Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc. research snapshot
AIT AI stock analysis currently views Applied Industrial Technologies as a value-added industrial distributor of motion, fluid power, flow control, automation, and MRO products with improving organic demand and disciplined capital returns. Fiscal 2025 sales were $4.563 billion and net income was $393.0 million. Fiscal 2026 third-quarter sales reached $1.251 billion, up 7.3% year over year and up 6.0% organically, while diluted EPS was $2.65. At the July 12, 2026 data cutoff, the July 10 market reference was $331.15, implying about 31.3x TTM EPS of $10.58 and roughly $12.24 billion of market value. This AIT AI stock analysis uses scenarios rather than a certain price prediction and is for informational purposes, not investment advice.
Current price
$331.15 reference close on July 10, 2026
Market cap
$12.24B reported, with $12.239B from $331.15 times 36.96M shares
AI score
68 / 100
Rating
High-quality industrial motion distributor with solid execution, moderate growth, and a valuation that already prices durable compounder status
Trend status
Multi-month advance inside a $238.34 to $345.48 52-week range, with price near the upper half of the band and still needing live chart confirmation
Data cutoff (updated weekly)
July 12, 2026
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
| Dimension | Conclusion | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Business quality | AIT distributes and engineers industrial motion, power transmission, bearings, fluid power, flow control, automation, and related maintenance products for MRO and OEM customers across North America and selected international markets. | High |
| Moat | Local service-center density, technical application expertise, supplier relationships, inventory availability, and switching friction in mission-critical MRO support a moderate moat. The moat is stronger in Engineered Solutions than in commodity product resale. | Medium-high |
| Management | Neil A. Schrimsher has led AIT as CEO since 2011 and as President & CEO since 2013. Capital allocation has mixed buybacks, dividends, bolt-on acquisitions, and balance-sheet flexibility, with notable FY2026 share repurchases. | Medium-high |
| Financial trend | FY2025 revenue was $4.563B and net income was $393.0M. Through nine months of FY2026, sales were $3.614B and net income was $295.9M. Q3 organic growth accelerated to 6.0%, led by Engineered Solutions. | High |
| Valuation | At the July 10 price, exact arithmetic gave about 31.3x TTM EPS, 6.59x book value, and roughly 27.9x free cash flow per share using a $11.88 FCF-per-share input. The multiple requires continued mid-to-high single-digit growth and margin stability. | High |
| Technical trend | The $331.15 July 10 close sat below the $345.48 52-week high and well above the $238.34 low. Momentum has been constructive, but live moving averages, RSI, and volume should be confirmed before treating the trend as actionable. | Medium |
| Risk level | Key risks include industrial demand cycles, tariffs and trade policy, LIFO and inflation effects, acquisition integration, competition from Motion, Grainger, Fastenal, and specialists, customer capital-spending pauses, and multiple compression. | Medium-high |
| AI confidence | Financial facts, share count, and market-cap math are well supported. Confidence is lower for timing a stock return because market expectations can change before reported results do. | High data confidence |
| Investment certainty | AIT has a credible quality and cash-flow case, but valuation and industrial-cycle exposure make the investment case conditional rather than certain. | Medium |
AIT AI stock forecast
The AIT AI stock forecast starts from the $331.15 July 10 reference and a $10.58 TTM EPS input. The audited three-year scenario model produced roughly $225, $373, and $476 per share for bearish, base, and bullish cases using 2%, 8%, and 12% EPS growth with terminal P/E assumptions of 20x, 28x, and 32x. Company FY2026 EPS guidance after Q3 was $10.64 to $10.75. These are sensitivity anchors, not promises or analyst targets.
$450 to $480
More likely if organic growth stays near the high single digits, Engineered Solutions and automation keep outgrowing the core, EBITDA margins hold near the low-12% area, free cash flow funds buybacks and bolt-ons, and investors accept a premium multiple near 32x earnings. The exact model output was about $475.70.
$350 to $380
More likely if AIT compounds EPS near 8% for three years, industrial demand remains constructive but normalizes, pricing offsets inflation and LIFO noise, and investors apply a roughly 28x terminal P/E. The exact model output was about $373.20.
$210 to $230
More likely if U.S. industrial activity slows, tariffs or customer caution cut MRO and project spend, margins compress, acquisition returns disappoint, or investors re-rate the shares toward 20x earnings. The exact model output was about $224.60.
AIT AI technical analysis
AIT AI technical analysis uses the July 10, 2026 $331.15 market reference. The reported 52-week range was $238.34 to $345.48. This static page does not fetch request-time prices, so moving averages, RSI, MACD, and volume must be refreshed in a chart before use.
