Bullish case
$320 to $345
More likely if Q2 and second-half sales remain up high single digits, organic orders keep growing, the Indicor deal closes on schedule and is accretive, and the market still values AME near 31x forward earnings.
AMETEK, Inc. research snapshot
AME AI Stock Analysis
AME AI stock analysis currently reads AMETEK as a high-quality industrial technology compounder with record Q1 2026 results, raised full-year guidance, record orders and backlog, and a series of acquisitions that expand defense and instrumentation exposure. At the August 2, 2026 cutoff, AME closed at $241.71 on July 31, 2026, with a verified market capitalization near $55.40 billion and a 52-week high of $244.97. The main new risk is the pending all-cash $5.0 billion acquisition of Indicor Instrumentation, which is expected to close in the second half of 2026 and will add roughly $1.1 billion of annual sales, recurring revenue, and integration and debt-financing complexity. This page uses scenario ranges and source checks, not a certain stock price prediction, and is for informational use only.
Current price
$241.71
Market cap
$55.40 billion
AI score
74 / 100
Rating
High-quality industrial technology compounder with strong momentum and larger acquisition risk
Trend status
Uptrend near 52-week highs with supportive moving averages ahead of the August 4 earnings print
Data cutoff (updated monthly)
August 4, 2026
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
Research quality check
- information Richness
- A-level information richness. AMETEK has long public filings, current quarterly releases, segment tables, share count disclosures, a full 10-Q, multiple market data sources, and broad industrial analyst coverage.
- bias Check
- The main AI bias risk is accepting the quality industrial compounder narrative without enough reverse checking. The countercase weighs whether the premium valuation, the ~$5 billion Indicor acquisition, debt-funded financing, tariff costs, integration execution, and goodwill-heavy balance sheet can narrow the margin of safety.
- ai Confidence
- High for FY2025 filings, Q1 2026 results, segment revenue, share count, cash and debt, market cap math, and guidance. Medium for technical levels and forecast ranges because price, earnings revisions, acquisition closing timing, and industrial order momentum can change quickly.
- investment Certainty
- Medium. The business quality is high and disclosure is strong, but investment certainty is below data confidence because the current quote already prices in continued execution, acquisition accretion, and premium returns on capital.
Quick verdict table
| Dimension | Conclusion | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Business quality | AMETEK sells precision instruments, electronic instruments, sensors, test systems, motors, motion control, and engineered components into industrial, aerospace, defense, medical, energy, and automation niches. | High |
| Moat | Moat comes from niche leadership, application know-how, engineered products, switching friction in validated systems, decentralized operating discipline, and acquisition sourcing, but no single product monopoly protects the whole company. | Medium-high |
| Management | CEO David Zapico has extended the AMETEK Growth Model through Operational Excellence, acquisitions, global expansion, and new products, while continuing dividends and buybacks and raising 2026 guidance after a record first quarter. | High |
| Financial trend | Q1 2026 sales rose 11% to $1.928 billion with adjusted EPS up 13% to $1.97, record orders up 23%, and FY2026 adjusted EPS guidance raised to $7.94 to $8.14. FY2025 revenue was $7.401 billion and net income was $1.480 billion. | High |
| Valuation | At $241.71, AME traded near 36.5x trailing EPS, 30.1x the $8.04 midpoint of 2026 adjusted EPS guidance, 37.8x FY2025 EPS, and about 32.5x TTM free cash flow per share. | Medium-high |
| Technical trend | Technical snapshots were constructive near the July 2026 highs, with price above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, a 52-week high of $244.97, and an RSI near 57. | Medium |
| Risk level | Main risks include the large Indicor integration and debt-funded financing, industrial cycle slowdown, acquisition mispricing, tariffs, aerospace and defense order timing, China and Europe demand, goodwill impairment, and multiple compression. | Medium-high |
| AI confidence | High for descriptive facts and audited calculations, medium for forward scenarios and chart levels. | High data confidence |
| Investment certainty | Medium certainty. The page frames scenarios and monitoring rules, not a buy or sell instruction. | Medium |
AME AI stock forecast
AME AI Stock Forecast Scenarios
The AME AI stock forecast uses scenario math around the $241.71 quote and AMETEKs raised 2026 adjusted EPS guidance midpoint of $8.04. The audited three-year framework produced a bearish area near $174, a base area near $268, and a bullish area near $332 before dividends.
