IES Holdings, Inc. research snapshot
IESC AI stock analysis currently reads IES Holdings as a high-growth electrical, communications, residential, and infrastructure contractor whose earnings power has been reshaped by data center and technology infrastructure demand. On July 31, 2026 the company reported fiscal 2026 third quarter revenue of $1.24 billion, up 40% year over year, with diluted EPS of $7.57, a record backlog near $4.5 billion, and announced a two-for-one stock split. At about $744.54 and a verified market cap near $14.83 billion, the stock now trades near 33 times trailing earnings and more than 12 times book value, so the market already prices in continued strong execution. The IESC AI stock forecast therefore uses scenario ranges, not a precise price prediction, and treats data center demand, residential softness, project margins, Gulf Island integration, free cash flow conversion, the valuation multiple, and the upcoming stock split as the variables that matter most.
Current price
$744.54
Market cap
$14.83 billion verified market cap
AI score
77 / 100
Rating
High-growth electrical and infrastructure contractor with record backlog, strong data center exposure, and rich valuation
Trend status
Strongly bullish near term after the July 31, 2026 earnings surge, trading close to the 52-week high
Data cutoff (updated monthly)
August 4, 2026
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
| Dimension | Conclusion | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Business quality | IES sells mission-critical electrical contracting, data center and technology infrastructure, residential electrical installation, and infrastructure solutions to customers that need reliable project execution. | High |
| Moat | The moat comes from skilled labor, local operating density, customer relationships, execution reputation, and scale in data center and communications work rather than classic consumer brand pricing power. | Medium-high |
| Management | Matt Simmes is CEO, Jeff Gendell is Executive Chairman, Tracy McLauchlin is CFO, and Tontine remains the controlling shareholder, keeping incentives tightly aligned with equity value. | High |
| Financial trend | Q3 fiscal 2026 revenue rose 40% to $1.24 billion, operating income rose 60% to $178.5 million, and diluted EPS rose to $7.57. Backlog rose 91% to about $4.5 billion with no debt. | High |
| Valuation | At $744.54, IESC trades near 33x trailing EPS of $22.51, about 12.1x book value per share near $61.70, and roughly 65x TTM free cash flow per share near $11.46. | High |
| Technical trend | Price sits above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages near $673.50 and $520.07, close to the 52-week high of $804.00 after the July 31 surge. | Medium-high |
| Risk level | Main risks are data center demand normalization, residential weakness, project margin compression, labor shortages, acquisition integration, control-shareholder concentration, and multiple compression after a sharp re-rating. | Medium-high |
| AI confidence | Descriptive confidence is high because filings and market data are rich and cross-validated. Return confidence is lower because growth contractor multiples can reverse quickly. | High data confidence |
| Investment certainty | IESC is a strong growth contractor, but the current price needs continued communications and infrastructure conversion, stable margins, and disciplined capital allocation to justify further upside. | Medium |
IESC AI stock forecast
The IESC AI stock forecast is scenario-based because electrical contractor value depends on data center and communications demand, residential volume and pricing, project margins, cash conversion, acquisition integration, the stock split, and the market multiple assigned to cyclical growth earnings. Using the $744.54 price reference, trailing EPS of $22.51, and an audited three-year model, the mechanical range points to about $430 in a bear case, $1,039 in a base case, and $1,717 in a bullish case. The range is not a promise. A higher outcome needs continued high-margin data center and infrastructure work, clean Gulf Island integration, and sustained EPS compounding.
$1,550 to $1,850
More likely if EPS compounds near the low-to-mid twenties, data center and communications demand stay strong, residential stabilizes, Gulf Island capacity helps later earnings, and the market keeps valuing IESC in a low-forties PE range.
$950 to $1,150
More likely if EPS compounds near the mid-teens, margins stay healthy but no longer expand as fast, free cash flow remains solid after growth investment, and the market values IESC near a low-thirties earnings multiple.
$400 to $480
More likely if data center starts slow, residential pricing stays weak, project execution slips, cash conversion deteriorates, or investors rerate IESC toward a high-teens multiple with little EPS growth.
IESC AI technical analysis
IESC AI technical analysis is strongly constructive after the July 31, 2026 earnings reaction as of the August 3, 2026 data cutoff. The July 31, 2026 close was about $744.54, up 30% on the day, with a verified market cap near $14.83 billion and a 52-week range from about $309.51 to $804.00. Price sits above the 50-day moving average near $673.50 and the 200-day moving average near $520.07, and it approaches the 52-week high, so trend confirmation is positive but valuation-sensitive.
