Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc. research snapshot
APLE AI stock analysis as of the August 4, 2026 data cutoff reads Apple Hospitality REIT as a well-diversified upscale select-service lodging REIT with 216 Marriott, Hilton, and Hyatt-branded hotels across 83 U.S. markets, strong free cash flow generation, a high dividend yield near 5.8%, and a roughly 40% year-to-date price gain that has cooled into consolidation. The stock traded near $16.53 on August 3, 2026, with a market cap of about $3.90 billion, above its 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day moving averages but just below its 5-day and 20-day averages after pulling back from the $17.13 52-week high. On July 28, 2026, the company completed refinancing that lifted total unsecured facility capacity toward $1.3 billion, extended the seven-year term loan to $160 million, and pushed the first significant debt maturity beyond 2029, while analysts hold a consensus Hold rating with a $16.00 to $16.50 average target. The forecast remains scenario-based because hotel demand is cyclical, the dividend payout ratio is elevated, short interest near 6% of float remains notable, and interest rate sensitivity persists.
Current price
$16.53 at the August 3, 2026 intraday reading
Market cap
$3.90 billion
AI score
68 / 100
Rating
Well-diversified upscale select-service lodging REIT with a strengthened balance sheet after the July 2026 refinancing, a high dividend yield, and a full valuation after a roughly 40% YTD rally
Trend status
Consolidation below the 5-day and 20-day moving averages but above the 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day averages after pulling back from the $17.13 52-week high
Data cutoff (updated monthly)
August 4, 2026
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
| Dimension | Conclusion | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Business quality | Apple Hospitality owns 216 upscale select-service hotels under Marriott, Hilton, and Hyatt brands, generating revenue from room nights, food and beverage, and ancillary guest spending across 83 markets and 37 states plus the District of Columbia. | High |
| Moat | The moat comes from a large and diversified portfolio, long-term brand franchise agreements, prime real estate locations, and internal management capabilities, but select-service hotels face low guest switching costs and competition from other lodging REITs and alternative accommodations. | Medium |
| Management | CEO Scott M. Oaks and CFO Liz Perkins have emphasized portfolio diversification, balance sheet management, and returning capital to shareholders. The July 28, 2026 refinancing extended debt maturities, and insiders have been net buyers over the past three months. | Medium-high |
| Financial trend | TTM revenue of about $1.42 billion and net income of roughly $172 million. Q1 2026 revenue of $337.74 million beat estimates. Levered free cash flow of about $325 million provides meaningful dividend coverage on a cash basis, and the refinancing pushed the first significant debt maturity beyond 2029. | High |
| Valuation | At $16.53, verified inputs imply about 22.6x TTM EPS, 1.24x book value, 10.6x cash flow per share, and a 5.81% dividend yield. The forward P/E reported by MarketBeat near 10.4x versus 23.4x on StockAnalysis.com reflects different forward earnings bases, so valuation screens should rely on TTM and cash flow metrics. | Medium-high |
| Technical trend | APLE was near $16.53, above its 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day moving averages but below its 5-day and 20-day averages, with 14-day RSI near 51, signaling consolidation after the YTD rally toward the $17.13 52-week high. | Medium-high |
| Risk level | Risk is moderate to elevated. Key risks include economic slowdown hurting hotel demand, an elevated dividend payout ratio, roughly 6% short interest, interest rate sensitivity, labor cost inflation, and competition from alternative lodging. | Medium-high |
| AI confidence | Descriptive confidence is high because SEC filings, market data, analyst coverage, and the refinancing press release are available. Return confidence is lower because lodging REIT performance depends on macroeconomic conditions and consumer travel spending. | High data confidence |
| Investment certainty | APLE looks like a high-yield lodging REIT worth monitoring, but the payout ratio, short interest, full valuation, and cyclical hotel demand mean it is not a straightforward defensive income holding. | Medium-low |
APLE AI stock forecast
The APLE AI stock forecast should be read as scenario analysis, not a guaranteed outcome. Using the August 4, 2026 research cutoff, a $16.53 stock price, TTM cash flow per share of about $1.56 as the normalized earnings proxy, and a three-year model for REIT-appropriate multiples, the tested range spans a bearish area near $12, a base area near $18, and a bullish area near $23.
$21 to $24
More likely if hotel demand stays strong, revenue per available room continues to grow, operating margins improve, the dividend remains well covered by cash flow, short interest declines further, and investors assign a higher multiple to select-service lodging REIT cash flow after the refinancing strengthens the balance sheet.
$16 to $19
More likely if hotel demand is stable, RevPAR grows modestly, the portfolio occupancy holds near current levels, FFO per share grows in the low single digits, and the market values APLE around an 11x to 12x cash flow multiple, consistent with the current $16.00 to $16.50 analyst consensus.
