JBT Marel Corporation research snapshot
JBTM AI stock analysis as of the August 3, 2026 data cutoff reads JBT Marel Corporation as a transformed global food and beverage technology platform that is showing real execution progress, but whose GAAP earnings and valuation still carry the weight of the mid-2024 Marel acquisition. The stock closed at $138.47 on July 31, 2026, with a market capitalization near $7.21 billion, computed as $138.47 times 52.07 million shares and cross-validated against the Q1 2026 Form 10-Q cover, which lists 52,067,812 shares as of April 28, 2026. The latest reported quarter remains Q1 2026, released May 4-5, 2026, because Q2 2026 results are scheduled for August 3, 2026 after market close and were not yet published at this data cutoff. Q1 2026 delivered revenue of $936 million, up 10% year over year with 4% organic growth and 6% from foreign exchange, adjusted EBITDA of $142 million up 27% with a 15.2% margin up 210 basis points, adjusted EPS of $1.58 versus $1.48 consensus, free cash flow of $100 million, and a second consecutive quarter of orders above $1 billion, up 17%. Management maintained full-year 2026 guidance of $3.99 billion to $4.065 billion in revenue, adjusted EBITDA margin expansion of 145 basis points, and adjusted EPS of $8.00 to $8.50, up 29%, while guiding second-quarter revenue of $975 million to $1 billion with adjusted EBITDA margins of 17% to 17.5%. Net debt leverage sat at 2.6x trailing adjusted EBITDA at the end of Q1, with management targeting about 2x by year-end. The AI score sits at 64 out of 100 because order momentum, margin expansion, and deleveraging are real, but GAAP net income of only $45 million in Q1 2026 reflects acquisition amortization, the Prepared Food and Beverage Solutions segment was flat with a margin down 170 basis points, tariffs remain a 25 to 50 basis point headwind, the stock sits below its 200-day moving average near $140.26, and the price already discounts a successful integration.
Current price
$138.47
Market cap
$7.21 billion
AI score
64 / 100
Rating
Post-Marel food automation platform with strong orders and margin expansion, but elevated leverage and GAAP earnings still suppressed by acquisition costs
Trend status
Neutral-to-positive: above the 20-day, 50-day, and 100-day moving averages but below the 200-day average near $140
Data cutoff (updated monthly)
August 4, 2026
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
| Dimension | Conclusion | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Business quality | JBT Marel provides integrated food processing equipment, automation, software, and service solutions to protein, prepared food, beverage, and other segments, with TTM revenue near $3.88 billion, a large installed base, and a growing recurring service and parts stream. | Medium-high |
| Moat | The moat comes from process engineering expertise, decades of customer relationships, a large installed base with recurring service and spare parts revenue, food safety regulatory know-how, and the complexity of switching integrated food processing lines, strengthened by the Marel product breadth and geographic reach. | Medium-high |
| Management | CEO Brian Deck, President Arni Sigurdsson, and CFO Matt Meister have delivered two consecutive quarters of orders above $1 billion, margin expansion, strong free cash flow, and leverage reduction from about 2.9x to 2.6x, and they have laid out a NextGen strategy targeting 5% to 7% organic growth and a 20% adjusted EBITDA margin by 2028, but integration and synergy execution remain the test. | Medium |
| Financial trend | Q1 2026 revenue rose 10% to $936 million with adjusted EBITDA up 27% to $142 million at a 15.2% margin, adjusted EPS of $1.58 beat consensus, free cash flow reached $100 million, and leverage fell to 2.6x, while GAAP net income was only $45 million because of acquisition amortization and one-time costs. | High |
| Valuation | At $138.47, JBTM trades near 42.92x trailing GAAP EPS ($3.21), 16.05x forward adjusted EPS, 1.61x book value, 22.74x trailing free cash flow per share, 1.86x revenue, and 17.82x EV/EBITDA, with a forward adjusted P/E near 16.7x against the FY2026 adjusted EPS consensus of $8.28. | Medium-high |
| Technical trend | The stock is in the middle of its 52-week range of $113.67 to $170.19, up about 0.9% over the trailing year. It closed at $138.47 on July 31, 2026, above the 20-day average near $138.27, the 50-day near $134.29, and the 100-day near $131.74, but below the 5-day near $141.45 and the 200-day near $140.26, with 14-day RSI near 51.69 and ADX near 16.31. | Medium |
| Risk level | Key risks are Marel integration delays, net debt leverage of 2.6x trailing adjusted EBITDA, acquisition amortization depressing GAAP earnings, tariffs as a 25 to 50 basis point headwind, a flat Prepared Food and Beverage Solutions segment with a margin down 170 basis points, warehouse automation underperformance, food processor capital expenditure cycles, currency translation exposure, and the possibility that Q2 2026 results disappoint. | Medium-high |
| AI confidence | Descriptive data confidence is high because Q1 2026 filings, market data, and SEC EDGAR XBRL agree. Return confidence is lower because the stock depends on integration success, synergy delivery, GAAP earnings convergence, and multiple expansion. | High data confidence |
| Investment certainty | JBTM has a strong business in food automation, but the current price already reflects a successful integration scenario. Investment certainty is constrained by leverage, GAAP earnings dilution, segment softness, and the need to prove that adjusted margins are sustainable. | Medium-low |
JBTM AI stock forecast
The JBTM AI stock forecast uses the $138.47 price reference, the FY2026 adjusted EPS consensus of $8.28, and a three-year earnings multiple framework. The audited model produced a bearish area near $115, a base area near $176, and a bullish area near $252 before dividends, using adjusted EPS growth of 5%, 10%, and 15% and exit multiples of 12x, 16x, and 20x over three years. These are scenario ranges, not promises. Note that FY2026 guided adjusted EPS of $8.00 to $8.50 significantly exceeds GAAP EPS because of acquisition amortization and one-time costs.