| Level | Value | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Current price | $744.54 | StockAnalysis, Morningstar, and Macrotrends listed IESC near $744.54 at the July 31, 2026 close, up about 30% after fiscal 2026 Q3 results. |
| Immediate support | $680 to $700 | This is the first pullback zone after the July 31 breakout and should be compared with the rising 50-day moving average near $673.50. |
| Major support | $620 to $650 | A break into this range would signal a deeper pullback after the earnings surge and would likely need a check against backlog, data center awards, and residential activity. |
| Deeper support | $570 to $600 | The July 30 close near $571.54 marks the pre-earnings base; a loss of this zone would imply the earnings-day gain was fully retraced. |
| 200-day moving average | $520.07 | The 200-day moving average is the longer-term trend gauge. Holding well above it keeps the multi-year uptrend intact, while a close below it would be a major warning. |
| Near resistance | $770 to $790 | The all-time high close near $766.54 and the 52-week high near $804.00 form the next resistance band. |
| Upper resistance | $800 to $805 | The 52-week high near $804.00 is the main upside resistance bulls need to clear with strong earnings and backlog evidence. |
| Moving averages | Price above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages | The 50-day moving average is near $673.50 and the 200-day near $520.07, both below the current price, which is a positive alignment. |
| Momentum | Strong after the July 31 earnings surge | RSI near 60 and a 30% one-day gain confirm strong near-term momentum, though this can fade quickly after sharp moves. |
| Volume | Elevated on the earnings reaction | Volume on July 31 was about 486,000 shares versus a typical 260,000, confirming institutional participation in the breakout. |
| Volatility | High for an electrical contractor | Beta is near 1.85 and the stock moved 30% in a single session, so swings can be violent when assumptions about data center spending or margins change. |
| Invalidation | Close below $600, then below $520 | A sustained close below $600 would weaken the post-earnings trend structure. A close below the 200-day moving average near $520 would challenge the larger uptrend. |
IESC AI trading strategy
The IESC AI trading strategy below is a rules-based research framework, not personal advice. It links chart levels with data center demand, residential activity, project margins, free cash flow, Gulf Island integration, the two-for-one split, control-shareholder actions, and valuation discipline.
Watch for IESC to hold above the $680 to $700 area and then clear $770 to $790 with strong volume, healthy communications and infrastructure commentary, and no sign of project margin slippage.
A failed breakout followed by a close below $600 should reduce trend confidence, especially if management signals slower data center awards or weaker residential pricing.
If IESC pulls back toward $620 to $650 while backlog quality and margins remain intact, compare the lower price with normalized EPS power, free cash flow yield, and the durability of data center demand.
Do not treat a pullback as automatically attractive if residential remains soft, fixed-price contracts pressure margins, or the stock is still priced for double-digit EPS growth at a premium multiple.
Track quarterly revenue mix by segment, backlog near $4.5 billion, remaining performance obligations, data center and communications awards, residential volume and pricing, operating margins, free cash flow after growth capex, Gulf Island integration progress, the stock split timing, and any Tontine-related ownership changes.
Position sizing should reflect that IESC is exposed to cyclical capital spending, project execution risk, and control-shareholder concentration, not a guaranteed data center growth vehicle.
Investment research summary
Customers pay IES Holdings because data centers, communications networks, homes, commercial sites, and industrial facilities need electrical and technology infrastructure installed and maintained with reliable field execution.
IESC has skilled labor, customer relationships, local density, and growing scale in communications and infrastructure solutions. The moat is real in project execution, but returns still depend on demand mix, labor availability, and underwriting quality.
The thesis fails if data center demand normalizes, residential pricing stays weak, project margins compress, Gulf Island integration absorbs capital without timely returns, free cash flow lags earnings, or investors compress a 33x trailing multiple after the two-for-one split resets per-share reference points.
Matt Simmes is CEO, Jeff Gendell remains Executive Chairman, and Tontine remains the majority shareholder. Alignment is strong, but control concentration and succession execution remain important monitoring points.
IESC benefits from data center buildouts, network densification, electrification, and infrastructure modernization. These are long-duration trends, but residential construction and nonresidential capital spending still move in cycles.
The current price implies confidence in continued EPS growth and premium execution. Margin of safety is limited because roughly 33x trailing earnings, 12x book value, and more than 60x free cash flow already capitalize a strong growth phase.
Source-backed data
Every metric below includes a source and last verification date.
| Metric | Value | Source | Last verified |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current price | $744.54 | Macrotrends IESC stock price history | August 3, 2026 |
| Market cap | $14.83 billion, verified against 19.92 million shares | Morningstar quote and shares outstanding cross-check | August 3, 2026 |
| Q3 fiscal 2026 revenue | $1,242.7 million, up 40% year over year | IES Holdings fiscal 2026 third quarter results release | August 3, 2026 |
| Q3 fiscal 2026 net income and EPS | Net income attributable to IES $153.0 million, diluted EPS $7.57 | IES Holdings fiscal 2026 third quarter results release | August 3, 2026 |
| Backlog | About $4.5 billion as of June 30, 2026, up 91% since the end of fiscal 2025 | IES Holdings fiscal 2026 third quarter results release | August 3, 2026 |
| TTM diluted EPS | $22.51 as of June 30, 2026, cross-validated | StockAnalysis statistics and EPS computation from reported quarters | August 3, 2026 |
| Balance sheet | $77.3 million cash, $310.6 million marketable securities, no long-term debt | IES Holdings fiscal 2026 third quarter balance sheet | August 3, 2026 |
| Valuation snapshot | 33x TTM earnings, 12.1x book, about 65x TTM free cash flow | financial_rigor.py valuation verification | August 3, 2026 |
| Q3 fiscal 2026 segment mix | Communications 36.5%, Residential 26.1%, Infrastructure Solutions 18.0%, Commercial and Industrial 19.4% | IES Holdings fiscal 2026 third quarter segment statement | August 3, 2026 |
| Leadership and ownership | Matt Simmes is CEO, Jeff Gendell is Executive Chairman, Tracy McLauchlin is CFO, Tontine is the controlling shareholder | IES Holdings fiscal 2026 third quarter results release | August 3, 2026 |
This IESC AI stock analysis is an informational research tool only and is not investment advice, a recommendation, or a promise of future return. Forecast scenarios are based on available public data as of August 3, 2026 and may be wrong if earnings, project margins, data center demand, residential activity, valuation multiples, the stock split, or market conditions change.
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