Bullish case
$5 to $6
More likely if EPS compounds near 14%, recurring profitability improves, credit costs stay contained, customer and fee activity grow, capital remains resilient, the real is supportive, and investors pay about 9x earnings.
Banco Bradesco S.A. research snapshot
BBDO AI stock analysis currently views Banco Bradesco as a large Brazilian financial-services group that earns from deposits, lending, cards, payments, insurance, wealth, investment products, and corporate banking. BBDO is the NYSE-listed 1:1 common-share ADR, while BBD is the preferred-share ADR. At the July 11, 2026 data cutoff, the latest independently available BBDO quote was $2.98 on July 7, with reported market capitalization of $31.55 billion. The AI score reflects Bradesco’s scale, regulatory franchise, and reported profit recovery, while recognizing credit-cycle, interest-rate, real-dollar, competition, and execution risk. The BBDO AI stock forecast is scenario-based, not a price promise. This page is an informational research tool and not investment advice.
Current price
$2.98 July 7 NYSE common ADR quote
Market cap
$31.55 billion reported market capitalization
AI score
61 / 100
Rating
Established Brazilian banking franchise with improving reported profitability, balanced against credit, rate, currency, regulatory, and execution risk
Trend status
Neutral technical trend below the latest reported 50-day and 200-day moving averages
Data cutoff (updated weekly)
July 11, 2026
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
| Dimension | Conclusion | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Business quality | Bradesco earns from retail and commercial banking, consumer finance, cards and payments, insurance, pensions, capitalization products, investments, asset management, cash management, and wholesale banking. Diversification supports cross-sell but the business remains credit and rate-cycle sensitive. | High |
| Moat | Banking licenses, a long-established brand, deposits, distribution, transaction data, risk systems, payments infrastructure, insurance relationships, and scale form the moat. Incumbent banks, digital banks, fintechs, and price-sensitive consumers limit pricing power. | Medium-high |
| Management | Management is pursuing profitability recovery through customer focus, technology, efficiency, and risk discipline. The investment case depends on whether this execution improves returns without relaxing underwriting or capital discipline. | Medium |
| Financial trend | FY2025 IFRS net income was R$23.925 billion versus R$17.542 billion in FY2024. Bradesco reported R$6.811 billion recurring net income and 15.8% ROAE in 1Q26, extending the reported profit-recovery trend. | High |
| Valuation | Using the $2.98 July 7 BBDO quote, $0.42 trailing EPS, $3.26 book value per ADR, and $0.017 annual dividend, financial_rigor.py calculates 7.10x PE, 0.91x PB, and a 0.57% dividend yield. Bank free cash flow is not a reliable industrial-style valuation input. | High |
| Technical trend | The latest available technical snapshot placed BBDO at $2.98, below the 50-day average of $3.14 and 200-day average of $3.18. This is neutral to cautious rather than a confirmed uptrend. | Medium |
| Risk level | Risk is elevated by Brazilian rates and inflation, consumer and corporate credit losses, provisioning, funding, regulation, currency translation, capital, competition, and changes in investor risk appetite for emerging-market financials. | High |
| AI confidence | Historical filings and calculation inputs are well documented. Forecast confidence is lower because AI cannot know future credit costs, policy, currency moves, results, or valuation multiples. | High data confidence |
| Investment certainty | BBDO is not an automatic buy at this price. A stronger case needs evidence that recurring returns, credit quality, capital, and earnings conversion keep improving while the ADR repairs its technical trend. | Medium-low |
BBDO AI stock forecast
The BBDO AI stock forecast uses the July 7, 2026 ADR quote of $2.98, trailing EPS of $0.42, and a three-year scenario calculation audited with financial_rigor.py. It produces bearish, base, and bullish values near $2.1, $4.1, and $5.6 before dividends. These ranges are not price promises.
$5 to $6
More likely if EPS compounds near 14%, recurring profitability improves, credit costs stay contained, customer and fee activity grow, capital remains resilient, the real is supportive, and investors pay about 9x earnings.
$4 to $4.5
More likely if EPS grows near 8%, credit expansion stays selective, returns improve gradually, funding and capital remain stable, and the ADR is valued near 7.7x earnings.
$2 to $2.5
More likely if delinquencies and provisions rise, margins or fees weaken, macro conditions deteriorate, the real depreciates, capital pressure increases, or the multiple falls toward 5.5x earnings.
BBDO AI technical analysis
BBDO AI technical analysis is neutral to cautious at the July 11, 2026 data cutoff. ChartExchange reported a $2.98 quote on July 7, a $3.14 50-day moving average, a $3.18 200-day moving average, 156,134 daily shares traded, and 76,276 average 30-day volume. These are dated inputs and should be refreshed before trading.
| Level | Value | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Current price | $2.98 | NYSE common ADR quote on July 7, 2026, used as the stated valuation reference. |
| Immediate support | $2.90 to $3.00 | This is the nearby price area around the latest reported quote, not a guarantee of demand. |
| Deeper support | $2.37 | Reported 52-week low in the latest independent technical snapshot. It is a major risk reference, not a forecast. |
| Near resistance | $3.14 | Latest reported 50-day moving average. A sustained reclaim with volume would improve the short-term trend. |
| Higher resistance | $3.18 to $3.80 | Latest reported 200-day moving average and 52-week high zone. Treat this as a reference area, not a target. |
| Moving averages | 50-day $3.14; 200-day $3.18 | The July 7 quote was below both averages. Refresh the chart before relying on this condition. |
| Momentum and volume | Daily volume 156,134; 30-day average 76,276 | Volume was above the reported 30-day average on the dated snapshot. Confirm current relative volume and price behavior around moving averages. |
| Volatility | Monitor results, Brazil rates, credit data, and USD/BRL | The ADR can move sharply when provisioning, policy expectations, earnings, or currency assumptions change. |
| Invalidation | Sustained failure below the $2.90 to $3.00 area | A new low below the latest support area weakens a recovery thesis and requires a fresh chart and fundamental review. |
BBDO AI trading strategy
The BBDO AI trading strategy below is a research framework, not personal advice. It combines price behavior with recurring profit, ROAE, credit costs, delinquencies, provisions, margins, fees, deposits, capital, Brazilian macro data, and the real-dollar exchange rate.