Base case
$255 to $278
More likely if AMETEK compounds EPS around mid single digits, keeps adjusted margins high, integrates acquisitions without major disruption, uses free cash flow for buybacks, and investors value the company near 28x earnings.
Bearish case
$168 to $185
More likely if industrial orders slow, tariffs and integration costs pressure margins, the Indicor deal loses value or is delayed, acquisitions fail to earn premium returns, or the stock is repriced closer to 21x earnings.
AME AI technical analysis
AME AI Technical Analysis
AME AI technical analysis is constructive as of the August 2, 2026 data cutoff. The stock closed at $241.71 on July 31, 2026, set a 52-week high of $244.97 during that session, and traded above the 50-day moving average near $233 and the 200-day moving average near $219, with the RSI near 57.
| Level | Value | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Current price | $241.71 | StockAnalysis reported AME closed at $241.71 on July 31, 2026, up 0.71% on the day and about 1.3% below its 52-week high. |
| 52-week high | $244.97 | StockAnalysis listed $244.97 as the 52-week high reached on July 31, 2026, up from the June 2026 peak near $244.71. |
| Near support | $233 | The 50-day moving average was near $233.05, and price has held above it since mid-July. |
| Deeper support | $219 to $225 | The 200-day moving average was near $219.24, and the June to July consolidation floor sat near the $221 to $225 zone. |
| Near resistance | $241 to $245 | The late July rally faced overhead near $241 to $245, capped by the $244.97 52-week high. |
| Momentum | RSI near 57 | StockAnalysis listed the 14-day RSI near 57.23 as of the August 2 cutoff, a neutral-to-positive reading that allows room before overbought levels. |
| Volume | Average volume near 1.0 million shares | StockAnalysis reported 20-day average volume near 1.0 million shares, with July 31 volume near 1.05 million. |
| Volatility | About 1.3% below 52-week high | The short distance from the high means upside follow-through needs volume and confirmation instead of assuming a clean breakout. |
| Invalidation | Close below $233 and then $219 | A decisive close below the 50-day moving average near $233 would weaken the near-term setup, and a break below the 200-day near $219 would raise the risk of a deeper correction. |
AME AI trading strategy
AME AI Trading Strategy Framework
The AME AI trading strategy is a rules-based research framework for monitoring a premium industrial compounder near its highs with an earnings event on August 4, 2026. It is not personal advice and should be paired with fresh chart data, filings, position sizing, and a defined invalidation level.
Trend-following setup
Watch for AME to hold the $233 to $240 support zone after the August 4 earnings print, then reclaim and clear the $244.97 high on volume above average. A confirmed breakout would need Q2 results, order growth, backlog, and guidance quality to back it.
A close back below the 50-day moving average near $233 or a failed breakout after the earnings update should invalidate the near-term trend setup.
Mean-reversion setup
If AME pulls back toward the $219 to $225 area without a negative guidance reset, compare price action with backlog, acquisition contribution, segment margins, and cash conversion before treating the pullback as normal.
Do not average down without a maximum loss rule because high-quality industrials can still re-rate sharply when orders, margins, or acquisition integration disappoint.
Fundamental monitor
Track Q2 2026 results on August 4, organic sales, order growth, record backlog conversion, EIG and EMG margins, the Indicor deal timeline and financing, First Aviation Services contribution, free cash flow, net debt, tariffs, R&D investment, and buyback timing.
Reduce confidence if EPS growth depends mainly on multiple expansion, tax effects, or acquisition accounting while organic orders and cash conversion weaken.
