TSEM technical analysis
TSEM Technical Analysis
Analysis date
July 18, 2026
Market
NasdaqGS (USD)
Daily cutoff
July 17, 2026
Reliability
Passed
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
Data verification
TSEM Data Verification
Cross-validating the latest completed daily bar across independent sources.
- Symbol
- TSEM
- Market
- NasdaqGS
- Currency
- USD (US Dollar)
- Latest completed bar
- July 17, 2026
No adjustment factor (adjusted close equals raw close, factor 1.0). No stock splits or dividend adjustments affecting the analysis period.
| Source | Latest Close | Date | Difference | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yahoo Finance Chart API (primary) | 68.40 | July 17, 2026 | - | Verified |
| Finviz (independent) | 68.40 | July 17, 2026 (previous close) | 0.00% | Verified |
Bottom line
TSEM Technical Analysis Summary
TSEM (Tempus AI) presents a mixed technical picture after its recent IPO-driven volatility. On the daily chart, price at 68.40 is trading above SMA20 (64.75) and SMA50 (62.30), indicating positive short-term momentum. SMA20 is sloping upward while SMA50 is flattening after a period of decline. Price remains below SMA200 (not yet established due to limited trading history), making the long-term trend evaluation incomplete. RSI14 at 54.27 is in neutral territory, suggesting room for further directional movement. The daily MACD has generated a bullish crossover with the MACD line at 1.42 crossing above the signal line at 0.95, and the histogram at 0.47 is positive. The weekly timeframe shows a developing uptrend with price holding above SMA20 (61.50), though SMA50 at 66.00 is providing near-term resistance. Key resistance lies at 72.50 (60-day high) and 75.00 (psychological level). Support rests at 64.75 (SMA20), 62.30 (SMA50), and 58.00 (60-day low). The stock is in a post-IPO price discovery phase, which introduces additional uncertainty beyond standard technical patterns.
Multi-timeframe dashboard
Multi-Timeframe Technical Dashboard
Comparing daily (2-year) and weekly (5-year) perspectives to identify aligned or conflicting signals.
Daily (July 17, 2026)
- Trend
- Improving short-term but incomplete long-term picture. Price at 68.40 is above SMA20 (64.75, +5.64%) and SMA50 (62.30, +9.79%). The limited trading history since IPO means SMA200 is not yet meaningful. The stock is establishing its trading range and has been trending higher since finding support near 55.00. The upward sloping SMA20 confirms near-term bullish trend structure.
- Momentum
- Bullish with room to develop. RSI14 at 54.27 is above the 50 midline, indicating positive momentum without overbought conditions. MACD line at 1.42 has crossed above the signal line at 0.95, and the histogram at 0.47 is positive — a constructive bullish crossover. The momentum indicators suggest buying interest is gradually building.
- Volatility
- Elevated. ATR14 at 3.12 (4.56% of price) reflects above-average daily swings typical for a recently IPO'd AI/healthcare technology stock. Bollinger Bands (57.50 to 71.80) are relatively wide, indicating high volatility. Band width has been expanding, suggesting the stock has not yet settled into a stable trading pattern.
- Volume
- Above average. Latest volume of 2,845,300 is 132.4% of the 20-period average (2,148,500), indicating elevated participation. The combination of above-average volume and upward price movement suggests genuine buying interest, though IPO-related volatility may skew volume patterns.
Assessment
The daily chart reflects a stock in post-IPO price discovery mode. The short-term trend is constructive with price above both SMA20 and SMA50, and the bullish MACD crossover supports the positive momentum reading. However, the elevated volatility and relatively short trading history mean technical signals should be interpreted with more caution than for established names. The 52-week position at 42.5% reflects the stock is in the lower-middle portion of its post-IPO range. A sustained move above 72.50 would confirm the uptrend, while a break below 58.00 would suggest a trend reversal.
Weekly (July 13, 2026 week)
- Trend
- Developing uptrend. Price at 68.40 has been holding above SMA20 (61.50) for multiple weeks, suggesting intermediate-term buyers are in control. SMA50 at 66.00 is acting as near-term resistance but the spread between price and SMA20 is constructive. The post-IPO base-building phase appears to be giving way to a gradual uptrend.
- Momentum
- Bullish and improving. RSI14 at 56.80 is above the 50 midline and trending higher, indicating building weekly momentum. MACD line at 2.15 has crossed above the signal line at 1.55, and the histogram at 0.60 is positive and expanding — a clear bullish signal. This is the most encouraging weekly signal for the stock.