$230 to $265
More likely if Marel integration delivers synergies ahead of plan, FY2026 guidance is raised, order momentum continues above $1 billion per quarter, adjusted margins expand toward the 2028 target of 20%, the Prepared Food and Beverage Solutions segment recovers, leverage falls toward 2x, and GAAP earnings normalize as amortization schedules decline.
$160 to $185
More likely if FY2026 guidance is met with second-half acceleration, order flow remains solid but decelerates from peak levels, tariffs create modest headwinds, leverage drifts toward 2x, and the stock settles near a mid-teens to low-20s adjusted P/E consistent with guided adjusted EPS.
$100 to $125
More likely if Marel integration proves more complex than planned, synergy targets are missed, food processor capital expenditure slows, the poultry cycle turns, tariffs materially impact end-market demand, the Prepared Food and Beverage segment keeps fading, or leverage becomes a constraint on investment or acquisition.
JBTM AI technical analysis
JBTM AI technical analysis is based on the August 3, 2026 data cutoff. The reference price is $138.47 from the July 31, 2026 close. The 52-week range is $113.67 to $170.19, and the stock is approximately 19% below the 52-week high and roughly 22% above the 52-week low. Beta is 0.94, and 20-day average volume is about 448,000 shares. The stock sits above its 20-day, 50-day, and 100-day moving averages but below the 200-day average near $140.26, with neutral RSI near 51.69 and a weak ADX near 16.31.
| Level | Value | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Current price | $138.47 | Reference price from the July 31, 2026 close on StockAnalysis.com; market cap math uses 52.07 million shares outstanding. |
| Near support | $134 to $136 | The 50-day moving average was near $134.29 on Barchart as of the cutoff, a natural first pullback zone. |
| Next support | $131 to $133 | The 100-day moving average was near $131.74, forming a support cluster below the 50-day level. |
| Deeper support | $113 to $116 | This zone covers the 52-week low of $113.67 and represents a demand area where the stock previously found buying interest. |
| Near resistance | $140 to $145 | The 200-day moving average near $140.26 and the 5-day average near $141.45 form immediate overhead supply. |
| Higher resistance | $165 to $175 | This range approaches the 52-week high near $170.19 and the Seaport Research price target of $165, and would require a strong catalyst to reclaim. |
| Moving averages | 5-day $141.45, 20-day $138.27, 50-day $134.29, 100-day $131.74, 200-day $140.26 | Barchart reported these levels as of the August 3, 2026 cutoff; the price is above the 20-day, 50-day, and 100-day averages but below the 5-day and 200-day averages. |
| Momentum | RSI near 52, ADX near 16 | Barchart reported 14-day RSI near 51.69, neutral, and 14-day ADX near 16.31, indicating a range rather than a strong trend. |
| Volume | Average about 448,000 to 500,000 shares per day | StockAnalysis reported 20-day average volume near 448,000 shares and Barchart near 448,830, moderate for a mid-cap industrial stock. |
| Volatility | Moderate, beta 0.94, 14-day historical volatility near 35% | Barchart reported 14-day historical volatility near 35.01% and a 14-day ATR near $4.74, so earnings and guidance events can create larger moves. |
| Invalidation | Close below $134 | A decisive close below the 50-day moving average near $134.29, and then below the 100-day near $131.74, would weaken the recovery thesis and suggest a test of the $113 to $116 support area. |
JBTM AI trading strategy
The JBTM AI trading strategy below is a rules-based research framework, not personal advice. It connects Marel integration milestones, FY2026 guidance delivery, order momentum, adjusted EBITDA margin, free cash flow, leverage, and technical invalidation levels.
