First Citizens BancShares, Inc. Series E Depositary Shares research snapshot

FCNCN AI Stock Analysis

FCNCN AI stock analysis treats FCNCN as a depositary share in First Citizens BancShares Series E 6.625% non-cumulative perpetual preferred stock, not as First Citizens common stock. At the August 2, 2026 data cutoff, FCNCN closed at $24.82 on July 31, 2026, after an after-hours quote of $24.94, with a 52-week range of $23.74 to $25.64 and a dividend yield of about 6.65% to 6.67%. The security has a $25 liquidation preference, a stated 6.625% fixed dividend rate through March 15, 2031, no maturity date, and it began trading in February 2026. The first dividend payment was scheduled for June 15, 2026. The income case depends on First Citizens continuing to authorize dividends and retaining regulatory capital, while the main risks are non-cumulative dividends, the March 2031 rate reset, call risk, issuer credit risk, and modest trading volume. This page is for informational use only and is not investment advice.

Current price

$24.82 close on July 31, 2026, with a $24.94 after-hours quote

Market cap

$397.12 million indicated issue value at $24.82 times 16.00 million depositary shares; Benzinga reports $399.04 million

AI score

60 / 100

Rating

Income-oriented, non-cumulative bank preferred security with a real 52-week trading range now established, seniority over common stock, and no maturity

Trend status

Mildly negative short-term trend with the quote near $24.82, below the $25 liquidation reference, after touching $25.64 in early July 2026

Data cutoff (updated monthly)

August 4, 2026

Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.

Research quality check

information Richness
B-level information richness for FCNCN. Issuer filings clearly document the security terms, the Q1 2026 Form 10-Q confirms 16,000,000 depositary shares and a $25 per-share liquidation preference, and First Citizens publishes audited bank results. FCNCN now has about five months of secondary-market price data, which is still much less than FCNCA common stock.
bias Check
The main AI bias risk is treating the 6.625% stated coupon or the $25 liquidation preference as a guaranteed return or price floor. Dividends require authorization, are non-cumulative, and the shares already traded below $25 in March 2026 even with a healthy issuer.
ai Confidence
High for the security structure, issue size, coupon, reset date, ranking, redemption terms, the real 52-week price range, and issuer financial references. Medium for forward market price because the trading history is short and liquidity remains modest.
investment Certainty
Low to medium. The contract terms are clear, but investment results depend on bank credit quality, rates, regulatory capital, dividend authorization, call timing, and secondary-market liquidity rather than on a common-stock earnings multiple.

Quick verdict table

DimensionConclusionConfidence
Business qualityFCNCN is a preferred-income claim on First Citizens BancShares, whose ability to support it rests on banking earnings, capital, liquidity, deposits, and credit discipline. Q2 2026 net income available to common stockholders reached $640 million.Medium-high
MoatThe security itself has no operating moat. Its support comes from First Citizens bank relationships, regulatory licenses, scale, and underwriting capabilities, all of which remain exposed to banking competition and cycles.Medium
ManagementManagement and the board control dividend authorization, capital allocation, and any permitted redemption. Preferred holders have limited voting rights except after sustained missed dividends under the terms.Medium
Financial trendFirst Citizens reported FY2025 net income available to common stockholders of $2.149 billion and Q2 2026 net income available to common stockholders of $640 million, up from $508 million in Q1 2026, with capital ratios above regulatory requirements.High for reported data
ValuationFCNCN is better assessed through current income, price versus the $25 liquidation preference, issuer credit, reset risk, and call terms than through P/E or common-stock book value ratios.High
Technical trendThe quote sits near $24.82, below the $25 liquidation reference and below the $25.64 high reached in early July 2026, with a 52-week low of $23.74 set in March 2026. TradingView marks the summary technical reading neutral.Medium
Risk levelRisks include skipped non-cumulative dividends, rate sensitivity, the March 2031 reset, issuer credit deterioration, regulatory capital restrictions, call risk, and limited liquidity.High
AI confidenceSecurity terms are source-backed, while price forecasting confidence is limited by the short trading history and modest secondary-market data set.Medium
Investment certaintyThis is not a substitute for a deposit or a bond with a maturity date. A buyer needs to tolerate perpetual-security, issuer-credit, and liquidity risk.Low-medium

FCNCN AI stock forecast

FCNCN AI Stock Forecast Scenarios

The FCNCN AI stock forecast is an income and risk scenario framework, not a promised price. Unlike common stock, FCNCN has no residual claim on earnings growth, no maturity date, and a dividend that remains non-cumulative. The most useful variables are dividend authorization, First Citizens capital and credit quality, market rates, the March 2031 reset formula, and whether the issuer calls the shares at $25 after March 15, 2031.

