational use only.
Current price
$14.17
Market cap
$2.85 billion
AI score
58 / 100
Rating
Premium hotel REIT, cyclical exposure and debt watch
Trend status
Near 52-week high after Q1 2026 beat but TTM earnings impaired by SF write-down
Data cutoff (updated weekly)
July 13, 2026
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
| Dimension | Conclusion | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Business quality | PK owns 40 premium-branded hotels (Hilton, Marriott, Hyatt) with 25,000 rooms in top US markets. Revenue comes from rooms, F&B, and other hotel services managed by third-party operators. | Medium |
| Moat | Limited moat. Brand affiliation with Hilton provides some demand resilience and loyalty program access, but hotel REITs face commodity-like competition, low switching costs for guests, and location risk that can change with city-level dynamics. | Low |
| Management | CEO Thomas Baltimore has led since the 2017 spin-off, navigating COVID, SF impairment, and portfolio reshaping. Capital allocation has focused on asset sales and debt reduction, but the SF hotel surrender and debt load remain concerns. | Medium |
| Financial trend | FY2024 revenue was $2.599 billion with net income of $226 million. TTM through March 2026 showed a net loss of about $215 million due to a large Q4 2025 impairment. Q1 2026 returned to positive net income of $11 million on $623 million revenue. | Medium-high |
| Valuation | At $14.17, PK traded at roughly 0.79x book value, with a 7.06% dividend yield that is above the REIT sector average. The price sits near the 52-week high of $14.95, leaving limited upside based on historical range alone. | Medium |
| Technical trend | PK has rallied from the 52-week low of $9.84 and now trades near the upper end of its range. Momentum is constructive short-term, but the stock is approaching resistance at the 52-week high around $15. | Medium |
| Risk level | Main risks include hotel demand cyclicality, interest rate sensitivity (REITs compete with bonds), San Francisco exposure, $5.5 billion debt load, operating cost inflation, and limited competitive differentiation versus other hotel REITs. | Medium-high |
| AI confidence | High for descriptive facts and audited calculations, medium for forward scenarios and chart levels. | High data confidence |
| Investment certainty | Low to medium certainty. The page frames scenarios and monitoring rules, not a buy or sell instruction. | Low-medium |
PK AI stock forecast
The PK AI stock forecast uses scenario math around the $14.17 quote and the hotel REIT sector context. The framework points to a bearish area near $10 to $12, a base area near $13 to $15, and a bullish area near $17 to $19, based on dividend yield, RevPAR trends, and valuation multiple assumptions.
$17 to $19
More likely if group and leisure travel demand stays strong, RevPAR grows 3-5% annually, the company manages debt maturities successfully, SF headwinds fade, and the market values PK near a P/FFO multiple more in line with premium REIT peers.
$13 to $15
More likely if PK maintains stable occupancy and ADR, the dividend stays covered by operating cash flow, debt is managed without distress, and the stock trades around a 6.5-7.5% dividend yield range.
$10 to $12
More likely if the economy slows, business travel softens, interest rates stay elevated, hotel supply increases in key markets, or further property-level impairments emerge.
PK AI technical analysis
PK AI technical analysis is constructive but near a ceiling as of the July 13, 2026 data cutoff. The stock has recovered strongly from the 52-week low of $9.84 and now trades just under the 52-week high of $14.95. Volume, momentum, and moving average signals suggest a positive short-term trend, but resistance at $15 is a critical level to watch.
| Level | Value | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Current price | $14.17 | Quote snapshots around the July 10, 2026 cutoff placed PK near $14.17 on NYSE. |
| Near support | $13.50 to $13.00 | These levels correspond to prior consolidation zones where PK paused during its recovery rally. |
| Deeper support | $11.50 to $10.50 | The $10.50 area aligns with the prior significant support before the run-up and the low end of analyst targets. |
| Near resistance | $14.95 (52-week high) | The 52-week high of $14.95 is the immediate resistance. A break above this level would open the path to multi-year highs. |
| Long-term resistance | $16.50 to $18.00 | These levels represent prior trading ranges from 2021-2023 before the hotel REIT sector corrected on rate hikes. |
| Momentum | Positive, near overbought | The stock has rallied roughly 44% from the 52-week low, suggesting momentum is positive but may be extended short-term. |
| Volume | Average volume near 5.9 million shares | Google Finance reported average volume near 5.9 million shares, above the pre-COVID historical average. |
| Volatility | Beta of 1.32 | A beta above 1.0 means PK tends to amplify movements in the broader market, which cuts both ways. |
| Invalidation | Close below $12.50 | A decisive close below $12.50 after a failed breakout attempt would weaken the recovery thesis. |
PK AI trading strategy
The PK AI trading strategy is a rules-based research framework for monitoring a hotel REIT after a strong recovery rally. It is not personal advice and should be paired with fresh chart data, filings, position sizing, and a defined invalidation level.
