ITT Inc. research snapshot
ITT AI stock analysis currently views ITT Inc. as a diversified engineered-components company with good legacy execution in motion, aerospace, connectors, and flow equipment, now reshaped by the SPX FLOW acquisition. The positive case is organic growth, pricing, and stronger scale in Flow Technologies. The counterweight is acquisition leverage, integration and amortization costs, and a valuation that needs earnings delivery. At the July 11, 2026 cutoff, the latest available July 9 close was $193.00 and price multiplied by 89.40 million shares produced market capitalization near $17.25 billion. The ITT AI stock forecast uses scenarios rather than a precise price prediction, and this page is informational research rather than investment advice.
Current price
$193.00
Market cap
$17.25 billion
AI score
71 / 100
Rating
High-quality industrial compounder, integration and valuation sensitive
Trend status
Near the 200-day moving average and below the 50-day moving average
Data cutoff (updated weekly)
July 11, 2026
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
| Dimension | Conclusion | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Business quality | ITT sells engineered flow equipment, brake pads and dampers, aerospace components, industrial connectors, and related aftermarket products into mission-critical industrial applications. | High |
| Moat | Application engineering, qualification cycles, installed bases, aftermarket service, and manufacturing know-how create switching costs, although the moat varies by product and end market. | Medium-high |
| Management | CEO Luca Savi has overseen operating-margin progress and the SPX FLOW transaction. The key capital-allocation test is whether the $4.775 billion acquisition earns above its financing and integration cost. | Medium |
| Financial trend | FY2025 revenue rose 8.5% to $3.939 billion. Q1 2026 revenue rose 32.7% to $1.212 billion, including 10.9% organic growth and the first contribution from SPX FLOW. | High |
| Valuation | At $193.00, financial_rigor.py verified about 34.34x trailing EPS and a 2.80% trailing free-cash-flow yield. The valuation requires sustained adjusted EPS growth and credible deleveraging. | Medium-high |
| Technical trend | The July 9 close was below the $196.95 50-day moving average but above the $189.92 200-day moving average, leaving the short-term setup neutral near long-term support. | Medium |
| Risk level | Risk is moderate to high because the SPX FLOW transaction increased total debt to $3.852 billion at Q1, while integration, industrial demand, aerospace cycles, and a premium valuation can affect returns. | High |
| AI confidence | Reported-data confidence is high, but AI cannot determine whether acquisition synergies, customer demand, or market valuation will match management plans. | High data confidence |
| Investment certainty | Medium certainty. The operating businesses are understandable, but the current price leaves less room for integration mistakes than a lower multiple would. | Medium |
ITT AI stock forecast
The ITT AI stock forecast is scenario math, not a guaranteed target. A financial_rigor.py three-scenario calculation using the $193.00 July 9 price reference, the $7.85 midpoint of FY2026 adjusted EPS guidance, and distinct growth and valuation assumptions produces mechanical three-year outputs near $358.20 in a bullish case, $244.00 in a base case, and $154.40 in a bearish case before dividends, execution risk, and multiple volatility.
$300 to $358
More likely if SPX FLOW integration delivers synergies, Flow Technologies converts strong orders at rising margins, legacy organic growth remains healthy, debt declines, and adjusted EPS compounds near 15% with a premium multiple.
$220 to $244
More likely if integration stays on track, legacy end markets remain stable, adjusted EPS compounds near 9%, free cash flow approaches guidance, and the market holds a mid-20s earnings multiple.
$150 to $175
More likely if acquisition costs or interest expense remain elevated, industrial demand slows, expected synergies fail to appear, working capital consumes cash, or investors re-rate ITT toward an 18x earnings multiple.
ITT AI technical analysis
ITT AI technical analysis starts from the $193.00 July 9, 2026 close. StockAnalysis listed a 50-day moving average of $196.95, a 200-day moving average of $189.92, an RSI of 50.28, and 20-day average volume of about 1.11 million shares. This static page does not fetch request-time chart data, so live levels should be confirmed before use.
| Level | Value | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Current price | $193.00 | StockAnalysis listed this regular-session close on July 9, 2026. The July 11 cutoff falls after the latest available close. |
| Near support | $190 to $193 | The 200-day moving average was $189.92 around the cutoff, making this a broad long-term trend reference rather than a precise trade trigger. |
| Near resistance | $197 to $200 | The 50-day moving average was $196.95. A sustained move above that area would improve short-term trend confirmation. |
| 50-day moving average | $196.95 | StockAnalysis statistics snapshot around the cutoff. Price was below this short-term trend reference at the latest close. |
| 200-day moving average | $189.92 | StockAnalysis statistics snapshot around the cutoff. Price remained slightly above this longer-term reference. |
| Momentum | Neutral | RSI was 50.28, neither deeply oversold nor extreme. Reclaiming the 50-day average is more informative than a one-day move. |
| Volume | About 1.11M shares, 20-day average | StockAnalysis listed 1,108,629 shares for average 20-day volume. Volume confirmation matters around earnings and integration updates. |
| Volatility | Above-market beta | The reported five-year beta was 1.27. Industrial cyclicality, earnings guidance, and acquisition updates can increase price swings. |
| Invalidation | Sustained failure below the $190 area | A break below the 200-day reference without a fundamental improvement would weaken a trend-following setup and calls for reassessment. |
ITT AI trading strategy
The ITT AI trading strategy is a rules-based framework for monitoring an industrial company in the middle of a major acquisition integration. It is not personalized advice and should be paired with position sizing, stop levels, earnings-calendar review, and fresh chart data.