Wait for BBDO to reclaim and hold the $3.14 50-day average, then the $3.18 200-day average, with current volume confirmation and results that support stable credit costs, margins, and return on equity.
A failure back below reclaimed averages, especially alongside weaker credit quality or provisioning, reduces trend confidence. Do not use stale technical inputs.
If the ADR tests the $2.90 to $3.00 area without material deterioration in asset quality, compare updated earnings, book value, dividends, capital, provisions, and Brazil macro conditions with the current price.
A lower price is not automatically value. Avoid averaging down if credit losses, funding conditions, rate expectations, or the real are deteriorating.
Track recurring net income, ROAE, net interest income, fees, insurance contribution, efficiency, loan growth, NPLs, credit-cost ratio, deposits, capital ratios, dividends, Brazilian rates, inflation, employment, and USD/BRL.
Position sizing should reflect Brazilian banking, currency, common-share rights, and regulatory risk rather than relying on one valuation multiple or dividend yield.
Investment research summary
Customers pay Bradesco to save, borrow, pay, insure, invest, finance purchases, manage cash, and access consumer, business, and wholesale financial services. The group monetizes long-running customer relationships across banking and insurance.
Its moat comes from brand trust, licenses, deposits, distribution, transaction data, payments and risk infrastructure, insurance relationships, and scale. The moat is moderated by Brazilian bank competition, fintech adoption, and customers who can compare products digitally.
The thesis can fail if high rates, inflation, or weak employment produce greater credit losses, provisions rise faster than income, margins compress, funding costs rise, the real weakens, regulation changes, or digital competitors take profitable customers.
Management is pursuing a profitability recovery through customer focus, technology, efficiency, and risk discipline. The key question is whether those actions improve returns while preserving underwriting quality, capital, and customer retention through a volatile macro cycle.
Brazilian digital banking, instant payments, financial inclusion, insurance, wealth services, and formal credit support long-term demand. The sector remains capital intensive, regulated, cyclical, and exposed to rates, inflation, employment, government policy, and fintech competition.
A sub-book valuation and a single-digit PE can offer a margin of safety only if earnings, credit quality, capital, and dividend capacity remain durable. The BBDO market-cap check has a 0.17% difference, but investors should refresh price and market-cap inputs together before acting.
Source-backed data
Every metric below includes a source and last verification date.
| Metric | Value | Source | Last verified |
|---|---|---|---|
| BBDO common ADR identity and rights | BBDO is Bradesco’s NYSE common-share ADR with a 1:1 ordinary-share to ADR ratio. Common shares have voting rights and 100% tag-along rights; Bradesco states that preferred shares receive dividends 10% higher than common shares. | Banco Bradesco investor relations; Citi Depositary Receipt Services | July 11, 2026 |
| BBDO ADR quote, shares, and market capitalization | $2.98 July 7, 2026 quote, 10.571 billion shares outstanding, and $31.554 billion reported market cap. financial_rigor.py calculates $31.50 billion from these dated inputs, a 0.17% difference. | ChartExchange BBDO summary; Pineify financial_rigor.py | July 11, 2026 |
| FY2025 IFRS income, assets, and equity | R$23.925 billion IFRS net income and R$2.330 trillion total assets. Yahoo Finance reports R$23.673 billion net income and R$2.330 trillion total assets in BRL, a 0.53% and 0.01% difference respectively. Company IFRS income is used. | Banco Bradesco 2025 IFRS 6-K; Yahoo Finance financials | July 11, 2026 |
| Cash and funding context | The IFRS statement lists R$137.031 billion cash and balances with banks. Webull lists R$137.740 billion cash and due from banks, a 0.26% difference. This is not treated as industrial net cash because bank liquidity requires deposits, securities, funding, and regulatory-liquidity context. | Banco Bradesco 2025 IFRS 6-K; Webull BBDO balance sheet | July 11, 2026 |
| 1Q26 recurring profitability | R$6.811 billion recurring net income, up 16.1% year over year, with 15.8% ROAE. This is a managerial metric and should not be substituted for IFRS net income without noting the definition. | Banco Bradesco press release | July 11, 2026 |
| Valuation and technical snapshot | 7.10x PE, 0.91x PB, and 0.57% dividend yield from stated ADR inputs. The July 7 snapshot also reported $3.14 50-day and $3.18 200-day moving averages, a $2.37 52-week low, a $3.80 52-week high, and 76,276 average 30-day volume. | ChartExchange BBDO summary; Pineify financial_rigor.py | July 11, 2026 |
This BBDO AI stock analysis is an informational research tool only. It is not investment advice, a recommendation, or a guarantee of future performance. Forecast scenarios are based on available filings, market data, and assumptions as of the stated cutoff date and may be wrong.
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