Gentex Corporation research snapshot
GNTX AI stock analysis currently reads Gentex Corporation as a high-quality auto supplier with a dominant market position in auto-dimming mirrors, a fortress balance sheet with no debt, consistent free cash flow generation, and disciplined capital allocation through dividends and buybacks. The analysis is not a certain price prediction. At the July 12, 2026 cutoff, the latest verified close used here was $24.20, market capitalization was about $5.15 billion, and the main question was whether the company can navigate auto production cycles, grow beyond its mirror franchise into digital vision and dimmable glass, and sustain its long record of profitable growth. This is informational research and not investment advice.
Current price
$24.20
Market cap
$5.15 billion
AI score
70 / 100
Rating
Quality mid-cap auto supplier with fortress balance sheet
Trend status
Sideways to slightly down from 52-week high of $29.38, up 4.9% over 1 year
Data cutoff (updated weekly)
July 12, 2026
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
| Dimension | Conclusion | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Business quality | Gentex dominates the auto-dimming mirror market with an estimated 80-90% global share. It has expanded into camera-based driver assist systems, connected car technology, dimmable glass, and fire protection. The business generates consistently high margins and returns on capital. | High |
| Moat | The moat comes from a dominant market share, long-term OEM relationships, proprietary electrochromic technology, manufacturing scale advantages, and strong brand trust with automakers. The patent portfolio protects the core dimming technology. | High |
| Management | CEO Steve Downing and the leadership team continue the conservative, founder-influenced culture of Fred Bauer. Capital allocation has been disciplined: regular share buybacks, consistent dividend growth, no debt, and measured investment in new technologies. | High |
| Financial trend | Revenue has grown from $1.7B in 2020 to $2.53B TTM. Net income has been consistently profitable with margins around 15%. Free cash flow is strong at over $400M annually. The balance sheet has zero debt and over $300M in cash. | High |
| Valuation | At roughly 13x TTM earnings, 2.0x sales, 11.5x free cash flow, and 8.7% FCF yield, GNTX is priced below both its historical average and its auto supplier peers. The valuation is reasonable for a high-quality business. | Medium-high |
| Technical trend | GNTX is trading around $24.20, down from the 52-week high of $29.38 and off about 7% year to date. The stock is below its 50-day moving average but above its 200-day MA. Momentum is neutral with RSI around 45-50. | Medium |
| Risk level | Key risks are auto production cyclicality, mirror content per vehicle potentially declining, customer concentration, tariff exposure, and the pace of new product adoption. The clean balance sheet provides significant downside protection. | Medium-high |
| AI confidence | High confidence for financial data, market math, and risk mapping. Medium-high confidence for long-term growth estimates because auto production cycles and new product adoption are inherently uncertain. | High data confidence |
| Investment certainty | Medium-high certainty. Gentex is a quality business at a reasonable price, but the investment outcome depends on the auto cycle and the companys ability to grow EPS through its product cycle. | Medium-high |
GNTX AI stock forecast
The GNTX AI stock forecast uses scenario ranges around the $24.20 cutoff price. It does not claim that AI can predict a specific future price. The bullish case requires successful new product adoption, auto production stability, and multiple expansion to historical averages. The base case assumes Gentex compounds earnings modestly as the mirror franchise sustains. The bearish case assumes a cyclical downturn or slower new product adoption.
$36 to $44
More likely if Gentex wins significant full-display mirror and camera monitoring system contracts, dimmable glass adoption accelerates, auto production stays healthy, and the market re-rates the stock to an 18x to 20x PE multiple, near its historical average.
$24 to $32
More likely if the mirror franchise sustains, new products contribute modest growth, the company continues buybacks, and the stock trades near a 14x to 16x PE multiple, reflecting a steady but low-growth profile.
$14 to $20
More likely if auto production enters a prolonged downturn, mirror content per vehicle declines faster than expected, new product ramps disappoint, or the market assigns a 10x to 12x PE multiple on lower EPS.
GNTX AI technical analysis
GNTX AI technical analysis starts from the $24.20 price snapshot used for this July 12 static page. Public technical sources showed the stock trading below its 50-day moving average but above the 200-day moving average, with neutral RSI and below-average volume. Because this page does not fetch request-time market data, traders should confirm levels on a live chart before acting.
| Level | Value | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Current price | $24.20 | Latest verified close used for this page as of the July 12, 2026 data cutoff. |
| Near support | $23.64 to $23.92 | Support planning zone around the first and second support pivot levels from public technical sources. |
| Secondary support | $22 to $23 | The 200-day moving average area. A sustained break below this level would weaken the longer-term setup. |
| Near resistance | $24.43 to $24.94 | The first resistance area. A close above $24.94 would challenge the 50-day MA area around $25.50. |
| Key resistance | $25.50 to $26.50 | The 50-day moving average and prior consolidation zone. A move through this area would be a positive technical signal. |
| 52-week high | $29.38 | The 52-week high from September 2025. This represents the upper end of the trading range. |
| 50-day moving average | About $25.50 | Public sources showed GNTX trading below the 50-day MA at the cutoff. |
| 200-day moving average | About $22.50 to $23.00 | GNTX was slightly above the 200-day MA, providing a longer-term support reference. |
| Momentum | RSI neutral, mixed oscillators | RSI was in neutral territory around 45-50. Short-term oscillators were mixed, suggesting the stock is in a consolidation phase. |
| Volume | Below 52-week average | Volume has been below average during the recent pullback, which could indicate a lack of aggressive selling rather than distribution. |
| Volatility | IV at 41%, IV percentile 67% | Implied volatility is elevated relative to the past year but not extreme. Options market does not signal a major expected move near term. |
| Invalidation | Close below $22.50, then $20.48 | A close below the 200-day area around $22.50 weakens the longer-term trend. A break below $20.48 (52-week low) would challenge the entire sideways pattern. |
GNTX AI trading strategy
The GNTX AI trading strategy is a rules-based framework, not personalized advice. It combines filing-backed business evidence, technical confirmation, position sizing, and clear invalidation levels.