$11 to $14
More likely if the economy slows, business and leisure travel budgets tighten, labor and insurance costs outpace RevPAR growth, the dividend is cut or coverage weakens, short interest rises again, or interest rates pressure REIT valuations broadly.
APLE AI technical analysis
APLE AI technical analysis shows a stock consolidating after a strong uptrend as of the August 4, 2026 data cutoff. At roughly $16.53, price was above the 50-day moving average near $16.20, the 100-day average near $14.46, and the 200-day average near $13.21, but just below the 5-day average near $16.66 and the 20-day average near $16.67, with 14-day RSI near 51 after a pullback from the $17.13 52-week high.
| Level | Value | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Current price | $16.53 | StockAnalysis.com and MarketBeat both reported an August 3, 2026 intraday price near $16.53, with the prior close near $16.51 and a session range near $16.50 to $16.79. |
| Near support | $16.20 to $16.50 | The area between the 50-day moving average near $16.20 and the recent consolidation lows is the first support zone after the pullback from the high. |
| 50-day moving average | Approximately $16.20 | Barchart and StockAnalysis.com both reported the 50-day average near $16.20. A clean hold above it keeps the intermediate uptrend intact. |
| 100-day and 200-day averages | Approximately $14.46 and $13.21 | The 100-day average near $14.46 and the 200-day average near $13.21 are well below current price, confirming the longer-term uptrend. The 50-day range low near $14.48 sits just above the 100-day average. |
| Near resistance | $17.00 to $17.13 | The 52-week high of $17.13 is the immediate resistance, with the 50-day range high near $17.07 just below it. A decisive breakout above this zone would reopen the uptrend. |
| Momentum | Neutral after the rally | Barchart reported 14-day RSI near 50.69 and StockAnalysis.com near 50.81, signaling momentum has cooled. The 14-day stochastic near 23% reflects the recent pullback. |
| Volume monitor | About 2.99 million shares | MarketBeat cited average volume near 2.99 million shares. Volume should be monitored for confirmation on any breakout above $17. |
| Volatility | 14-day ATR near $0.32 | Barchart reported a 14-day average true range near $0.32, about 1.9% of price, with 14-day historic volatility near 13.5%, moderate for a lodging REIT. |
| Invalidation | Close below $14.46 | A sustained close below the 100-day moving average near $14.46 would break the intermediate uptrend structure and signal the rally is losing steam, potentially leading to a deeper pullback toward the 200-day average. |
APLE AI trading strategy
The APLE AI trading strategy below is a planning framework for risk assessment, not personal investment advice. It factors in the strong longer-term uptrend, the recent consolidation, the high dividend yield, the elevated payout ratio, short interest, and cyclical hotel demand. Confirmation from FFO trends, RevPAR data, and the August 5, 2026 earnings report is recommended before any position decision.
For an investor comfortable with cyclical lodging exposure, the trend-following approach would be to monitor whether APLE holds above the 50-day moving average near $16.20 and confirms a breakout above the $17.13 52-week high with above-average volume.
Treat a close below the 50-day moving average near $16.20 as an early caution signal. A break below the 100-day average near $14.46 would invalidate the intermediate uptrend and suggest trend-following should be exited.
For income-oriented investors, evaluate whether the $0.96 annual dividend (5.81% yield) is sustainable by tracking FFO payout ratio, RevPAR trends, occupancy rates, and operating margin. The dividend was covered by levered free cash flow of about $325 million TTM, and the July 2026 refinancing pushed the first significant debt maturity beyond 2029.
If the dividend payout ratio on a cash-flow basis deteriorates or if management signals a cut, the income thesis breaks. Rising short interest can also signal market doubt about dividend sustainability.
Track comparable RevPAR, portfolio occupancy, ADR, adjusted FFO per share, EBITDAre, net debt to EBITDA, dividend coverage, hotel acquisition and disposition activity, debt maturity and refinancing terms, and management commentary on travel demand trends.
Keep position size proportionate to scenario conviction. A high dividend yield can be a value trap if the underlying business is deteriorating. Monitor the roughly 6% short interest and the August 5, 2026 earnings report for signs of changing sentiment.
Investment research summary
Apple Hospitality sells access to premium select-service hotel rooms across the United States. Customers pay for overnight stays, meetings, and ancillary services at properties operated under Marriott, Hilton, and Hyatt brand licenses, and Apple Hospitality earns returns by owning, maintaining, and optimizing a diversified portfolio of 216 hotel properties.
The moat is strongest in portfolio diversification across 83 markets and 37 states plus the District of Columbia, long-term franchise relationships with the worlds largest hotel brands, and internal property management and revenue optimization capabilities. It is weaker at the individual property level because travelers can easily choose other hotels in the same segment.
The thesis fails if consumer or business travel demand weakens meaningfully, labor and insurance costs rise faster than room rates can compensate, the dividend is cut due to inadequate FFO coverage, short sellers are proven right about earnings vulnerability, or rising interest rates force a broader REIT de-rating that compresses APLEs multiple.
