Bullish case
$155 to $185
More likely if CIGI demonstrates sustained revenue growth, normalized earnings above $6.50 per share, expanding margins, and the market awards a forward earnings multiple near 22x on improved visibility.
Colliers International Group Inc. research snapshot
CIGI AI Stock Analysis
CIGI AI stock analysis currently reads Colliers International Group Inc. as a high-quality, global commercial real estate services and investment management platform with strong brand recognition and recurring outsourcing revenue. The analysis is not a certain price prediction. At the July 12, 2026 cutoff, the latest verified close used here was $97.64 (July 10, 2026), market capitalization was about $4.99 billion, and the stock was down roughly 43% from its 52-week high of $171.51. The main question is whether the forward earnings recovery implied by the 13.1x forward PE can materialize as leasing, capital markets, and investment management activity rebound, while the business navigates office-sector headwinds, leverage, and a TTM GAAP PE above 59x due to recent earnings weakness. This is informational research and not investment advice.
Current price
$97.64
Market cap
$4.99 billion
AI score
65 / 100
Rating
Quality CRE services platform, cyclical earnings headwind
Trend status
Down sharply from 52-week highs, near the low end of range
Data cutoff (updated weekly)
July 12, 2026
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
Research quality check
- information Richness
- B-level information richness. CIGI is a NASDAQ-listed Canadian company with SEC filings, active analyst coverage, and public financial data, but the transition to a three-engine services and investment model and the GAAP earnings volatility reduce comparability.
- bias Check
- The main AI bias risk is over-weighting the 52-week price decline as a value signal without fully accounting for the cyclical earnings drag and balance sheet leverage. This page separates filing-backed facts from scenario judgments and asks why a disciplined investor might wait for earnings visibility.
- ai Confidence
- Medium-high data confidence
- investment Certainty
- Medium-low. CIGI is a well-run business with a good long-term track record, but the current earnings trough, the 60x TTM PE, and the debt load create uncertainty about near-term returns.
Quick verdict table
| Dimension | Conclusion | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Business quality | Colliers earns revenue from real estate services brokerage, outsourcing and advisory, engineering and project management, and investment management, with an asset-light model and recurring outsourcing base. | High |
| Moat | The moat comes from the Colliers brand, global scale across 60+ countries, long client relationships, proprietary data and research, and increasing penetration of higher-margin investment management and engineering services. | Medium-high |
| Management | Founder-led by Jay S. Hennick since the 1990s, with a strong acquisition track record and capital allocation discipline. The management team has built Colliers from a regional player into a global top-three CRE services firm. | Medium-high |
| Financial trend | FY2025 revenue was about $5.66 billion and net income was about $104.9 million. Q1 2026 revenue was about $1.31 billion with net income of $46.9 million, but recent quarters included non-recurring charges. TTM EPS is $1.63. | Medium |
| Valuation | The stock trades at roughly 59.9x TTM GAAP earnings, 0.87x sales, 3.30x book value, and 21.7x TTM P/FCF. The forward PE is about 13.1x, implying a sharp earnings recovery is priced in. | Medium |
| Technical trend | CIGI is near its 52-week low and well below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages after a steep decline from the October 2025 all-time high of $171.51. The near-term trend is bearish. | Medium |
| Risk level | Key risks are commercial real estate cycle exposure, transaction revenue volatility, office market weakness, debt leverage at 94% debt/equity, competition from CBRE and JLL, and key-person risk around founder CEO Jay Hennick. | Medium-high |
| AI confidence | High confidence for the business map, filings, market cap math, and major risk categories. Lower confidence for the timing of earnings recovery and the forward multiple assumptions. | High data confidence |
| Investment certainty | Medium-low certainty. CIGI has a high-quality business model, but the TTM earnings trough and the 43% drawdown from highs suggest the market is pricing in significant uncertainty about the recovery path. | Medium-low |
CIGI AI stock forecast
CIGI AI Stock Forecast Scenarios
The CIGI AI stock forecast uses scenario ranges around the $97.64 cutoff price. It does not claim that AI can predict a specific future price. The bullish case requires a decisive earnings recovery, margin expansion from investment management and engineering, and a return to a mid-to-high teen earnings multiple. The base case assumes gradual normalization. The bearish case assumes continued cyclical headwinds or multiple compression.
Base case
$110 to $140
More likely if earnings recover gradually to the $5.00 to $6.00 range over two to three years and the stock trades near a 16-18x forward multiple in line with historical averages.
Bearish case
$70 to $90
More likely if commercial real estate activity remains sluggish, office demand weakens further, leverage remains elevated, or the market assigns a low-teens multiple to depressed earnings.
CIGI AI technical analysis
CIGI AI Technical Analysis
CIGI AI technical analysis starts from the $97.64 July 10, 2026 close used for this July 12 static page. The stock is significantly below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages after a steep decline from the $171.51 all-time high set in October 2025. Because this page does not fetch request-time market data, traders should confirm levels on a live chart before acting.
