YPF technical analysis

YPF Technical Analysis

Analysis date

August 7, 2026

Market

NYSE (USD)

Daily cutoff

August 6, 2026

Reliability

Passed

Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.

Data verification

YPF Data Verification

Checking the latest completed daily bar for date and closing-price consistency before indicators are calculated.

Symbol
YPF
Market
NYSE
Currency
USD (US Dollar)
Latest completed bar
August 6, 2026

Historical prices are adjusted for corporate actions when applicable. Date and closing-price consistency checks passed for the latest completed daily bar.

Validation seriesLatest CloseDateDifferenceStatus
Calculation series49.64August 6, 2026-Verified
Verification series49.65August 6, 20260.03%Verified

Bottom line

YPF Technical Analysis Summary

YPF (YPF Sociedad Anónima) trades at 49.64 on the daily chart, just below the converged SMA20 and SMA50 at 50.38, after pulling back from the 52-week high of 57.49 reached in June. The longer-term trend remains intact, with price well above the SMA200 at 41.47 and a 41.41% gain over the trailing 252 sessions. The weekly chart is strongly bullish, with price at 52.54 for the week of July 27, above SMA20 at 47.00, SMA50 at 38.90, and SMA200 at 25.46, and a 1025.05% return over 252 weeks. Daily RSI14 at 48.85 is neutral after the corrective move, while weekly RSI at 62.46 stays in bullish territory. The daily MACD histogram is slightly negative at -0.20, signaling cooling momentum, while the weekly MACD is barely positive at 0.01. Volume on the latest daily bar is below average at 57.5% of the 20-period mean, reflecting lighter participation during the consolidation. The stock sits at 77.34% of its 52-week range. Key resistance is at 53.57 (20-period high) and 57.49 (52-week high); key support is at 47.00 (20-period low) and 43.21 (60-period low).

Multi-timeframe dashboard

Multi-Timeframe Technical Dashboard

Comparing daily (2-year) and weekly (5-year) perspectives to identify aligned or conflicting signals.

Daily (August 6, 2026)

Trend
Mixed. Price at 49.64 sits just below the converged SMA20 (50.38) and SMA50 (50.38), while holding well above SMA200 (41.47). The two short-term moving averages have flattened around 50.38, reflecting the consolidation that followed the decline from the 52-week high of 57.49. A reclaim of the 50.40 area would signal renewed short-term strength, while the SMA200 at 41.47 remains the key longer-term support.
Momentum
Neutral to soft. RSI14 at 48.85 is just below the 50 midline, indicating balanced momentum after the pullback. The MACD line at 0.33 is below the signal line at 0.53 with a slightly negative histogram of -0.20, showing that upward momentum has cooled. The MACD line remains above zero, so the correction has not yet turned structurally bearish.
Volatility
Moderate. ATR14 at 1.70 (3.42% of price) reflects average daily swings for an emerging-market energy ADR. Bollinger Bands run from 47.74 to 53.02, and price sits near the middle band, consistent with a consolidation phase after the recent range-bound action.
Volume
Below average. Latest daily volume of 648,183 is 57.5% of the 20-period average of 1,127,824, indicating reduced participation on the latest completed session. Volume during the corrective phase has generally been lighter than during the earlier advance.

Assessment

The daily chart shows a corrective consolidation within a longer-term uptrend. Price is below the short-term moving averages but above the SMA200, and the flat SMA20/SMA50 pairing around 50.38 points to a market digesting recent gains. RSI near 50 and a slightly negative MACD histogram suggest momentum is neutral while the trend decides its next direction. A close back above 50.40 with stronger volume would confirm a resumption, while a break below 47.00 would signal a deeper pullback.

Weekly (July 27, 2026 week)

Trend
Bullish. Price at 52.54 for the week of July 27 is above SMA20 (47.00), SMA50 (38.90), and SMA200 (25.46), with all three moving averages rising. The SMA20 is well above the SMA50, and the SMA200 has climbed from single digits to 25.46, reflecting the strong multi-year advance. The early August pullback follows a move to the 52-week high of 57.49.
Momentum
Bullish but flattening. Weekly RSI14 at 62.46 remains in bullish territory and below overbought. The MACD line at 3.31 is essentially flat against the signal line at 3.30, with a histogram of 0.01, indicating that the powerful momentum of the past year has decelerated into a less directional phase.
Volatility
High. ATR14 at 4.31 (8.19% of price) reflects wide weekly ranges typical of an energy ADR in an emerging market. Bollinger Bands run from 38.17 to 55.82, and price is below the upper band after the recent pullback, leaving room for further upside as well as deeper swings.
Volume
Below average. Latest weekly volume of 4,684,200 is 45.8% of the 20-week average of 10,227,305, showing lighter participation during the latest completed week.

