TAK technical analysis
TAK Technical Analysis
Analysis date
August 6, 2026
Market
NYSE (USD)
Daily cutoff
August 5, 2026
Reliability
Passed
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
Data verification
TAK Data Verification
Checking the latest completed daily bar for date and closing-price consistency before indicators are calculated.
- Symbol
- TAK
- Market
- NYSE
- Currency
- USD (US Dollar)
- Latest completed bar
- August 5, 2026
Historical prices are adjusted for corporate actions when applicable. Date and closing-price consistency checks passed for the latest completed daily bar.
| Validation series | Latest Close | Date | Difference | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calculation series | 16.72 | August 5, 2026 | - | Verified |
| Verification series | 16.72 | August 5, 2026 | 0.00% | Verified |
Bottom line
TAK Technical Analysis Summary
TAK (Takeda Pharmaceutical) presents a mixed daily picture after a sharp pullback that took the price from a recent 17.83 peak down to 16.72. The daily close now sits below SMA20 (16.94) but remains above SMA50 (16.29) and SMA200 (16.32), with RSI14 at 48.61 and a negative MACD histogram (-0.08) pointing to fading momentum after the 5.80% five-day decline. The weekly structure remains constructive: as of the last completed week the price at 17.09 was above a bullish moving-average stack (SMA20 16.84, SMA50 16.08, SMA200 14.47) with RSI14 at 55.38 and a positive MACD, though that weekly series ends before the recent three-session decline. Key support sits at 16.24 (20-day low) and 14.84 (60-day low), while resistance stands at 17.83 (20-day and 60-day high) and 18.90 (52-week high). A daily close back above 16.94 would stabilize the near-term picture, while a close below 16.24 would point to a deeper pullback.
Multi-timeframe dashboard
Multi-Timeframe Technical Dashboard
Comparing daily (2-year) and weekly (5-year) perspectives to identify aligned or conflicting signals.
Daily (August 5, 2026)
- Trend
- Mixed. Price at 16.72 is below SMA20 (16.94, -1.30%) but above SMA50 (16.29, +2.64%) and SMA200 (16.32, +2.45%). The five-day decline of 5.80% pulled the price below its short-term average after it had climbed toward 17.83. The three daily averages remain tightly clustered between 16.29 and 16.94, so the direction is still being resolved rather than firmly established.
- Momentum
- Neutral and softening. RSI14 at 48.61 sits just below the 50 midline, reflecting a loss of upside momentum after the pullback. The MACD line at 0.16 remains above zero but has dropped below the signal line at 0.24, and the histogram is negative at -0.08, indicating that the prior advance is losing momentum.
- Volatility
- Moderate. ATR14 at 0.34 (2.06% of price) is typical for this large-cap ADR. Bollinger Bands range from 16.18 to 17.69, and price closed near the lower band, consistent with the recent decline. Band width has widened modestly as volatility picked up during the selloff.
- Volume
- Above average. Latest volume of 4,862,100 is 1.15x the 20-period average of 4,226,715, meaning the pullback has been met with above-average participation, which adds weight to the move.
Assessment
The daily chart shows a near-term downtrend within a broader consolidation. The five-session decline of 5.80% has taken price below SMA20 while it holds above SMA50 and SMA200, and the negative MACD histogram with RSI near 50 reflects fading upside momentum. Above-average volume on the decline gives the move weight. The stock sits at the 63.11% position of its 52-week range. A reclaim of SMA20 near 16.94 would be the first constructive sign, while a close below the 20-day low at 16.24 would open a move toward the 60-day low at 14.84.
Weekly (July 27, 2026 week)
- Trend
- Bullish but dated. Price at 17.09 (last completed week) is above SMA20 (16.84), SMA50 (16.08), and SMA200 (14.47), forming a bullish stack with the weekly averages sloping upward. The weekly series ends July 31 and does not yet reflect the August 3-5 decline that the daily series captures.
- Momentum
- Positive. RSI14 at 55.38 is above the 50 midline. The MACD line at 0.10 sits above the signal line at 0.09, and the histogram is positive at 0.02, consistent with constructive weekly momentum as of the last completed week.
- Volatility
- Moderate. ATR14 at 0.72 (4.20% of price). Bollinger Bands range from 15.12 to 18.56, and price sits in the upper half, aligned with the uptrend.