Look for GNTX to reclaim the 50-day moving average around $25.50 on above-average volume. A sustained move above $26.50 with improving volume would confirm resumption of the longer-term uptrend. Use the 200-day MA around $22.50 as the trend invalidation level.
A failed attempt to reclaim the 50-day MA or a daily close below $22.50 should reduce confidence. Avoid chasing unless volume confirms the breakout.
If GNTX pulls back toward the 200-day MA near $22.50 to $23.00, look for price stabilization, bullish candlestick patterns, or volume drying up as potential re-entry signals. The clean balance sheet and consistent dividends provide a fundamental floor.
Do not assume the stock will bounce from the 200-day MA just because it has in the past. Define maximum loss and consider that auto production data could change the cycle outlook.
Track Q2 2026 earnings on July 24, auto production data from major OEMs, full-display mirror adoption rates, dimmable glass contract wins, and any changes in the dividend or buyback program.
Lower the rating if revenue growth stalls, margins contract, the company signals a change in capital allocation, or management commentary suggests a weaker auto production outlook.
Investment research summary
Gentex designs and manufactures automatic-dimming rearview mirrors, camera-based driver assist systems, connected car technology, dimmable glass, and fire protection products. The core business supplies virtually every major automaker worldwide with mirrors, and the company is expanding into adjacent vision and glass technologies.
The moat is built on 80-90% market share in auto-dimming mirrors, long-term OEM relationships spanning decades, proprietary electrochromic technology protected by patents, manufacturing scale that competitors cannot easily match, and deep integration into vehicle design cycles that creates high switching costs.
The thesis can fail if auto production enters a severe prolonged downturn, if mirror content per vehicle declines as EVs use fewer traditional mirrors, if new product ramps (full-display mirror, dimmable glass) are slower or less profitable than expected, or if the long-tenured management team loses its capital allocation discipline.
CEO Steve Downing has been with the company since 1990, continuing the conservative culture established by founder Fred Bauer. The company has no debt, a $300M+ cash position, consistent dividend growth, regular share buybacks, and measured R&D investment. Capital allocation is arguably the most shareholder-friendly in the auto supplier industry.
The auto-dimming mirror market is mature, but Gentex is pivoting to full-display mirrors, camera monitoring systems, and dimmable glass. These products address the same OEM customers with higher content per vehicle. The long-term trend is toward more electronics content in vehicles, which plays to Gentex strengths.
At roughly 13x TTM earnings, 11.5x free cash flow, and an 8.7% FCF yield, GNTX is below its 5-year average PE of about 16x. The balance sheet provides a margin of safety that few auto suppliers can match. The three-scenario model suggests a base case target near $30 and a bear case floor near $16.
Source-backed data
Every metric below includes a source and last verification date.
| Metric | Value | Source | Last verified |
|---|---|---|---|
| GNTX price | $24.20 as of July 12, 2026 snapshot | Barchart.com quote snapshot | July 12, 2026 |
| Market capitalization | $5.15 billion, verified as $24.20 x 212,952,000 shares | financial_rigor.py market cap verification | July 12, 2026 |
| TTM revenue | $2.53 billion (consensus of Barchart and TradingView) | Barchart.com financial summary, cross-checked with TradingView | July 12, 2026 |
| TTM net income | $382 million (consensus of Barchart and TradingView) | Barchart.com financial summary, cross-checked with TradingView | July 12, 2026 |
| EPS (TTM) | $1.84 (Barchart), $1.77 (TradingView) | Barchart.com and TradingView fundamentals | July 12, 2026 |
| TTM free cash flow per share | Approximately $2.10 (estimated from reported FCF) | financial_rigor.py P/FCF calculation from reported metrics | July 12, 2026 |
| Valuation math | 13.15x TTM PE, 11.52x P/FCF, 8.68% FCF yield, 2.04x PB, 2.00x PS from financial_rigor.py | financial_rigor.py valuation verification | July 12, 2026 |
| Q1 2026 earnings | $0.48 per share vs $0.45 estimate (6.09% surprise) | TradingView earnings data | July 12, 2026 |
| Dividend | $0.48 annual (1.98% forward yield), paid quarterly at $0.12 per share | Barchart.com dividend data | July 12, 2026 |
| Cash and debt | $300M+ cash, zero debt (fortress balance sheet) | TradingView financial summary | July 12, 2026 |
| Shares outstanding | 212.95 million (Barchart), 212.18 million float (TradingView) | Barchart.com fundamentals, TradingView | July 12, 2026 |
| Analyst consensus | Moderate Buy (9 analysts), target range $25 to $32 | Barchart.com analyst ratings | July 12, 2026 |
| Three-scenario valuation | Bullish $44.10 (18x PE, 10% growth), Base $29.82 (14x PE, 5% growth), Bearish $15.81 (10x PE, -5% decline) | financial_rigor.py three-scenario model | July 12, 2026 |
| Technical levels | Support at $23.64/$23.92, resistance at $24.43/$24.94, 50-day MA ~$25.50, 200-day MA ~$22.50-$23.00 | Barchart.com technical overview | July 12, 2026 |
This GNTX AI stock analysis is an informational tool for research and education only. It is not investment advice, a recommendation, or a guarantee of future performance. Forecast ranges are scenarios based on available data as of July 12, 2026 and can be wrong.
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