MTSI technical analysis
MTSI Technical Analysis
Analysis date
August 7, 2026
Market
NasdaqGS (USD)
Daily cutoff
August 5, 2026
Reliability
Passed
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
Data verification
MTSI Data Verification
Checking the latest completed daily bar for date and closing-price consistency before indicators are calculated.
- Symbol
- MTSI
- Market
- NasdaqGS
- Currency
- USD (US Dollar)
- Latest completed bar
- August 5, 2026
Historical prices are adjusted for corporate actions when applicable. Date and closing-price consistency checks passed for the latest completed daily bar.
| Validation series | Latest Close | Date | Difference | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calculation series | 263.46 | August 5, 2026 | - | Verified |
| Verification series | 263.46 | August 5, 2026 | 0.00% | Verified |
Bottom line
MTSI Technical Analysis Summary
MTSI closed at 263.46 on August 5, 2026 after a sharp rebound off its late-July correction low. The stock fell from the 52-week high of 418.90 to a low of 228.02 in late July, then gained about 15% over the last five daily sessions. Price has reclaimed the SMA200 at 249.31 and the daily MACD has crossed bullish with a positive histogram of 2.28, but it remains below the SMA20 at 273.85 and the SMA50 at 330.07. The weekly chart still reflects the correction, with price below the weekly SMA20 at 308.91 and a bearish weekly MACD, though it is holding above the weekly SMA50 at 228.17. The rebound is constructive, but reclaiming the daily SMA20 would help confirm that a near-term bottom is in place.
Multi-timeframe dashboard
Multi-Timeframe Technical Dashboard
Comparing daily (2-year) and weekly (5-year) perspectives to identify aligned or conflicting signals.
Daily (August 5, 2026)
- Trend
- Mixed. Price at 263.46 is above the SMA200 at 249.31 but below the SMA20 at 273.85 and the SMA50 at 330.07. The SMA20 and SMA50 are still declining after the sharp correction, while the strong rebound off the 20-day low of 228.02 has lifted price back above the SMA200. The stock is more than 35% below the 52-week high of 418.90.
- Momentum
- Turning bullish. RSI14 at 41.76 has recovered from the oversold reading near 30 seen in late July. The MACD line at -20.48 has crossed above the signal line at -22.77 with a positive histogram of 2.28, a fresh bullish crossover on the daily chart. The MACD remains below zero, so momentum is recovering rather than strongly positive.
- Volatility
- Elevated. ATR14 at 20.13 (7.64% of price) reflects the wide daily ranges during the correction and rebound. Bollinger Bands (20, 2) run from 230.67 to 317.03, and the close at 263.46 sits near the middle of the band after the bounce.
- Volume
- Elevated. Latest volume of 1,731,700 is about 120% of the 20-day average (1,439,485), consistent with the sharp reversal off the late-July low. Above-average participation on the rebound supports the move rather than dismissing it as a low-volume bounce.
Assessment
The daily chart shows a rebound off the July low rather than a completed reversal. The fresh bullish MACD crossover and the RSI recovery from oversold territory support the bounce, and price is back above the SMA200. However, price must clear the SMA20 at 273.85 to confirm a near-term bottom. Until then, the corrective structure keeps the risk of a retest of the 20-day low at 228.02 on the table.
Weekly (July 27, 2026 week)
- Trend
- Corrective within a longer-term uptrend. Price at 251.44 (week of July 27) is below the weekly SMA20 at 308.91 and above the weekly SMA50 at 228.17 and the SMA200 at 127.41. The multi-year uptrend remains structurally intact as long as price holds the weekly SMA50. The weekly series ends with the week of July 27, so its close predates the early-August daily rebound.
- Momentum
- Bearish but stabilizing. Weekly RSI14 at 43.05 has fallen from the overbought zone near 70 seen during the June peak. The weekly MACD line at 17.85 remains below the signal line at 33.93 with a negative histogram of -16.08, a bearish weekly setup that the daily bullish crossover has not yet overturned.
- Volatility
- Elevated. Weekly ATR14 at 39.60 (15.75% of price) reflects the wide weekly swings during the correction. Bollinger Bands (20, 2) on the weekly chart run from 195.27 to 422.55, and price is in the lower half of the band.
