RIVN technical analysis
RIVN Technical Analysis
Analysis date
July 15, 2026
Market
NasdaqGS (USD)
Daily cutoff
July 14, 2026
Reliability
Passed
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
Data verification
RIVN Data Verification
Cross-validating the latest completed daily bar across independent sources.
- Symbol
- RIVN
- Market
- NasdaqGS
- Currency
- USD (US Dollar)
- Latest completed bar
- July 14, 2026
No adjustment factor (adjusted close equals raw close, factor 1.0). No stock splits or dividend adjustments affecting the analysis period.
| Source | Latest Close | Date | Difference | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yahoo Finance Chart API (primary) | 14.23 | July 14, 2026 | - | Verified |
| Finviz (independent) | 14.23 | July 14, 2026 (previous close) | 0.00% | Verified |
Bottom line
RIVN Technical Analysis Summary
RIVN (Rivian Automotive) shows a cautiously constructive technical picture after a prolonged downtrend. On the daily chart, price at 14.23 has reclaimed SMA20 (13.35) and SMA50 (12.83), suggesting short-term momentum is improving. However, price remains below SMA200 (16.47), confirming the longer-term trend remains bearish. RSI14 at 56.42 on the daily chart indicates building bullish momentum without overbought conditions. The daily MACD has generated a bullish crossover with the MACD line crossing above the signal line, and the histogram at 0.09 is positive. The weekly timeframe remains in a structural downtrend with price below all key SMAs. Key resistance lies at SMA200 (16.47) and the 60-day high (15.89). Support rests at 11.86 (20-day low) and 9.76 (52-week low). A sustained move above 15.89 would be a meaningful near-term breakout; a weekly close above SMA20 (14.87) would be the first step toward trend improvement.
Multi-timeframe dashboard
Multi-Timeframe Technical Dashboard
Comparing daily (2-year) and weekly (5-year) perspectives to identify aligned or conflicting signals.
Daily (July 14, 2026)
- Trend
- Improving but mixed. Price at 14.23 is above SMA20 (13.35, +6.59%) and SMA50 (12.83, +10.91%) but remains below SMA200 (16.47, -13.60%). SMA20 and SMA50 are turning upward while SMA200 continues to slope down, reflecting a potential early-stage trend shift where short-term momentum has improved but the long-term downtrend persists.
- Momentum
- Bullish with improving bias. RSI14 at 56.42 is above the 50 midline, indicating bullish momentum without overbought conditions. MACD line at -0.08 has crossed above the signal line at -0.24, and the histogram at 0.16 is positive — a constructive bullish crossover signal suggesting momentum is shifting in favor of the bulls.
- Volatility
- Elevated. ATR14 at 0.67 (4.71% of price) suggests average daily movement of about 4.7%, typical for a volatile EV growth stock. Bollinger Bands (11.71 to 14.99) show price near the upper band, consistent with the recent upward move. Band width is moderately wide, reflecting the stock's inherent volatility.
- Volume
- Slightly below average. Latest volume of 12,847,300 is 71.4% of the 20-period average (18,001,250), indicating reduced participation. The recent rally lacks strong volume confirmation, which warrants some caution.
Assessment
The daily chart shows a constructive development as RIVN has reclaimed both SMA20 and SMA50 after trading below them. The bullish MACD crossover supports the case for improving short-term momentum. However, the stock remains in a longer-term downtrend as confirmed by the declining SMA200. Volume has been below average during the rally, reducing conviction. The 52-week position at 42.8% reflects the stock is in the lower half of its annual range. A decisive move above the 60-day high of 15.89 would be a meaningful breakout signal.
Weekly (July 6, 2026 week)
- Trend
- Bearish with early improvement signs. Price at 13.98 is below SMA20 (14.87), SMA50 (15.93), and SMA200 (18.24). All weekly SMAs continue to slope downward, confirming the structural downtrend. The stock has been in a persistent decline since the post-IPO highs above 50.
- Momentum
- Neutral with improving bias. RSI14 at 47.83 is approaching the 50 midline after being in bearish territory for an extended period, a notable shift. MACD line at -0.42 is flattening and approaching the signal line at -0.65, with the histogram at 0.23 nearing positive territory, suggesting bearish momentum is fading.
- Volatility
- Elevated. ATR14 at 1.08 (7.73% of price) reflects wide weekly ranges typical for an early-stage EV manufacturer. Bollinger Bands (11.40 to 18.84) are wide, reflecting the stock's high volatility profile.
