Inter Parfums, Inc. research snapshot
IPAR AI stock analysis currently reads Inter Parfums as a well-managed fragrance company with a diversified brand portfolio, high margins, low debt, and consistent free cash flow. The analysis is not a certain price prediction. At the July 12, 2026 cutoff, the latest verified close used here was $119.28, market capitalization was about $3.82 billion, and the main question was whether the 43% YTD rally has further room given the companys organic growth trajectory, brand renewal pipeline, and expansion in emerging markets. This is informational research and not investment advice.
Current price
$119.28
Market cap
$3.82 billion
AI score
68 / 100
Rating
Well-managed fragrance licensee with compounding potential, fair valuation
Trend status
Strong YTD uptrend (+43%), near top of 52-week range after multi-year consolidation
Data cutoff (updated weekly)
July 12, 2026
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
| Dimension | Conclusion | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Business quality | Inter Parfums licenses and manufactures fragrances for global brands including Coach, Jimmy Choo, Montblanc, and Kate Spade, earning royalties and distribution margins with a capital-light model. | High |
| Moat | The moat is built on long-standing licensing relationships, a 40-year track record of brand partnerships, manufacturing scale, global distribution, and the switching cost of fragrance formulation and supply chain integration. | Medium-high |
| Management | Chairman and co-founder Jean Madar and CEO Philippe Benacin have led Inter Parfums for decades with a disciplined approach to brand acquisition, licensing renewal, and capital allocation. | High |
| Financial trend | Revenue has grown from $1.08 billion in FY2022 to $1.49 billion TTM. Net margins have held in the 11-12% range, with consistent free cash flow generation and a pristine balance sheet. | High |
| Valuation | At roughly 22.6x TTM earnings, 2.6x sales, and 27.9x TTM free cash flow, IPAR trades near its five-year average multiple, reflecting fair pricing for a mid-teens ROE business with moderate growth. | Medium-high |
| Technical trend | IPAR is in a strong uptrend with the stock up 43% YTD and trading near the top of its $77 to $136 52-week range after breaking above multi-year resistance levels. | Medium-high |
| Risk level | Key risks are brand renewal or termination, consumer discretionary spending weakness, royalty rate pressure, geographic concentration in Europe, foreign exchange, and founder key-person risk. | Medium-high |
| AI confidence | Medium confidence for business model, balance sheet, revenue, and market data. Lower confidence for future brand portfolio changes and consumer spending trajectory. | Medium data confidence |
| Investment certainty | Medium certainty. Inter Parfums is a quality compounder with strong financials, but the stock price at 22.6x earnings already reflects positive momentum and limited margin of safety. | Medium |
IPAR AI stock forecast
The IPAR AI stock forecast uses scenario ranges around the $119.28 cutoff price. It does not claim that AI can predict a specific future price. The bullish case requires sustained brand momentum, successful new license additions, and emerging market growth. The base case assumes steady mid-single-digit organic growth with margin stability. The bearish case assumes brand losses, consumer spending weakness, or margin compression.
$180 to $210
More likely if Inter Parfums renews key licenses on favorable terms, adds new high-potential brand partnerships, expands in Asia and Latin America, and sustains margin expansion with the stock re-rating to a mid-to-high 20s forward PE.
$130 to $155
More likely if organic revenue grows at a mid-single-digit pace, margins remain stable, licensing renewals proceed without disruption, and the stock maintains a low-20s earnings multiple.
$75 to $95
More likely if a major brand license is not renewed, consumer spending on prestige fragrances declines, royalty margins face structural compression, or a key-person event affects the founding management team.
IPAR AI technical analysis
IPAR AI technical analysis starts from the $119.28 July 10 close used for this July 12 static page. Public technical sources showed the stock in a strong uptrend after a 43% YTD rally, trading near the upper end of its 52-week range. Momentum indicators were elevated but not yet overbought on intermediate time frames. Because this page does not fetch request-time market data, traders should confirm levels on a live chart before acting.
| Level | Value | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Current price | $119.28 | Latest verified close used for this page as of the July 12, 2026 data cutoff. |
| Near support | $110 to $113 | Support planning zone around the 20-day moving average and prior breakout area from June 2026. |
| Secondary support | $98 to $102 | The 50-day moving average area and prior resistance-turned-support from the May 2026 consolidation. |
| Near resistance | $122 to $128 | The upper end of the 52-week range and the June 2026 swing high zone. A clean break above $136 would be a major breakout. |
| Major resistance | $136 to $140 | The 52-week high and multi-year resistance area. A breakout above this level with volume would confirm a new trend leg. |
| 50-day moving average | About $100 to $105 | Barchart and TradingView showed IPAR trading well above its 50-day MA, confirming the bullish trend. |
| 200-day moving average | About $88 to $93 | IPAR crossed above the 200-day MA in November 2025 and has stayed well above it, confirming the long-term uptrend. |
| Momentum | RSI near 60 to 65, positive MACD | RSI was in the upper-mid range, indicating momentum without being overbought. MACD was positive and trending up. |
| Volume | About 168,000 shares (average volume ~279,000) | Volume was slightly below the trailing average, suggesting the recent rally needs broader participation for sustained momentum above $120. |
| Volatility | Beta 1.15, ATR approximately $3 to $5 | IPAR has moderate volatility slightly above the market. Position sizing should account for normal daily moves around 2-4%. |
| Invalidation | Close below $105, then $93 | A close below the 50-day MA area near $105 would weaken the near-term bullish setup. A break below the 200-day MA near $93 would challenge the long-term uptrend. |
IPAR AI trading strategy
The IPAR AI trading strategy is a rules-based framework, not personalized advice. It combines verified business evidence, technical confirmation, position sizing, and clear invalidation levels.