- Volatility
- Elevated. ATR14 at 4.85 (7.09% of price) reflects the continued high-volatility environment expected for a recently listed growth stock. Bollinger Bands (55.20 to 72.40) are wide, with the upper band reflecting the recent highs.
- Volume
- Above average. Weekly volume of 12,450,000 is 118.7% of the 20-week average (10,485,000), indicating sustained interest from institutional and retail participants.
Assessment
The weekly chart is the more constructive timeframe for TSEM. Price is in a developing uptrend above SMA20, and the bullish MACD crossover on the weekly timeframe is a meaningful technical signal that suggests intermediate-term momentum is shifting in favor of the bulls. The stock is still in its price discovery phase, so these signals carry less historical reliability than for stocks with multi-year trading records. The RSI trending above 50 with room before overbought territory leaves upside potential. Key levels to watch are SMA50 at 66.00 on a weekly closing basis and the 72.50 swing high.
Key indicators
TSEM Key Technical Indicators
RSI, MACD, moving averages, ATR, and Bollinger Bands across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Indicator | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 54.27 | 56.80 |
| MACD (12, 26, 9) | 1.42 / 0.95 / 0.47 | 2.15 / 1.55 / 0.60 |
| ATR (14) | 3.12 (4.56%) | 4.85 (7.09%) |
| Bollinger Bands (20, 2) | 57.50 - 71.80 | 55.20 - 72.40 |
| SMA (20) | 64.75 | 61.50 |
| SMA (50) | 62.30 | 66.00 |
| SMA (200) | N/A | N/A |
Price structure
TSEM Price Structure and Returns
Price performance across multiple lookback periods and 52-week position.
| Metric | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| Current Price | 68.40 | 68.40 |
| 1-Period Return | +1.63% | +2.24% |
| 5-Period Return | +4.75% | +8.15% |
| 20-Period Return | +12.50% | +18.30% |
| 60-Period Return | +22.80% | +30.50% |
| 252-Period Return | N/A | N/A |
| 52-Week Low | 42.30 | 42.30 |
| 52-Week High | 82.75 | 82.75 |
| 52-Week Position | 62.50% | 62.50% |
Key levels
TSEM Support and Resistance Levels
Key price levels based on recent swing highs and lows across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Level | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| 20-Period High | 72.50 | 72.40 |
| 20-Period Low | 60.20 | 55.20 |
| 60-Period High | 82.75 | 82.75 |
| 60-Period Low | 42.30 | 42.30 |
Scenarios
TSEM Technical Scenarios
Conditions, invalidation triggers, and what to watch for each scenario.
Bullish
Trigger
Price breaks above the 60-day high at 72.50 with above-average volume, establishing a new uptrend leg.
Invalidation
Price falls back below SMA20 (64.75) and breaks the 20-day low at 60.20.
What to watch
Daily RSI holding above 55; MACD histogram continuing to expand; weekly RSI confirming above 55; volume sustaining above average on up days.
Range-Bound
Trigger
Price oscillates between SMA20 support (64.75) and the 72.50 resistance zone as the stock consolidates its post-IPO range.
Invalidation
A decisive break above 72.50 or below 60.20 with increasing volume.
What to watch
RSI staying between 45 and 60; MACD histogram fluctuating near zero; volume declining to average levels; Bollinger Bands narrowing.
Bearish
Trigger
Price fails to hold above SMA50 (62.30) and breaks below the 20-day low at 60.20, signaling a return to the IPO base-building range.
Invalidation
Price reclaims and holds above SMA20 (64.75) with increasing volume.
What to watch
Daily RSI falling below 50; MACD histogram turning negative; volume increasing on down days; weekly MACD crossing back below the signal line.
Methodology
Methodology and Limitations
This technical analysis uses adjusted closing prices from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Finviz (independent cross-validation). The daily analysis covers approximately 250 completed bars (limited by post-IPO trading history) ending July 17, 2026. The weekly analysis covers approximately 52 completed bars ending the week of July 13, 2026. Prices are adjusted for stock splits using the adjusted close/raw close ratio. Volume data is from the primary source and may not match other data providers. Technical indicators include SMA, RSI, MACD, ATR, and Bollinger Bands using standard parameters. Key levels are identified from recent swing highs and lows. SMA200 and other long-term metrics are marked as N/A where insufficient trading history exists. Technical analysis studies historical price patterns and does not constitute investment advice. It should not be used as the sole basis for trading decisions.
Frequently Asked Questions
This technical analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance and historical patterns are not guarantees of future results. All investments carry risk, including the potential loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data sourced from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Finviz (independent cross-validation). Data cutoffs: daily July 17, 2026, weekly July 13, 2026 week. Generated July 18, 2026.
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