Inter Parfums, Inc. research snapshot
IPAR AI stock analysis as of the August 4, 2026 data cutoff reads Inter Parfums as a well-managed, capital-light fragrance compounder that is priced for steady execution. The stock traded at $125.34 on August 3, 2026 at 12:48 PM EDT, up 0.79 or 0.63% from the $124.55 July 31 close, within a session range near $124.94 to $128.06, carrying a market capitalization near $4.01 billion, reported by StockAnalysis.com and consistent with the $125.34 August 3 price times 32.03 million shares outstanding. On July 22 the company preannounced Q2 2026 net sales of $341 million, up 2%, and first-half net sales of $686 million, up 2%, with organic growth of 4% in the quarter excluding a 3% headwind from the war in the Middle East; full Q2 financial results were scheduled for August 4, 2026 after the market close. The stock is up about 48% year to date and trades near its 52-week high, so the analysis weighs whether momentum and the launch pipeline justify the multiple. This is informational research and not investment advice.
Current price
$125.34 at the August 3, 2026, 12:48 PM EDT reading, up 0.79 or 0.63% from the $124.55 July 31 close, within a session range near $124.94 to $128.06
Market cap
$4.01 billion
AI score
70 / 100
Rating
Quality fragrance compounder trading at a full valuation
Trend status
Bullish trend above the 20-day, 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day moving averages, just below the $129.29 52-week high
Data cutoff (updated monthly)
August 4, 2026
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
| Dimension | Conclusion | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Business quality | Inter Parfums licenses, manufactures, and distributes prestige fragrances for brands including Coach, Jimmy Choo, Montblanc, GUESS, Donna Karan/DKNY, Ferragamo, and Lacoste, earning royalties and distribution margins with a capital-light model, high returns, and a net cash balance sheet. | High |
| Moat | The moat is built on long-standing licensing relationships, a brand portfolio that spans European and US operations, manufacturing scale, global distribution in over 120 countries, and the switching cost for brand owners who change fragrance licensees. | Medium-high |
| Management | Co-founders Jean Madar, Chairman and CEO, and Philippe Benacin, Vice Chairman and President, with CFO Michel Atwood, have run Inter Parfums for decades with consistent capital allocation, dividend growth, and disciplined licensing, and insiders still own about 43.6% of the company. | High |
| Financial trend | Revenue has grown from $1.09 billion in FY2022 to $1.49 billion in FY2025 and about $1.50 billion TTM, with Q1 2026 net income up 2% to $43 million, a 65.1% gross margin, consistent free cash flow near $198 million TTM, and a net cash position near $54 million. | High |
| Valuation | At about 23.8x TTM earnings, 24.4x forward earnings, 2.69x sales, and 20.3x trailing free cash flow, IPAR trades near the top of its recent valuation range, reflecting a full price for mid-teens to 20% ROE business with modest near-term growth. | Medium |
| Technical trend | IPAR is in a strong uptrend, up about 48% year to date and trading above its 20-day, 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day moving averages of roughly $122.23, $108.72, $100.11, and $95.64, just below the $129.29 52-week high hit on July 28, 2026. | Medium-high |
| Risk level | Key risks are brand license renewal or termination, weakness in Europe and Eastern Europe, the Middle East war headwind, tariff and royalty cost pressure, foreign exchange, consumer discretionary spending sensitivity, and dependence on the founding management team. | Medium-high |
| AI confidence | High for descriptive facts and cross-checked math that matched across StockAnalysis.com, the Q2 2026 net sales release, and the Q1 2026 results release. Lower for forward return estimates because organic growth, tariffs, and multiple assumptions are uncertain. | High data confidence |
| Investment certainty | Medium certainty. The page gives a research framework and scenario ranges, not a buy or sell instruction, and the current price already reflects a strong 2026 performance. | Medium |
IPAR AI stock forecast
The IPAR AI stock forecast uses scenario math around the $125.34 August 3, 2026 reading and the FY2026 consensus EPS near $4.88. The three-scenario framework produced a bearish area near $83, a base area near $131, and a bullish area near $171 before dividends, using EPS growth of 0%, 7%, and 12% and exit multiples of 17x, 22x, and 25x over three years. These are scenarios, not price commitments.