Management has emphasized portfolio diversification, balance sheet discipline, and shareholder returns through dividends. The July 28, 2026 refinancing extended the weighted average maturity of consolidated debt to nearly five years with no significant maturities until 2029, and insider buying in recent months plus the internally advised structure align interests with shareholders.
Select-service lodging is not a paradigm-shifting industry, but it benefits from structural tailwinds including a growing U.S. travel market, the shift toward experiences over goods, and the preference for select-service efficiency over full-service pricing. The industry remains economically cyclical and sensitive to corporate travel budgets and consumer confidence.
At about $16.53, verified math shows roughly 22.6x TTM EPS, 10.6x cash flow per share, 1.24x book value, and a 5.81% dividend yield. The forward P/E diverges across providers because of different forward earnings bases, so normalized REIT earnings and cash flow per share offer the more reliable screen. Margin of safety depends on FFO stability and dividend sustainability, not GAAP earnings, which are reduced by non-cash depreciation charges typical for REITs.
Source-backed data
Every metric below includes a source and last verification date.
| Metric | Value | Source | Last verified |
|---|---|---|---|
| APLE price | $16.53, prior close $16.51 | StockAnalysis.com and MarketBeat | August 4, 2026 |
| Market cap | $3.90 billion, verified at 0.06% deviation from $16.53 x 236.07 million shares | StockAnalysis.com and MarketBeat | August 4, 2026 |
| Shares outstanding | 236.07 million, float 219.04 million | StockAnalysis.com | August 4, 2026 |
| 52-week range | $10.85 to $17.13 | StockAnalysis.com and MarketBeat | August 4, 2026 |
| TTM revenue | $1.42 billion | StockAnalysis.com and Yahoo Finance statistics | August 4, 2026 |
| TTM net income | $171.84 million | StockAnalysis.com and Yahoo Finance statistics | August 4, 2026 |
| TTM EPS | $0.73 | StockAnalysis.com and MarketBeat | August 4, 2026 |
| TTM cash flow per share | $1.56 | MarketBeat APLE profile | August 4, 2026 |
| Operating cash flow and levered FCF | OCF $369.94 million TTM, levered FCF $324.53 million TTM | StockAnalysis.com and Yahoo Finance statistics | August 4, 2026 |
| Book value per share | $13.24 to $13.31 | StockAnalysis.com and MarketBeat | August 4, 2026 |
| Cash, debt, and leverage | Cash $14.22 million, total debt $1.68 billion, D/E 0.54, Debt/EBITDA 3.74, net debt to equity 53.67% | StockAnalysis.com and Yahoo Finance statistics | August 4, 2026 |
| Valuation ratios | P/E 22.64x, P/B 1.24x, P/S 2.74x, P/CF 10.60x, EV/EBITDA 12.38x, FCF yield 9.44% | StockAnalysis.com, MarketBeat, and financial_rigor.py verification | August 4, 2026 |
| Dividend and yield | $0.96 annual, 5.81% yield, payout ratio 131.51%, next-year payout estimate 59.63% | StockAnalysis.com and MarketBeat | August 4, 2026 |
| Beta | 0.87 | StockAnalysis.com and Yahoo Finance | August 4, 2026 |
| Short interest | 14.10 million shares, about 5.97% of shares out and 6.44% of float, days to cover 4.48 | StockAnalysis.com statistics | August 4, 2026 |
| Q1 2026 revenue | $337.74 million, beat estimate of $327.81 million | MarketBeat earnings report | August 4, 2026 |
| Q1 2026 EPS and MFFO | EPS $0.12 beat $0.11 estimate; Q1 MFFO $0.34 versus $0.33 a year earlier | MarketBeat earnings report and TheFly | August 4, 2026 |
| Refinancing (July 28, 2026) | Main facility raised to about $1.3 billion, seven-year term loan increased to $160 million, no significant debt maturities until 2029 | Apple Hospitality REIT press release via Business Wire | August 4, 2026 |
| Analyst consensus | Hold, price target $16.00 average (MarketBeat) to $16.50 average (StockAnalysis.com and Yahoo), range $13.00 to $17.50 | MarketBeat forecast and StockAnalysis.com | August 4, 2026 |
| Moving averages and RSI | 5-day $16.66, 20-day $16.67, 50-day $16.20, 100-day $14.46, 200-day $13.21; 14-day RSI 50.69 to 50.81 | Barchart and StockAnalysis.com | August 4, 2026 |
This APLE AI stock analysis is an informational research tool only and is not investment advice, a recommendation, or a promise of future returns. Forecast ranges are scenarios based on available public data as of the August 4, 2026 data cutoff and can be wrong if hotel demand, RevPAR, occupancy, ADR, FFO, dividend policy, interest rates, operating costs, refinancing outcomes, or market multiples change.
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