Bullish income case

Around $25 or modestly above it

More likely if First Citizens maintains strong capital and credit quality, continues authorizing the $1.65625 annualized fixed distribution through March 2031, market yields fall or remain stable, and secondary-market liquidity improves.

Base case

Around the $25 liquidation preference, subject to market yield changes

More likely if dividends continue as authorized, issuer fundamentals remain stable, and investors price the security mainly as a perpetual preferred income instrument with a future reset and possible call.

Bearish income case

Below $25 is possible, toward the $23.74 52-week low

More likely if market yields rise, First Citizens credit or capital conditions weaken, dividend authorization becomes uncertain, liquidity deteriorates, or investors demand a wider spread for bank preferred risk.

FCNCN AI technical analysis

FCNCN AI Technical Analysis

FCNCN AI technical analysis uses real price data now available through the August 2, 2026 cutoff. FCNCN closed at $24.82 on July 31, 2026, within a 52-week range of $23.74 to $25.64, with RSI near 42, a beta near 0.12, and average daily volume around 40,000 to 51,000 shares. The $25 liquidation preference is a contractual reference in liquidation or eligible redemption, not a guaranteed trading-price floor.

LevelValueWhy it matters
Last close and after-hours$24.82 close and $24.94 after-hours on July 31, 2026Benzinga quoted these prices. Refresh them with a live market-data source before relying on them.
52-week range$23.74 to $25.64The $23.74 low was reached in March 2026 and the $25.64 high in early July 2026. Short history means the range is still forming.
Contractual reference$25.00 liquidation preference per depositary shareThe issuer filing states $25 per depositary share for liquidation and eligible redemption terms. It is not a technical support guarantee.
SupportAround $23.74 as the 52-week lowThe 52-week low is the closest chart-based support reference, not a guarantee. Check current volume before treating it as a floor.
ResistanceAround $25.64 as the 52-week high, with $25 as a round-number referenceThe high was set in early July 2026. A move above it would need a fresh look at the live quote, spreads, and volume.
Moving averagesTradingView marks moving averages neutralOnly about five months of trading history exist, so 50-day and 200-day signals carry less weight than on older securities.
MomentumRSI near 42, mildly soft but not oversoldThe reading points to mild short-term weakness. Recalculate RSI with current data before acting.
Volume and volatilityAbout 51,000 shares traded on July 31, 2026 versus an average near 41,000; volatility near 0.73%Use limit orders and check current bid-ask spreads because preferred shares can trade with limited depth.
InvalidationA sustained break below $23.74 alongside worsening issuer fundamentalsTreat a persistent discount with deteriorating capital, credit, or dividend capacity as a reason to reassess the income thesis, not as an automatic bargain.

FCNCN AI trading strategy

FCNCN AI Trading Strategy Framework

The FCNCN AI trading strategy is a research framework for an income security, not personalized advice. It prioritizes current quoted yield, issuer capital and credit, dividend declarations, bid-ask spread, position size, and the 2031 reset and call terms over short-term chart signals.

Income-entry framework

Compare the current quote with the $25 liquidation preference and the $1.65625 annualized fixed distribution through March 15, 2031. At the $24.82 close the indicated yield is about 6.67%. Check the latest First Citizens earnings, capital ratios, credit trends, and dividend declaration before considering an entry.

Do not assume the stated coupon is guaranteed. Dividends are non-cumulative and require board authorization, so size exposure for the possibility of missed income and a lower market price.

Rate and reset framework

Monitor Treasury yields and the five-year Treasury rate because the dividend resets from March 15, 2031 to that rate plus 2.830%. Reassess expected income and duration risk when rates change materially.

A call at $25 after March 15, 2031 can cap upside if the issue trades above $25. Do not pay a premium without assessing the issuer call option.