$160 to $185
More likely if organic growth reaccelerates toward high single digits, the blockbuster launches planned for 2027 and 2028 land on time, Europe and the Middle East normalize, gross margin stays near 65%, and the stock holds a mid-20s forward multiple as EPS approaches $6.50 to $7.00.
$115 to $135
More likely if Inter Parfums executes near its reaffirmed 2026 guidance of about $1.48 billion in sales and $4.85 in EPS, organic growth stays in the low single digits to mid single digits, and investors hold the stock near a 20x to 22x forward multiple, consistent with the average analyst price target near $123.80.
$75 to $95
More likely if European sales keep declining, the Middle East war headwind persists, tariffs and royalty costs squeeze margins, consumer spending on prestige fragrance weakens, a major license is lost or not renewed, or the multiple compresses toward the 16x to 17x area implied by the $85 lowest analyst target.
IPAR AI technical analysis
IPAR AI technical analysis is bullish as of the August 4, 2026 data cutoff. The stock traded at $125.34 at 12:48 PM EDT on August 3, up 0.79 or 0.63% from the $124.55 July 31 close, just below its 5-day average near $126.02 and above its 20-day, 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day moving averages, with 14-day RSI near 64 on Barchart and 65 on StockAnalysis.com. After reaching a 52-week high of $129.29 on July 28, the stock consolidated in the $122 to $128 zone ahead of the Q2 2026 results scheduled for August 4 after the close.
| Level | Value | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Current price | $125.34 | StockAnalysis.com real-time quote at the August 3, 2026, 12:48 PM EDT reading, up 0.79 or 0.63% from the $124.55 July 31 close within a session range near $124.94 to $128.06; the reported $4.01 billion market cap matches the price times 32.03 million shares outstanding. |
| 5-day moving average | $126.02 | Barchart reported the 5-day moving average near $126.02 on August 3, 2026, just above the current price, which signals the stock is consolidating after its late-July run to the 52-week high. |
| Near support | $122 to $124 | Barchart placed the 20-day moving average near $122.23 as of August 3, 2026, with the $124.55 July 31 close and the recent consolidation zone forming the first pullback support. |
| Secondary support | $108 to $112 | Barchart reported the 50-day moving average near $108.72 on August 3, 2026, matching StockAnalysis.com near $108.73, a key area where the June 2026 breakout originated. |
| Major support | $95 to $101 | Barchart reported the 100-day moving average near $100.11 and the 200-day near $95.64 on August 3, 2026, forming the major trend support cluster well below price. |
| Near resistance | $127 to $129.29 | The 52-week high of $129.29 was set on July 28, 2026, and the $127 to $128 area is immediate overhead. A clean break above $129.29 would open a new high zone. |
| 50-day moving average | $108.72 | Barchart reported the 50-day moving average near $108.72 on August 3, 2026, matching StockAnalysis.com near $108.73, confirming the medium-term uptrend. |
| 200-day moving average | $95.64 | Barchart reported the 200-day trend line near $95.64 on August 3, 2026, matching StockAnalysis.com near $95.64, well below price and confirming the long-term uptrend. |
| Momentum | RSI near 64 to 65, positive ADX | 14-day RSI was near 64.23 on Barchart and 65.02 on StockAnalysis.com on August 3, 2026, strong but not overbought, and 14-day ADX near 29.76 confirmed a trending move. |
| Volume | About 280,000 average shares | Barchart listed 20-day average volume near 280,665 shares on August 3, 2026 and StockAnalysis.com near 279,671, with the 5-day average near 212,601, useful for checking the quality of any breakout above $129.29. |
| Volatility | ATR near $4.07, beta 1.15 | Barchart reported 14-day ATR near $4.07, about 3.25% of price, with 14-day historic volatility near 22.8%, so earnings and guidance events can produce larger daily swings. |
| Invalidation | Close below $122, then $108 | A decisive close below the 20-day moving average near $122.23 would weaken the short-term uptrend; a close below the 50-day near $108.72 would turn the medium-term trend neutral. |
IPAR AI trading strategy
The IPAR AI trading strategy is a rules-based research framework for watching a quality compounder near its 52-week high. It is not personal advice and should be paired with fresh chart data, the Q2 2026 results due August 4, filings, position sizing, and a defined invalidation level.
