NLY technical analysis
NLY Technical Analysis
Analysis date
August 7, 2026
Market
NYSE (USD)
Daily cutoff
August 6, 2026
Reliability
Passed
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
Data verification
NLY Data Verification
Checking the latest completed daily bar for date and closing-price consistency before indicators are calculated.
- Symbol
- NLY
- Market
- NYSE
- Currency
- USD (US Dollar)
- Latest completed bar
- August 6, 2026
Historical prices are adjusted for corporate actions when applicable. Date and closing-price consistency checks passed for the latest completed daily bar.
| Validation series | Latest Close | Date | Difference | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calculation series | 22.66 | August 6, 2026 | - | Verified |
| Verification series | 22.66 | August 6, 2026 | 0.00% | Verified |
Bottom line
NLY Technical Analysis Summary
NLY (Annaly Capital Management) is consolidating a strong advance at the August 6, 2026 cutoff. Price at 22.66 sits just below the daily SMA20 (22.80, -0.61%) but holds above SMA50 (22.04, +2.81%) and SMA200 (21.19, +6.94%), so the short-term pullback has not broken the underlying uptrend. Daily RSI14 at 51.68 is neutral and the daily MACD histogram is only mildly negative at -0.07, pointing to a pause rather than a reversal. The weekly chart is clearly bullish: price at 22.72 is above the weekly SMA20 (21.55), SMA50 (20.77), and SMA200 (15.91) in a rising stack, with RSI14 at 60.70, a positive MACD histogram of 0.09, and above-average weekly volume at 135.1% of its 20-week average. The 20-week return of +11.07% and the 60-week return of +41.02% show the scale of the recent uptrend. Key resistance is the 23.48 level, which is the 20-period and 60-period high on both timeframes as well as the 52-week high. Support sits at the SMA50 and 20-day low zone near 22.03 to 22.04, with the 60-day low at 20.20 as the deeper downside marker. A close back above SMA20 would be the first sign of renewed strength, while a sustained break below the 20-day low would warn of a deeper correction.
Multi-timeframe dashboard
Multi-Timeframe Technical Dashboard
Comparing daily (2-year) and weekly (5-year) perspectives to identify aligned or conflicting signals.
Daily (August 6, 2026)
- Trend
- Mixed within an uptrend. Price at 22.66 is below SMA20 (22.80, -0.61%) but above SMA50 (22.04, +2.81%) and SMA200 (21.19, +6.94%). The moving averages remain in a bullish stack with SMA20 above SMA50 above SMA200, but the recent pullback has pushed price just under the SMA20. The stock is trading about 3.5% below the 23.48 swing high after a short-term decline, consistent with a pause in a larger advance rather than a trend change.
- Momentum
- Neutral. RSI14 at 51.68 sits near the 50 midline, showing momentum has cooled from the earlier uptrend but has not turned decisively negative. The MACD line (0.15) is below the signal line (0.22) with a slightly negative histogram of -0.07, indicating a mild loss of upside momentum. The readings are consistent with consolidation after the run toward the 52-week high.
- Volatility
- Moderate. ATR14 at 0.41 (1.81% of price) reflects contained daily swings. Bollinger Bands (22.23 to 23.37) are relatively wide, and price at 22.66 sits near the middle band, leaving room for movement in either direction before reaching the band edges.
- Volume
- Below average. Latest volume of 4,750,703 is 64.6% of the 20-period average (7,351,565), showing lighter participation during the recent pullback. The modest volume on the decline suggests the selling pressure is not intense.
Assessment
The daily chart shows a short-term pullback within a broader uptrend. Price has slipped below the SMA20 after making a 52-week high at 23.48, but the SMA50 and SMA200 are still acting as support from below, and the moving average stack remains in bullish order. RSI near 50 and a slightly negative MACD histogram point to a pause rather than a breakdown. The 52-week position at 85.3% shows the stock remains in the upper part of its annual range. A sustained move back above the SMA20 would be the first constructive signal, while a close below the SMA50 and the 20-day low near 22.03 would open the door to a deeper correction toward the 60-day low at 20.20.
Weekly (July 27, 2026 week)
- Trend
- Bullish. Price at 22.72 is above the weekly SMA20 (21.55, +5.43%), SMA50 (20.77, +9.39%), and SMA200 (15.91, +42.80%), with all three averages in a rising bullish stack. The weekly chart confirms the intermediate-term uptrend that has carried the stock well above its 52-week low of 17.89.
- Momentum
- Positive. Weekly RSI14 at 60.70 sits comfortably above the 50 midline without reaching overbought. The MACD line (0.56) is above the signal line (0.47) with a positive histogram of 0.09, confirming that upside momentum remains intact on the weekly timeframe.