Liquidity framework

Use limit orders, inspect current bid-ask spreads and recent volume, and treat the 52-week range as a short-history reference rather than a reliable support map. Monitor First Citizens deposits, credit losses, liquidity, CET1, and regulatory developments.

Avoid position sizes that cannot be exited comfortably in a thin market. A widening spread or sharp discount may reflect liquidity stress as well as a change in credit expectations.

Investment research summary

Four-master Research Compression

Business essence

FCNCN holders do not own First Citizens common equity. They own depositary shares representing one-fortieth of a Series E preferred share and receive distributions only when the board authorizes and declares them from legally available funds.

Moat

The relevant operating moat belongs to First Citizens: banking relationships, deposits, treasury services, lending expertise, regulatory licenses, scale, and specialty capabilities. Those strengths support but do not guarantee the preferred claim.

Munger risk inversion

The income thesis can fail through skipped non-cumulative dividends, bank credit losses, funding pressure, regulatory capital restrictions, higher rates, a wider required yield, weak liquidity, or a future call at $25 after the first call date.

Management

Management and the board allocate capital and decide whether to authorize dividends. The Series E terms restrict some junior-security dividends and repurchases after a missed preferred dividend, but holders generally lack ordinary voting control.

Industry trend

Banks remain central to deposits, payments, lending, and treasury services, but the security faces an enduring mix of rate volatility, deposit competition, credit cycles, regulatory scrutiny, and digital disruption.

Valuation and margin of safety

The sensible reference is not a common-stock P/E. Margin of safety depends on the current price relative to $25 liquidation preference, the 6.625% fixed dividend through March 2031, issuer credit strength, the 2031 reset spread, and the chance of a $25 call after that date.

Source-backed data

FCNCN Data Table

Every metric below includes a source and last verification date.

MetricValueSourceLast verified
Security type and listingDepositary shares, each representing a 1/40 interest in a 6.625% non-cumulative perpetual preferred share, Series E; listed as FCNCN on Nasdaq Global Select MarketFirst Citizens Q1 2026 Form 10-QAugust 2, 2026
Issue size and liquidation preference16.00 million depositary shares issued February 5, 2026 for $400 million; $25 liquidation preference per depositary shareFirst Citizens February 2026 Form 8-KAugust 2, 2026
Indicated issue value check$397.12 million from $24.82 multiplied by 16.00 million shares, matching Benzinga reported market cap of $399.04 million within 0.5%; local financial_rigor.py calculationBenzinga quote and First Citizens Form 8-KAugust 2, 2026
Dividend and reset terms6.625% non-cumulative fixed rate through March 15, 2031, then five-year Treasury rate plus 2.830%; quarterly payments on the 15th of March, June, September, and December, payable only when authorized and declaredFirst Citizens February 2026 Form 8-KAugust 2, 2026
Maturity, redemption, and rankingNo maturity; issuer may redeem at $25 on dividend dates on or after March 15, 2031, subject to required approval; senior to common stock and pari passu with stated preferred seriesFirst Citizens February 2026 Form 8-KAugust 2, 2026
Issuer FY2025 profitabilityFY2025 net income of $2.206 billion and net income available to common stockholders of $2.149 billion, or $165.24 diluted earnings per common shareFirst Citizens 2025 Form 10-KAugust 2, 2026
Issuer Q2 2026 resultsQ2 2026 net income of $672 million, net income available to common stockholders of $640 million or $55.52 per share, CET1 of 10.77%, and a benefit for credit losses of $10 millionFirst Citizens Q2 2026 earnings releaseAugust 2, 2026
Last close, after-hours, and 52-week range$24.82 close and $24.94 after-hours on July 31, 2026, with a 52-week range of $23.74 to $25.64, RSI near 42, and about 51,000 shares tradedBenzinga FCNCN quote pageAugust 2, 2026
Yield cross-checkIndicated annual distribution of $1.65625 per depositary share implies about 6.67% at the $24.82 close; Benzinga and TradingView show 6.65% to 6.67%Benzinga and TradingView FCNCN pagesAugust 2, 2026

Frequently Asked Questions

This page is an informational research tool, not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell FCNCN. Its forecast scenarios use available data and assumptions that may be wrong. FCNCN dividends are non-cumulative and require authorization, the security has no maturity date, and market prices can change quickly. Verify current information and consider professional advice before acting.