Watch for IPAR to reclaim its 5-day average near $126.02 and to break above the $129.29 52-week high on above-average volume before treating the trend as extended, with the 200-day trend line near $95.64 still rising.
A daily close below the 20-day moving average near $122.23 or a failed attempt at $129.29 should trigger a stop and review. The beta of 1.15 means IPAR is only slightly more volatile than the average stock.
If IPAR pulls back toward the $108 to $124 support cluster without a fundamental break, compare the price reaction with the Q2 2026 results, margin trends, and brand launch news before considering an entry.
Do not average down simply because the business quality is high. Define a maximum loss using the 52-week low near $77.21 as a worst-case reference for position sizing.
Track quarterly sales and margins by segment and brand, Q2 2026 full results due August 4, license renewals, new brand additions such as Nautica and David Beckham, the 2027 and 2028 launch pipeline, dividend growth, buybacks, and insider trading patterns.
Lower the rating if a major brand license is not renewed, organic growth decelerates for two consecutive quarters, the Middle East or Eastern Europe headwinds intensify, or gross margin falls below the mid-60s.
Investment research summary
Inter Parfums earns revenue and profit by creating, manufacturing, and distributing prestige fragrances under licensed brands including Coach, Jimmy Choo, Montblanc, GUESS, Donna Karan/DKNY, Ferragamo, and Lacoste, using a capital-light model where brand owners retain the trademarks and Inter Parfums handles the product and distribution.
The moat comes from long-standing licensing relationships, a broad and diversified brand portfolio, manufacturing scale, global distribution in over 120 countries, and the switching cost for a brand owner who changes its fragrance licensee, all supported by a balance sheet with net cash.
The thesis can fail if a major brand owner does not renew or terminates a license, if prestige fragrance demand declines in a consumer downturn, if the Middle East war and Eastern Europe challenges persist, if tariffs and royalty rates squeeze margins, or if the founding management team succession is mishandled.
Co-founders Jean Madar and Philippe Benacin, with CFO Michel Atwood, have built Inter Parfums over four decades with disciplined capital allocation, a rising dividend now at $3.20 annually, and selective licensing additions. Insiders own about 43.6% of the stock. Succession planning remains a monitoring item.
The global prestige fragrance market is durable but facing a normalizing demand cycle, with strength in the United States and Latin America offsetting Europe, Eastern Europe, and Middle East weakness. Premiumization, e-commerce, and emerging market adoption remain long-term tailwinds.
At about 23.8x TTM earnings, 24.4x forward earnings, and 2.69x sales, IPAR trades near the upper end of its recent valuation range after a roughly 48% year-to-date rally, so the margin of safety depends on whether the launch pipeline and organic growth can justify the multiple.
Source-backed data
Every metric below includes a source and last verification date.
| Metric | Value | Source | Last verified |
|---|---|---|---|
| IPAR price | $125.34 at the August 3, 2026, 12:48 PM EDT reading, up 0.79 or 0.63% from the $124.55 July 31 close, within a session range near $124.94 to $128.06 | StockAnalysis.com real-time quote | August 4, 2026 |
| Market capitalization | $4.01 billion, reported by StockAnalysis.com and verified as $125.34 times 32.03 million shares, matching the August 3 price | StockAnalysis.com quote and financial_rigor.py market cap verification | August 4, 2026 |
| TTM revenue | $1,495 million over the trailing twelve months ended March 31, 2026, up 1.87%, with FY2025 revenue of $1,489 million up 2.49% | StockAnalysis.com financials and statistics | August 4, 2026 |
| TTM net income | $169.26 million attributable to Inter Parfums, with FY2025 net income of $168.39 million | StockAnalysis.com statistics and financials | August 4, 2026 |
| Diluted EPS (TTM) | $5.27, cross-checked as $169.26 million divided by 32.03 million shares | StockAnalysis.com statistics and financial_rigor.py | August 4, 2026 |