| Level | Value | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Current price reference | $331.15 | Market close published for July 10, 2026 and used for the valuation and market-cap calculation. |
| Near support | $320 to $325 | Uses recent July trading around the low $320s as a nearby price reference, not a guaranteed floor. |
| Secondary support | $280 to $300 | A lower reference zone that needs validation against the current chart and earnings expectations before use. |
| Near resistance | $340 to $345.48 | The zone into the reported 52-week high is the first overhead confirmation band. |
| Major resistance | $345.48 | The reported 52-week high is the key published overhead reference. |
| Moving averages | Requires live chart confirmation | Confirm current 50-day and 200-day moving averages before acting because this page has no request-time market-data fetch. |
| Momentum | Requires live RSI and MACD confirmation | A constructive multi-month advance alone does not establish a durable entry signal. |
| Volume | Confirm against current 20-day average | A break toward the 52-week high is more informative when volume confirms the move. Average volume has recently been near the mid-200,000 share area. |
| Volatility | $238.34 to $345.48 52-week range | The wide published range shows that industrial-cycle and multiple expectations can move the shares materially. |
| Invalidation | Sustained close below $280 with weaker fundamentals | A break of this zone together with weaker organic growth, margin pressure, or lower guidance would require a new thesis review. |
AIT AI trading strategy
This AIT AI trading strategy is a rules-based research framework, not personalized investment advice. It connects technical confirmation with organic sales trends, segment mix, EBITDA margin, free cash flow, leverage, acquisitions, share repurchases, and the next earnings update.
Wait for a refreshed chart to show price holding above confirmed moving averages or breaking the $345.48 high on above-average volume, while organic growth, Engineered Solutions demand, and full-year guidance remain intact.
A failed breakout, a close below the defined support zone, or a demand and margin setback should reduce confidence. Define position size and an invalidation condition before entry.
If AIT retraces toward $280 to $300 while reported demand, margin, cash flow, and balance-sheet conditions remain sound, compare the lower price with the verified mid-30x earnings multiple before assuming it is cheap.
Do not average down solely because the price falls. A lower quote can reflect a real deterioration in industrial demand, pricing power, acquisition returns, or investor expectations.
Track Service Center and Engineered Solutions organic growth, gross and EBITDA margins, LIFO expense, free cash flow, net debt, acquisition contribution, share-repurchase pace, and the estimated August 14, 2026 fiscal fourth-quarter report window.
Treat major guidance cuts, working-capital reversals, debt-funded overreach, or an industrial-demand slowdown as reasons to reassess the original thesis.
Investment research summary
Customers pay AIT for local availability, technical expertise, and engineered motion, fluid power, flow control, and automation solutions that keep industrial equipment running and help factories modernize processes.
AIT benefits from service-center proximity, application engineering, supplier access, inventory depth, and switching costs in critical MRO and engineered systems. Those advantages are real but not absolute, because broadline and specialist distributors can compete on price, digital tools, and product breadth.
The thesis fails if industrial demand fades, tariffs or customer caution cut MRO and project spend, Engineered Solutions growth stalls, acquisition returns disappoint, inflation and LIFO reverse margins, or a premium valuation falls faster than earnings grow.
Neil A. Schrimsher leads AIT as President and CEO. The central capital-allocation test is whether bolt-on acquisitions, dividends, and large buybacks increase durable per-share free cash flow rather than merely amplify a cyclical industrial peak.
U.S. industrial MRO, factory automation, fluid power, and flow-control demand can support multi-year growth as plants address labor constraints and productivity needs. Near-term results still depend on break-fix activity, customer capital budgets, and trade-policy noise.
The July 10 reference price implied about 31.3x TTM EPS and roughly 27.9x free cash flow per share by exact calculation. A margin of safety depends on earnings compounding and capital returns matching or exceeding what the market already assumes.
Source-backed data
Every metric below includes a source and last verification date.
| Metric | Value | Source | Last verified |
|---|---|---|---|
| July 10 price, shares, market cap, and 52-week range | $331.15 close, 36.96M shares, about $12.24B market cap, $238.34 to $345.48 range | Macrotrends price history, Yahoo Finance, and Morningstar quote data | July 12, 2026 |
| FY2025 revenue and net income | $4.563B revenue and $393.0M net income; diluted EPS $10.12 | Applied Industrial Technologies FY2025 year-end release and Macrotrends | July 12, 2026 |
| FY2025 revenue and net income cross-check | $4.563B revenue and $0.393B net income | Macrotrends AIT revenue and net income pages | July 12, 2026 |
| Q3 FY2026 sales, EPS, and free cash flow | $1.251B sales, $2.65 diluted EPS, $99.8M net income, $95.4M free cash flow | Applied Industrial Technologies Q3 FY2026 earnings release | July 12, 2026 |
| Nine-month FY2026 sales and net income | $3.614B sales and $295.9M net income through March 31, 2026 | Applied Industrial Technologies Q3 FY2026 earnings release | July 12, 2026 |
| Cash, debt, and equity at March 31, 2026 | $171.6M cash, $365.3M total debt, $1.860B shareholders equity | Applied Industrial Technologies Q3 FY2026 balance sheet | July 12, 2026 |
| TTM EPS, revenue, and PE context | TTM EPS $10.58, TTM revenue about $4.84B, trailing PE about 31.3x | Yahoo Finance AIT key statistics and quote pages | July 12, 2026 |
| FY2026 company guidance after Q3 | EPS $10.64 to $10.75, total sales growth +7.2% to +7.7%, organic growth +3.8% to +4.2%, EBITDA margin 12.3% to 12.4% | Applied Industrial Technologies Q3 FY2026 earnings release | July 12, 2026 |
This AIT AI stock analysis page is an informational research tool only and is not investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Forecast scenarios are based on publicly available data as of the stated cutoff and may be incomplete or wrong. Markets, industrial demand, tariffs, acquisition outcomes, and company results can change quickly. Always verify figures with primary filings and consider your own objectives, risk tolerance, and independent research before making investment decisions.
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