YPF technical analysis

YPF Technical Analysis

Analysis date

July 18, 2026

Market

NYSE (USD)

Daily cutoff

July 17, 2026

Reliability

Passed

Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.

Data verification

YPF Data Verification

Cross-validating the latest completed daily bar across independent sources.

Symbol
YPF
Market
NYSE
Currency
USD (US Dollar)
Latest completed bar
July 17, 2026

No adjustment factor (adjusted close equals raw close, factor 1.0). No stock splits or dividend adjustments affecting the analysis period.

SourceLatest CloseDateDifferenceStatus
Yahoo Finance Chart API (primary)45.82July 17, 2026-Verified
Finviz (independent)45.82July 17, 2026 (previous close)0.00%Verified

Bottom line

YPF Technical Analysis Summary

YPF (YPF Sociedad Anónima) shows a bullish trend on the daily timeframe with price at 45.82 trading above SMA20 (43.15), SMA50 (40.78), and SMA200 (32.46). The weekly trend is strongly bullish with price at 46.11 above all key moving averages, supported by a 234.18% return over 252 weeks. RSI14 at 59.81 (daily) is in bullish territory above the 50 midline but not yet overbought, while weekly RSI at 65.87 is approaching overbought. MACD on the daily is positive with a bullish MACD line at 0.91 above the signal line at 0.62, though the histogram has narrowed to 0.29, suggesting momentum may be slowing. The stock has appreciated 184.38% from the 52-week low of 16.12 and is currently at 86.83% of its 52-week range. Volume on the latest daily bar is 224.4% of the 20-period average, indicating strong participation during the recent advance. The key level to watch is the SMA20 at 43.15 as near-term support; a close below this level would be the first sign of short-term weakness.

Multi-timeframe dashboard

Multi-Timeframe Technical Dashboard

Comparing daily (2-year) and weekly (5-year) perspectives to identify aligned or conflicting signals.

Daily (July 17, 2026)

Trend
Bullish. Price at 45.82 is above SMA20 (43.15), SMA50 (40.78), and SMA200 (32.46). The moving averages are in a bullish alignment with SMA20 above SMA50 above SMA200. The SMA200 is sloping upward at 32.46, confirming a strong long-term uptrend. Price is trading near the upper end of the recent range.
Momentum
Bullish. RSI14 at 59.81 is above the 50 midline, indicating bullish momentum. MACD at 0.91 is above the signal line at 0.62 with a positive histogram of 0.29, though the narrowing histogram suggests momentum may be decelerating from the previous surge. The MACD line remains well above zero, confirming bullish momentum.
Volatility
Elevated. ATR14 at 2.47 (5.39% of price) reflects above-average daily swings, typical for an emerging-market energy stock. Bollinger Bands (38.44 to 48.10) are wide with price trading near the upper band, consistent with the strong uptrend.
Volume
Above average. Latest daily volume of 4,502,800 is 224.4% of the 20-period average (2,006,500), indicating strong institutional participation during the advance. Elevated volume confirms conviction behind the move.

Assessment

The daily chart shows a well-established uptrend with price above all key moving averages. The bullish alignment of SMAs supports the positive trend. RSI at 59.81 suggests room for further upside before reaching overbought levels. The narrowing MACD histogram warrants monitoring for potential trend deceleration. The elevated volume on the rally confirms strong buying interest.

Weekly (July 6, 2026 week)

Trend
Strongly Bullish. Price at 46.11 is above SMA20 (37.42), SMA50 (29.35), and SMA200 (16.82). All moving averages are sloping upward, with the SMA200 at 16.82 reflecting the powerful long-term uptrend from the pandemic-era lows. SMA20 at 37.42 is well above SMA50, confirming accelerating bullish momentum.
Momentum
Bullish. RSI14 at 65.87 is in bullish territory but approaching overbought conditions (above 70). MACD at 4.83 is above the signal line at 4.16 with a positive histogram of 0.67, confirming bullish momentum on the weekly timeframe. The MACD histogram has been positive and expanding, indicating sustained upward momentum.
Volatility
High. ATR14 at 4.11 (8.91% of price) reflects above-average weekly ranges, consistent with the strong uptrend and emerging-market energy sector volatility. Bollinger Bands (30.68 to 46.91) are wide, with price near the upper band, indicating strong trending conditions.
Volume
Above average. Latest weekly volume of 14,850,600 is 148.3% of the 20-week average (10,013,200), confirming strong participation in the uptrend. Volume has been consistently above average during the advance from the 16.12 low.