| Q2 2026 net sales preannouncement | Q2 net sales of $341 million, up 2%, and first-half net sales of $686 million, up 2%, with organic growth of 4% in the quarter excluding a 3% headwind from the war in the Middle East | Inter Parfums July 22, 2026 press release | July 22, 2026 |
| Q2 2026 segment net sales | European based net sales of $231 million, down 4%, and US based net sales of $113 million, up 18%, for the quarter ended June 30, 2026 | Inter Parfums July 22, 2026 press release | July 22, 2026 |
| Q1 2026 results | Net sales of $345 million, up 2%, gross margin of 65.1%, operating income of $74 million, and diluted EPS of $1.35, up 2% | Inter Parfums May 5, 2026 press release | May 5, 2026 |
| 2026 guidance | Reaffirmed outlook of about $1.48 billion in sales and diluted EPS of $4.85, maintained as of the Q1 2026 results release | Inter Parfums Q1 2026 results release and Q2 2026 net sales release | May 5, 2026 |
| Cash and cash equivalents | $237.07 million in cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments as of March 31, 2026, with working capital of $692 million | StockAnalysis.com balance sheet and Q1 2026 Form 10-Q | August 4, 2026 |
| Total debt and net cash | Total debt of $182.77 million against cash and short-term investments of $237.07 million, giving a net cash position of $54.30 million, about $1.70 per share | StockAnalysis.com statistics and balance sheet | August 4, 2026 |
| Free cash flow (TTM) | Operating cash flow of $222.34 million and capital expenditures of $24.34 million, giving free cash flow of $198.01 million over TTM | StockAnalysis.com cash flow statement | August 4, 2026 |
| Enterprise value | $3.96 billion, with EV/EBITDA of 13.45 and EV/FCF of 20.00 | StockAnalysis.com statistics | August 4, 2026 |
| Dividend | Annual dividend of $3.20 per share, a 2.56% yield, quarterly payment of $0.80, last ex-dividend date June 15, 2026, with 5 years of dividend growth per StockAnalysis.com | StockAnalysis.com dividend history | August 4, 2026 |
| 52-week range and performance | 52-week range of $77.21 to $129.29, up about 48% year to date, beta of 1.15, and a 52-week price change of +6.37% per StockAnalysis.com statistics | StockAnalysis.com quote, statistics, and Barchart technical snapshot | August 4, 2026 |
| Valuation ratios | PE 23.76, forward PE 24.41, PS 2.69, PB 4.52, P/FCF 20.28, and EV/EBITDA 13.45, with ROE of 19.76% and ROIC of 19.93% | StockAnalysis.com statistics and financial_rigor.py valuation verification | August 4, 2026 |
| Share statistics | 32.03 million shares outstanding with a 0.00% change year over year, insider ownership of 43.62%, institutional ownership of 67.34%, and a float of 18.05 million shares | StockAnalysis.com statistics | August 4, 2026 |
| Short interest | 1.78 million shares short, 5.55% of shares outstanding and 9.84% of float, with 4.70 days to cover | StockAnalysis.com statistics short selling | August 4, 2026 |
| Analyst consensus | Strong Buy with an average price target of $123.80 across 5 analysts, low of $85 and high of $151, median $113 | StockAnalysis.com forecast and analyst ratings | August 4, 2026 |
| Recent analyst target updates | Canaccord Genuity raised to $151 from $141 on July 30, Jefferies raised to $145 from $115 on July 28, TD Cowen Buy at $110, Berenberg $107 to $113, and BWS Financial Hold at $85 | StockAnalysis.com forecast and news feed | August 4, 2026 |
| 2026 and 2027 consensus estimates | FY2026 revenue estimate of $1.50 billion with EPS of $4.88, and FY2027 revenue estimate of $1.62 billion with EPS of $5.59, with 2026 EPS estimate range of $4.84 to $4.92 | StockAnalysis.com forecast | August 4, 2026 |
| Technical snapshot | 5-day SMA near $126.02, 20-day SMA near $122.23, 50-day SMA near $108.72, 100-day SMA near $100.11, 200-day SMA near $95.64, 14-day RSI near 64 on Barchart and 65 on StockAnalysis.com, 14-day ADX near 29.76 | Barchart and StockAnalysis.com technical snapshots | August 4, 2026 |
This IPAR AI stock analysis is an informational research tool, not investment advice, a recommendation, or a promise of future return. Forecast ranges are scenarios based on available filings, quote snapshots, and third-party data as of the stated cutoff date. They may be wrong, incomplete, or outdated after new earnings, license news, market moves, or macro conditions.
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