Investment research summary
Four-master Research Compression
Business essence
AMETEK helps industrial and technical customers measure, test, automate, control, and move critical systems. Customers pay because precision, reliability, compliance, and application support are costly to replace once embedded.
Moat
The moat is a portfolio moat rather than one single fortress. Niche leadership, installed equipment, engineered specifications, decentralized execution, scale in procurement, and acquisition discipline create switching friction and margin resilience.
Munger risk inversion
The thesis fails if AMETEK overpays for the ~$5 billion Indicor acquisition, struggles to integrate and finance it, organic orders roll over, tariff costs outrun pricing, high goodwill reduces flexibility, or investors stop paying a premium multiple for steady execution.
Management
Management should be judged by acquisition returns, the Indicor integration and closing timing, segment margin quality, R&D productivity, global expansion, buyback timing, and whether capital allocation protects per-share value over a full industrial cycle.
Industry trend
AMETEK sits inside long-duration demand for automation, aerospace, defense electronics, test and measurement, medical devices, energy infrastructure, and precision manufacturing, but end markets remain cyclical.
Valuation and margin of safety
At roughly 30.1x the 2026 adjusted EPS guidance midpoint, AME requires continued high-quality execution. Margin of safety improves if price revisits support while orders, backlog, margins, and free cash flow remain intact.
Source-backed data
AME Data Table
Every metric below includes a source and last verification date.
| Metric | Value | Source | Last verified |
|---|---|---|---|
| AME price | $241.71 close on July 31, 2026, 52-week high $244.97 | StockAnalysis market data and daily price history | August 2, 2026 |
| Market capitalization | $55.40 billion, verified as $241.71 x 229.203 million shares | financial_rigor.py market cap verification | August 2, 2026 |
| Shares outstanding | 229,203,002 common shares outstanding at April 24, 2026 | AMETEK Q1 2026 Form 10-Q | August 2, 2026 |
| Q1 2026 sales | $1.928 billion, up 11% year over year | AMETEK Q1 2026 results release | August 2, 2026 |
| Q1 2026 adjusted EPS | $1.97, up 13%, with GAAP EPS of $1.74 | AMETEK Q1 2026 results release | August 2, 2026 |
| Q1 2026 segment sales | Electronic Instruments $1.265 billion and Electromechanical $663.9 million, with record orders up 23% and a record backlog | AMETEK Q1 2026 results release | August 2, 2026 |
| FY2025 revenue | $7.401 billion, cross-checked against StockAnalysis and Macrotrends | AMETEK 2025 Form 10-K | August 2, 2026 |
| FY2025 net income | $1.480 billion, cross-checked against StockAnalysis | AMETEK 2025 Form 10-K | August 2, 2026 |
| Cash and debt | $481.25 million cash and about $2.178 billion total debt at March 31, 2026, before the planned Indicor financing | AMETEK Q1 2026 Form 10-Q | August 2, 2026 |
| 2026 adjusted EPS guidance | $7.94 to $8.14 after the Q1 raise, up 7% to 10%, with Q2 2026 guided to $1.96 to $2.00 | AMETEK Q1 2026 results release | August 2, 2026 |
| Indicor Instrumentation acquisition | Definitive agreement to acquire Indicor Instrumentation for about $5.0 billion in cash, adding about $1.1 billion of annual sales and expected to close in the second half of 2026 | AMETEK press release via PR Newswire | August 2, 2026 |
| Three-scenario valuation | financial_rigor.py output: bullish $332, base $268, bearish $174 using $8.04 EPS midpoint | financial_rigor.py three-scenario calculation | August 2, 2026 |
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This AME AI stock analysis page is an informational research tool only. It is not investment advice, a recommendation, or a promise of future return. Forecast scenarios are based on available public data as of August 2, 2026 and can be wrong if AMETEKs fundamentals, the Indicor acquisition, market price, rates, or investor sentiment change.
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