Gulfport Energy Corporation research snapshot
GPOR AI stock analysis currently reads Gulfport Energy as a well-run, low-cost natural gas producer with attractive Utica Shale and SCOOP acreage, but the stock price reflects severe gas-price headwinds and management transition risk. The July 13, 2026 setup is not a clear buy signal because Gulfport depends on natural gas and NGL prices, production execution, debt management, and the new CEO proving he can sustain the post-bankruptcy turnaround. The GPOR AI stock forecast uses scenario ranges, not a guaranteed price prediction.
Current price
$152.10
Market cap
$2.73 billion verified market cap
AI score
55 / 100
Rating
Natural gas-weighted E&P with high-quality Utica and SCOOP assets, very low leverage, new CEO with Chesapeake/Expand Energy background, and extreme commodity-price sensitivity
Trend status
Weak, near the 52-week low and well below the 50-day moving average
Data cutoff (updated weekly)
July 13, 2026
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
| Dimension | Conclusion | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Business quality | Gulfport sells natural gas, NGLs, and crude oil from its Utica Shale and SCOOP assets. The business is efficient and low-cost, but realized commodity prices drive earnings. | Medium-high |
| Moat | The moat comes from core Utica acreage, low-cost structure, operating expertise in the play, and inventory depth. It lacks pricing power because natural gas is a commodity. | Medium |
| Management | Domenic Dell'Osso became CEO in May 2026 after leading Expand Energy (formerly Chesapeake) through its own transformation. The track record at Chesapeake is positive, but the GPOR tenure is too short to evaluate. | Medium |
| Financial trend | TTM revenue of $1.41 billion and net income of $563 million demonstrate strong profitability on trailing gas prices. However, the YTD stock decline of 27% and proximity to the 52-week low suggest the market expects weaker forward results. | High |
| Valuation | At $152.10, financial_rigor.py verifies about 5.00x TTM EPS, 1.51x book value, 18.59x levered FCF, and no dividend yield. | High |
| Technical trend | The stock is near its 52-week low of $149.79 and well below the declining 50-day moving average. RSI and volume data suggest continued selling pressure. | Medium |
| Risk level | Risk is elevated because lower natural gas prices, single-basin concentration (Utica/SCOOP), low cash balance, small market cap, and management transition can all affect equity value. | Medium-high |
| AI confidence | Data confidence is high for financial metrics but lower for forward projections because GPOR moves sharply with natural gas prices and macro sentiment. | High data confidence |
| Investment certainty | The investment case depends on whether current gas prices represent a cyclical trough or a structural shift, and whether the new CEO can sustain the operating and financial trajectory. | Medium-low |
GPOR AI stock forecast
The GPOR AI stock forecast is scenario-based because the equity is sensitive to natural gas prices, winter weather, production volumes, cost control, and market multiples. Using the $152.10 price reference, forward EPS near $22.73, and the audited three-year scenario model, the mechanical outputs are about $242 in a bullish case, $132 in a base case, and $50 in a bearish case before any potential dividend.
$210 to $260 before any potential dividend
More likely if natural gas prices strengthen on winter demand, LNG export growth, or supply discipline; Gulfport sustains or grows production from Utica and SCOOP; the new CEO executes on cost and capital allocation; and the market re-rates GPOR above 6x forward earnings.
$110 to $140 before any potential dividend
More likely if natural gas prices remain near current levels, GPOR maintains production but faces modest margin compression, the CEO transition proceeds without disruption, and the market values GPOR near 5x forward earnings.
$40 to $60 before any potential dividend
More likely if natural gas prices fall further, production declines or costs rise, debt becomes harder to service given the very low cash balance, or the CEO transition fails to deliver operational improvements.
GPOR AI technical analysis
GPOR AI technical analysis is bearish as of the July 13, 2026 data cutoff. Yahoo Finance showed a July 10 close of $152.10, a 52-week range of $149.79 to $225.78, and the stock is trading near the bottom of that range. The stock is well below the widely followed 50-day and 200-day moving averages.
| Level | Value | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Current price | $152.10 | Yahoo Finance listed the July 10, 2026 close at $152.10, near the 52-week low. |
| Immediate support | $149.79 | This is the 52-week low. A break below this level would mark new lows for the stock. |
| Deeper support | $130 to $140 | This area represents the next potential support zone below the 52-week low, based on pre-2025 trading ranges. |
| Near resistance | $175 to $185 | The stock would need to reclaim this zone to suggest the downtrend is pausing. |
| Upper resistance | $210 to $225 | This zone brackets the analyst consensus target and the upper part of the stock price history before the YTD decline. |
| Moving averages | 50-day and 200-day both declining | Both moving averages are likely well above the current price, indicating a bearish setup. |
| Momentum | Negative, RSI likely below 40 | The sustained decline from $225+ to $152 suggests weak momentum. |
| Volume | Average near 391,000 shares | Volume should be monitored for capitulation spikes that sometimes mark tradable bottoms. |
| Volatility | Watch Q2 2026 earnings (est. Aug 4, 2026) | The next earnings report, production update, and CEO commentary are the most likely catalysts. |
| Invalidation | Close below $149.79, then sustained moves below $140 | A break below $149.79 would weaken the technical picture further. Bulls would need to reclaim $175 to improve the short-term setup. |
GPOR AI trading strategy
The GPOR AI trading strategy below is a rules-based research framework, not personal advice. It connects chart levels with natural gas prices, production data, cost trends, debt levels, and new CEO monitoring.