| Level | Value | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Current price | $97.64 | Latest verified close used for this page as of the July 10, 2026 data snapshot and the July 12, 2026 page cutoff. |
| Near support | $88.38 to $92.00 | The 52-week low area. This is the last technical support before price discovery lower. Volume patterns near this zone are worth monitoring. |
| Secondary support | About $80.00 to $85.00 | A psychological and potential round-number support zone below the current 52-week range. |
| Near resistance | $105.00 to $115.00 | The recent trading range ceilings where selling pressure has emerged. A break above $115 would improve near-term momentum. |
| 50-day moving average | Approximately $118.00 to $125.00 | CIGI was trading well below its 50-day moving average around the cutoff. A reclaim of this level would be the first bullish signal. |
| 200-day moving average | Approximately $140.00 to $150.00 | The stock was deeply below the 200-day moving average, reflecting a sustained downtrend. |
| Momentum | RSI near 35-40, bearish oscillators | RSI was in neutral-to-bearish territory. MACD and other momentum oscillators were negative, reflecting the persistent downtrend. |
| Volume | Approximately 176,000 to 255,000 shares daily | Volume is moderate for a small/mid-cap stock. Above-average volume on up days would support a reversal thesis. |
| Volatility | ATR 14 around $4.00 to $5.00 | Position sizing should allow for normal daily movement around the cutoff price. |
| Invalidation | Close below $88.38 (52-week low) | A decisive break below the 52-week low would signal that the downtrend is accelerating. Conversely, a sustained move above $125 would suggest the trend is turning. |
CIGI AI trading strategy
CIGI AI Trading Strategy Framework
The CIGI AI trading strategy is a rules-based framework, not personalized advice. It combines filing-backed business evidence, technical confirmation, position sizing, and clear invalidation levels.
Trend-following setup
Given the strong downtrend, a trend-following approach would wait for CIGI to reclaim the 50-day moving average area near $118 to $125 and confirm a higher low pattern before treating the trend as potentially reversed.
A failed breakout or daily close below $88.38 should keep the trend-following setup on the sidelines.
Mean-reversion setup
If CIGI pulls back toward the $88 to $92 support zone with declining downside volume and signs of earnings stabilization, a carefully sized mean-reversion trade could be considered by traders who can tolerate the cyclical risk.
Do not average down solely because CIGI is a high-quality business. Define maximum loss per trade and monitor leverage and earnings data closely.
Fundamental monitor
Track Q2 2026 earnings on July 30, 2026, revenue growth by segment, net income recovery, debt reduction progress, investment management AUM trends, and leasing and capital markets activity.
Lower conviction if GAAP losses continue while the stock already trades above its forward normalized earnings power.
Investment research summary
Four-master Research Compression
Business essence
Colliers turns real estate expertise into fee income through brokerage, outsourcing and advisory, engineering and project management, and investment management services for corporate and institutional clients.
Moat
The moat is built on the Colliers brand, a global network across more than 60 countries, long-standing client relationships, proprietary data, and a growing investment management platform with cycle-tested expertise.
Munger risk inversion
The thesis can fail if commercial real estate transactions remain depressed, office vacancy worsens, the investment management business suffers outflows, leverage becomes a constraint, or competition from larger players like CBRE and JLL intensifies.
Management
Founder and Chairman Jay S. Hennick has led Colliers through decades of disciplined acquisition-driven growth. The leadership team has a strong track record of capital allocation and building the platform through both organic and M&A strategies.
Industry trend
Colliers operates across real estate services, engineering, and investment management. The long-term trend benefits from urbanization, institutional allocation to real estate, and infrastructure investment, but the near-term cycle faces headwinds from interest rates and office market uncertainty.
Valuation and margin of safety
At roughly 59.9x TTM GAAP earnings but 13.1x forward earnings, the stock prices in a significant earnings recovery. A margin of safety would require either confirmed earnings normalization or a better entry price.
Source-backed data
CIGI Data Table
Every metric below includes a source and last verification date.
| Metric | Value | Source | Last verified |
|---|---|---|---|
| CIGI price | $97.64 close on July 10, 2026 | Yahoo Finance and TradingView | July 12, 2026 |
| Market capitalization | $4.99 billion, verified as $97.64 x 51.1 million shares | financial_rigor.py market cap verification and Yahoo Finance | July 12, 2026 |
| Shares outstanding | 51.1 million (diluted) | Yahoo Finance and TradingView | July 12, 2026 |
| Enterprise value | $7.42 billion | Yahoo Finance | July 12, 2026 |
| FY2025 revenue | $5.66 billion | TradingView fundamentals | July 12, 2026 |
| FY2025 net income | $104.9 million | TradingView fundamentals | July 12, 2026 |
| TTM revenue | $5.73 billion | Yahoo Finance | July 12, 2026 |
| TTM GAAP net income | $83.33 million | Yahoo Finance | July 12, 2026 |
| TTM GAAP EPS | $1.63 | Yahoo Finance and TradingView | July 12, 2026 |
| Forward PE | 13.1x | Yahoo Finance | July 12, 2026 |
| Q1 2026 revenue | $1.31 billion | Yahoo Finance earnings data | July 12, 2026 |
| Q1 2026 net income | $46.91 million | Yahoo Finance earnings data | July 12, 2026 |
| Cash and cash equivalents | $260.07 million | Yahoo Finance balance sheet | July 12, 2026 |
| Debt/Equity ratio | 94.23% | Yahoo Finance | July 12, 2026 |
| Levered free cash flow (TTM) | $230.13 million | Yahoo Finance | July 12, 2026 |
| Book value per share | Approximately $29.59 | Calculated from Price/Book of 3.30x and share price of $97.64 | July 12, 2026 |
| EBITDA (TTM) | Approximately $668 million | TradingView fundamentals | July 12, 2026 |
| EV/EBITDA | 11.35x | Yahoo Finance | July 12, 2026 |
| Valuation math | 59.90x TTM PE, 13.10x forward PE, 0.87x PS, 3.30x PB, 21.70x TTM P/FCF from financial_rigor.py | financial_rigor.py valuation verification | July 12, 2026 |
| Analyst price target | $147.00 average (range $109 to $173) | Yahoo Finance and TradingView analyst consensus | July 12, 2026 |
Frequently Asked Questions
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This CIGI AI stock analysis is an informational tool for research and education only. It is not investment advice, a recommendation, or a guarantee of future performance. Forecast ranges are scenarios based on available data as of July 12, 2026 and can be wrong.
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