Assessment

The weekly chart confirms a powerful long-term uptrend. The stock has rallied significantly from the 16.12 low and is now trading near 46.11. RSI at 65.87 is bullish but approaching levels that have preceded consolidations in the past. The bullish MACD with expanding histogram supports the trend. The key question is whether the stock can sustain this momentum or is due for a consolidation phase given the magnitude of the move.

Key indicators

YPF Key Technical Indicators

RSI, MACD, moving averages, ATR, and Bollinger Bands across daily and weekly timeframes.

IndicatorDailyWeekly
RSI (14)59.8165.87
MACD (12, 26, 9)0.91 / 0.62 / 0.294.83 / 4.16 / 0.67
ATR (14)2.47 (5.39%)4.11 (8.91%)
Bollinger Bands (20, 2)38.44 - 48.1030.68 - 46.91
SMA (20)43.1537.42
SMA (50)40.7829.35
SMA (200)32.4616.82

Price structure

YPF Price Structure and Returns

Price performance across multiple lookback periods and 52-week position.

MetricDailyWeekly
Current Price45.8246.11
1-Period Return+1.12%+3.69%
5-Period Return+4.71%+12.80%
20-Period Return+10.43%+29.19%
60-Period Return+55.85%+102.33%
252-Period Return+184.38%+234.18%
52-Week Low16.1216.12
52-Week High50.3250.32
52-Week Position86.83%87.64%

Key levels

YPF Support and Resistance Levels

Key price levels based on recent swing highs and lows across daily and weekly timeframes.

LevelDailyWeekly
20-Period High47.8450.32
20-Period Low40.8732.29
60-Period High50.3250.32
60-Period Low28.2116.12

Scenarios

YPF Technical Scenarios

Conditions, invalidation triggers, and what to watch for each scenario.

Bullish

Trigger

Price sustains above SMA20 at 43.15 and breaks above the 20-period high at 47.84 with above-average volume. RSI holding above 60 would confirm continued upward momentum.

Invalidation

Price falls below SMA20 at 43.15 and closes below 40.00 with increasing volume.

What to watch

Sustained close above 47.84; RSI staying above 60; MACD histogram expanding; volume confirming on up days.

Range-Bound

Trigger

Price oscillates between SMA20 support at 43.15 and the recent high near 48-50 as the stock consolidates after the significant run-up from 16.12 to 50.32 over the past year.

Invalidation

A decisive close above 50.32 (52-week high) or below SMA50 at 40.78 with conviction.

What to watch

RSI oscillating between 50 and 65 on the daily; declining volume indicating consolidation; MACD histogram flattening near zero; Bollinger Bands narrowing.

Bearish

Trigger

Price breaks below SMA20 at 43.15 and fails to reclaim it within several sessions. A close below SMA50 at 40.78 would signal a deeper correction is underway.

Invalidation

Price reclaims SMA20 at 43.15 and holds above it with confirming volume.

What to watch

Consecutive daily closes below SMA20; RSI dropping below 50; MACD crossing below the signal line; volume expanding on down days suggesting distribution.

Methodology

Methodology and Limitations

This technical analysis uses adjusted closing prices from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Finviz (independent cross-validation). The daily analysis covers approximately 2 years (501 completed bars) ending July 17, 2026. The weekly analysis covers approximately 5 years (260 completed bars) ending the week of July 6, 2026. Prices are adjusted for dividends and stock splits using the adjusted close/raw close ratio. Volume data is from the primary source and may not match other data providers. Technical indicators include SMA, RSI, MACD, ATR, and Bollinger Bands using standard parameters. Key levels are identified from recent swing highs and lows. Technical analysis studies historical price patterns and does not constitute investment advice. It should not be used as the sole basis for trading decisions.

Frequently Asked Questions

This technical analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance and historical patterns are not guarantees of future results. All investments carry risk, including the potential loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Data sourced from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Finviz (independent cross-validation). Data cutoffs: daily July 17, 2026, weekly July 6, 2026 week. Generated July 18, 2026.