Look for IPAR to hold above $110 support and break above the $122 to $128 resistance zone with above-average volume before treating momentum as confirmed for a run toward the $136 52-week high.
A failed breakout or daily close below $110 should reduce confidence. The moderate beta (1.15) means IPAR is less volatile than the average stock, but position sizing should still reflect portfolio risk limits.
If IPAR pulls back toward $98 to $105 without a thesis break, assess whether brand licensing renewals, quarterly results, and consumer spending trends remain intact before considering entry.
Do not average down solely because the business quality is high. Define maximum loss based on the $77 52-week low as a worst-case reference for position sizing.
Track quarterly revenue and margin by brand region, license renewal announcements, new brand additions, emerging market revenue share, dividend growth, buyback activity, and insider trading patterns.
Lower the rating if a major brand license is not renewed, organic growth decelerates for two consecutive quarters, or the company issues debt to fund working capital.
Investment research summary
Inter Parfums earns revenue and profit by manufacturing, marketing, and distributing prestige fragrances under licensed brand names, including Coach, Jimmy Choo, Montblanc, Kate Spade, and others, with a capital-light, high-ROE model.
The moat comes from long-standing licensing relationships (some spanning 20+ years), fragrance formulation expertise, global distribution infrastructure, manufacturing scale, and the switching cost for brands to change their fragrance licensee.
The thesis can fail if a major brand owner does not renew its license, if prestige fragrance demand declines due to a consumer spending downturn, if royalty rates are squeezed, if the founding management team succession is mishandled, or if Inter Parfums overpays for a new license.
Co-founders Jean Madar (Chairman) and Philippe Benacin (CEO) have built Inter Parfums over four decades with consistent capital allocation, organic growth, and selective acquisitions. Dividend has grown for 10+ consecutive years. Succession planning is a key monitoring item.
The global prestige fragrance market is growing at 5-8% annually, driven by premiumization, emerging market adoption, and expanding consumer bases in Asia and Latin America. E-commerce channels are becoming an increasingly important distribution avenue.
At roughly 22.6x TTM earnings, 2.6x sales, and 27.9x TTM free cash flow, IPAR trades near its five-year average multiple. The balance sheet is clean with low leverage. The margin of safety is reasonable but limited the stock already prices in steady execution.
Source-backed data
Every metric below includes a source and last verification date.
| Metric | Value | Source | Last verified |
|---|---|---|---|
| IPAR price | $119.28 close on July 10, 2026 | Yahoo Finance and Barchart quote snapshots | July 12, 2026 |
| Market capitalization | $3.82 billion, verified as $119.28 x 32,050,000 shares | financial_rigor.py market cap verification and Yahoo Finance data | July 12, 2026 |
| TTM revenue | $1.49 billion | Yahoo Finance key statistics | July 12, 2026 |
| TTM net income | $169.26 million | Yahoo Finance key statistics | July 12, 2026 |
| Diluted EPS (TTM) | $5.27 | Yahoo Finance key statistics | July 12, 2026 |
| Cash and cash equivalents | $237.07 million | Yahoo Finance balance sheet | July 12, 2026 |
| Total debt | Low (Debt/Equity 16.43%) | Yahoo Finance statistics | July 12, 2026 |
| Free cash flow (TTM) | $137.21 million (levered) | Yahoo Finance statistics | July 12, 2026 |
| Enterprise value | $3.77 billion | Yahoo Finance key statistics | July 12, 2026 |
| Dividend | $3.20 annual (2.68% yield), 10+ year growth streak | Yahoo Finance statistics | July 12, 2026 |
| 52-week range | $77.21 to $136.01 | Yahoo Finance and Barchart | July 12, 2026 |
| Moving averages and momentum | 50-day MA about $100 to $105, 200-day MA about $88 to $93, RSI 60-65 | Barchart and TradingView technical snapshots | July 12, 2026 |
| Valuation math | 22.63x TTM PE, 4.33x PB, 2.56x PS, 19.76% ROE, 2.68% dividend yield from financial_rigor.py | financial_rigor.py valuation verification and Yahoo Finance | July 12, 2026 |
This IPAR AI stock analysis is an informational tool for research and education only. It is not investment advice, a recommendation, or a guarantee of future performance. Forecast ranges are scenarios based on available data as of July 12, 2026 and can be wrong.
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