Associated Banc-Corp research snapshot

ASB AI Stock Analysis

ASB AI stock analysis currently reads Associated Banc-Corp as a well-established regional bank holding company based in Green Bay, Wisconsin, with a diversified lending and deposit franchise across the Midwest. At the July 12, 2026 cutoff, the latest verified close used here was about $30.60, market capitalization was approximately $5.08 billion. The main question for ASB is whether net interest income, credit quality, and fee income can sustain earnings growth as the bank navigates the current interest-rate environment and commercial real estate exposure. This is informational research and not investment advice.

Current price

$30.60

Market cap

$5.08 billion

AI score

64 / 100

Rating

Fair business, fair valuation

Trend status

Long-term uptrend with moderate momentum, trading below all-time high

Data cutoff (updated weekly)

July 12, 2026

Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.

Research quality check

information Richness
B-level information richness. ASB has regular SEC filings as a public bank holding company, active analyst coverage, and transparent financial disclosures. Some segment-level and credit quality detail requires examination of quarterly filings.
bias Check
The main AI bias risk is that limited sell-side coverage for mid-cap regional banks may cause AI to rely on historical trends rather than nuanced credit cycle signals. This page separates filing-backed facts from scenario judgments.
ai Confidence
Medium-high data confidence
investment Certainty
Medium. ASB has a durable deposit base and recurring lending business, but the investment outcome depends on net interest margin trends, credit losses through the economic cycle, and the trajectory of commercial real estate exposure.

Quick verdict table

DimensionConclusionConfidence
Business qualityASB operates a traditional relationship-based regional bank with commercial lending, community banking, consumer deposits, and wealth management services. Revenue is driven by net interest income supplemented by non-interest fee income.High
MoatThe moat comes from local market relationships, a stable low-cost deposit base, multi-state branching network across Wisconsin, Illinois, Minnesota, and Michigan, and long-standing customer relationships that create moderate switching costs.Medium
ManagementCEO Andrew J. Harmening and the executive team have managed ASB through the post-pandemic banking environment, rising interest rates, and CRE cycle concerns. Capital allocation between lending, dividends, buybacks, and balance-sheet management is key.Medium
Financial trendFY2025 revenue was about $1.49 billion with net income of approximately $472.5 million. The bank has shown steady earnings growth driven by net interest income expansion, though fee income volatility and credit costs are monitored.High
ValuationThe stock traded near 10.6x TTM earnings and offered a 3.14% dividend yield at the cutoff. The PE is below the broader market and reasonable for a regional bank, but credit cycle risks limit multiple expansion potential.Medium
Technical trendASB traded above its 20-day, 50-day, and 200-day moving averages with RSI near 59, indicating a moderately trending uptrend. The stock is below its all-time high of $35.46, suggesting potential resistance overhead.Medium-high
Risk levelKey risks include net interest margin compression in a falling-rate environment, commercial real estate credit losses, potential recession impacts on loan growth, regulatory changes, and competition from larger banks.Medium-high
AI confidenceMedium-high confidence for the business map, SEC filing data, market cap math, and major risk categories. Lower confidence for near-term price direction and credit-cycle assumptions.Medium-high data confidence
Investment certaintyMedium certainty. ASB has a stable deposit-based lending business with a regular dividend, but the regional banking sector faces credit cycle and interest-rate risks that limit high-conviction price forecasts.Medium

ASB AI stock forecast

ASB AI Stock Forecast Scenarios

The ASB AI stock forecast uses scenario ranges around the $30.60 cutoff price. It does not claim that AI can predict a specific future price. The bullish case requires solid loan growth, stable net interest margins, low credit losses, and successful fee income expansion. The base case assumes ASB compounds earnings at a mid-single-digit pace with a stable PE near 11x. The bearish case assumes CRE losses, net interest margin compression, or economic recession.

Bullish case

$43 to $50

More likely if loan growth accelerates, credit quality stays strong, net interest margins stabilize, fee income grows, and the market values ASB near 12x to 13x forward earnings.

Base case

$34 to $39

More likely if earnings grow at a mid-single-digit rate, net interest income remains stable, credit costs stay moderate, and the stock trades near 10x to 11x earnings.

Bearish case

$22 to $25

More likely if an economic downturn increases CRE credit losses, net interest margins compress, loan demand weakens, and the market values ASB near 7x to 8x earnings.

ASB AI technical analysis

ASB AI Technical Analysis

ASB AI technical analysis starts from the approximately $30.60 reference price used for this July 12 static page. Public technical sources showed the stock above its 20-day, 50-day, and 200-day moving averages, with RSI near 59 and ADX near 31 indicating a trending uptrend. The all-time high of $35.46 from 2007 acts as a major resistance reference. Because this page does not fetch request-time market data, traders should confirm levels on a live chart before acting.

