Bullish case
$43 to $50
More likely if loan growth accelerates, credit quality stays strong, net interest margins stabilize, fee income grows, and the market values ASB near 12x to 13x forward earnings.
Associated Banc-Corp research snapshot
ASB AI stock analysis currently reads Associated Banc-Corp as a well-established regional bank holding company based in Green Bay, Wisconsin, with a diversified lending and deposit franchise across the Midwest. At the July 12, 2026 cutoff, the latest verified close used here was about $30.60, market capitalization was approximately $5.08 billion. The main question for ASB is whether net interest income, credit quality, and fee income can sustain earnings growth as the bank navigates the current interest-rate environment and commercial real estate exposure. This is informational research and not investment advice.
Current price
$30.60
Market cap
$5.08 billion
AI score
64 / 100
Rating
Fair business, fair valuation
Trend status
Long-term uptrend with moderate momentum, trading below all-time high
Data cutoff (updated weekly)
July 12, 2026
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
| Dimension | Conclusion | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Business quality | ASB operates a traditional relationship-based regional bank with commercial lending, community banking, consumer deposits, and wealth management services. Revenue is driven by net interest income supplemented by non-interest fee income. | High |
| Moat | The moat comes from local market relationships, a stable low-cost deposit base, multi-state branching network across Wisconsin, Illinois, Minnesota, and Michigan, and long-standing customer relationships that create moderate switching costs. | Medium |
| Management | CEO Andrew J. Harmening and the executive team have managed ASB through the post-pandemic banking environment, rising interest rates, and CRE cycle concerns. Capital allocation between lending, dividends, buybacks, and balance-sheet management is key. | Medium |
| Financial trend | FY2025 revenue was about $1.49 billion with net income of approximately $472.5 million. The bank has shown steady earnings growth driven by net interest income expansion, though fee income volatility and credit costs are monitored. | High |
| Valuation | The stock traded near 10.6x TTM earnings and offered a 3.14% dividend yield at the cutoff. The PE is below the broader market and reasonable for a regional bank, but credit cycle risks limit multiple expansion potential. | Medium |
| Technical trend | ASB traded above its 20-day, 50-day, and 200-day moving averages with RSI near 59, indicating a moderately trending uptrend. The stock is below its all-time high of $35.46, suggesting potential resistance overhead. | Medium-high |
| Risk level | Key risks include net interest margin compression in a falling-rate environment, commercial real estate credit losses, potential recession impacts on loan growth, regulatory changes, and competition from larger banks. | Medium-high |
| AI confidence | Medium-high confidence for the business map, SEC filing data, market cap math, and major risk categories. Lower confidence for near-term price direction and credit-cycle assumptions. | Medium-high data confidence |
| Investment certainty | Medium certainty. ASB has a stable deposit-based lending business with a regular dividend, but the regional banking sector faces credit cycle and interest-rate risks that limit high-conviction price forecasts. | Medium |
ASB AI stock forecast
The ASB AI stock forecast uses scenario ranges around the $30.60 cutoff price. It does not claim that AI can predict a specific future price. The bullish case requires solid loan growth, stable net interest margins, low credit losses, and successful fee income expansion. The base case assumes ASB compounds earnings at a mid-single-digit pace with a stable PE near 11x. The bearish case assumes CRE losses, net interest margin compression, or economic recession.
$43 to $50
More likely if loan growth accelerates, credit quality stays strong, net interest margins stabilize, fee income grows, and the market values ASB near 12x to 13x forward earnings.
$34 to $39
More likely if earnings grow at a mid-single-digit rate, net interest income remains stable, credit costs stay moderate, and the stock trades near 10x to 11x earnings.
$22 to $25
More likely if an economic downturn increases CRE credit losses, net interest margins compress, loan demand weakens, and the market values ASB near 7x to 8x earnings.
ASB AI technical analysis
ASB AI technical analysis starts from the approximately $30.60 reference price used for this July 12 static page. Public technical sources showed the stock above its 20-day, 50-day, and 200-day moving averages, with RSI near 59 and ADX near 31 indicating a trending uptrend. The all-time high of $35.46 from 2007 acts as a major resistance reference. Because this page does not fetch request-time market data, traders should confirm levels on a live chart before acting.
