IES Holdings, Inc. research snapshot
IESC AI stock analysis currently reads IES Holdings as a high-growth electrical, communications, residential, and infrastructure contractor whose earnings power has been reshaped by data center and technology infrastructure demand. Fiscal 2025 revenue reached $3.37 billion and net income attributable to IES reached $306.0 million, while trailing twelve-month diluted EPS was about $18.75 near the July 12, 2026 data cutoff. At roughly $625.54 and a verified market cap near $12.46 billion, the setup is attractive on business momentum, owner-aligned control, and backlog quality, but not a low-risk bargain because the market already capitalizes strong growth. The IESC AI stock forecast therefore uses scenario ranges, not a precise price prediction, and treats data center demand, residential softness, project margins, Gulf Island integration, free cash flow conversion, and multiple compression as the variables that matter most.
Current price
$625.54
Market cap
$12.46 billion verified market cap
AI score
72 / 100
Rating
High-growth electrical and infrastructure contractor with data center exposure, concentrated ownership, and valuation risk
Trend status
Long-term uptrend intact, but price is well off the 52-week high after a sharp multi-year re-rating
Data cutoff (updated weekly)
July 12, 2026
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
| Dimension | Conclusion | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Business quality | IES sells mission-critical electrical contracting, technology infrastructure, residential electrical installation, and infrastructure solutions to customers that need reliable project execution. | High |
| Moat | The moat comes from skilled labor, local operating density, customer relationships, safety and execution reputation, and scale in data center and communications work rather than classic consumer brand pricing power. | Medium-high |
| Management | Matt Simmes is CEO after the July 1, 2025 succession, while Jeff Gendell serves as Executive Chairman and Tontine remains the controlling shareholder, keeping incentives tightly aligned with equity value. | High |
| Financial trend | FY2025 revenue rose 17% to $3.37 billion and net income attributable to IES rose 40% to $306.0 million. Q2 fiscal 2026 revenue rose 17% to $974 million with diluted EPS of $5.44. | High |
| Valuation | At $625.54, IESC screens near 33.36x TTM EPS of $18.75, about 11.62x book value per share of $53.85, and roughly 52x free cash flow per share near $12.02. | High |
| Technical trend | The multi-year trend remains up, but the shares trade well below the 52-week high near $804 and need to rebuild momentum after a large re-rating and recent pullback. | Medium |
| Risk level | Main risks are data center demand normalization, residential weakness, project margin compression, labor shortages, acquisition integration, control-shareholder concentration, and multiple compression. | Medium-high |
| AI confidence | Descriptive confidence is high because filings and market data are rich and cross-checked. Return confidence is lower because growth contractor multiples can reverse quickly. | High data confidence |
| Investment certainty | IESC is a strong growth contractor, but the current price needs continued communications and infrastructure conversion, stable margins, and disciplined capital allocation to justify further upside. | Medium |
IESC AI stock forecast
The IESC AI stock forecast is scenario-based because electrical contractor value depends on data center and communications demand, residential volume and pricing, project margins, cash conversion, acquisition integration, and the market multiple assigned to cyclical growth earnings. Using the $625.54 price reference, TTM EPS of $18.75, and an audited three-year model, the mechanical range points to about $338 in a bear case, $738 in a base case, and $1,192 in a bullish case. The range is not a promise. A higher outcome needs continued high-margin data center and infrastructure work, clean Gulf Island integration, and sustained EPS compounding.
$1,050 to $1,250
More likely if EPS compounds near the low-to-mid twenties, data center and communications demand stay strong, residential stabilizes, Gulf Island capacity helps later earnings, and the market keeps valuing IESC as a premium growth contractor near the mid-thirties PE range.
$700 to $800
More likely if EPS compounds near the low teens, margins stay healthy but no longer expand as fast, free cash flow remains solid after growth investment, and the market values IESC near a high-twenties earnings multiple.
$320 to $380
More likely if data center starts slow, residential pricing stays weak, project execution slips, cash conversion deteriorates, or investors rerate IESC as a cyclical contractor at a high-teens multiple with little EPS growth.
IESC AI technical analysis
IESC AI technical analysis is constructive on the long-term trend but mixed near term as of the July 12, 2026 data cutoff. The July 10-11, 2026 price reference was about $625.54, with a verified market cap near $12.46 billion and a 52-week range from about $291.55 to $804.00. Price remains far above the year-ago base, but the pullback from the high means failed rebounds should be treated carefully.