- Volatility
- Moderate. Weekly ATR14 at 0.88 (3.87% of price) reflects typical weekly ranges for NLY. Bollinger Bands (19.54 to 23.56) show price trading in the upper portion of the band range, consistent with the uptrend.
- Volume
- Above average. Latest weekly volume of 48,718,700 is 135.1% of the 20-week average (36,068,030), showing elevated participation during the recent advance.
Assessment
The weekly chart is unambiguously bullish. Price holds above all three major moving averages in a rising stack, weekly RSI is positive, and the MACD histogram is positive with the line above its signal. Volume expanded to 135.1% of the 20-week average, lending conviction to the move. The 20-week return of +11.07% and the 60-week return of +41.02% reflect the sustained strength of the advance. The immediate resistance is the 23.48 level, which is also the 20-week and 60-week high. As long as price holds above the weekly SMA20 near 21.55, the uptrend remains intact; a weekly close above 23.48 would mark a new high and likely extend the move.
Key indicators
NLY Key Technical Indicators
RSI, MACD, moving averages, ATR, and Bollinger Bands across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Indicator | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 51.68 | 60.70 |
| MACD (12, 26, 9) | 0.15 / 0.22 / -0.07 | 0.56 / 0.47 / 0.09 |
| ATR (14) | 0.41 (1.81%) | 0.88 (3.87%) |
| Bollinger Bands (20, 2) | 22.23 - 23.37 | 19.54 - 23.56 |
| SMA (20) | 22.80 | 21.55 |
| SMA (50) | 22.04 | 20.77 |
| SMA (200) | 21.19 | 15.91 |
Price structure
NLY Price Structure and Returns
Price performance across multiple lookback periods and 52-week position.
| Metric | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| Current Price | 22.66 | 22.72 |
| 1-Period Return | -0.04% | +1.20% |
| 5-Period Return | -1.82% | +2.31% |
| 20-Period Return | -0.31% | +11.07% |
| 60-Period Return | +4.36% | +41.02% |
| 252-Period Return | +24.29% | +28.69% |
| 52-Week Low | 17.89 | 17.89 |
| 52-Week High | 23.48 | 23.48 |
| 52-Week Position | 85.33% | 86.41% |
Key levels
NLY Support and Resistance Levels
Key price levels based on recent swing highs and lows across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Level | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| 20-Period High | 23.48 | 23.48 |
| 20-Period Low | 22.03 | 19.30 |
| 60-Period High | 23.48 | 23.48 |
| 60-Period Low | 20.20 | 15.85 |
Scenarios
NLY Technical Scenarios
Conditions, invalidation triggers, and what to watch for each scenario.
Bullish
Trigger
Price reclaims and holds above the daily SMA20 near 22.80, then closes above the 23.48 level that marks the 20-period, 60-period, and 52-week high on both timeframes, resuming the intermediate uptrend.
Invalidation
A daily close below the SMA50 (22.04) and the 20-day low (22.03) on rising volume would signal that the pullback is deepening.
What to watch
Daily RSI pushing above 60; the daily MACD histogram turning positive; volume expanding on up days; weekly RSI staying above 55.
Range-Bound
Trigger
Price continues to oscillate between support near the 22.03 to 22.04 zone (20-day low and SMA50) and resistance near 23.48 while the stock consolidates the recent advance.
Invalidation
A decisive close above 23.48 or below 22.03 with above-average volume would end the range.
What to watch
Daily RSI staying between 45 and 60; the MACD histogram flattening near zero; volume remaining light; Bollinger Bands beginning to narrow.
Bearish
Trigger
Price closes below the 20-day low at 22.03 and the SMA50 at 22.04, targeting the SMA200 near 21.19 and then the 60-day low at 20.20.
Invalidation
Price reclaims and holds above the SMA20 near 22.80 with increasing volume, restoring the short-term bullish structure.
What to watch
Daily RSI falling below 45; the MACD histogram turning more negative; rising volume on down days; the weekly SMA20 near 21.55 as the first weekly support.
Methodology
Methodology and Limitations
This technical analysis is calculated locally from adjusted OHLCV history. The daily series ends August 6, 2026, and the weekly series ends July 27, 2026 week. The latest completed daily bar is independently checked for date and closing-price consistency. Historical prices are adjusted for corporate actions when applicable. Indicators include Wilder RSI(14), MACD(12,26,9), SMA20/50/200, Wilder ATR(14), Bollinger Bands(20,2), relative volume, multi-period returns, and price-range levels. Support and resistance are descriptive zones, not guaranteed reversal points. Historical patterns do not predict future prices, and this page is not investment advice.
Frequently Asked Questions
This technical analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance and historical patterns are not guarantees of future results. All investments carry risk, including the potential loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Market data is checked for date and closing-price consistency before indicators are calculated. Data cutoffs: daily August 6, 2026, weekly July 27, 2026 week. Generated August 7, 2026.
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