- Volume
- Near average. Weekly volume of 68,423,100 is 92.6% of the 20-week average (73,892,500), indicating typical participation levels for this stock.
Assessment
The weekly chart remains bearish in structure with price below all major SMAs. However, the improvement in RSI approaching 50 and the flattening MACD suggest the downtrend may be losing momentum. The stock has bounced from the 52-week low of 9.76 and is attempting to establish a higher base. A weekly close above SMA20 (14.87) would be the first meaningful step toward trend improvement. The stock remains a high-beta name where macro sentiment and company-specific execution (production ramp, cost management, R2 launch) drive price action more than technical levels.
Key indicators
RIVN Key Technical Indicators
RSI, MACD, moving averages, ATR, and Bollinger Bands across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Indicator | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 56.42 | 47.83 |
| MACD (12, 26, 9) | -0.08 / -0.24 / 0.16 | -0.42 / -0.65 / 0.23 |
| ATR (14) | 0.67 (4.71%) | 1.08 (7.73%) |
| Bollinger Bands (20, 2) | 11.71 - 14.99 | 11.40 - 18.84 |
| SMA (20) | 13.35 | 14.87 |
| SMA (50) | 12.83 | 15.93 |
| SMA (200) | 16.47 | 18.24 |
Price structure
RIVN Price Structure and Returns
Price performance across multiple lookback periods and 52-week position.
| Metric | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| Current Price | 14.23 | 13.98 |
| 1-Period Return | +1.79% | +0.65% |
| 5-Period Return | +4.02% | +8.37% |
| 20-Period Return | +8.54% | +11.49% |
| 60-Period Return | +15.03% | +3.25% |
| 252-Period Return | -8.31% | -24.68% |
| 52-Week Low | 9.76 | 9.76 |
| 52-Week High | 20.21 | 20.21 |
| 52-Week Position | 42.78% | 38.47% |
Key levels
RIVN Support and Resistance Levels
Key price levels based on recent swing highs and lows across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Level | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| 20-Period High | 15.28 | 18.84 |
| 20-Period Low | 11.86 | 11.40 |
| 60-Period High | 15.89 | 20.21 |
| 60-Period Low | 9.76 | 9.76 |
Scenarios
RIVN Technical Scenarios
Conditions, invalidation triggers, and what to watch for each scenario.
Bullish
Trigger
Price breaks above the 60-day high of 15.89 with above-average volume, then challenges SMA200 at 16.47.
Invalidation
Price fails to hold above SMA20 (13.35) and breaks below the 20-day low at 11.86.
What to watch
Daily RSI holding above 55; MACD histogram continuing to expand; weekly RSI clearing the 50 level; sustainable volume increase on up days.
Range-Bound
Trigger
Price oscillates between SMA20 support (13.35) and 60-day resistance (15.89) while awaiting a catalyst.
Invalidation
A decisive break above 15.89 or below 11.86 with conviction.
What to watch
RSI staying between 45 and 60; MACD histogram fluctuating around zero; volume remaining near or below average; R2 launch event or earnings as potential breakout catalysts.
Bearish
Trigger
Price fails to hold SMA50 (12.83) and breaks below the 20-day low at 11.86, resuming the longer-term downtrend toward the 52-week low at 9.76.
Invalidation
Price reclaims and holds above SMA20 (13.35) on the daily chart.
What to watch
Daily RSI falling below 50; MACD histogram turning negative; increasing volume on down days; macro headwinds for growth/EV stocks.
Methodology
Methodology and Limitations
This technical analysis uses adjusted closing prices from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Finviz (independent cross-validation). The daily analysis covers approximately 2 years (501 completed bars) ending July 14, 2026. The weekly analysis covers approximately 5 years (261 completed bars) ending the week of July 6, 2026. Prices are adjusted for dividends and stock splits using the adjusted close/raw close ratio. Volume data is from the primary source and may not match other data providers. Technical indicators include SMA, RSI, MACD, ATR, and Bollinger Bands using standard parameters. Key levels are identified from recent swing highs and lows. Technical analysis studies historical price patterns and does not constitute investment advice. It should not be used as the sole basis for trading decisions.
Frequently Asked Questions
This technical analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance and historical patterns are not guarantees of future results. All investments carry risk, including the potential loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data sourced from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Finviz (independent cross-validation). Data cutoffs: daily July 14, 2026, weekly July 6, 2026 week. Generated July 15, 2026.
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