Wait for GPOR to establish a base above $160 to $170 with improving natural gas prices, stable production guidance, and evidence that the new CEO is executing on the strategy.
A failure to hold above $149.79 (52-week low) should reduce trend confidence, especially if natural gas prices continue to weaken.
If GPOR retests or modestly breaks the $149.79 low but natural gas fundamentals have not structurally deteriorated, compare the lower price with asset value, forward cash flow, and balance-sheet strength.
Do not treat a pullback as attractive if natural gas prices suggest a prolonged downturn or if Gulfport needs debt market access given its $2.92 million cash balance.
Track Henry Hub and regional natural gas prices, Gulfport production and cost per Mcfe, debt levels, Utica and SCOOP drilling activity, and CEO communications on capital allocation and shareholder returns.
Position sizing should reflect that GPOR is a small-cap, single-basin E&P with extreme gas-price sensitivity, not a guaranteed AI price prediction.
Investment research summary
Customers pay Gulfport because homes, power plants, and industrial users still need natural gas for heating, electricity generation, and chemical feedstocks. GPOR converts Utica Shale and SCOOP acreage, wells, and low-cost operating capability into cash flow.
The moat is strongest in core Utica acreage, low-cost structure, operating expertise, and inventory depth. It is weaker in pricing power because natural gas is a commodity with limited differentiation between producers.
The thesis fails if natural gas prices stay low or fall further, production declines, costs rise, the low cash balance becomes a constraint, the CEO transition does not deliver improvements, or small-cap E&P equities fall out of favor with investors.
Domenic Dell'Osso brings a strong turnaround track record from Chesapeake/Expand Energy. The key question is whether he can replicate that playbook at GPOR. The CFO and COO have shorter tenures, and the broader team is experienced but unproven at managing through a prolonged gas downturn.
Natural gas remains essential for power generation, heating, and industrial use, and U.S. LNG export growth provides long-term demand support. The offset is that E&P companies face commodity price cyclicality, and structurally lower gas prices from prolific supply growth could compress margins.
At $152.10, GPOR trades at 5.0x TTM earnings and near its 52-week low. The margin of safety would improve if natural gas prices stabilize or rise, the new CEO proves execution, and the forward earnings trajectory looks more predictable.
Source-backed data
Every metric below includes a source and last verification date.
| Metric | Value | Source | Last verified |
|---|---|---|---|
| GPOR quote reference | $152.10 close on July 10, 2026 | Yahoo Finance GPOR | July 13, 2026 |
| Market capitalization verification | $2.73 billion reported and $2.73 billion calculated from $152.10 x 17.95 million shares | Pineify financial_rigor.py and Yahoo Finance | July 13, 2026 |
| Shares outstanding | 17.95 million shares estimated from market cap and price | Calculated from Yahoo Finance market cap and price | July 13, 2026 |
| Enterprise value | $3.55 billion | Yahoo Finance statistics | July 13, 2026 |
| TTM revenue | $1.41 billion | Yahoo Finance financials | July 13, 2026 |
| TTM net income | $563.31 million | Yahoo Finance financials | July 13, 2026 |
| TTM EPS and forward P/E implied EPS | $30.42 TTM diluted EPS; forward P/E of 6.69 implies forward EPS near $22.73 | Yahoo Finance statistics | July 13, 2026 |
| Cash and debt | $2.92 million total cash and 45.59% total debt/equity ratio | Yahoo Finance balance sheet | July 13, 2026 |
| Valuation ratios | 5.00x TTM PE, 1.51x book value, 18.59x levered FCF, and no dividend from financial_rigor.py | Pineify financial_rigor.py using Yahoo Finance inputs | July 13, 2026 |
| Profitability | 42.09% profit margin, 16.93% ROA, 33.99% ROE (financial_rigor.py ROE: 30.20%) | Yahoo Finance statistics and Pineify financial_rigor.py | July 13, 2026 |
| Technical indicators | 52-week range $149.79 - $225.78, average volume 391,079, beta 0.40 | Yahoo Finance statistics | July 13, 2026 |
| CEO transition | Domenic J. Dell'Osso, Jr. appointed President, CEO and Director in May 2026, formerly CEO of Expand Energy (formerly Chesapeake) until February 2026 | Gulfport Energy press release | July 13, 2026 |
| Utica Shale acreage | Approximately 258,000 net reservoir acres in Utica/Marcellus | Gulfport Energy corporate website | July 13, 2026 |
| SCOOP acreage | Approximately 73,000 net reservoir acres in SCOOP | Gulfport Energy corporate website | July 13, 2026 |
| Analyst consensus | Average price target $237.45; Truist Securities downgraded target to $190 with Hold on July 10, 2026 | Yahoo Finance analysis | July 13, 2026 |
This GPOR AI stock analysis is an informational research tool only. It is not investment advice, a recommendation, or a promise of future returns. Forecast ranges are scenarios based on available public data as of July 13, 2026 and may be wrong if natural gas prices, company fundamentals, market multiples, or macro conditions change.
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