NMR technical analysis
NMR Technical Analysis
Analysis date
July 17, 2026
Market
NYSE (USD)
Daily cutoff
July 16, 2026
Reliability
Passed
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
Data verification
NMR Data Verification
Cross-validating the latest completed daily bar across independent sources.
- Symbol
- NMR
- Market
- NYSE
- Currency
- USD (US Dollar)
- Latest completed bar
- July 16, 2026
No adjustment factor (adjusted close equals raw close, factor 1.0). No stock splits or dividend adjustments affecting the analysis period.
| Source | Latest Close | Date | Difference | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yahoo Finance Chart API (primary) | 6.72 | July 16, 2026 | - | Verified |
| Finviz (independent) | 6.72 | July 16, 2026 (previous close) | 0.00% | Verified |
Bottom line
NMR Technical Analysis Summary
NMR (Nomura Holdings) shows a mixed technical picture as of July 16, 2026. On the daily chart, price at 6.72 is above SMA20 (6.46) and SMA50 (6.33) but remains below SMA200 (7.18), indicating short-term improvement within a longer-term downtrend. RSI14 at 54.82 is above the neutral 50 level, suggesting mild bullish momentum without overbought conditions. The daily MACD shows the MACD line at 0.03 above the signal line at -0.02 with a positive histogram of 0.05, a modestly bullish signal. The weekly chart remains structurally bearish with price below all major SMAs, though RSI at 50.41 has just crossed above the 50 midline. Key resistance sits at SMA200 (7.18) and the 60-day high of 7.04. Support is at 6.09 (20-day low) and 5.59 (52-week low). A break above 7.18 would be needed to suggest a trend reversal.
Multi-timeframe dashboard
Multi-Timeframe Technical Dashboard
Comparing daily (2-year) and weekly (5-year) perspectives to identify aligned or conflicting signals.
Daily (July 16, 2026)
- Trend
- Improving but mixed. Price at 6.72 is above SMA20 (6.46, +4.02%) and SMA50 (6.33, +6.16%) but below SMA200 (7.18, -6.41%). SMA20 and SMA50 are trending upward while SMA200 continues to slope lower, reflecting a near-term recovery within a longer-term downtrend.
- Momentum
- Modestly bullish. RSI14 at 54.82 is above the 50 midline, indicating mildly bullish momentum without overbought readings. MACD line at 0.03 is above the signal line at -0.02, with the histogram at 0.05 turning positive — a mild bullish crossover signal suggesting momentum is shifting favorably.
- Volatility
- Moderate. ATR14 at 0.19 (2.83% of price) suggests average daily movement of about 2.8%. Bollinger Bands (6.22 to 6.97) show price trading in the middle to upper range, consistent with the recent upward drift. Band width indicates normal volatility conditions.
- Volume
- Moderate. Latest volume of 876,400 is 72.6% of the 20-period average (1,207,000), indicating participation is somewhat below average. The recent advance lacks strong volume confirmation, which warrants some caution.
Assessment
The daily chart shows constructive near-term price action with price reclaiming SMA20 and SMA50. The MACD has generated a mild bullish crossover. However, the stock remains in a longer-term downtrend as confirmed by the declining SMA200, and volume has been below average during the recent rally. The 52-week position at 38.4% reflects that NMR is in the lower half of its annual range. A move above SMA200 (7.18) would be a more meaningful trend improvement signal.
Weekly (July 13, 2026 week)
- Trend
- Bearish with early signs of stabilization. Price at 6.68 is below SMA20 (6.81), SMA50 (7.15), and SMA200 (7.49). The SMA20 has flattened but SMA50 and SMA200 continue to slope downward. The stock has been in a structural downtrend since the highs above 8.50 in early 2024.
- Momentum
- Neutral, turning slightly positive. RSI14 at 50.41 has crossed above the 50 midline — a marginal improvement from the oversold readings seen in prior months. MACD line at -0.03 is approaching a crossover with the signal line at -0.07, and the histogram at 0.04 has turned positive, suggesting bearish momentum is fading.
- Volatility
- Moderate. ATR14 at 0.27 (4.04% of price) reflects typical weekly ranges. Bollinger Bands (6.00 to 7.62) are moderately wide with the lower band reflecting the recent lows near 5.59.
