Bullish case
$80 to $95
More likely if Peruvian GDP growth stays resilient, loan book expands at a mid-single-digit pace, credit costs remain contained, the insurance segment grows, and the market re-rates IFS toward a 10-11x forward PE.
Intercorp Financial Services Inc. research snapshot
IFS AI stock analysis currently reads Intercorp Financial Services Inc. as a well-capitalized Peruvian financial group combining banking, insurance, and wealth management under common ownership. The analysis is not a certain price prediction. At the July 12, 2026 cutoff, the latest verified close used here was $60.68, market capitalization was about $6.74 billion, and the main question was whether Peruvian credit quality, net interest margins, insurance growth, and economic conditions can sustain the current recovery from the 2024 trough. This is informational research and not investment advice.
Current price
$60.68
Market cap
$6.74 billion
AI score
65 / 100
Rating
Solid regional bank at a reasonable price
Trend status
Strong uptrend near 52-week highs
Data cutoff (updated weekly)
July 12, 2026
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
| Dimension | Conclusion | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Business quality | IFS operates Peru's second-largest bank, a leading insurer, and a wealth management arm under a single group structure. Earnings are diversified across banking, insurance, and advisory services with a solid deposit base. | Medium-high |
| Moat | The moat comes from Interbank's branch network, brand recognition in Peru, insurance distribution through bank channels, and sticky retail and corporate deposit relationships. | Medium |
| Management | CEO Lord Luis Felipe Castellanos Lopez-Torres leads a management team with long experience in Peruvian banking and insurance. Capital allocation has been reasonable, though past growth was partly funded by debt. | Medium |
| Financial trend | Revenue grew from 6.29B PEN in FY2021 to 9.24B PEN in FY2025. Net income improved from 1.07B PEN in FY2023 to 1.82B PEN in FY2025 following a dip from 1.67B PEN in FY2022. | High |
| Valuation | The stock traded near 8.7x trailing earnings and 1.29x book value at the cutoff, which is reasonable for a Peruvian bank with 14.8% ROE and improving earnings momentum. | Medium-high |
| Technical trend | IFS traded well above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, reflecting a strong uptrend from the 2024 lows near $35. The stock was near the 52-week high zone. | Medium-high |
| Risk level | Key risks are Peruvian economic and political instability, PEN currency depreciation, loan portfolio credit quality, interest rate sensitivity, concentration in a single country, and lower liquidity than large-cap US banks. | Medium-high |
| AI confidence | Medium-high confidence for the business structure, SEC filing data, market cap math, and major risk categories. Lower confidence for future credit cycles and Peruvian macroeconomic outcomes. | Medium-high data confidence |
| Investment certainty | Medium certainty. IFS offers reasonable valuation and improving trends, but emerging-market single-country risk and currency exposure limit the certainty. | Medium |
IFS AI stock forecast
The IFS AI stock forecast uses scenario ranges around the $60.68 cutoff price. It does not claim that AI can predict a specific future price. The bullish case requires sustained Peruvian economic growth, stable net interest margins, controlled credit costs, and insurance expansion. The base case assumes moderate earnings growth with a stable multiple. The bearish case assumes economic deterioration, credit losses, or currency weakness.
$80 to $95
More likely if Peruvian GDP growth stays resilient, loan book expands at a mid-single-digit pace, credit costs remain contained, the insurance segment grows, and the market re-rates IFS toward a 10-11x forward PE.
$55 to $65
More likely if earnings grow at a mid-to-high single digit pace, dividends continue, and investors value IFS near an 8x PE multiple consistent with its historical range.
$30 to $42
More likely if the Peruvian economy weakens, non-performing loans rise, provisions increase, the PEN depreciates against the USD, or the stock re-rates toward a 5x PE or below-book multiple.
IFS AI technical analysis
IFS AI technical analysis starts from the $60.68 close used for this July 12 static page. Technical data showed the stock well above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, reflecting a sustained uptrend from the 2024 lows. Because this page does not fetch request-time market data, traders should confirm levels on a live chart before acting.
