The Coca-Cola Company research snapshot
KO AI stock analysis currently reads Coca-Cola as a durable consumer staples compounder with exceptional brand reach, bottler-system scale, pricing power, and dividend consistency. The analysis is constructive on business quality and short-term technical trend, but not blindly bullish: the current valuation already prices in stable execution, and the key risk is whether pricing, mix, and emerging-market growth can offset mature-market volume pressure.
Current price
$84.05
Market cap
$361.7 billion
AI score
74 / 100
Rating
Defensive quality, valuation discipline required
Trend status
Constructive uptrend, near prior high zone
Data cutoff (updated weekly)
July 8, 2026
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
| Dimension | Conclusion | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Business quality | Coca-Cola monetizes a global portfolio of beverage trademarks through concentrate economics, finished products, and a bottler network in more than 200 countries and territories. | High |
| Moat | Brand habit, shelf space, cold-drink distribution, bottler relationships, marketing scale, and route-to-market density create a wide moat. | High |
| Management | Henrique Braun became CEO in 2026 after a long operating career inside Coca-Cola, while James Quincey moved to Executive Chairman, giving the transition continuity. | Medium-high |
| Financial trend | FY2025 net revenue was $47.941 billion, Q1 2026 revenue grew 12% to $12.472 billion, and Q1 operating margin reached 35.0%. | High |
| Valuation | At $84.05, KO trades around 26.4x TTM EPS, 7.3x sales, and 28.9x TTM free cash flow per share. | Medium |
| Technical trend | KO trades above commonly watched 50-day and 200-day moving averages with RSI near 59, a constructive but not deeply discounted setup. | Medium |
| Risk level | Key risks are low unit volume growth, consumer health scrutiny, dollar strength, bottler complexity, and multiple compression if staples yields reprice. | Medium-high |
| AI confidence | The descriptive analysis has high data confidence, while return forecasts remain scenario estimates rather than predictions. | High data confidence |
| Investment certainty | Business certainty is stronger than valuation certainty. The stock can be high quality and still offer only moderate forward return if bought at a full multiple. | Medium |
KO AI stock forecast
The KO AI stock forecast should be read as scenario math, not a fixed target. Using TTM EPS near $3.18, a July 7, 2026 close near $84.05, and a three-year framework, the tested range spans a bearish area near $64, a base area near $86, and a bullish area near $109 before dividends. Dividends matter for KO, but the price outcome depends mainly on EPS growth and the market multiple.
$105 to $110
More likely if organic revenue growth remains mid-single digit or better, emerging markets improve, currency pressure eases, zero-sugar and functional beverages gain share, and investors keep paying a premium staples multiple.
$82 to $86
More likely if EPS compounds near 4% annually, dividends continue to rise slowly, and KO holds a mid-20s earnings multiple without major volume acceleration.
$60 to $65
More likely if volume weakens, pricing power fades, currency turns unfavorable, health-related pressure rises, or higher real rates compress defensive consumer-staples multiples.
KO AI technical analysis
KO AI technical analysis is constructive but late-cycle for a defensive stock. As of the July 8, 2026 data cutoff, KO closed at $84.05 on July 7, close to its 52-week high area and above common 50-day and 200-day moving-average references. Momentum is positive but not a reason to ignore risk controls.
| Level | Value | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Current price | $84.05 | StockAnalysis reported the July 7, 2026 close at $84.05. |
| Near support | $80.80 to $82.35 | The zone covers recent 50-day moving-average references from AltIndex and Investing.com. A close below it would weaken short-term trend quality. |
| Deeper support | $76.40 to $80.85 | AltIndex and Investing.com 200-day moving-average references. This is a trend support area, not a forecast. |
| Near resistance | $85 to $86 | Company stock information reported a year high near $85.68, making this the immediate overhead zone. |
| 50-day SMA | $82.33 | Investing.com technical data reported KO above its 50-day moving average. |
| 200-day SMA | $80.83 | Investing.com technical data reported KO above its 200-day moving average. |
| Momentum | RSI 59.2 | Positive but not extreme momentum. The standard overbought reference is often 70. |
| Volume | Confirm breakouts | A move through $85 to $86 is more useful if it arrives with above-average volume rather than a thin defensive rotation. |
| Volatility | Low-beta profile | KO usually moves less than high-beta growth stocks, but defensive names can still gap on rates, FX, earnings, or regulation. |
| Invalidation | Close below $80.80 | A decisive break below the near moving-average zone would invalidate the short-term trend-following setup. |
KO AI trading strategy
The KO AI trading strategy below is a framework for research and risk planning, not personal advice. It combines a defensive compounder thesis with clear technical confirmation and valuation discipline.