| Level | Value | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Current price | $625.54 | Macrotrends and multiple market sources listed IESC near $625.54 around July 10-11, 2026. |
| Immediate support | $580 to $600 | This area is the first pullback zone to watch after the recent decline from the mid-$600s and should be compared with short-term moving average support. |
| Major support | $520 to $550 | A break into this range would signal a deeper trend test and would likely need a check against backlog, data center awards, and residential activity. |
| Deeper support | $450 to $480 | This area would imply a material reset in growth expectations and would sit well below the recent re-rating zone. |
| Near resistance | $670 to $700 | This band is the first recovery resistance after the pullback and would need volume confirmation to regain intermediate momentum. |
| Upper resistance | $780 to $805 | The 52-week high area near $804 is the main upside resistance band bulls need to clear with strong earnings and backlog evidence. |
| Moving averages | Long-term trend still constructive if major support holds | Exact moving average readings can shift daily. The key signal is whether IESC holds above intermediate support while rebuilding above the $670 area. |
| Momentum | Cooling after a large multi-year advance | Momentum remains positive on a multi-year basis, but the failure to hold near the highs reduces near-term confirmation. |
| Volume | Watch earnings volume and breakout volume | Volume confirmation matters around earnings, backlog updates, Gulf Island integration notes, and any comments on data center demand. |
| Volatility | High for an electrical contractor | IESC can reprice sharply when investors change assumptions about project margins, data center capital spending, residential demand, or the earnings multiple. |
| Invalidation | Close below $520, then below $450 | A sustained break below $520 would weaken the intermediate trend. A break below $450 would challenge the larger growth-stock setup. |
IESC AI trading strategy
The IESC AI trading strategy below is a rules-based research framework, not personal advice. It links chart levels with data center demand, residential activity, project margins, free cash flow, Gulf Island integration, control-shareholder actions, and valuation discipline.
Watch for IESC to hold above the $580 to $600 area and then clear $670 to $700 with strong volume, healthy communications and infrastructure commentary, and no sign of project margin slippage.
A failed rebound followed by a close below $520 should reduce trend confidence, especially if management signals slower data center awards or weaker residential pricing.
If IESC pulls back toward $520 to $550 while backlog quality and margins remain intact, compare the lower price with normalized EPS power, free cash flow yield, and the durability of data center demand.
Do not treat a pullback as automatically attractive if residential remains soft, fixed-price contracts pressure margins, or the stock is still priced for double-digit EPS growth at a premium multiple.
Track quarterly revenue mix by segment, backlog or remaining work indicators, data center and communications awards, residential volume and pricing, operating margins, free cash flow after growth capex, Gulf Island integration progress, and any Tontine-related ownership changes.
Position sizing should reflect that IESC is exposed to cyclical capital spending, project execution risk, and control-shareholder concentration, not a guaranteed data center growth vehicle.
Investment research summary
Customers pay IES Holdings because data centers, communications networks, homes, commercial sites, and industrial facilities need electrical and technology infrastructure installed and maintained with reliable field execution.
IESC has skilled labor, customer relationships, local density, and growing scale in communications and infrastructure solutions. The moat is real in project execution, but returns still depend on demand mix, labor availability, and underwriting quality.
The thesis fails if data center demand normalizes, residential pricing stays weak, project margins compress, Gulf Island integration absorbs capital without timely returns, free cash flow lags earnings, or investors compress the high growth multiple.
Matt Simmes became President and CEO on July 1, 2025, while Jeff Gendell remains Executive Chairman and Tontine remains the majority shareholder. Alignment is strong, but control concentration and succession execution remain important monitoring points.
IESC benefits from data center buildouts, network densification, electrification, and infrastructure modernization. These are long-duration trends, but residential construction and nonresidential capital spending still move in cycles.
The current price implies confidence in continued EPS growth and premium execution. Margin of safety is limited because roughly 33x TTM earnings and more than 50x free cash flow already capitalize a strong growth phase.
Source-backed data
Every metric below includes a source and last verification date.
| Metric | Value | Source | Last verified |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current price | $625.54 | Macrotrends IESC PE ratio price history | July 12, 2026 |
| Market cap | $12.46 billion, verified against 19.92 million shares | Morningstar quote and shares outstanding cross-check | July 12, 2026 |
| FY2025 revenue | $3.37 billion, up 17% year over year | IES Holdings fiscal 2025 results release | July 12, 2026 |
| FY2025 net income attributable to IES | $306.0 million, diluted EPS $15.02 | IES Holdings fiscal 2025 results release | July 12, 2026 |
| Q2 fiscal 2026 revenue and earnings | $974 million revenue and $5.44 diluted EPS | IES Holdings fiscal 2026 second quarter results release | July 12, 2026 |
| TTM diluted EPS | $18.75 as of March 31, 2026 | Macrotrends IESC PE ratio history | July 12, 2026 |
| Cash, securities, and debt at Q2 fiscal 2026 | $49.5 million cash, $214.0 million marketable securities, and $35.0 million debt | IES Holdings fiscal 2026 second quarter results release | July 12, 2026 |
| Valuation snapshot | 33.36x TTM earnings, 11.62x book, about 52x free cash flow | financial_rigor.py valuation verification | July 12, 2026 |
| FY2025 segment mix | Residential 38.7%, Communications 33.8%, Infrastructure Solutions 14.8%, Commercial and Industrial 12.7% | IES Holdings fiscal 2025 Form 10-K segment discussion | July 12, 2026 |
| Leadership and ownership | Matt Simmes is CEO; Jeff Gendell is Executive Chairman; Tontine is the majority shareholder | IES Holdings leadership and CEO succession releases | July 12, 2026 |
This IESC AI stock analysis is an informational research tool only and is not investment advice, a recommendation, or a promise of future return. Forecast scenarios are based on available public data as of July 12, 2026 and may be wrong if earnings, project margins, data center demand, residential activity, valuation multiples, or market conditions change.
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