Assessment

The weekly chart confirms a strong multi-year uptrend. The stock has rallied from the 52-week low of 22.82 and remains near the upper portion of its range. RSI at 62.46 is constructive but no longer stretched, and the flat MACD histogram suggests the trend is consolidating rather than accelerating. The weekly picture supports the daily view that the recent pullback is a pause within an ongoing uptrend, with the 20-week low at 37.18 and the SMA50 at 38.90 acting as the main support zone on deeper corrections.

Key indicators

YPF Key Technical Indicators

RSI, MACD, moving averages, ATR, and Bollinger Bands across daily and weekly timeframes.

IndicatorDailyWeekly
RSI (14)48.8562.46
MACD (12, 26, 9)0.33 / 0.53 / -0.203.31 / 3.30 / 0.01
ATR (14)1.70 (3.42%)4.31 (8.19%)
Bollinger Bands (20, 2)47.74 - 53.0238.17 - 55.82
SMA (20)50.3847.00
SMA (50)50.3838.90
SMA (200)41.4725.46

Price structure

YPF Price Structure and Returns

Price performance across multiple lookback periods and 52-week position.

MetricDailyWeekly
Current Price49.6452.54
1-Period Return+1.98%+2.22%
5-Period Return-4.82%+15.91%
20-Period Return+5.52%+37.36%
60-Period Return+10.47%+53.31%
252-Period Return+41.41%+1025.05%
52-Week Low22.8222.82
52-Week High57.4957.49
52-Week Position77.34%85.72%

Key levels

YPF Support and Resistance Levels

Key price levels based on recent swing highs and lows across daily and weekly timeframes.

LevelDailyWeekly
20-Period High53.5757.49
20-Period Low47.0037.18
60-Period High57.4957.49
60-Period Low43.2122.82

Scenarios

YPF Technical Scenarios

Conditions, invalidation triggers, and what to watch for each scenario.

Bullish

Trigger

Price closes back above the converged SMA20/SMA50 area at 50.40 and then breaks above the 20-period high at 53.57 with above-average volume. RSI moving back above 55 and the daily MACD crossing above its signal line would confirm renewed momentum.

Invalidation

Price fails to hold the 20-period low at 47.00 and closes below it on expanding volume, breaking the consolidation structure.

What to watch

Daily closes above 50.40 and 53.57; RSI above 55; MACD histogram turning positive; volume expanding on up days.

Range-Bound

Trigger

Price continues to oscillate between the 20-period low at 47.00 and the 20-period high at 53.57 while the SMA20 and SMA50 stay flat around 50.38. Reduced volume and RSI hovering near 50 would confirm a consolidation phase after the decline from 57.49.

Invalidation

A decisive close above 53.57, or a close below the 60-period low at 43.21, would end the range.

What to watch

RSI staying between 45 and 60; MACD histogram hovering near zero; volume below average; Bollinger Bands remaining flat.

Bearish

Trigger

Price breaks below the 20-period low at 47.00 and then the 60-period low at 43.21. A move toward the SMA200 at 41.47 would be the next measured target, with further downside if that level fails.

Invalidation

Price reclaims 47.00 and then the 50.40 moving-average area on strong volume, restoring the uptrend.

What to watch

Consecutive closes below 47.00; RSI dropping below 40; MACD histogram deepening; volume expanding on down days.

Methodology

Methodology and Limitations

This technical analysis is calculated locally from adjusted OHLCV history. The daily series ends August 6, 2026, and the weekly series ends July 27, 2026 week. The latest completed daily bar is independently checked for date and closing-price consistency. Historical prices are adjusted for corporate actions when applicable. Indicators include Wilder RSI(14), MACD(12,26,9), SMA20/50/200, Wilder ATR(14), Bollinger Bands(20,2), relative volume, multi-period returns, and price-range levels. Support and resistance are descriptive zones, not guaranteed reversal points. Historical patterns do not predict future prices, and this page is not investment advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

This technical analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance and historical patterns are not guarantees of future results. All investments carry risk, including the potential loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Market data is checked for date and closing-price consistency before indicators are calculated. Data cutoffs: daily August 6, 2026, weekly July 27, 2026 week. Generated August 7, 2026.