ITT Inc. research snapshot
ITT AI stock analysis currently views ITT Inc. as a diversified engineered-components company with strong legacy execution in motion, aerospace, connectors, and flow equipment, now reshaped by the SPX FLOW acquisition. The positive case is organic growth, pricing, share gains, and margin expansion. The counterweight is higher leverage, integration and amortization costs, and a valuation that already embeds delivery. At the August 2, 2026 cutoff, the latest available July 31 close was $195.98 and price multiplied by 89.40 million shares produced market capitalization near $17.52 billion. The ITT AI stock forecast uses scenarios rather than a precise price prediction, and this page is informational research rather than investment advice.
Current price
$195.98
Market cap
$17.52 billion
AI score
72 / 100
Rating
High-quality industrial compounder now carrying more integration and leverage risk after SPX FLOW
Trend status
Above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages with neutral momentum ahead of the August 6 earnings report
Data cutoff (updated monthly)
August 4, 2026
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
| Dimension | Conclusion | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Business quality | ITT sells engineered flow equipment, brake pads and dampers, aerospace components, industrial connectors, and related aftermarket products into mission-critical industrial applications. | High |
| Moat | Application engineering, qualification cycles, installed bases, aftermarket service, and manufacturing know-how create switching costs, although the moat varies by product and end market. | Medium-high |
| Management | CEO Luca Savi has overseen operating-margin progress and the SPX FLOW transaction. The key capital-allocation test is whether the acquisition earns above its financing and integration cost while debt is paid down. | Medium |
| Financial trend | FY2025 revenue rose 8.5% to $3.939 billion. Q1 2026 revenue rose 32.7% to $1.212 billion, with 10.9% organic growth and the first contribution from SPX FLOW. | High |
| Valuation | At $195.98, financial_rigor.py verified about 34.87x trailing EPS, 24.12x forward EPS, and a 2.76% trailing free-cash-flow yield. The valuation requires sustained adjusted EPS growth and credible deleveraging. | Medium-high |
| Technical trend | The July 31 close was above the $193.11 50-day moving average and the $191.27 200-day moving average, with RSI near 52.87, leaving the short-term setup constructive but not extreme. | Medium |
| Risk level | Risk is moderate to high because the SPX FLOW transaction increased total debt to $3.852 billion at Q1, while integration, industrial demand, aerospace cycles, interest costs, and a premium valuation can affect returns. | High |
| AI confidence | Reported-data confidence is high, but AI cannot determine whether acquisition synergies, customer demand, interest rates, or market valuation will match management plans. | High data confidence |
| Investment certainty | Medium certainty. The operating businesses are understandable, but the current price leaves less room for integration mistakes than a lower multiple would. | Medium |
ITT AI stock forecast
The ITT AI stock forecast is scenario math, not a guaranteed target. A financial_rigor.py three-scenario calculation using the $195.98 July 31, 2026 price reference, the $7.85 midpoint of FY2026 adjusted EPS guidance, and distinct growth and valuation assumptions produces mechanical three-year outputs near $334 in a bullish case, $218 in a base case, and $129 in a bearish case before dividends, execution risk, and multiple volatility.
$300 to $334
More likely if SPX FLOW integration delivers synergies, Flow Technologies sustains double-digit organic growth, legacy businesses hold share, debt declines, adjusted EPS compounds near 15%, and the market holds a mid-to-high 20s multiple.
$205 to $245
More likely if integration stays on track, organic growth stays near guidance, adjusted EPS compounds near 8%, free cash flow approaches the $540M to $580M range, and the market holds a low-to-mid 20s earnings multiple.
$115 to $150
More likely if acquisition costs or interest expense remain elevated, industrial demand softens, expected synergies fail to appear, working capital consumes cash, or investors re-rate ITT toward a high-teens earnings multiple.
ITT AI technical analysis
ITT AI technical analysis starts from the $195.98 July 31, 2026 close. StockAnalysis listed a 50-day moving average of $193.11, a 200-day moving average of $191.27, an RSI of 52.87, and 20-day average volume of about 913,801 shares. This static page does not fetch request-time chart data, so live levels should be confirmed before use.
| Level | Value | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Current price | $195.98 | StockAnalysis listed this regular-session close on July 31, 2026. The August 2 cutoff falls after the latest available close, and the next earnings release is scheduled for August 6, 2026. |
| Near support | $191 to $193 | The 200-day moving average was $191.27 and the 50-day moving average was $193.11 around the cutoff, making this a broad trend confluence rather than a precise trade trigger. |
| Near resistance | $196 to $200 | Price is close to the $200 round area. A sustained move above that zone would improve short-term trend confirmation toward the $245 average analyst target. |
| 50-day moving average | $193.11 | StockAnalysis statistics snapshot around the cutoff. Price traded above this short-term reference at the latest close. |
| 200-day moving average | $191.27 | StockAnalysis statistics snapshot around the cutoff. Price remained above this longer-term reference. |
| Momentum | Neutral | RSI was 52.87, neither deeply oversold nor extreme. Direction will be set by the August 6 earnings reaction and whether price holds above the moving averages. |
| Volume | About 914K shares, 20-day average | StockAnalysis listed 913,801 shares for average 20-day volume. Volume confirmation matters around earnings and integration updates. |
| Volatility | Above-market beta | The reported five-year beta was 1.27. Industrial cyclicality, earnings guidance, and acquisition updates can increase price swings. |
| Invalidation | Sustained failure below the $191 area | A break below the 200-day and 50-day reference area without a fundamental improvement would weaken a trend-following setup and calls for reassessment. |
ITT AI trading strategy
The ITT AI trading strategy is a rules-based framework for monitoring an industrial company in the middle of a major acquisition integration. It is not personalized advice and should be paired with position sizing, stop levels, earnings-calendar review, and fresh chart data.