- Volume
- Above average. Latest weekly volume of 22,605,900 is 1.46x the 20-week average of 15,486,230, supporting the advance through the last completed week.
Assessment
The weekly chart retains a bullish structure, with price above a rising moving-average stack and RSI14 at 55.38 supporting constructive momentum. Above-average weekly volume confirms participation. The main caveat is that the weekly series ends July 31, before the August pullback, so it does not yet reflect the most recent daily decline. A weekly close above 18.90 would confirm a breakout to new 52-week highs, while a weekly close below SMA20 near 16.84 would put the bullish structure under pressure.
Key indicators
TAK Key Technical Indicators
RSI, MACD, moving averages, ATR, and Bollinger Bands across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Indicator | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 48.61 | 55.38 |
| MACD (12, 26, 9) | 0.16 / 0.24 / -0.08 | 0.10 / 0.09 / 0.02 |
| ATR (14) | 0.34 (2.06%) | 0.72 (4.20%) |
| Bollinger Bands (20, 2) | 16.18 - 17.69 | 15.12 - 18.56 |
| SMA (20) | 16.94 | 16.84 |
| SMA (50) | 16.29 | 16.08 |
| SMA (200) | 16.32 | 14.47 |
Price structure
TAK Price Structure and Returns
Price performance across multiple lookback periods and 52-week position.
| Metric | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| Current Price | 16.72 | 17.09 |
| 1-Period Return | +0.97% | -0.87% |
| 5-Period Return | -5.80% | +7.42% |
| 20-Period Return | -0.18% | -3.83% |
| 60-Period Return | +1.58% | +14.24% |
| 252-Period Return | +17.25% | +11.31% |
| 52-Week Low | 12.99 | 12.99 |
| 52-Week High | 18.90 | 18.90 |
| 52-Week Position | 63.11% | 69.37% |
Key levels
TAK Support and Resistance Levels
Key price levels based on recent swing highs and lows across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Level | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| 20-Period High | 17.83 | 18.90 |
| 20-Period Low | 16.24 | 14.84 |
| 60-Period High | 17.83 | 18.90 |
| 60-Period Low | 14.84 | 12.99 |
Scenarios
TAK Technical Scenarios
Conditions, invalidation triggers, and what to watch for each scenario.
Bullish
Trigger
A daily close back above SMA20 (16.94) followed by a move toward the 20-day high at 17.83 with rising volume, and ultimately a weekly close above 18.90 to confirm a 52-week breakout.
Invalidation
A daily close below the 20-day low at 16.24, which would put the SMA50/SMA200 support near 16.29-16.32 and then the 60-day low at 14.84 in play.
What to watch
Daily RSI reclaiming and holding above 55; the MACD histogram turning positive; weekly RSI staying above 55; volume expanding on up days.
Range-Bound
Trigger
Price oscillates between the 20-day low at 16.24 and the 20-day high at 17.83 while the daily averages remain clustered between 16.29 and 16.94.
Invalidation
A decisive close above 17.83 or below 16.24 on rising volume.
What to watch
RSI hovering around 50; the MACD histogram fluctuating near zero; volume returning toward the 20-period average.
Bearish
Trigger
A daily close below the 20-day low at 16.24 and the SMA50/SMA200 cluster near 16.29-16.32, opening a decline toward the 60-day low at 14.84.
Invalidation
Price reclaims and holds above SMA20 (16.94) and forms a higher low above 16.24.
What to watch
Daily RSI falling below 45; the MACD histogram expanding further negative; weekly RSI rolling below 50.
Methodology
Methodology and Limitations
This technical analysis is calculated locally from adjusted OHLCV history. The daily series ends August 5, 2026, and the weekly series ends July 27, 2026 week. The latest completed daily bar is independently checked for date and closing-price consistency. Historical prices are adjusted for corporate actions when applicable. Indicators include Wilder RSI(14), MACD(12,26,9), SMA20/50/200, Wilder ATR(14), Bollinger Bands(20,2), relative volume, multi-period returns, and price-range levels. Support and resistance are descriptive zones, not guaranteed reversal points. Historical patterns do not predict future prices, and this page is not investment advice.
Frequently Asked Questions
This technical analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance and historical patterns are not guarantees of future results. All investments carry risk, including the potential loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Market data is checked for date and closing-price consistency before indicators are calculated. Data cutoffs: daily August 5, 2026, weekly July 27, 2026 week. Generated August 6, 2026.
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