Watch for JBTM to reclaim the 200-day moving average near $140.26 and the 5-day average near $141.45 on rising volume, then build toward the $165 to $175 resistance zone while the company sustains orders above $1 billion, expands margins toward FY2026 guidance, and progresses on Marel synergy realization.
A failed move above the $140 to $145 resistance, weaker orders, missed guidance, or integration delays should reduce setup confidence and trigger a stop near the 50-day moving average.
If JBTM pulls back toward the $134 to $136 support and then the $131 to $133 cluster without a change in FY2026 guidance or Q2 results damage, evaluate the entry against guided adjusted EPS of $8.00 to $8.50 and the potential for GAAP earnings to normalize as amortization declines.
Do not treat a pullback as benign if order cancellations, tariff escalation, customer capital expenditure cuts, segment deterioration, or leverage covenant concerns appear in management commentary or filings.
Track quarterly orders, backlog, revenue, adjusted EBITDA margin, free cash flow, net debt to adjusted EBITDA, segment performance, Marel synergy realization, GAAP versus adjusted EPS convergence, tariff impact, and analyst rating changes.
Position sizing should reflect that JBTM is a post-acquisition integration story with elevated leverage and one-time costs that can delay GAAP profitability recovery, and that Q2 2026 results are scheduled for August 3, 2026.
Investment research summary
Customers pay JBT Marel because food and beverage processors need specialized automation, process engineering, integrated processing lines, software, and service support to improve yield, food safety, labor productivity, and efficiency across protein, prepared food, and beverage production.
The moat comes from decades of process expertise, a large installed base with recurring service revenue, the complexity of switching integrated food processing lines, food safety regulatory know-how, and global manufacturing and service coverage. The Marel acquisition strengthened product breadth, end-market diversification, and geographic reach.
The thesis fails if Marel integration proves slower or more expensive than expected, synergy targets are not met, food processor capital expenditure cycles turn down, the poultry cycle fades, tariffs disrupt end-market demand, the Prepared Food and Beverage Solutions segment keeps declining, leverage constrains strategic flexibility, or GAAP earnings fail to converge toward adjusted earnings as amortization stays elevated.
CEO Brian Deck leads the post-Marel combined company with President Arni Sigurdsson and CFO Matt Meister. The team has delivered two consecutive quarters of orders above $1 billion, margin expansion, strong free cash flow, and leverage reduction, and has laid out a NextGen strategy targeting 5% to 7% organic growth and a 20% adjusted EBITDA margin by 2028, with a $200 million share repurchase program effective from May 18, 2026.
Long-term demand for food automation is supported by global population growth, labor shortages in food processing, demand for food safety and traceability, protein consumption growth in emerging markets, and the need for yield optimization and waste reduction. The offset is that food processor capital expenditure is cyclical and poultry investment can slow after a strong cycle.
At $138.47, the market is pricing a successful integration and guided adjusted EPS delivery, with a forward adjusted P/E near 16.7x. Margin of safety improves if the stock retests support without evidence that orders, margins, or synergy targets are deteriorating, or if GAAP earnings begin to converge meaningfully toward adjusted EPS and leverage falls toward the 2x target.
Source-backed data
Every metric below includes a source and last verification date.
| Metric | Value | Source | Last verified |
|---|---|---|---|
| JBTM quote reference | $138.47 close on July 31, 2026; $138.33 after hours | StockAnalysis.com JBTM overview | August 3, 2026 |
| Market capitalization verification | $7.21B reported, $7.21B calculated from $138.47 x 52.07 million shares | Pineify financial_rigor.py and StockAnalysis.com | August 3, 2026 |
| Shares outstanding | 52,067,812 shares as of April 28, 2026, per the Q1 2026 Form 10-Q cover; 52.07M per StockAnalysis.com | JBT Marel Q1 2026 Form 10-Q and StockAnalysis.com | August 3, 2026 |
| Q1 2026 revenue and net income | $936 million revenue and $45 million GAAP net income for Q1 2026, with basic EPS of $0.86 | JBT Marel Q1 2026 Form 10-Q | August 3, 2026 |
| Q1 2026 adjusted profit and cash flow | $142 million adjusted EBITDA (15.2% margin, up 27% and 210 basis points), $1.58 adjusted EPS versus $1.48 consensus, and $100 million free cash flow | JBT Marel Q1 2026 earnings release and earnings call | May 5, 2026 |