Wait for ITT to hold above the $193 to $196 moving-average area and clear the $200 round level with volume at or above the 20-day average. Confirm that industrial peers and the company guidance do not weaken.
A sustained move below the $191 200-day area or evidence of slower orders, weaker margin conversion, or integration problems should invalidate the setup.
If ITT pulls back to the $191 to $193 support area while adjusted margin, free-cash-flow guidance, and debt reduction remain credible, monitor for a recovery back through the moving averages.
Do not average down solely because the price falls. Reassess if the decline follows a guidance cut, cash-conversion shortfall, or a change in SPX FLOW synergy expectations.
Track organic revenue, Flow Technologies orders and margin, Motion Technologies demand, Connect & Control aerospace exposure, adjusted EPS, free cash flow, debt, interest expense, and acquisition integration milestones.
Reduce confidence if reported growth stays acquisition-led while organic growth, free cash flow, or leverage progress disappoints.
Investment research summary
Customers pay ITT for engineered components and systems that need reliability, performance, certification, service support, and lower lifetime operating risk in demanding industrial applications.
ITT benefits from application engineering, qualified parts, installed bases, aftermarket service, manufacturing process knowledge, and customer relationships. These advantages are strongest where downtime or failure is costly, but they are not equally strong across every product line.
The failure path is paying a premium multiple while integration absorbs management attention: SPX FLOW synergies disappoint, leverage limits flexibility, interest costs stay high, industrial demand cools, and the market reduces the earnings multiple before cash flow catches up.
Luca Savi and the leadership team have emphasized operational execution, pricing, productivity, and portfolio expansion. The decisive capital-allocation question is whether SPX FLOW delivers returns that exceed its acquisition price, financing cost, and integration burden.
Flow-control, aerospace, transportation, industrial-connectivity, and infrastructure markets can benefit from replacement demand, efficiency investment, electrification, and process modernization. They remain exposed to capital-spending cycles, tariffs, supply chains, and customer inventory adjustments.
The $195.98 reference price equates to about 34.87x trailing EPS, 24.12x forward EPS, and a 2.76% trailing free-cash-flow yield. A margin of safety depends on confidence in the adjusted earnings path, free-cash-flow conversion, deleveraging, and an acceptable post-integration multiple.
Source-backed data
Every metric below includes a source and last verification date.
| Metric | Value | Source | Last verified |
|---|---|---|---|
| ITT price, market cap, and shares outstanding | $195.98 July 31 close; $17.52B market cap; 89.40M shares | StockAnalysis statistics, cross-checked with Pineify financial_rigor.py market-cap calculation | August 2, 2026 |
| FY2025 revenue | $3.939 billion, up 8.48% | Macrotrends and StockAnalysis cross-check | August 2, 2026 |
| FY2025 net income attributable to common | $488.0 million, down 6.14% | Macrotrends and StockAnalysis cross-check | August 2, 2026 |
| FY2025 free cash flow | $547.0 million | StockAnalysis financial statements and Macrotrends cross-check | August 2, 2026 |
| Q1 2026 revenue, organic growth, and adjusted EPS | $1.2119 billion revenue, up 32.7% reported and 10.9% organic; $1.98 adjusted EPS, up 25.3% | ITT Q1 2026 earnings release | August 2, 2026 |
| Q1 2026 segment revenue | Flow Technologies $537.4M; Motion Technologies $397.2M; Connect & Control Technologies $278.5M | ITT Q1 2026 earnings release | August 2, 2026 |
| Q1 2026 cash and debt | $600.8M cash and cash equivalents; $3.852B total debt; net debt about $3.25B | ITT Q1 2026 Form 10-Q via StockAnalysis balance sheet | August 2, 2026 |
| FY2026 guidance | 4% to 6% organic revenue growth, $7.70 to $8.00 adjusted EPS, and $540M to $580M free cash flow | ITT Q1 2026 earnings release | August 2, 2026 |
| Analyst consensus | Strong Buy, average price target $245, low $175, high $271, 14 analysts | StockAnalysis forecast, S&P Global Market Intelligence | August 2, 2026 |
| Technical indicators | 50-day MA $193.11; 200-day MA $191.27; RSI 52.87; 20-day average volume 913,801 | StockAnalysis statistics | August 2, 2026 |
| Valuation ratios | 34.87x trailing PE, 24.12x forward PE, 36.2x P/FCF, 2.76% FCF yield, 0.79% dividend yield | Pineify financial_rigor.py verify-valuation with StockAnalysis inputs | August 2, 2026 |
This ITT AI stock analysis is an informational research tool only and is not investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell securities. Forecast scenarios are based on public data available as of August 2, 2026 and can be wrong if earnings, SPX FLOW integration, customer demand, financing costs, interest rates, industrial conditions, or market sentiment change.
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