- Volume
- Elevated. The week of July 27 posted volume of 8,848,100, about 124% of the 20-week average (7,129,640), reflecting heavy participation during the sell-off week.
Assessment
The weekly timeframe confirms a significant correction from the June peak of 418.90, with a 5-week return of -31.89%. Price tested but held the weekly SMA50 at 228.17, which aligns with the daily 20-day low zone around 228. A sustained move back above the weekly SMA20 at 308.91 would be needed to signal that the correction has ended, while a weekly close below 228.17 would open a path toward the 20-week low at 205.69.
Key indicators
MTSI Key Technical Indicators
RSI, MACD, moving averages, ATR, and Bollinger Bands across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Indicator | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 41.76 | 43.05 |
| MACD (12, 26, 9) | -20.48 / -22.77 / 2.28 | 17.85 / 33.93 / -16.08 |
| ATR (14) | 20.13 (7.64%) | 39.60 (15.75%) |
| Bollinger Bands (20, 2) | 230.67 - 317.03 | 195.27 - 422.55 |
| SMA (20) | 273.85 | 308.91 |
| SMA (50) | 330.07 | 228.17 |
| SMA (200) | 249.31 | 127.41 |
Price structure
MTSI Price Structure and Returns
Price performance across multiple lookback periods and 52-week position.
| Metric | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| Current Price | 263.46 | 251.44 |
| 1-Period Return | -3.60% | -5.82% |
| 5-Period Return | +15.19% | -31.89% |
| 20-Period Return | -13.68% | +15.45% |
| 60-Period Return | -26.79% | +101.09% |
| 252-Period Return | +88.19% | +284.82% |
| 52-Week Low | 118.16 | 118.16 |
| 52-Week High | 418.90 | 418.90 |
| 52-Week Position | 48.31% | 44.32% |
Key levels
MTSI Support and Resistance Levels
Key price levels based on recent swing highs and lows across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Level | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| 20-Period High | 328.62 | 418.90 |
| 20-Period Low | 228.02 | 205.69 |
| 60-Period High | 418.90 | 418.90 |
| 60-Period Low | 228.02 | 118.16 |
Scenarios
MTSI Technical Scenarios
Conditions, invalidation triggers, and what to watch for each scenario.
Bullish
Trigger
Price holds above the SMA200 at 249.31 and reclaims the SMA20 at 273.85 with above-average volume, extending the rebound toward the 20-day high at 328.62.
Invalidation
A close back below the SMA200 at 249.31.
What to watch
Daily MACD histogram staying positive; RSI14 holding above 45; volume expanding on up days; weekly price recovering toward the weekly SMA20 at 308.91.
Range-Bound
Trigger
Price consolidates between the SMA20 at 273.85 and the 20-day low at 228.02 while the daily MACD works higher toward the zero line.
Invalidation
A decisive close beyond either boundary.
What to watch
Daily RSI oscillating between 40 and 60; the MACD histogram staying positive; weekly price holding the weekly SMA50 at 228.17.
Bearish
Trigger
Price breaks below the SMA200 at 249.31 and the 20-day low at 228.02, reopening a move toward the 20-week low at 205.69.
Invalidation
Price reclaims the SMA200 at 249.31 on elevated volume.
What to watch
A weekly close below the weekly SMA50 at 228.17; the weekly MACD histogram expanding further negative; elevated selling volume on down days.
Methodology
Methodology and Limitations
This technical analysis is calculated locally from adjusted OHLCV history. The daily series ends August 5, 2026, and the weekly series ends July 27, 2026 week. The latest completed daily bar is independently checked for date and closing-price consistency. Historical prices are adjusted for corporate actions when applicable. Indicators include Wilder RSI(14), MACD(12,26,9), SMA20/50/200, Wilder ATR(14), Bollinger Bands(20,2), relative volume, multi-period returns, and price-range levels. Support and resistance are descriptive zones, not guaranteed reversal points. Historical patterns do not predict future prices, and this page is not investment advice.
Frequently Asked Questions
This technical analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance and historical patterns are not guarantees of future results. All investments carry risk, including the potential loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Market data is checked for date and closing-price consistency before indicators are calculated. Data cutoffs: daily August 5, 2026, weekly July 27, 2026 week. Generated August 7, 2026.
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