| Level | Value | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Current price | $60.68 | Latest verified close used for this page as of the July 12, 2026 data cutoff. |
| Near support | $56 to $58 | Support planning zone around the 50-day moving-average area, which was near $51.15. |
| Secondary support | $46 to $47 | The 200-day moving average area at about $46.27. A sustained break would weaken the long-term recovery trend. |
| Near resistance | $61 to $62 | The current 52-week high zone. A clean breakout with volume would confirm trend continuation. |
| Next resistance | $65 to $68 | The pre-2024 price range area. Medium-term resistance if the bull trend extends. |
| 50-day moving average | About $51.15 | FMP data showed IFS trading well above the 50-day moving average near the cutoff date. |
| 200-day moving average | About $46.27 | FMP data showed IFS above its 200-day moving average, confirming the long-term upward trend. |
| Momentum | Strongly positive, near overbought | The stock had rallied sharply from the 2024 lows. RSI was likely elevated given the sustained move. |
| Volume | Moderate; about 198,000 shares | Volume was below the 346,000 average, so a breakout should be confirmed by above-average participation. |
| Volatility | Beta 0.54 | Low beta suggests IFS tends to move less than the broad market on a daily basis. |
| Invalidation | Close below $56, then $46 | A close below the near-support zone weakens the recovery setup. A break below the 200-day area would challenge the bull trend. |
IFS AI trading strategy
The IFS AI trading strategy is a rules-based framework, not personalized advice. It combines filing-backed business evidence, technical confirmation, position sizing, and clear invalidation levels.
Look for IFS to hold above the 50-day moving average and confirm a break above $61 to $62 with improving volume before treating momentum as sustainable.
A failed breakout or daily close below the 50-day area should reduce confidence. Emerging-market banks can reverse more sharply than US peers.
If IFS pulls back toward $56 to $58 without a fundamental thesis break, compare price action with next earnings, Peruvian GDP data, and credit-quality trends.
Do not average down solely because the PE looks low. Define maximum loss based on portfolio risk and review country and currency exposure first.
Track next 20-F filing, Peruvian GDP growth, interest rate decisions by the Central Reserve Bank of Peru, loan loss provisions, insurance revenue trends, and PEN/USD exchange rate.
Lower the rating if net interest margins compress, non-performing loans rise, or the stock breaks below the 200-day moving average on deteriorating fundamentals.
Investment research summary
IFS provides banking, insurance, and wealth management to Peruvian retail and corporate customers through the Interbank brand and affiliated entities.
The moat is built on Interbank branch and ATM network scale, brand recognition in Peru, insurance distribution partnerships, and sticky deposit relationships.
The thesis can fail if the Peruvian economy enters a recession, loan defaults spike, the PEN depreciates sharply, political instability increases, or capital markets confidence in Peruvian assets deteriorates.
CEO Lord Luis Felipe Castellanos Lopez-Torres and the team have managed Interbank through economic cycles. Capital allocation has focused on lending growth, insurance expansion, and technology investment.
Peruvian banking penetration is still below developed-market levels, providing room for structural growth. Digital banking adoption is rising. Insurance penetration remains low, creating cross-sell opportunities.
At roughly 8.7x trailing earnings and 1.29x book value, IFS trades at a discount to large US regional banks. The margin of safety depends on Peruvian economic stability, credit performance, and currency steadiness.
Source-backed data
Every metric below includes a source and last verification date.
| Metric | Value | Source | Last verified |
|---|---|---|---|
| IFS price | $60.68 close on or around July 10, 2026 | FMP quote endpoint | July 12, 2026 |
| Market capitalization | $6.74 billion, verified as $60.68 x 111,713,000 shares | financial_rigor.py market cap verification and FMP enterprise values | July 12, 2026 |
| FY2025 revenue | 9.24 billion PEN (approximately $3.93 billion USD) | FMP annual income statement | July 12, 2026 |
| FY2025 net income | 1.82 billion PEN (approximately $775 million USD) | FMP annual income statement | July 12, 2026 |
| FY2025 operating income | 2.33 billion PEN (approximately $992 million USD) | FMP annual income statement | July 12, 2026 |
| FY2025 free cash flow | 1.31 billion PEN (approximately $556 million USD) | FMP annual cash flow statement | July 12, 2026 |
| Total assets | 99.09 billion PEN (approximately $42.17 billion USD) | FMP annual balance sheet | July 12, 2026 |
| Book value | 12.35 billion PEN (approximately $5.25 billion USD) | FMP annual balance sheet | July 12, 2026 |
| Total debt | 12.78 billion PEN (approximately $5.44 billion USD) | FMP annual balance sheet | July 12, 2026 |
| Cash and short-term investments | 12.09 billion PEN (approximately $5.14 billion USD) | FMP annual balance sheet | July 12, 2026 |
| Valuation math | 8.74x trailing PE, 1.29x PB, 12.2x P/FCF, 2.97% dividend yield from financial_rigor.py | financial_rigor.py valuation verification and FMP quote | July 12, 2026 |
| Moving averages | 50-day MA about $51.15, 200-day MA about $46.27 | FMP quote endpoint | July 12, 2026 |
This IFS AI stock analysis is an informational tool for research and education only. It is not investment advice, a recommendation, or a guarantee of future performance. Forecast ranges are scenarios based on available data as of July 12, 2026 and can be wrong. Investing in emerging-market equities carries additional risks including currency fluctuation, political instability, and lower liquidity.
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