- Volume
- Near average. Weekly volume of 5,112,500 is 88.4% of the 20-week average (5,783,200), indicating typical participation for the ADR.
Assessment
The weekly chart remains in a bearish structure with price below all major SMAs. However, the RSI crossing above 50 and the MACD histogram turning positive on the weekly timeframe are early improvement signals. The stock appears to be basing in the 5.50-6.50 range, having bounced from the 52-week low of 5.59. A weekly close above SMA20 (6.81) would be the first step toward trend improvement. The broader downtrend from the 2024 highs above 8.50 remains intact until a break above SMA200 (7.49) occurs.
Key indicators
NMR Key Technical Indicators
RSI, MACD, moving averages, ATR, and Bollinger Bands across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Indicator | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 54.82 | 50.41 |
| MACD (12, 26, 9) | 0.03 / -0.02 / 0.05 | -0.03 / -0.07 / 0.04 |
| ATR (14) | 0.19 (2.83%) | 0.27 (4.04%) |
| Bollinger Bands (20, 2) | 6.22 - 6.97 | 6.00 - 7.62 |
| SMA (20) | 6.46 | 6.81 |
| SMA (50) | 6.33 | 7.15 |
| SMA (200) | 7.18 | 7.49 |
Price structure
NMR Price Structure and Returns
Price performance across multiple lookback periods and 52-week position.
| Metric | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| Current Price | 6.72 | 6.68 |
| 1-Period Return | +1.05% | +0.60% |
| 5-Period Return | +4.35% | +3.09% |
| 20-Period Return | +9.09% | +8.62% |
| 60-Period Return | +12.75% | +6.54% |
| 252-Period Return | -1.18% | -5.38% |
| 52-Week Low | 5.59 | 5.59 |
| 52-Week High | 8.53 | 8.53 |
| 52-Week Position | 38.43% | 36.05% |
Key levels
NMR Support and Resistance Levels
Key price levels based on recent swing highs and lows across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Level | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| 20-Period High | 7.04 | 7.62 |
| 20-Period Low | 6.09 | 5.93 |
| 60-Period High | 7.22 | 8.53 |
| 60-Period Low | 5.59 | 5.59 |
Scenarios
NMR Technical Scenarios
Conditions, invalidation triggers, and what to watch for each scenario.
Bullish
Trigger
Price breaks above SMA200 (7.18) on the daily chart with above-average volume, establishing a short-term uptrend and targeting the 60-day high at 7.22.
Invalidation
Price falls back below SMA20 (6.46) and breaks the 20-day low at 6.09.
What to watch
Daily RSI holding above 55; MACD histogram continuing to expand; weekly RSI sustained above 50; volume increasing on up days.
Range-Bound
Trigger
Price oscillates between SMA20 support (6.46) and SMA200 resistance (7.18) with no clear directional bias.
Invalidation
A decisive break above 7.18 or below 6.09 with increasing volume.
What to watch
RSI staying between 45 and 60; MACD fluctuating around zero; volume remaining near or below average levels.
Bearish
Trigger
Price fails to hold above SMA50 (6.33) and breaks below the 20-day low at 6.09, resuming the longer-term downtrend and retesting the 52-week low at 5.59.
Invalidation
Price reclaims and holds above SMA20 (6.46) and establishes a higher low above 6.09.
What to watch
Daily RSI falling below 50; MACD histogram turning negative; volume increasing on down days; weekly MACD crossing back below the signal line.
Methodology
Methodology and Limitations
This technical analysis uses adjusted closing prices from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Finviz (independent cross-validation). The daily analysis covers approximately 2 years (501 completed bars) ending July 16, 2026. The weekly analysis covers approximately 5 years (261 completed bars) ending the week of July 13, 2026. Prices are adjusted for dividends and stock splits using the adjusted close/raw close ratio. Volume data is from the primary source and may not match other data providers. Technical indicators include SMA, RSI, MACD, ATR, and Bollinger Bands using standard parameters. Key levels are identified from recent swing highs and lows. Technical analysis studies historical price patterns and does not constitute investment advice. It should not be used as the sole basis for trading decisions.
Frequently Asked Questions
This technical analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance and historical patterns are not guarantees of future results. All investments carry risk, including the potential loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data sourced from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Finviz (independent cross-validation). Data cutoffs: daily July 16, 2026, weekly July 13, 2026 week. Generated July 17, 2026.
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