Watch for PK to clear and hold above the $15.00 52-week high on above-average volume. A sustained breakout would target the $16.50 to $18.00 range. Monitor RevPAR data, group booking trends, and dividend coverage for confirmation.
A false breakout with a close back below $14.00 or a dovish interest rate reversal should invalidate the breakout setup.
If PK pulls back toward $13.00 to $13.50 on no negative fundamental news, consider the risk/reward in context of the 7% dividend yield as a floor. Compare with hotel sector REIT index performance to judge whether the pullback is stock-specific or sector-wide.
Do not add to a position without a maximum loss rule because hotel REITs can gap on macro, rate, or earnings news.
Track quarterly RevPAR vs. prior year, occupancy rate, ADR, group bookings, operating margins, debt maturity schedule, dividend coverage ratio (FFO payout ratio), and SF property status.
Reduce confidence if dividend coverage weakens, debt covenants tighten, or management signals further property-level impairments or portfolio distress.
Investment research summary
Park Hotels & Resorts owns premium hotel real estate and generates income by leasing rooms to travelers through brands like Hilton, Marriott, and Hyatt. Customers pay for location, brand consistency, and service quality.
The moat is narrow. Hilton brand affiliation and prime-location properties create some barriers, but hotels face low guest switching costs, competition from alternative accommodations, and city-level demand shocks that can impair asset values.
The thesis fails if hotel demand softens on economic slowdown, interest rates stay high and compress REIT valuations, the company struggles to refinance maturing debt, SF losses spread to other markets, or the dividend is cut.
Management should be judged by portfolio occupancy and ADR trends, debt management, asset sale execution, dividend policy through cycles, and whether the SF impairment was a one-time event or a broader portfolio quality issue.
PK sits inside long-duration demand for US hotel accommodations driven by business travel, group meetings, and domestic leisure. However, the industry is cyclical, capital-intensive, and faces competition from short-term rentals and supply additions.
At roughly $14.17 and a 7.06% dividend yield, PK offers income but limited price upside near its 52-week high. Margin of safety improves if the price pulls back toward $12 to $13 while operating metrics remain stable.
Source-backed data
Every metric below includes a source and last verification date.
| Metric | Value | Source | Last verified |
|---|---|---|---|
| PK price | $14.17 | Google Finance quote snapshot | July 13, 2026 |
| Market capitalization | $2.85 billion, verified as $14.17 x 201.36 million shares | financial_rigor.py market cap verification | July 13, 2026 |
| FY2024 revenue | $2.599 billion | Form 10-K (SEC filing via Wikipedia) | July 13, 2026 |
| FY2024 net income | $226 million | Form 10-K (SEC filing via Wikipedia) | July 13, 2026 |
| Total assets | $9.161 billion | Form 10-K (SEC filing via Wikipedia) | July 13, 2026 |
| Total equity | $3.594 billion | Form 10-K (SEC filing via Wikipedia) | July 13, 2026 |
| Q1 2026 revenue and EPS | $623 million revenue, $0.11 GAAP EPS vs estimate of $0.08 | Google Finance earnings snapshot | July 13, 2026 |
| Dividend rate and yield | $0.25 per quarter ($1.00 annual), yield of approximately 7.06% | Google Finance dividend data | July 13, 2026 |
| Shares outstanding | 201.36 million | Google Finance summary statistics | July 13, 2026 |
| 52-week price range | $9.84 to $14.95 | Google Finance summary statistics | July 13, 2026 |
This page is an informational research tool only and is not investment advice, financial advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell PK stock. Forecast scenarios are based on available public data, technical snapshots, and stated assumptions as of the data cutoff date and may be wrong. Always verify current filings, prices, risks, and personal suitability before making financial decisions.
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