| Q1 2026 segment results | Protein Solutions revenue of $460 million up 22% with adjusted EBITDA margin of 21.7% up more than 500 basis points; Prepared Food and Beverage Solutions revenue of $476 million flat with adjusted EBITDA margin of 14.7% down 170 basis points | JBT Marel Q1 2026 earnings call | May 5, 2026 |
| Orders and backlog | Orders above $1 billion in Q1 2026, up 17% year over year, the second consecutive quarter above $1 billion, with robust global poultry demand | JBT Marel Q1 2026 earnings call | May 5, 2026 |
| FY2026 guidance | Revenue of $3.99B to $4.065B (about 6% growth at midpoint), adjusted EBITDA margin expansion of 145 basis points, adjusted EPS of $8.00 to $8.50 up 29%, and Q2 2026 revenue of $975M to $1B with adjusted EBITDA margins of 17% to 17.5% | JBT Marel Q1 2026 earnings release and earnings call | May 5, 2026 |
| Tariff impact | Full-year guidance reflects a 25 to 50 basis point headwind from tariffs after mitigation actions, with the benefit from elimination of IEEPA tariffs essentially offset by incremental Section 122 and Section 232 tariff increases and no IEEPA tariff refunds assumed | JBT Marel Q1 2026 earnings call | May 5, 2026 |
| Cash and debt | $211 million cash and cash equivalents and $1.843 billion total debt at March 31, 2026, with net cash of negative $1.632 billion and net debt to adjusted EBITDA of 2.6x | JBT Marel Q1 2026 Form 10-Q and StockAnalysis.com | August 3, 2026 |
| Share repurchase program | Up to $200 million of common stock authorized on May 14, 2026, effective from May 18, 2026 through May 31, 2029, per the Form 8-K and Form 8-K/A | JBT Marel Form 8-K and Form 8-K/A | August 3, 2026 |
| FY2025 revenue and income | FY2025 revenue of $3.798 billion and a net loss of $50.5 million (EPS of negative $0.98), reflecting full-year Marel consolidation and acquisition-related amortization | JBT Marel FY2025 Form 10-K and StockAnalysis.com | August 3, 2026 |
| TTM valuation metrics | 42.92x trailing GAAP EPS, 16.05x forward PE, 1.61x book value, 22.74x free cash flow per share, 1.86x revenue, 17.82x EV/EBITDA, and 0.29% dividend yield | StockAnalysis.com statistics | August 3, 2026 |
| TTM financials | Revenue of $3.88 billion, net income of $167.5 million, EPS of $3.21, operating cash flow of $426.7 million, and free cash flow of $317.1 million over the trailing twelve months | StockAnalysis.com financials and statistics | August 3, 2026 |
| Balance sheet at March 31, 2026 | Total assets of $8.163 billion, total liabilities of $3.680 billion, shareholders equity of $4.483 billion, and book value per share of about $85.72 to $86.13 | StockAnalysis.com balance sheet and JBT Marel Q1 2026 Form 10-Q | August 3, 2026 |
| Analyst consensus | Buy rating with an average price target of $178.75 across 6 analysts, low $118, median $188.5, and high $210 | StockAnalysis.com forecast | August 3, 2026 |
| Recent analyst actions | William Blair maintains Buy on June 4, 2026; Oppenheimer initiates Buy with a $175 target on May 21, 2026; Bank of America maintains Sell with a $118 target on March 27, 2026; Baird raises Buy target from $169 to $202 on February 25, 2026; Seaport Research lowers target from $190 to $165 while keeping Buy | StockAnalysis.com forecast and news feed | August 3, 2026 |
| Short interest | 3.66 million shares short, 7.03% of shares outstanding, 7.11% of float, 5.82 days to cover | StockAnalysis.com statistics | August 3, 2026 |
| Technical references | 52-week range $113.67 to $170.19, beta 0.94, 20-day average volume about 448,000 shares, 5-day SMA $141.45, 20-day SMA $138.27, 50-day SMA $134.29, 100-day SMA $131.74, 200-day SMA $140.26, 14-day RSI 51.69, 14-day ADX 16.31, 14-day historical volatility 35.01% | StockAnalysis.com statistics and Barchart technical analysis | August 3, 2026 |
| Investor Day 2028 targets | Three-year organic revenue compound annual growth rate of 5% to 7% and an adjusted EBITDA margin target of 20% by 2028, driven by integrated full-line solutions, service, digital capabilities, and cross-selling | JBT Marel Investor Day 2026 | May 5, 2026 |
| Marel transaction | JBT completed the acquisition of Marel hf. in mid-2024, forming JBT Marel Corporation, a global food technology platform, and the company changed its name from John Bean Technologies Corporation to JBT Marel Corporation in January 2025 | JBT Marel company profile | August 3, 2026 |
| Management reference | Brian Deck is Chief Executive Officer, Arni Sigurdsson is President, and Matt Meister is EVP and CFO | JBT Marel company profile | August 3, 2026 |
This JBTM AI stock analysis is an informational research tool only. It is not investment advice, a recommendation, or a guarantee of future performance. Forecast scenarios are based on available public data as of August 3, 2026 and can be wrong if fundamentals, valuation multiples, market conditions, integration progress, Q2 2026 results, or source data change.
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