Watch for KO to hold above the $80.80 to $82.35 moving-average zone and break the $85 to $86 resistance area with stronger volume.
Define the invalidation level before entry. A close back below the 50-day moving-average zone can be used as a rules-based exit signal.
If KO pulls back toward the low $80s without a break in earnings quality, compare the setup against dividend yield, Q2 volume trends, and currency commentary.
Avoid assuming every defensive pullback is safe. A break below the 200-day area changes the setup from pullback to trend damage.
Track organic revenue growth, unit case volume, price/mix, operating margin, free cash flow, FX impact, dividend coverage, and CEO transition execution.
Keep scenario ranges updated after earnings. KO can be stable operationally while the stock reprices if rates or staples valuations move.
Investment research summary
Coca-Cola sells branded beverage demand and route-to-market access. Consumers pay for taste, habit, availability, trust, and occasion-based consumption, while bottlers and retailers benefit from brands that pull traffic and repeat purchases.
The moat comes from brand memory, distribution density, refrigerator and shelf presence, advertising scale, and long-term bottler relationships. It is wide, but not immune to health preferences and local competitors.
The thesis fails if core sparkling volumes erode faster than pricing can offset, regulators or consumers punish sugar-heavy categories, currency headwinds absorb growth, or the market stops paying a premium for slow-growth defensives.
The CEO transition to Henrique Braun appears continuity-oriented because Braun is a long-tenured operator and Quincey remains Executive Chairman. The open question is whether the new team can balance portfolio innovation with cost control.
Nonalcoholic ready-to-drink beverages are mature in developed markets but still benefit from global population, urbanization, premiumization, zero-sugar formats, sports hydration, and at-home and away-from-home occasion recovery.
At roughly 26.4x TTM EPS and 7.3x sales, KO depends on steady compounding and dividend value rather than a low starting multiple. Margin of safety is better on pullbacks or when free cash flow yield improves.
Source-backed data
Every metric below includes a source and last verification date.
| Metric | Value | Source | Last verified |
|---|---|---|---|
| KO price | $84.05 at the July 7, 2026 close | StockAnalysis KO financials page | July 8, 2026 |
| Market capitalization | $361.7 billion, calculated from $84.05 x 4.303 billion shares | financial_rigor.py market-cap verification | July 8, 2026 |
| Shares outstanding | 4.303 billion diluted-average shares and 4.302 billion common shares outstanding at year-end 2025 | Coca-Cola 2025 Form 10-K | July 8, 2026 |
| FY2025 revenue | $47.941 billion, cross-validated with StockAnalysis at $47.941 billion | Coca-Cola 2025 Form 10-K | July 8, 2026 |
| FY2025 net income to common | $13.107 billion, cross-validated with StockAnalysis at $13.107 billion | Coca-Cola 2025 Form 10-K | July 8, 2026 |
| FY2025 free cash flow | $5.296 billion, depressed by the fairlife contingent consideration payment; company also reported $11.4 billion excluding that payment | Coca-Cola FY2025 earnings release | July 8, 2026 |
| Q1 2026 revenue and operating income | $12.472 billion revenue and $4.359 billion operating income | Coca-Cola Q1 2026 Form 10-Q | July 8, 2026 |
| Q1 2026 margin and EPS | 35.0% operating margin and $0.91 diluted EPS | Coca-Cola Q1 2026 earnings release | July 8, 2026 |
| Cash and short-term investments | $13.872 billion in 10-K cash plus short-term investments; StockAnalysis showed $15.806 billion because it includes marketable securities | Coca-Cola 2025 Form 10-K and StockAnalysis balance sheet | July 8, 2026 |
| Total debt | $45.492 billion at FY2025 and $43.890 billion at Q1 2026 | StockAnalysis balance sheet, cross-checked to Coca-Cola filings | July 8, 2026 |
| Valuation metrics | 26.43x TTM PE, 7.34x sales, 28.88x P/FCF, and 2.45% dividend yield | financial_rigor.py valuation verification | July 8, 2026 |
| Technical trend | 50-day SMA $82.33, 200-day SMA $80.83, RSI 59.2 | Investing.com KO technical analysis | July 8, 2026 |
| CEO transition | Henrique Braun became CEO effective March 31, 2026; James Quincey transitioned to Executive Chairman | Coca-Cola CEO succession announcement | July 8, 2026 |
This page is an informational research tool only. It is not investment advice, financial advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold KO. Forecasts are scenario-based estimates from available data and may be wrong. Always verify current filings, prices, dividend data, and your own risk constraints before making decisions.