LevelValueWhy it matters
Current price$30.60Reference price used as of the July 12, 2026 data cutoff.
Near support$28.50 to $29.50Support zone around the 20-day and 50-day moving-average area reported by public technical sources.
Secondary support$26.50 to $27.50The 100-day moving average zone. A sustained break below this range would weaken the medium-term technical setup.
Key support$25.00 to $26.00The 200-day moving average zone. This is a critical long-term support level.
Near resistance$32.00 to $33.00Near-term resistance above the current price. A breakout above this range would need volume confirmation.
All-time high resistance$35.46The February 2007 all-time high. This is a major resistance level would require strong fundamentals and volume to test.
20-day moving averageAbout $30.15Barchart data showed ASB trading above the 20-day moving average at the cutoff.
50-day moving averageAbout $28.81Barchart data showed ASB trading above the 50-day moving average at the cutoff.
200-day moving averageAbout $26.92Barchart data showed ASB trading comfortably above the 200-day moving average, suggesting a long-term uptrend.
MomentumRSI near 59, ADX near 31RSI was moderate at about 59. ADX above 25 indicates a trending market, currently in an uptrend with +DI above -DI.
VolumeAbout 2.1 to 2.5 million shares dailyAverage daily volume was solid for a mid-cap regional bank. Breakout or breakdown moves should be confirmed by volume expansion.
VolatilityATR 14 near $0.66 (2.14%)Position sizing should allow for normal daily movement around the reference price.
InvalidationClose below $28.50, then $26.50A close below the $28.50 near-support area weakens the near-term setup. A sustained break below $26.50 (100-day MA zone) would challenge the medium trend.

ASB AI trading strategy

ASB AI Trading Strategy Framework

The ASB AI trading strategy is a rules-based framework, not personalized advice. It combines regional banking fundamentals, technical confirmation, position sizing, and clear invalidation levels.

Trend-following setup

Look for ASB to hold above the $28.50 to $29.50 support zone and break above $32.00 to $33.00 with improving volume before treating momentum as confirmed. Monitor net interest margin trends and loan growth data.

A failed breakout or daily close below the $28.50 support area should reduce confidence in the setup. Position size should account for the stocks low beta of 0.64.

Mean-reversion setup

If ASB pulls back toward $28.50 without a thesis break, compare price stabilization with net interest margin trends, credit quality data, upcoming earnings results, and broader regional banking sentiment.

Do not average down solely because ASB is a stable bank. Define maximum loss and review CRE exposure and interest-rate positioning first.

Fundamental monitor

Track quarterly net interest income, net interest margin, loan loss provisions, non-performing asset ratios, CRE exposure, fee income composition, deposit growth, and tangible book value per share.

Lower the rating if credit losses rise meaningfully, net interest margin compresses sharply, or the stock trades below tangible book value for an extended period.

Investment research summary

Four-master Research Compression

Business essence

ASB takes deposits and makes loans across the Midwest, generating net interest income and fee revenue from commercial, consumer, and wealth management services. The model depends on credit quality, interest-rate management, and the health of the regional economy.

Moat

The moat comes from local market relationships, a stable low-cost deposit base built over decades, and a multi-state branching network. Regional banks like ASB have moderate switching costs for customers, though large national banks compete aggressively on products and technology.

Munger risk inversion

The thesis can fail if CRE credit losses spike during an economic downturn, net interest margins compress due to falling rates or deposit competition, loan demand weakens, regulatory costs increase, or management misallocates capital during a downturn.

Management

CEO Andrew J. Harmening and the executive team have navigated ASB through the post-pandemic interest-rate cycle and regulatory environment. Capital allocation between organic lending, dividends, and strategic investments is central to long-term value creation.

Industry trend

Regional banking is a mature but essential industry. Key trends include consolidation among mid-sized banks, technology-driven efficiency improvements, the impact of interest-rate cycles on net interest margins, and regulatory scrutiny of CRE exposure.

Valuation and margin of safety

At roughly 10.6x TTM earnings and a 3.14% dividend yield, the valuation is reasonable for a regional bank but offers limited margin of safety if credit losses rise. A fair entry depends on interest-rate visibility, credit cycle position, and earnings stability.

Source-backed data

ASB Data Table

Every metric below includes a source and last verification date.

MetricValueSourceLast verified
ASB price$30.60 reference price around July 12, 2026TradingView quote snapshotJuly 12, 2026
Market capitalization$5.08 billionTradingView market cap dataJuly 12, 2026
TTM revenue (FY2025)Approximately $1.49 billionTradingView financials overviewJuly 12, 2026
TTM net income (FY2025)Approximately $472.5 millionTradingView financials overviewJuly 12, 2026
Basic EPS (TTM)$2.90TradingView key statisticsJuly 12, 2026
PE ratio (TTM)10.57TradingView key statisticsJuly 12, 2026
Dividend yield (indicated)3.14% (quarterly $0.24 per share)TradingView dividend dataJuly 12, 2026
Stock price performanceYTD +18.88%, 1-year +20.19%, 5-year +55.25%TradingView performance dataJuly 12, 2026
Moving averages and momentum20-day MA about $30.15, 50-day MA about $28.81, 200-day MA about $26.92, RSI 14 near 59, ADX 14 near 31Barchart technical analysisJuly 12, 2026
Beta0.64 (1-year)TradingView key statisticsJuly 12, 2026
Shares outstandingApproximately 166 millionTradingView market cap dataJuly 12, 2026

Frequently Asked Questions

This ASB AI stock analysis is an informational tool for research and education only. It is not investment advice, a recommendation, or a guarantee of future performance. Forecast ranges are scenarios based on available data as of July 12, 2026 and can be wrong.