| Level | Value | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Current price | $30.60 | Reference price used as of the July 12, 2026 data cutoff. |
| Near support | $28.50 to $29.50 | Support zone around the 20-day and 50-day moving-average area reported by public technical sources. |
| Secondary support | $26.50 to $27.50 | The 100-day moving average zone. A sustained break below this range would weaken the medium-term technical setup. |
| Key support | $25.00 to $26.00 | The 200-day moving average zone. This is a critical long-term support level. |
| Near resistance | $32.00 to $33.00 | Near-term resistance above the current price. A breakout above this range would need volume confirmation. |
| All-time high resistance | $35.46 | The February 2007 all-time high. This is a major resistance level would require strong fundamentals and volume to test. |
| 20-day moving average | About $30.15 | Barchart data showed ASB trading above the 20-day moving average at the cutoff. |
| 50-day moving average | About $28.81 | Barchart data showed ASB trading above the 50-day moving average at the cutoff. |
| 200-day moving average | About $26.92 | Barchart data showed ASB trading comfortably above the 200-day moving average, suggesting a long-term uptrend. |
| Momentum | RSI near 59, ADX near 31 | RSI was moderate at about 59. ADX above 25 indicates a trending market, currently in an uptrend with +DI above -DI. |
| Volume | About 2.1 to 2.5 million shares daily | Average daily volume was solid for a mid-cap regional bank. Breakout or breakdown moves should be confirmed by volume expansion. |
| Volatility | ATR 14 near $0.66 (2.14%) | Position sizing should allow for normal daily movement around the reference price. |
| Invalidation | Close below $28.50, then $26.50 | A close below the $28.50 near-support area weakens the near-term setup. A sustained break below $26.50 (100-day MA zone) would challenge the medium trend. |
ASB AI trading strategy
The ASB AI trading strategy is a rules-based framework, not personalized advice. It combines regional banking fundamentals, technical confirmation, position sizing, and clear invalidation levels.
Look for ASB to hold above the $28.50 to $29.50 support zone and break above $32.00 to $33.00 with improving volume before treating momentum as confirmed. Monitor net interest margin trends and loan growth data.
A failed breakout or daily close below the $28.50 support area should reduce confidence in the setup. Position size should account for the stocks low beta of 0.64.
If ASB pulls back toward $28.50 without a thesis break, compare price stabilization with net interest margin trends, credit quality data, upcoming earnings results, and broader regional banking sentiment.
Do not average down solely because ASB is a stable bank. Define maximum loss and review CRE exposure and interest-rate positioning first.
Track quarterly net interest income, net interest margin, loan loss provisions, non-performing asset ratios, CRE exposure, fee income composition, deposit growth, and tangible book value per share.
Lower the rating if credit losses rise meaningfully, net interest margin compresses sharply, or the stock trades below tangible book value for an extended period.
Investment research summary
ASB takes deposits and makes loans across the Midwest, generating net interest income and fee revenue from commercial, consumer, and wealth management services. The model depends on credit quality, interest-rate management, and the health of the regional economy.
The moat comes from local market relationships, a stable low-cost deposit base built over decades, and a multi-state branching network. Regional banks like ASB have moderate switching costs for customers, though large national banks compete aggressively on products and technology.
The thesis can fail if CRE credit losses spike during an economic downturn, net interest margins compress due to falling rates or deposit competition, loan demand weakens, regulatory costs increase, or management misallocates capital during a downturn.
CEO Andrew J. Harmening and the executive team have navigated ASB through the post-pandemic interest-rate cycle and regulatory environment. Capital allocation between organic lending, dividends, and strategic investments is central to long-term value creation.
Regional banking is a mature but essential industry. Key trends include consolidation among mid-sized banks, technology-driven efficiency improvements, the impact of interest-rate cycles on net interest margins, and regulatory scrutiny of CRE exposure.
At roughly 10.6x TTM earnings and a 3.14% dividend yield, the valuation is reasonable for a regional bank but offers limited margin of safety if credit losses rise. A fair entry depends on interest-rate visibility, credit cycle position, and earnings stability.
Source-backed data
Every metric below includes a source and last verification date.
| Metric | Value | Source | Last verified |
|---|---|---|---|
| ASB price | $30.60 reference price around July 12, 2026 | TradingView quote snapshot | July 12, 2026 |
| Market capitalization | $5.08 billion | TradingView market cap data | July 12, 2026 |
| TTM revenue (FY2025) | Approximately $1.49 billion | TradingView financials overview | July 12, 2026 |
| TTM net income (FY2025) | Approximately $472.5 million | TradingView financials overview | July 12, 2026 |
| Basic EPS (TTM) | $2.90 | TradingView key statistics | July 12, 2026 |
| PE ratio (TTM) | 10.57 | TradingView key statistics | July 12, 2026 |
| Dividend yield (indicated) | 3.14% (quarterly $0.24 per share) | TradingView dividend data | July 12, 2026 |
| Stock price performance | YTD +18.88%, 1-year +20.19%, 5-year +55.25% | TradingView performance data | July 12, 2026 |
| Moving averages and momentum | 20-day MA about $30.15, 50-day MA about $28.81, 200-day MA about $26.92, RSI 14 near 59, ADX 14 near 31 | Barchart technical analysis | July 12, 2026 |
| Beta | 0.64 (1-year) | TradingView key statistics | July 12, 2026 |
| Shares outstanding | Approximately 166 million | TradingView market cap data | July 12, 2026 |
This ASB AI stock analysis is an informational tool for research and education only. It is not investment advice, a recommendation, or a guarantee of future performance. Forecast ranges are scenarios based on available data as of July 12, 2026 and can be wrong.
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