Wait for ITT to reclaim the $197 50-day moving-average area and hold above it with volume at or above the 20-day average. Confirm that industrial peers and the company guidance do not weaken.
A sustained move below the $190 200-day area or evidence of slower orders, weaker margin conversion, or integration problems should invalidate the setup.
If ITT holds the $190 to $193 support area while adjusted margin, free-cash-flow guidance, and debt reduction remain credible, monitor for a recovery through the 50-day average.
Do not average down solely because the price falls. Reassess if the decline follows a guidance cut, cash-conversion shortfall, or a change in SPX FLOW synergy expectations.
Track organic revenue, Flow Technologies orders and margin, Motion Technologies demand, Connect & Control aerospace exposure, adjusted EPS, free cash flow, debt, interest expense, and acquisition integration milestones.
Reduce confidence if reported growth stays acquisition-led while organic growth, free cash flow, or leverage progress disappoints.
Investment research summary
Customers pay ITT for engineered components and systems that need reliability, performance, certification, service support, and lower lifetime operating risk in demanding industrial applications.
ITT benefits from application engineering, qualified parts, installed bases, aftermarket service, manufacturing process knowledge, and customer relationships. These advantages are strongest where downtime or failure is costly, but they are not equally strong across every product line.
The failure path is paying a premium multiple while integration absorbs management attention: SPX FLOW synergies disappoint, leverage limits flexibility, industrial demand cools, and the market reduces the earnings multiple before cash flow catches up.
Luca Savi and the leadership team have emphasized operational execution, pricing, productivity, and portfolio expansion. The decisive capital-allocation question is whether SPX FLOW delivers returns that exceed its acquisition price, financing cost, and integration burden.
Flow-control, aerospace, transportation, industrial-connectivity, and infrastructure markets can benefit from replacement demand, efficiency investment, electrification, and process modernization. They remain exposed to capital-spending cycles, supply chains, and customer inventory adjustments.
The $193.00 reference price equates to about 34.34x trailing EPS and a 2.80% trailing free-cash-flow yield. A margin of safety depends on confidence in the adjusted earnings path, free-cash-flow conversion, deleveraging, and an acceptable post-integration multiple.
Source-backed data
Every metric below includes a source and last verification date.
| Metric | Value | Source | Last verified |
|---|---|---|---|
| ITT price, market cap, and shares outstanding | $193.00 July 9 close; $17.25B market cap; 89.40M shares | StockAnalysis statistics, cross-checked with Pineify financial_rigor.py market-cap calculation | July 11, 2026 |
| FY2025 revenue | $3.939 billion, up 8.48% | Macrotrends and StockAnalysis cross-check | July 11, 2026 |
| FY2025 net income attributable to common | $488.0 million, down 6.14% | Macrotrends and StockAnalysis cross-check | July 11, 2026 |
| FY2025 free cash flow | $547.0 million | StockAnalysis financial statements | July 11, 2026 |
| Q1 2026 revenue and adjusted EPS | $1.2119 billion revenue, up 32.7%; $1.98 adjusted EPS, up 25.3% | ITT Q1 2026 earnings release | July 11, 2026 |
| Q1 2026 segment revenue | Flow Technologies $537.4M; Motion Technologies $397.2M; Connect & Control Technologies $278.5M | ITT Q1 2026 earnings release | July 11, 2026 |
| Q1 2026 cash and debt | $602.2M cash and cash equivalents; $3.8523B total debt; net debt about $3.2501B | ITT Q1 2026 Form 10-Q | July 11, 2026 |
| FY2026 guidance | 4% to 6% organic revenue growth, $7.70 to $8.00 adjusted EPS, and $540M to $580M free cash flow | ITT Q1 2026 earnings release | July 11, 2026 |
| Technical indicators | 50-day MA $196.95; 200-day MA $189.92; RSI 50.28; 20-day average volume 1.11M | StockAnalysis statistics | July 11, 2026 |
This ITT AI stock analysis is an informational research tool only and is not investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell securities. Forecast scenarios are based on public data available as of July 11, 2026 and can be wrong if earnings, SPX FLOW integration, customer demand, financing costs, industrial conditions, or market sentiment change.
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